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Analysis: Bhupesh Baghel is the sole reason for Congress loss

Bhupesh Baghel ran an administration devoid of any human touch, principles or planning, rough shodding his way over every opposition within and outside based on a massive mandate obtained in 2018 which he appropriated as his own doing.

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By Neeraj Mishra

In the end, the voter understood Bhupesh Baghel’s duplicity better than us, observers, reporters and analysts. Baghel’s alms to the farmers in four instalments every year was aimed as a cover-up for his massive corruption and coercive ways. He ran an administration devoid of any human touch, principles or planning, rough shodding his way over every opposition within and outside based on a massive mandate obtained in 2018 which he appropriated as his own doing.

His discarded, embarrassed teammates grinned and bore it. Those who joined his gang (not government) prospered but have all been put to sleep by the electorate enraged at a pretentious “son of the soil” who allegedly wanted a cut in everything from Mahadev App, Excise sales, Mining to officer postings.

Baghel’s assumption that since he had fed the farmers an extra Rs 500, paid for their cow dung, and sweet-talked them about chhattisgariya pride, he had achieved an invincible position. His boasts of 75-plus seats reminded everyone of the last Congress chief minister Ajit Jogi, who had similar pretensions.

At least, Jogi worked hard and with a purpose. Incidentally, Baghel was a minister in his cabinet, foisted on him by a previous arrangement with Digvijaya Singh that his Madhya Pradesh cabinet members would be retained, always called Baghel a “ganda aadmi” (dirty man). This personal rivalry led Baghel to cancel the entire Jogi family’s ST certificate once in power, which in the end has left the beleaguered party with no national-level leadership among the tribals. He similarly chucked out his one-time benefactor Arvind Netam from the party.

Kakka means home breaker

In all family feuds over property, it’s usually the kakka (younger uncle) and his sons who ruin a family’s peace. Bhupesh, who coined the epithet Kakka for himself, and was fond of saying Kakka abhi Zinda hai, managed to drive a wedge in the Gandhi household itself.

He refused to abdicate when Rahul Gandhi asked him following his promise of 2.5 years to TS Singhdeo as CM. He instead clung on to Priyanka with unconcealed flattery who became his saviour. He even welcomed her with rose petals covering her one km path during the AICC session in Raipur in February earlier this year.

He was made in charge of Assam and Uttar Pradesh elections and Raman Singh alleged that he was Priyanka’s ATM. Many Congressmen close to Baghel even joke that he pays Priyanka’s EMI. Jokes apart, Baghel did manage to annoy Rahul and Sonia with his Priyanka shield.

ED cases in Chhattisgarh

Two IAS officers, who joined the Baghel gang, are in jail. His closest aides are incarcerated and several more have been identified by the BJP and are likely to face the music in coming days. The Congress lost 17 SC/ST seats paving the way for the BJP to grab them back. The BJP which had only 3 seats out of 39 reserved seats, now has 21. This is where the battle was lost.

Baghel’s running battle with tribal PCC president Markam and foisting of his dummy Deepak Baij just ahead of elections ended in loss for both tribal leaders.

OBC hoax

Baghel pulled wool over the eyes of the Gandhis by projecting himself as an OBC leader. The learned Gandhi siblings, of course, don’t know what or who is an OBC or whether it can be treated as a block. The BJP called his hoax of Kurmi leadership and separated the Sahus from the OBC stack.

Result, a labourer from Bemetara, Ishwar Sahu was given the ticket in Saja seat and he defeated the loathsome figure of Ravindra Chaubey, who was Baghel’s closest ally along with Mohammad Akbar in the cabinet. Both lost by margins of over 40,000 votes. It only means the voter was watching and registering everything.

Opportunity

Baghel was a leader from Durg district who clung onto bigger names like Vasudev Chandrakar and Khubchand Baghel because of his Kurmi caste. He was given the transport portfolio by Digvijaya Singh in undivided Madhya Pradesh but the department was run directly by him. He got his opportunity in Chhattisgarh because of the tragic incident of Jeeram Valley when the Naxalites shot down the entire senior leadership of Congress, from VC Shukla, Nand Kumar Patel to Mahendra Karma. Baghel and TS Singhdeo prospered because the last of the senior leaders like Satyanarain Sharma and Charandas Mahant had been sidelined by Ajit Jogi. Baghel was smart enough to then push Jogi out of the Congress once he became PCC president in 2014.

