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Two Statistic Commission members quit as Modi govt doesn’t clear report on job losses

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Two Statistic Commission members quit as Modi govt doesn’t clear report on job losses

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]The two remaining non-government members of the National Statistical Commission (NSC) resigned on Monday protesting against the withholding of a report that was expected to reflect job losses in the wake of demonetisation.

The report, the NSSO’s (National Sample Survey Organisation) first Annual Survey on Employment and Unemployment for the year 2017-18, was the first by NSSO in this government, media reports said.

The withholding of this report is not a one-off instance. This is not a one-off Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government and his party have been extremely sensitive about reports that expose the situation on employment front and consequences of demonetisation. BJP MPs who are members of Parliament’s Public Accounts Committee (PAC) have stalled its report on demonetisation and on employment data.

Employment data was also the trigger that forced its acting chairman PC Mohanan and member JV Meenakshi to quit the organisation. Mohanan, a career statistician, and Meenakshi, Professor at the Delhi School of Economics, were appointed by the government as members in the NSC in June 2017.

NSC is an autonomous body constituted in 2006 and tasked to monitor and review the functioning of the country’s statistical systems. As such, the survey reports of the NSSO need the Commission’s approval and not that of the government, a former NSC member told The Business Standard. This mechanism was put in place in 1960s, when a governing council was there, which was replaced by the Commission in 2006.

Both had a three-year term that was to end in June 2020. They cited the treatment being meted out by the government to NSC – withholding of the publication of the National Sample Survey Office’s (NSSO’s) employment survey for 2017-18 and a lack of consultation with the Commission before releasing the backdated gross domestic product (GDP) series last year – as the key reason for their resignations.

In November, the NITI Aayog had announced back series data or “revised” GDP data under the previous Congress-led UPA rule, but did not involve the NSC in the consultation process, which did not go down well with NSC members. The data released by NITI Aayog Vice-Chairman Rajiv Kumar and Chief Statistician Pravin Srivastava trimmed the average growth during the UPA years and showed higher growth in the four years of the BJP-led government. The NSC had released its report on the GDP back-series, which was disowned by the government as just another exercise.

Further, the latest Economic Census was announced by the government but was not brought to the Commission. Also, the NSC was kept out of the release of the National Policy on Official Statistics.

Three years ago, NSC was snubbed by the Niti Aayog over finalisation of GDP back series data.

With these resignations, there are no external members in the Commission. The move has left the commission with only chief statistician Pravin Srivastava and ex-officio member, the Chief Executive Officer of NITI Aayog Amitabh Kant.

The commission is mandated to have seven members. Three posts had been vacant before the resignations.

The immediate trigger for the resignations was the delay in releasing the NSSO’s first series of household survey, known as the periodic labour force survey, for 2017-18, reported Business Standard (BS).

The NSC had approved the survey report in its meeting held on December 5 in Kolkata and it was supposed to be released by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, said the BS report, citing sources.

Mohanan told The Indian Express (IE): “The normal convention is that NSSO presents the findings to the Commission, and once approved, the report is released within the next few days. We approved the NSSO survey on employment/unemployment in December beginning,” said Mohanan. “But the report has not been made public for almost two months.”

Srivastava, reported BS, said the NSSO was supposed to come up with annual estimates on labour force, along with quarterly ones in urban areas, and the NSSO would release them after the quarterly survey results for July 2017-December 2018 are processed.

A former member pointed out that the government was uncomfortable with the findings of the NSSO’s household survey. It has been uncomfortable with job situation – the Labour and Employment Ministry has withheld the release of the annual household survey for 2016-17 conducted by the Labour Bureau, despite necessary approvals in place.

The issue of employment has taken centre stage as the campaign to the upcoming general elections gathers momentum. The Modi government has repeatedly cited lack of numbers on jobs as a bigger problem than job creation itself.

“The 2017-18 job survey did not present a good picture on the employment front. This is most likely the reason for holding it back,” said a source in the NSSO.

Earlier, the NSSO undertook employment/unemployment surveys once in five years. The last survey was released in 2011-12.

