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WHO releases Covid-19 death report, says it is nearly 10 times the official data; claims India is hiding real figures

WHO released the report of Covid-19 deaths in the country from January 2020 to DecembWHO released the report of Covid-19 deaths in the country from January 2020 to December 2021 on Thursday which states that India is hiding the real figures.er 2021 on Thursday which states that India is hiding the real figures.

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World Health Organisation

World Health Organisation (WHO) has released a report stating that the Covid-19 deaths in India are much more than 4.7 million, which the official government records show. The WHO report claims that the fatalities in India due to Covid-19 are nearly 10 times higher than the official records. However, the Indian government has strongly declined the WHO’s model for calculating the number of Covid deaths, calling it a flaw in methodology.

WHO released the report of Covid-19 deaths in the country from January 2020 to December 2021 on Thursday which states that India is hiding the real figures. According to the report, the country has almost a third of Covid deaths globally.

World Mortality Dataset calls India’s data fallacious and devious

World Mortality Dataset is a global repository that provides updated data on deaths from all causes. The advisory group was set up by WHO to record the deaths caused by Covid-19 globally from 2020 to 2021.

Researchers from the advisory group November 2020 asked the Indian authorities to provide information about the Covid-19 deaths in the country. But India’s main statistical office strongly refused to give information to the global repository stating that ‘the numbers are not available.’

Read Also: Rahul Gandhi slams Centre over Covid death numbers, says Science doesn’t lie but PM Modi does

WHO claims that India in its official report showed 4,81,000 Covid-19 deaths but the figure is totally removed from the reality. The report states that India is one of the 20 countries (representing almost half of the global population) that account for more than 80% of the estimated global excess mortality for this time. Almost half of the deaths that until now had not been counted globally were in India.

India has consistently discarded scathing independent modelling estimates, which many contradict the government’s triumphalist narrative about fighting Covid. Authorities have labelled them “fallacious, ill-informed, and devious in nature,” claiming that the techniques and sample sizes were inaccurate.

Excess Mortality Rate

In its report WHO said, excess mortality is calculated as the difference between the number of deaths that have occurred and the number that would be expected in the absence of the pandemic based on data from earlier years.

Excess mortality includes deaths associated with Covid-19 directly (due to the disease) or indirectly (due to the pandemic’s impact on health systems and society). Deaths linked indirectly to Covid-19 are attributable to other health conditions for which people were unable to access prevention and treatment because health systems were overburdened by the pandemic, the report said.

India’s reaction to WHO’s report

A few minutes after WHO released the report, India called the organization’s methodology false and inaccurate. These sobering data not only point to the impact of the pandemic but also to the need for all countries to invest in more resilient health systems that can sustain essential health services during crises, including stronger health information systems, said Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, WHO Director-General. He further said that WHO is committed to working with all countries to strengthen their health information systems to generate better data for better decisions and better outcomes.

Read Also: BJP worker found dead in Kolkata ahead of Amit Shah’s visit to city

Why countries were not providing the accurate Covid-19 death numbers to WHO?

During the pandemic, many countries struggled to provide accurate death figures. This can be because victims were not tested for the infection, and death registration was inconsistent and sluggish. Even in many developed countries, data on all-cause fatalities is published with a long delay.

India lags behind countries like the United States and Russia in terms of complete and timely death registration. According to Mr Karlinsky, death data in China – the only country with a population equivalent to India – has been a little perplexing, but authorities there have given annual statistics on all-cause fatalities for 2020 and 2021. Despite having allegedly good registration, Pakistan, like India, did not provide any data.

Why WHO is asking for data from the government?

However, experts claim that India also refuses to release basic pandemic statistics, including case counts, hospitalizations, and fatalities subdivided by age, gender, and vaccination status. It’s impossible to tell whether a successful immunization campaign is actually reducing deaths.

What should India do to get accurate Covid-19 numbers?

One way India could get a better handle on the number of people who died of Covid is to include a simple question in the next census: Has there been a death in your home since January 1, 2020? If so, please provide the deceased’s age, gender, and date of death. Dr. Jha states, this would provide a direct estimate of excess mortality during the pandemic.

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India registers 313 new Covid cases, active cases reach 2,041, 3 deaths recorded in last 24 hours

The currently available data suggests that the JN.1 variant is neither leading to an exponential rise in the new cases nor a rise in the hospitalization and mortality.

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India saw a single-day rise of 313 new Covid cases, while the active caseload has declined to 2,041, the health ministry said on Saturday.  Three deaths: two from Karnataka and one from Maharashtra were reported in the last 24 hours.

According to the ministry website, the number of active cases in the country stood at 2,331 on Friday. The number of cases of Covid had dropped to double digits till December 5, but it began to start increasing after the emergence of a new variant and cold weather conditions.