Government

In saddle, Baghel created a fear psychosis among bureaucrats. His first target as CM were Principal Secretary to Raman Singh, Aman Singh and his EOW chief Mukesh Gupta. He suspended and then terminated Gupta, filed cases against Aman Singh and Raman Singh’s son Abhishek Singh. Later, he posted pliable officers in EOW to threaten and coerce senior bureaucrats.

One of them was ADGP GP Singh, who was raided by his own EOW department, and later forced to retire. Journalists were threatened and raided, arrested and even their houses bulldozed. One of them, an ex-Aaj Tak reporter, is now behind bars with an NDPS case slapped on him because he dared to question bureaucrats close to Baghel.

If anything, Baghel’s five-year reign has proved that one needs good people and officers to run a government. He had none. Not even one. There were two people from the districts, one ex-cartoonist from a local newspaper accused of making and distributing sex CDs, one pretentious socialist-turned Congressi local editor crowned by an SDM level officer with a motor mouth.

She is now cooling her heels in ED custody but when she ran the show, abusing IAS officers was her favourite pastime. This priceless team put together a policy called-Narwa, Ghurwa, Badi—which they thought was a brilliant idea to change the lives of villagers. It didn’t change anything but culminated in the only creditable policy of Baghel sarkar in Rajiv Gandhi bonus of Rs 500 per quintal for the farmers.

But the lot enjoyed unbridled power with novice district collectors dancing to their tune and everyone from Patwari and Hawaldar to Chief Secretary to DGP collecting and paying cuts. At least that’s what the ED teams found. Those cases are now likely to gain speed.

The Dhebar chapter

The Dhebar family from Raipur became his strongest ally. It is believed they also became his book keepers. He managed to install Aijaz Dhebar as Mayor of Raipur through clever manipulation of indirect voting. In a direct vote, Aijaz, a one-time NSUI president, who would possibly have remained a corporator from a Muslim locality all his life.

This emboldened the Dhebars and they are accused of swindling the state exchequer of Rs 2000 crore by the ED. Aijaz’s elder brother was incarcerated for a year and is now out on bail but the ED cases are still on. The Congress’ wipe-out from all seven seats in Raipur district is credited to Dhebars uncontrolled loot of public funds and land. Again the electorate was watching and registering everything.

Women’s vote

If one were to pin Baghel on one single reason for the Congress’ devastating loss, it would be how he cheated women voters. It’s not the promises or enticement by the BJP, it’s the fraud perpetrated on them by Baghel that riled women voters, who outnumber male voters overall in the state.

What was the fraud? Baghel and Singhdeo had promised Prohibition as soon as they came to power but instead the whole excise department became a milch cow. The excise revenue rose from Rs 4000 crore in 2018 to Rs 8000 crore in 2022-23. An equal amount is believed to have been made illegally and shared by many every year.

It had become so bad that during the Covid years, liquor was delivered to the doorstep by government vehicles. An entire generation has been ruined by this senselessness and women folk noted this with venom in their heart against the perpetrators as they watched their homes and men folk going to waste.

Scams

There is an endless list of scams from the latest Mahadev App betting racket to coal mafia, sand mafia, mining mafia, transport mafia, PSC appointments scam, teachers recruitment scam, police promotion scam to transfer and posting deals.

All this could have been taken up by the BJP on a warfooting during elections and there were questions raised over their leaders’ intentions when it was not done over the past five years. But eventually they relied on the undercurrent of anger among women and the duplicitous nature of Bhupesh ka Bharosa to see them through.

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Amit Shah counters delimitation concerns, says southern states to gain Lok Sabha seats

Amit Shah assures Parliament that southern states will gain Lok Sabha seats after delimitation, countering opposition criticism during the women’s reservation debate.

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Amit Shah

Union Home Minister Amit Shah on Thursday addressed concerns over the proposed delimitation exercise, asserting in the Lok Sabha that southern states will not lose representation but instead see an increase in their number of seats.

His remarks came during a heated debate linked to the implementation of women’s reservation, where opposition parties have raised fears that population-based delimitation could reduce the political weight of southern states.

Shah rejected these claims, calling them misleading, and said the proposed framework ensures fairness while expanding the overall strength of the Lok Sabha.

Seat count to rise with expansion of Lok Sabha

The government has indicated that the total number of Lok Sabha seats could increase significantly as part of the delimitation process. In this expanded House, the combined representation of southern states is expected to rise from 129 seats at present to around 195 seats.

Shah emphasised that no state will lose seats in absolute terms, and the exercise is designed to reflect population changes while maintaining balance across regions.

