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No confidence vote: Outcome known, BJP & Opposition hope to score propaganda points

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No confidence vote: Outcome known, BJP & Opposition hope to score propaganda points

~By Rajesh Sinha

The four-year-old NDA government led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi faces its first motion of no-confidence on Friday, July 20.

Lok Sabha Speaker Sumitra Mahajan, who had repeatedly turned down notices for such a motion during the Budget session, on Wednesday admitted a notice moved by the Telugu Desam Party. While the outcome of a confidence vote was a foregone conclusion – even in the Budget session – the opposition parties intend to use it to make an all out attack on the government on a range of issues: In the normal course, they would have to give notice for a discussion on each of the topics separately. A no-confidence motion removes this limitation.

BJP was wary of having such a debate during Budget session, with the crucial Karnataka assembly election – for BJP under Amit Shah’s presidentship, every election is crucial – about to come up.

Now, the BJP leadership reckons, it suits the party. Media reports quoting BJP sources said that the change in the government’s approach to allow the no-confidence vote was driven by party president Amit Shah. He convinced the rest of the leadership that the debate on the no-confidence motion would afford the government the opportunity to expose the Opposition narrative and also its lack of unity.

The BJP felt that once the no-trust vote is debated and defeated, the Opposition would not have any excuse to disrupt proceedings of the House.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who will reply to the debate, is expected to use the occasion as a launching pad for the 2019 campaign.

“We will put the welfare schemes and development projects carried out by the government in last four years before the people,” said Parliamentary Affairs Minister Ananth Kumar.

A BJP leader said the government’s numbers would also work to its advantage as more lawmakers from the ruling coalition would get an opportunity to speak on the motion than the Opposition because of its sheer strength in the Lok Sabha: Parties are allocated time in debates according to their strength in parliament.

The debate on the motion is likely to go on beyond the normal time of 6 pm for the House. PM Narendra Modi, who will be the last speaker in the debate, will have people of the country watching him as they come home and sit down to watch TV.

The PM’s speech is expected to be a veritable launch of his Lok Sabha election campaign.

Some analysts wrote that the PM could use the no-confidence motion debate to call for an early election. Winning the vote to retain his projected image of being ‘unbeatable’ would be an opportune time, especially in view of the weak footing the BJP finds itself in for the assembly polls in Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Mizoram Assembly polls in November-December.

Modi-Shah led BJP, which has been rooting for simultaneous elections, would stand a better chance if the Lok Sabha polls are also called at the same time, argue these analysts.

The Opposition would hope its speakers succeed in conveying to the people why nearly all Opposition parties are against the Modi government. They will speak on a host of issues – price rise, lynchings, Jammu & Kashmir, foreign policy, flight of capital, increase in deposits by Indians in Swiss banks, fleeing of economic offenders from India, atrocities on Dalits and security of women.

The Congress was not too happy at TDP’s motion being admitted. Eight notices of no confidence in the Council of Ministers were received as the monsoon session of Parliament commenced. Three notices came from the TDP, two from the Congress, and one each from the NCP, CPM, and RSP.

The Speaker allowed TDP MP Kesineni Srinivas’ notice given to protest denial of a special package for Andhra Pradesh. She said Srinivas’ notice was the “first in point of time”, said some media reports (– though some others said it was done by lottery; the confusion remains).

Mallikarjun Kharge, Congress’ designated leader in Lok Sabha, reportedly made his party’s displeasure known on the floor of the House at the Speaker’s decision.

The reason is, it is the party which initiates the motion that will open the debate and get enough time to make its point. All other parties would get time as per their strength, and those parties would have to make adjustments accordingly, especially if they have more than one speaker.

The BJP and most of media hype is about the result of the no-confidence vote and the numbers game. That, however, is no secret. The 13-party NDA has 315 MPs in the House where the current effective strength is 536, instead of 545, there being nine vacancies. The government needs 269 votes to defeat the no-confidence motion.

The BJP has 274, including rebel MPs Shatrughan Sinha and Kirti Azad who stand to lose their membership if they defy the party whip to vote against the motion.