 According to reports after December 5, the highest single day rise of 841new cases was reported on December 31, 2023, which is 0.2% of the peak cases reported in May 2021. Of the total active cases, a large majority of these (around 92%) are recovering under home isolation.

The currently available data suggests that the JN.1 variant is neither leading to an exponential rise in the new cases nor a rise in the hospitalization and mortality. India has witnessed three waves of Covid in the past with its peak incidence of daily new cases and deaths being reported during the delta wave in April June 2021.

 At its peak, 414,188 new cases and 3915 deaths were reported on May 7, 2021. Since the pandemic started in early 2020, there have have been 4.5 crore people who have got infected and this has resulted in the death of 5.3 lakh persons in a total time span of four years.

According to the ministry data, the total number of persons who have recuperated from the disease are 4.4 crore with total recovery rate recorded is 98.81%. A total number of 220.67 crore doses of Covid vaccines have been administered in India so far.  

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India registers 605 new COVID-19 cases and 4 deaths in last 24 hours

The number of people who have recovered from the disease has gone up to 4,44,81,341, an increase of 648 since Sunday morning. In Kerala a 70 year-old male with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and 81year-old male with T2DM and HTN, and in Karnataka, a 48 year old male with CA and TB died, while one person in Tripura succumbed to COVID.

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India recorded 605 fresh COVID-19 cases and four deaths in the last 24 hours. The active cases have increased to 4002, while India’s overall COVID case tally stands at over 4.5 crore (4,50,18,792). The death toll was recorded at 5,33,396 with four new deaths – two from Kerala and one each in Karnataka and Tripura – reported in the last 24 hours, the data updated at 8am stated.

The number of people who have recovered from the disease has gone up to 4,44,81,341, an increase of 648 since Sunday morning. In Kerala a 70 year-old male with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and 81year-old male with T2DM and HTN, and in Karnataka, a 48 year old male with CA and TB died, while one person in Tripura succumbed to COVID.

The Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) reported that 11,838 doses of the vaccine had been administered in the country till January 7. The data is a compilation of the Integrated Disease Surveillance Programme (National Centre for Disease Control), media bulletins and websites of various states at 8am on January 4.

As the winter season sets in, health experts are highlighting a sudden surge in viral infections, influenza, and COVID-19 cases. Dr Nikhil Modi, a senior pulmonologist at Indraprastha Apollo Hospital, pointed out that the decrease in temperature leads to increase in moisture in the air, low wind speed and also causes an increase in pollution levels. This contributes highly to various infections.

Due to the decrease in temperature the fog combines with the pollution in the air which further leads to the formation of smog. This condition of the atmosphere can cause different types of infections and difficulty in breathing. Both the state and the central government are keeping a close watch on the new Omicron Subvariant JN.1. J.N.1 is a Variant of Interest (VOI) which is under intense scientific scrutiny.   

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India records 774 new Covid-19 cases, 2 deaths in 24 hours

The number of daily cases was in double digits till December 5 but it started to rise again amid cold weather conditions and after the emergence of new Covid-19 variant, JN.1.

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India on Saturday had a single-day rise of 774 Covid cases while the number of active cases stood at 4,187, the Union health ministry said. As many as two deaths – one each from Tamil Nadu and Gujarat were reported in a span of 24 hours. Of the 4,187 active cases, the majority (over 92%) are recovering under home isolation.

The number of daily cases was in double digits till December 5 but it started to rise again amid cold weather conditions and after the emergence of new Covid-19 variant, JN.1. The central government has asked the state government and union territories to maintain a constant vigil amid an upward trend in the number of Covid-cases and the detection of the JN.1 sub variant in the country.

According to reports after December 5, the highest single-day rise of 841 cases was reported on December 31, 2023, which was 0.2% of the peak cases reported in May 2021. A health official said that the JN.1 variant is neither leading to an exponential rise in new cases nor a surge in hospitalisation and mortality in the country.

The Karnataka government has made the Covid test mandatory for those with Influenza like illness (ILI) or Severe Acute Respiratory Illness (SARI). Karnataka Health Minister Dinesh Gundu Rao said more than 7000 tests are being done every day and the COVID positivity rate is 3.82%. The positivity rate in the state has not come down yet.

He said those with symptoms are being monitored and tested. Those who are in isolation at home have been told to take extra care. He added it is expected that the trend of decreasing Covid cases may start next week in Karnataka. India has witnessed three waves of Covid-19 in the past with the peak incidence of daily cases and deaths being reported during the Delta wave during April-June 2021. At its peak 4,14,188 cases and 3915 deaths were reported on May 7, 2021.

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