The next survey should have been in 2016-17. But after considerable thought, the NSC decided to have annual as well as quarterly surveys. The first annual survey undertaken by the NSSO for the year-ending June 2018 (July 2017-June 2018) would have covered both the pre-demonetisation and post-demonetisation period.

Almost three years ago, the Central Statistics Office (CSO), in the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, had finalised back series data for GDP following a change in the base year from 2004-05 to 2011-12. That exercise had led to an upward revision in growth rates for the UPA years but the NITI Aayog, then under Vice Chairman Arvind Panagariya, did not allow its release.

The latest update by the CMIE revealed that the unemployment rate shot up by 7.4 per cent in December 2018, the highest in 15 months, and that 11 million jobs were lost in 2018 due to demonetisation. But the government has denied job losses, and often said many entrepreneurial jobs have been created.

At a jobs event organised by the Confederation of Indian Industry on January 19, Piyush Goyal, now finance minister, had said that data on jobs available now was not very inclusive and did not cover the many new-age industries, such as taxi aggregators which engage a million people. Entrepreneurship did not get recognised and household help was not accounted for, he said.

“The absence of these will exaggerate the demand and supply situation for employment,” Goyal said – a flawed argument to justify the worsening job situation as entrepreneurship and domestic help were not accounted for earlier as well.[/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]

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BJP raises seat offer to Eknath Shinde’s Shiv Sena to nearly 90 ahead of Mumbai civic polls, talks continue

The BJP has raised its seat offer to Eknath Shinde’s Shiv Sena to nearly 90 for the upcoming BMC elections, but fresh talks are needed as differences persist within the Mahayuti.

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With the Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC) elections drawing closer, the seat-sharing tussle within the Mahayuti alliance continues, with the BJP increasing its offer to Eknath Shinde-led Shiv Sena but failing to reach the party’s expectations.

According to sources, the BJP has now proposed close to 90 seats for the Shinde faction in the upcoming Mumbai civic polls. This is a significant jump from its earlier offer of 52 seats but still falls short of what Shinde is seeking. The Shiv Sena leader has reportedly reduced his demand from an initial 125 seats to 112, yet remains dissatisfied with the latest formula.

Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis is expected to hold another round of discussions with Shinde to break the deadlock. Sources indicate that the BJP is unlikely to stretch its offer much further, especially after its strong showing in recent statewide local body elections.

BJP firm after strong local poll performance

The BJP has emerged as the single largest party in the recent local polls, securing 117 municipal president posts. In comparison, the Shinde-led Shiv Sena won 53 posts, while Ajit Pawar’s faction of the NCP secured 37. These results have strengthened the BJP’s negotiating position ahead of the BMC elections.

However, the current seat-sharing calculations could change if Ajit Pawar decides to contest the Mumbai civic polls as part of the alliance. Senior NCP leader Sunil Tatkare confirmed that no final decision has been taken yet, noting that discussions with alliance partners are ongoing.

Nawab Malik factor complicates alliance talks

A major point of contention within the Mahayuti is the issue of senior NCP leader Nawab Malik, who is facing multiple corruption cases, including a money laundering case linked to underworld activities. While the alliance has made it clear that Malik is unacceptable as part of its Mumbai setup, Ajit Pawar is reportedly firm on backing him.

Mumbai BJP chief Ameet Satam has publicly stated that the party would not align with any group that includes Malik. Sources added that if the NCP joins the alliance in Mumbai, it may be asked to project a different leader and contest a limited number of seats.

BMC elections timeline

The countdown to the Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation elections has already begun, with less than a month left for polling. Voting is scheduled for January 15, with counting set to take place the following day. A total of 2,869 municipal seats will be contested, including 227 seats in the BMC.

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India News

Everyone has their demands: Robert Vadra responds to calls for Priyanka Gandhi as PM candidate

Robert Vadra has reacted to growing calls for Priyanka Gandhi as a prime ministerial candidate, saying leadership speculation should not overshadow pressing issues like pollution and employment.

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Robert Vadra

Businessman Robert Vadra has reacted cautiously to growing political chatter around Congress leader Priyanka Gandhi Vadra being projected as a future prime ministerial candidate, saying such expectations are natural but the priority should remain on issues directly affecting the people.