State-wise projections shared in Parliament

During his address, Shah also provided indicative figures for individual southern states, suggesting notable increases in representation. According to the projections:

  • Tamil Nadu could see its seats rise substantially
  • Kerala, Telangana, and Andhra Pradesh are also expected to gain additional seats
  • Karnataka’s representation may increase as well

These figures were presented to counter the argument that delimitation would disproportionately favour northern states.

Political debate intensifies over linkage with women’s quota

The delimitation exercise has been closely linked to the rollout of women’s reservation, which proposes one-third seats for women in Parliament and state assemblies.

Opposition leaders have questioned this linkage, arguing that tying reservation to delimitation could delay its implementation and raise federal concerns. Some leaders have also warned that the move could impact national unity if apprehensions among states are not addressed.

The government, however, maintains that the reforms are necessary to ensure equitable representation and to align the electoral system with demographic realities.

Centre dismisses ‘false narrative’ on southern states

Shah reiterated that concerns about southern states losing influence are unfounded. He said the delimitation process will increase representation across regions and described the criticism as a “false narrative” aimed at creating confusion.

The issue is expected to remain a key flashpoint as Parliament continues discussions on the women’s reservation framework and related legislative changes.

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PM Modi assures no discrimination in women’s quota, delimitation debate intensifies in Parliament

PM Narendra Modi has assured that women’s reservation will be implemented without discrimination, amid a heated debate over delimitation in Parliament.

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PM modi

Prime Minister Narendra Modi has assured that there will be no discrimination in the implementation of women’s reservation, as Parliament witnessed a sharp debate over the proposed linkage between the quota and delimitation exercise.

During the ongoing special session, the government reiterated its commitment to ensuring fair representation while addressing concerns raised by opposition parties regarding the timing and structure of the legislation.

The proposed framework aims to reserve 33 percent of seats for women in the Lok Sabha and state assemblies. However, its implementation is tied to a fresh delimitation exercise, which is expected after the next census.

Opposition questions timing and intent

Opposition leaders have raised concerns that linking the women’s quota to delimitation could delay its implementation. They argue that the process of redrawing constituencies may push the actual rollout further into the future.

The issue has triggered a broader political confrontation, with multiple parties questioning whether the move could alter representation across states.

Some critics have also alleged that the delimitation exercise could disproportionately benefit certain regions based on population, a charge the government has rejected.

Government reiterates commitment to fair implementation

Responding to these concerns, the Centre has maintained that the reforms are necessary to ensure accurate and updated representation based on population data.

Leaders from the ruling side have repeatedly emphasized that the process will be carried out transparently and without bias. The assurance that there will be “no discrimination” is aimed at addressing fears among states and opposition parties.

The debate marks a key moment in Parliament, with both sides engaging in intense exchanges over one of the most significant electoral reforms in recent years.

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Give all tickets to Muslim women, Amit Shah says, attacking Akhilesh Yadav on sub-quota demand

A sharp exchange between Amit Shah and Akhilesh Yadav in Parliament over sub-quota for Muslim women highlights key divisions on women’s reservation implementation.

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A heated exchange broke out in Parliament during discussions on the women’s reservation framework, with Union Home Minister Amit Shah and Samajwadi Party chief Akhilesh Yadav locking horns over the demand for a sub-quota for Muslim women.

The debate unfolded as the government pushed forward key legislative measures to implement 33% reservation for women in the Lok Sabha and state assemblies.

Akhilesh Yadav argued that the proposed reservation must ensure representation for women from marginalised communities, including Other Backward Classes (OBCs) and Muslim women. He said that without such provisions, large sections could remain excluded from political participation.

He also questioned the timing of the bill, alleging that the Centre was avoiding a caste census. According to him, a census would lead to renewed demands for caste-based reservations, which the government is reluctant to address.

Government rejects religion-based quota

Responding to the demand, Amit Shah made it clear that reservation based on religion is not permitted under the Constitution.

He stated that any proposal to provide quota to Muslims on religious grounds would be unconstitutional, firmly rejecting the idea of a separate sub-quota for Muslim women within the broader reservation framework.

The government has maintained that the existing framework already includes provisions for Scheduled Castes (SC) and Scheduled Tribes (ST) women within the overall reservation structure.

Wider political divide over implementation

The issue of sub-categorisation within the women’s quota has emerged as a major flashpoint, even as most opposition parties broadly support the idea of women’s reservation.

Samajwadi Party leaders reiterated that their support for the bill depends on inclusion of OBC and minority women, while the government continues to defend its constitutional position.

The debate is part of a broader discussion during the special Parliament session, where multiple bills linked to delimitation and implementation of the women’s quota are being taken up.

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