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Exit Polls 2024: Congress likely to form govt in Haryana, NC ahead in Jammu & Kashmir

BJP senior leader Anil Vij, on exit poll predictions, said BJP will surely win in Haryana and form the government again.

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With the voting concluded in Haryana and EVM and VVPAT being sealed and secured for the October 8 counting day, the focus shifts to what exit polls predict for Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir. Congress is likely to form the government in the state after a decade, while exit polls predict serendipity for the National Conference in the Union Territory, projecting 40-48 seats in alliance with the grand old party.

The concluded election is particularly important as it is the first one since the revocation of Article 370 in August 2019, which resulted in the reorganization of the former state into the Union Territories of Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh.

The Jammu and Kashmir National Conference and Congress formed a coalition to contest in the election, while the People’s Democratic Party and the Bharatiya Janata Party ran separately.

According to exit polls, the Congress will secure 55 seats in Haryana while they predict 26 seats for the BJP. It says that the JJP would win 0-1 seats, the INLD – 2-3 while Others could win 3-5 seats.

For the Union Territory, the exit polls predicted an uncertain victory for the NC-Congress alliance with 40-48 seats. BJP may secure 20-25, while the PDP is likely to gain 4-7, and Others could win up to 12-16.

On exit polls prediction for Haryana, the former Chief Minister and Congress leader Bhupinder Singh Hooda said: “I feel that we will win 65 plus-minus seats. Congress will form the government with a thumping majority.”

“We will work on unemployment, education and security. CM post is everyone’s right. This is democracy. Whatever decision the High Command takes we will accept this. Kumari Selja is our senior leader,” he said while speaking to reporters.

“BJP contested the elections with all its strength, and we are confident that BJP will emerge as the single largest party in Jammu and Kashmir. I feel that the BJP will emerge victorious when the results will be out on October 8,” said Jammu and Kashmir BJP chief Ravinder Raina.

Jammu and Kashmir Congress chief Tariq Hameed Karra said, “These elections were fought to keep the BJP out of power and restoration for statehood. Talking about the (Congress-National Conference) alliance, we are in a comfortable position.”

National Conference leader Omar Abdullah posted on X, “I’m amazed channels are bothering with exit polls especially after the fiasco of the recent general elections. I’m ignoring all the noise on channels, social media, WhatsApp Etc because the only numbers that matter will be revealed on the 8th of Oct. The rest is just time pass.”

BJP senior leader Anil Vij, on exit poll predictions, said BJP will surely win in Haryana and form the government again.

“As per the exit poll predictions, we (Congress-National Conference alliance) will likely win 50-61 seats in Jammu and Kashmir, while in Haryana, Congress will win around 55-65 seats. I want to thank the people of both states,” said Congress leader Ashok Tanwar on exit poll predictions for Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir.

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PM Modi assures no discrimination in women’s quota, delimitation debate intensifies in Parliament

PM Narendra Modi has assured that women’s reservation will be implemented without discrimination, amid a heated debate over delimitation in Parliament.

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PM modi

Prime Minister Narendra Modi has assured that there will be no discrimination in the implementation of women’s reservation, as Parliament witnessed a sharp debate over the proposed linkage between the quota and delimitation exercise.

During the ongoing special session, the government reiterated its commitment to ensuring fair representation while addressing concerns raised by opposition parties regarding the timing and structure of the legislation.

The proposed framework aims to reserve 33 percent of seats for women in the Lok Sabha and state assemblies. However, its implementation is tied to a fresh delimitation exercise, which is expected after the next census.

Opposition questions timing and intent

Opposition leaders have raised concerns that linking the women’s quota to delimitation could delay its implementation. They argue that the process of redrawing constituencies may push the actual rollout further into the future.

The issue has triggered a broader political confrontation, with multiple parties questioning whether the move could alter representation across states.

Some critics have also alleged that the delimitation exercise could disproportionately benefit certain regions based on population, a charge the government has rejected.