The UPA comprising the Congress, NCP, RJD, IUML, JMM and Kerala Congress Mani, has 64 MPs. The Congress has 48.

Other parties, including Independents, have 157 MPs.

The numbers explain the quickness with which the Speaker returned after lunch break to list discussions on the no-confidence motion on July 20. She said the entire business of the House, question hour, zero hour and private members’ Bills, will be suspended that day to take up the notice.

It was false confidence shown by Sonia Gandhi when she said: “Who told you the Opposition does not have the numbers?”

But then, one rarely ever says ‘we know are going to lose’.

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BJP MLA Vungzagin Valte dies after prolonged battle with injuries from Manipur violence

Manipur BJP MLA Vungzagin Valte has died in Gurugram nearly two years after suffering severe injuries in the 2023 ethnic violence in Imphal.

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BJP MLA (1)

Manipur BJP MLA Vungzagin Valte, who had been battling severe injuries sustained during the outbreak of ethnic violence in May 2023, died at a hospital in Haryana’s Gurugram on Thursday.

Valte, a representative from the Thanlon assembly constituency in Churachandpur district, was attacked in Imphal when tensions between Meitei and Kuki-Zomi communities escalated into widespread clashes. The assault left him with critical head injuries that significantly affected his mobility and speech.

Long medical struggle after 2023 attack

Following the attack on May 4, 2023, Valte was admitted to a hospital in Delhi, where he spent several months in intensive care. According to his family, he suffered debilitating head trauma that left him wheelchair-bound and dependent on assistance for routine physical movements.

Despite prolonged treatment in the national capital for nearly two years, his health remained fragile. He later returned to Manipur, but complications linked to the injuries persisted.

Earlier this month, Valte complained of breathlessness and chest pain, prompting doctors to stabilise him in intensive care before he was flown to Delhi in an air ambulance on February 8. His condition had reportedly shown slight improvement before the transfer.

Family alleges role of Arambai Tenggol

Valte’s family had alleged that members of the Meitei group Arambai Tenggol were responsible for the attack in 2023. His son, David Mang Valte, had earlier stated that the MLA was assaulted while returning after meeting the then Chief Minister amid the communal crisis involving Kuki, Meitei and Zomi communities.

Valte belonged to the Zomi tribe and was serving as a BJP legislator from Thanlon at the time of his death.

Condolences pour in

Several political leaders expressed grief over his passing. Two-time MLA T Robindro Singh said his last meeting with Valte at Imphal Airport before he was airlifted for advanced treatment remains “deeply emotional and unforgettable.” He described Valte as a kind-hearted and humble leader who was always concerned about the welfare of the people.

Valte’s death marks the end of a prolonged and painful chapter that began with the outbreak of ethnic unrest in Manipur in 2023.

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Amit Shah launches Rs 6,900 crore Vibrant Village Programme-II in Assam

Amit Shah has launched the Rs 6,900 crore Vibrant Village Programme-II in Assam to develop 140 villages along the Bangladesh border with improved infrastructure and employment opportunities.

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Amit Shah

Union Home Minister Amit Shah on Thursday launched the second phase of the Vibrant Village Programme in Assam, announcing a Rs 6,900-crore investment aimed at strengthening development in border areas.

The initiative seeks to transform 140 villages along the Bangladesh border in Assam into centres of modern education, employment and infrastructure. Shah formally inaugurated the programme at Natanpur village in the Barak Valley region of the state.

Focus on education, jobs and infrastructure

Addressing the gathering, Shah said the programme would ensure that border villages receive facilities on par with other parts of the country. He credited Prime Minister Narendra Modi for prioritising development in these regions.

“Today, we are officially beginning the Vibrant Village Programme-II, and through this, we will bring development to bordering villages and facilities like any other place across the country. This has been possible because of Prime Minister Narendra Modi,” Shah said.

He added that Natanpur would not be known merely for its proximity to the border but for excelling in education, employment generation, road connectivity, telecommunications and electricity.