The remarks came after Congress Lok Sabha member Imran Masood publicly pitched Priyanka Gandhi, the party’s general secretary and MP from Wayanad, as a potential prime ministerial face. The statement triggered sharp reactions from the BJP, particularly in the backdrop of criticism over Priyanka Gandhi’s response to violence against minorities in Bangladesh.

Focus should remain on people’s issues, says Vadra

Speaking to media, Robert Vadra said that demands and expectations often emerge from different sections, but leadership speculation should not distract from pressing national concerns.

“Everyone has their own demands. There are demands from various quarters that Priyanka should come forward. There are also demands that I should enter politics. But right now, the focus should be on the real issues that concern the people of the country,” Vadra said.

He underlined that challenges such as pollution, education and employment deserve greater attention in public and political discourse.

Emphasis on brotherhood and unity

Commenting on the situation in Bangladesh, Vadra stressed the importance of harmony and communal unity, cautioning against divisive narratives.

He said that during his visits to religious places across the country, he has observed similar values and concerns among people of different faiths. According to him, unity and brotherhood should guide discussions, rather than any Hindu-Muslim divide.

“No one should be involved in divisive activities. The focus should be on serious challenges facing the country,” he added.

Domestic concerns should come first

Vadra also said that national priorities must take precedence before engaging with issues beyond India’s borders.

“First, we should focus on matters related to our own country. After that, we can look at issues concerning Bangladesh or any other nation,” he said.

Pollution needs urgent attention

Highlighting environmental concerns, Vadra said pollution in the national capital has reached alarming levels and requires immediate solutions. He noted that the issue did not receive adequate discussion during the Winter Session of Parliament.

He pointed out that Priyanka Gandhi had also intended to raise the issue of pollution in Parliament. Vadra suggested that if domestic measures fail, international cooperation could be explored to address worsening air quality.

Christmas greetings and call for peace

On the occasion of Christmas, Vadra extended greetings, saying he prayed for peace, unity and the overall well-being of the country.

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J&K cabinet clears residential plot allotment for flood-affected families

The Jammu and Kashmir cabinet has approved allotment of residential plots to families affected by floods and landslides in August and September, paving the way for rehabilitation.

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j nd k

In a significant relief measure for disaster-hit families in Jammu and Kashmir, the government has approved the allotment of residential plots to people whose homes were damaged or destroyed in floods and landslides earlier this year. The decision aims to help affected families rebuild their houses at safer locations.

The Jammu and Kashmir cabinet, led by Chief Minister Omar Abdullah, has cleared the 5 Marla residential land allotment scheme. A senior official said the proposal has been forwarded to the Lieutenant Governor for assent, marking an important step towards large-scale rehabilitation.

According to the government, the decision will cover families impacted by floods, cloudbursts and landslides that occurred during August and September across the Union Territory. Most of the damage was reported from the Jammu region, where thousands of houses were affected due to extreme weather events.

Official data shared earlier in Parliament indicated that the disasters caused widespread destruction. Around 200 people lost their lives, while more than 8,400 houses were damaged. In addition to property losses, large tracts of agricultural land were affected, and livestock losses were also reported.

A significant number of casualties occurred during religious pilgrimages. On August 14, flash floods at the Machail Yatra base camp in Chisoti area of Kishtwar district claimed over 60 lives, with several people reported missing. Another tragedy struck on August 26, when a massive landslide hit the Mata Vaishno Devi Yatra track in Katra amid heavy rainfall, killing 35 pilgrims.

Following the Katra incident, protests were held against the shrine board over the continuation of the yatra despite weather warnings. The Lieutenant Governor had ordered a probe into the landslide, directing a three-member committee to submit its report within two weeks. However, the report has not yet been made public.

While ex-gratia relief has already been provided to the families of those who lost their lives, the demand for land allotment to rebuild homes at safer locations has remained a key concern among survivors. Officials said identifying suitable land that is both safe and acceptable to local communities has been challenging.

A senior official said groundwork at the district level has largely been completed and the cabinet’s approval has paved the way for the rehabilitation process. The Centre has already sanctioned the reconstruction of 5,000 houses damaged in the floods in Jammu and Kashmir.

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