Government reiterates commitment to fair implementation

Responding to these concerns, the Centre has maintained that the reforms are necessary to ensure accurate and updated representation based on population data.

Leaders from the ruling side have repeatedly emphasized that the process will be carried out transparently and without bias. The assurance that there will be “no discrimination” is aimed at addressing fears among states and opposition parties.

The debate marks a key moment in Parliament, with both sides engaging in intense exchanges over one of the most significant electoral reforms in recent years.

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Give all tickets to Muslim women, Amit Shah says, attacking Akhilesh Yadav on sub-quota demand

A sharp exchange between Amit Shah and Akhilesh Yadav in Parliament over sub-quota for Muslim women highlights key divisions on women’s reservation implementation.

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A heated exchange broke out in Parliament during discussions on the women’s reservation framework, with Union Home Minister Amit Shah and Samajwadi Party chief Akhilesh Yadav locking horns over the demand for a sub-quota for Muslim women.

The debate unfolded as the government pushed forward key legislative measures to implement 33% reservation for women in the Lok Sabha and state assemblies.

Akhilesh Yadav argued that the proposed reservation must ensure representation for women from marginalised communities, including Other Backward Classes (OBCs) and Muslim women. He said that without such provisions, large sections could remain excluded from political participation.

He also questioned the timing of the bill, alleging that the Centre was avoiding a caste census. According to him, a census would lead to renewed demands for caste-based reservations, which the government is reluctant to address.

Government rejects religion-based quota

Responding to the demand, Amit Shah made it clear that reservation based on religion is not permitted under the Constitution.

He stated that any proposal to provide quota to Muslims on religious grounds would be unconstitutional, firmly rejecting the idea of a separate sub-quota for Muslim women within the broader reservation framework.

The government has maintained that the existing framework already includes provisions for Scheduled Castes (SC) and Scheduled Tribes (ST) women within the overall reservation structure.

Wider political divide over implementation

The issue of sub-categorisation within the women’s quota has emerged as a major flashpoint, even as most opposition parties broadly support the idea of women’s reservation.

Samajwadi Party leaders reiterated that their support for the bill depends on inclusion of OBC and minority women, while the government continues to defend its constitutional position.

The debate is part of a broader discussion during the special Parliament session, where multiple bills linked to delimitation and implementation of the women’s quota are being taken up.

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No state will lose a seat, Centre assures as delimitation debate takes centre stage in Parliament

Parliament’s special session begins with key focus on implementing women’s reservation and delimitation, setting the stage for major electoral changes.

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Parliament

A special session of Parliament commenced on Thursday, with the Centre set to take up crucial legislation related to women’s reservation and delimitation of constituencies. The session, scheduled over three days, is expected to witness intense debate as the government pushes forward its legislative agenda.

At the centre of discussions is the proposal to operationalise the women’s reservation law, which seeks to allocate 33 percent of seats in the Lok Sabha and state assemblies to women. The law, passed earlier, requires enabling provisions before it can be implemented.

The rollout of the reservation is closely tied to the delimitation exercise — a process that redraws parliamentary constituencies based on updated population data. The implementation is expected only after the next census and delimitation process are completed.

The government is aiming to put in place the framework so that the reservation can be enforced in future elections, likely around 2029.

Delimitation and numbers at play

Delimitation is a key aspect of the proposed changes, as it will determine how seats are redistributed and which constituencies are reserved. The exercise is expected to reflect population shifts and may also involve an increase in the total number of Lok Sabha seats.

This linkage has made the issue politically sensitive, with several opposition parties backing women’s reservation in principle but raising concerns over how and when delimitation will be carried out.

Political reactions and expected debate

The session is likely to see sharp exchanges between the government and opposition. While there is broad agreement on increasing women’s representation, disagreements remain over the timing, process, and potential political implications of the delimitation exercise.

Some leaders have argued that delimitation could significantly alter the balance of representation among states, making it a contentious issue beyond the women’s quota itself.

The government, however, has framed the move as a step toward strengthening women’s participation in governance and ensuring more inclusive policymaking.

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