Coverage across 17 states

According to Shah, the Centre has earmarked Rs 6,900 crore under Vibrant Village Programme-II to develop 334 blocks and 1,954 villages across 17 states.

In Assam alone, nine districts, 26 blocks and 140 villages have been identified under the scheme. Shah said all amenities in these villages would match those available in other villages across India.

“There was a time when border villages were called the last villages and lacked many amenities, but Prime Minister Narendra Modi decided that all border villages will be the first villages. Now these villages will be first in road, sanitation, drinking water, communications, employment and education,” he said.

The programme aims to strengthen infrastructure and socio-economic conditions in border areas, particularly those along the Bangladesh frontier in Assam.

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No option left: Supreme Court issues extraordinary order in Bengal SIR case

The Supreme Court issued an extraordinary order in the Bengal SIR case, asking the Calcutta High Court to appoint judicial officers to resolve disputes between the state and the Election Commission.

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In a significant intervention in the ongoing dispute over the special intensive revision (SIR) of voter rolls in West Bengal, the Supreme Court on Friday directed the Calcutta High Court to appoint judicial officers to assist in the process.

The top court said the move was necessary due to an “unfortunate scenario of allegations and counter allegations” between the West Bengal government and the Election Commission, which has led to a trust deficit between the two constitutional authorities.

Chief Justice of India Surya Kant observed that the process had stalled at the stage of examining claims and objections from individuals whose names were included in the discrepancy list. He noted that the court was compelled to pass an “extraordinary order” owing to “extraordinary circumstances”.

The judicial officers appointed by the high court will examine claims and objections related to the voter roll clean-up drive. The Supreme Court asked the Calcutta High Court to spare serving as well as former judicial officers in the rank of additional district judge or district judge to assist in each district.

Meeting of top officials ordered

To work out the operational details, the Supreme Court directed the State Election Commissioner, the chief secretary, the police chief and other senior officials to hold a meeting with the Chief Justice of the Calcutta High Court.

The court highlighted that the state is obligated to provide Group A officers to perform duties of Sub-Divisional Officers (SDOs) and Sub-Divisional Magistrates (SDMs). It pointed to a dispute over the rank and competence of officials deployed to function as Electoral Registration Officers (EROs) and Assistant Electoral Registration Officers (AEROs).

“It is nearly impossible for this court to determine the status and rank of officials now deployed by the ECI given by the state,” the bench observed.

Expressing dissatisfaction, the court said it was left with “hardly any other option” but to request the Chief Justice of the Calcutta High Court to deploy judicial officers to ensure fairness in adjudicating the genuineness of documents and decisions regarding inclusion or exclusion from the voter list.

Strong remarks from the bench

The Supreme Court made strong remarks over what it described as a lack of cooperation.

“A situation is being created where judicial officers have to intervene. We were expecting cooperation by the state. Is this the level of communication from the state?” Chief Justice Kant said, expressing disappointment over delayed responses to earlier orders.

Sharp exchanges were reported between senior lawyers representing the West Bengal government and the Election Commission. While the state argued that sufficient Group B officers had been provided, the Election Commission maintained that competent Group A officers capable of discharging quasi-judicial functions were not made available.

“You are not providing competent Group A officers. How can incompetent officials decide the fate of the people?” the court remarked, adding that there appeared to be hesitancy on both ends.

The bench stressed that cooperation from all stakeholders was essential and cautioned the state government to create an enabling environment for the judicial officers nominated by the high court.

“Please cooperate with the high court. Please create an environment for them to function. Imagine what will happen if the SIR process is not completed,” the court said.

Political backdrop

The SIR exercise has triggered a political row in West Bengal, with Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee accusing the Election Commission of targeting the state and misusing the voter roll revision to exclude genuine voters.

Earlier this month, she met top Election Commission officials in New Delhi and warned that she could mobilise large numbers of people to protest before the poll body.

Banerjee has also questioned why a similar SIR exercise was not conducted in BJP-ruled Assam and alleged that West Bengal and Kerala were being unfairly targeted.

With the Bengal assembly election approaching and major parties stepping up campaigning, the voter roll revision has become a central political flashpoint.

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