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Iran issues warning on oil prices after Trump’s Hormuz blockade threat

Iran has warned of a sharp rise in oil prices after the US threatened to blockade the Strait of Hormuz following failed negotiations.

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Iran warning

Iran’s Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has issued a sharp warning to the United States over rising oil prices, mocking President Donald Trump’s threat to impose a naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz.

The warning comes after the US announced plans to block maritime traffic linked to Iranian ports following failed ceasefire talks in Pakistan.

Ghalibaf took to social media to highlight current fuel prices in the US, cautioning that Americans may soon “miss” them if the blockade is enforced. He suggested that the move could trigger a sharp spike in petrol costs.

‘Enjoy current fuel prices’ warning

In his post, Ghalibaf shared an image of petrol prices near the White House and wrote that consumers should enjoy current rates while they last, indicating that prices could rise significantly due to supply disruptions.

He also posted a mathematical expression — “ΔO > 0 ⇒ f(f(O)) > f(O)” — which analysts interpreted as a warning that any increase in disruption at the Strait of Hormuz could lead to a compounding surge in oil prices rather than a gradual rise.

US moves to enforce blockade

The US military has said it will begin enforcing the blockade on vessels linked to Iranian ports, covering areas across the Arabian Gulf and Gulf of Oman. The move follows the collapse of negotiations between Washington and Tehran in Islamabad, where both sides failed to reach an agreement.

Officials clarified that the blockade would apply to ships entering or leaving Iranian ports, while vessels transiting between non-Iranian ports may still be allowed passage through the Strait.

Oil prices surge amid global concerns

Global oil markets reacted sharply to the escalation. Benchmark crude prices rose above $100 per barrel, reflecting fears of supply disruption in one of the world’s most critical oil transit routes.

The Strait of Hormuz is a key global chokepoint, handling a significant share of the world’s oil supply, and any disruption there can have widespread economic consequences.

Talks fail despite ‘progress’

Iran described the talks in Pakistan as “intensive and serious,” stating that it had presented proposals showing goodwill. However, US officials indicated that Tehran did not agree to key conditions, leading to a breakdown in negotiations.

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Magnitude 7 earthquake strikes Russia’s Kamchatka Peninsula

A magnitude 7 earthquake struck Russia’s Kamchatka Peninsula region on Friday. The initial report placed the earthquake at a depth of 140 kilometres.

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earthquake-tremors

A magnitude 7 earthquake struck Russia’s Kamchatka Peninsula region on Friday, October 16, according to the European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre (EMSC).

The initial report placed the earthquake at a depth of 140 kilometres (approximately 87 miles). Details about the impact of the earthquake, including any damage or casualties, were not immediately available in the initial report.

Earthquake strikes seismically active Kamchatka region

Russia’s Kamchatka Peninsula is a seismically active region where earthquakes occur because of tectonic activity.

The latest earthquake was reported by the EMSC, which provided the initial magnitude and depth estimates. Further information about the situation on the ground was not available in the initial report.

What is known so far

  • Location: Kamchatka Peninsula region, Russia
  • Magnitude: 7.0
  • Date: Friday, October 16, 2026
  • Reported depth: 140 kilometres
  • Casualties and damage: Not provided in the initial report

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S Jaishankar says India is a natural option for Russia amid Europe tensions

External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar said India remained a natural option for Russia as Moscow increasingly turned towards Asia amid strained relations with Europe. He highlighted the continuity of India-Russia ties and their significance for the balance of power in Asia.

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External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar has described India as a natural option for Russia as Moscow increasingly looks towards Asia amid deteriorating relations with Europe. He said India’s longstanding relationship with Russia had remained steady despite significant changes in the international strategic landscape.

Jaishankar made the remarks during a conversation with John Micklethwait, editor-in-chief of the Bloomberg New Economy Forum. He discussed how the Russia-Ukraine war had affected Moscow’s relationship with Europe and contributed to Russia’s growing focus on Asia.

Jaishankar highlights Russia’s shift towards Asia

Jaishankar said Russia’s relationship with Europe had become deeply strained following the Ukraine war. He noted that Russia had historically viewed itself as a European country and placed considerable importance on its relations with Europe and the United States.

However, the conflict had pushed Moscow to look increasingly towards Asia,with much of that shift directed towards China.

The minister said it was in India’s interest, as well as the wider world’s interest, for Russia to maintain multiple relationships in Asia rather than having its options concentrated in one direction.

Against this backdrop, he described India as a natural partner for Russia, pointing to the longstanding nature of the relationship between the two countries.

India-Russia ties remain steady despite global changes

Jaishankar said India and Russia had maintained a consistent relationship over several decades. He emphasised that New Delhi continued to engage with Moscow even as the global order and Russia’s strategic calculations evolved.

According to the minister, India was reassuring Russia that the relationship built over nearly eight decades remained steady despite the changes in Moscow’s relations with Europe and the wider West.

He stressed that India was not passing a value judgment on those changes but was continuing its bilateral engagement with Russia.

Jaishankar said the relationship had benefited both countries and contributed to the balance of power and the broader status quo in Asia. 

Why the relationship matters for Asia

Jaishankar’s remarks highlighted India’s position in Russia’s changing regional outlook. As Moscow increasingly turns towards Asia, India continues to maintain its longstanding ties with Russia while navigating a changing international environment.

The minister’s comments underscored the importance he placed on preserving India-Russia ties and ensuring that Russia maintained multiple relationships in Asia. 

His assessment came against the backdrop of strained Russia-Europe relations following the war in Ukraine, which has reshaped Moscow’s engagement with Western countries and increased its focus on Asian partners.

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Putin praises PM Modi, says he has very good ideas on Ukraine war

Russian President Vladimir Putin has praised Prime Minister Narendra Modi for repeatedly raising the need to end the Ukraine war, describing his ideas for a settlement as “very good”.

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Vladimir Putin

Russian President Vladimir Putin has praised Prime Minister Narendra Modi for his continued efforts to promote an end to the Russia-Ukraine war, saying the Indian leader has “very good ideas” aimed at finding a mutually acceptable solution.

Putin made the remarks while addressing the Valdai Forum of international Russia experts, where he spoke about Modi’s repeated efforts to raise the issue of ending the conflict.

What Putin said about PM Modi

Putin said Modi has continued to raise the question of ending the conflict despite the close and friendly relationship between India and Russia.

According to Putin, the Prime Minister has shown a strong interest in finding a solution and has ideas that could help identify mutually acceptable ways to resolve the conflict.

Putin also described India’s position as neutral while highlighting Modi’s interest in bringing the conflict to an end through peaceful means.

The Russian president expressed gratitude to Modi for his ideas and his desire to see the conflict end as soon as possible.

Modi’s position on the Ukraine war

PM Modi has repeatedly called for dialogue and diplomacy to resolve conflicts, including during his meetings with Putin.

During their September 11 meeting in New Delhi, Modi reiterated that dialogue and diplomacy are the way forward for resolving conflicts.

Modi had also told Putin during their meeting on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in Bishkek that the situation needed to move from “endless war” towards an end to the war.

India has consistently maintained that conflicts should be addressed through dialogue and peaceful means, with Modi previously describing the present period as not being an era of war.

The Russia-Ukraine conflict began in February 2022 and has continued despite repeated diplomatic efforts to seek a resolution.

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