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Swiss Banks at the Losing End with Flight of Offshore Accounts

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Swiss National Bank

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]~Rashme Sehgal

There has been a large flight of capital from Swiss banks even prior to the introduction of the Automatic Exchange of Common Information (AECI) from 2018 signed by over 50 countries who are members of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Developments (OECD).

The Swiss banking system has paid a heavy price for handling these unaccounted for offshore deposits especially since several of the smaller Swiss banks had specialised in handling such deposits. The blanket of secrecy surrounding Swiss banking transactions had ensured could they look after deposits of largely unaccounted wealth from well-heeled clients across the globe including India. But this is not going to be the case any longer.

Pressure on the Swiss government to provide details of all account holders has resulted in the outflow of millions of dollars of deposits from these banks thereby causing many of the smaller Swiss banks to shut shop. One such high profile Swiss bank that was forced to file for bankruptcy was Hottinger and Cie which was founded in 1786.

A KPMG study showed that 30 per cent of private banks had recorded losses in 2014-15 which resulted in several thousand bankers being laid off from their jobs.

“The smaller private banks dealing with off shore accounts posted huge losses and the result was that bankers handling these account lost their jobs under the restructuring process,” pointed out Louis Tari, a Geneva-based banking and tax advisor.

“With the introduction of the AECI, information of all non-Swiss residents belonging to the OECD countries will be automatically sent to the federal tax authorities in Berne who in turn will despatch this information to the relevant countries. The authorities in these countries can in turn check if the account holder has declared his income or not,” Tari added.

Zurich based banker Hanspeter Baumgartner pointed out, “What is very significant is that Swiss banks have frozen all accounts of account holders with ‘black’ money informing these holders that they should either regularise their account in their country or else their asset will be frozen. The flip side is that Swiss nationals who had accounts in the Bahamas or in Panama have had to declare their accounts.”

“This has seen an influx of francs into Switzerland but the amount is not very large,” Baumgartner added.

The amount of money of Indian national in Swiss banks has been steadily declining and in 2016 amounted to a mere Rs 4482 crore according to data released by Switzerland’s central bank, the Swiss National  Bank. In 2015, the money deposed was Rs 8135 crore while in 2014 it was Rs 12,350 crore.

The figures being projected by the Indian government that billions of dollars had been stashed in Swiss banks by Indian citizens was largely overstated, analysts believe, as Switzerland never saw such massive deposits from any country.

Nathalie Bersier, a lawyer who works as a consultant for Swiss investments in India, said, “From 2009,  the Indian government has been highlighting the issue of black money without realising that the easiest thing to do  is for a client to close a bank account and transfer the money out. Such a flight of capital has already occurred.”

Bersier believes, “In Switzerland, two years ago the perception was that Indian assets were between $ 900 million to $4 billion. Today I would say, the amount would be less than even $900 million.”

“More than half the undeclared money from India that was stashed in Swiss banks has been moved to Dubai and Singapore from where it would have been invested in real estate, gold or re-entered India through the hawala route,” Bersier maintains.

Former Swiss state secretary for International Financial Matters Jacques de Watteville who had visited India in 2016 to negotiate with his counterparts in the Ministry of Finance had refused to hazard a guess about just how much money has been moved out of Swiss banks to be invested in Dubai or Singapore. “There are no official figures on the assets transferred out of Switzerland,” says Watteville.

While in India he had emphasised that, “Combating the menace of black money and tax evasion is also our shared priority. We discussed the need for an early and expeditious exchange of information to bring to justice the tax offenders.”

Many Indian analysts believe some of this money has been routed to the US with the US government actively encouraging foreigners to deposit money in US banks, no questions asked. Some US states and cities have emerged as veritable tax havens. 

South Dakota, to cite an example, has been described by some analysts as the ‘new Switzerland’ and mention of its role as a tax haven was emphasised in the Panama Papers which highlighted that US offshore assets remain anonymous.

The city of Delaware is also said to be another tax haven with over one million registered entities claiming to operate from there.

The fact is that while international disclosure rules comprising the AECI  have been accepted  by the OECD countries, thhe US has refused to accept them and is not a signatory to it. The US NGO Tax Justice Network has pointed out how the US does not practise what it preaches.

In fact, a Swiss financial analyst on condition of anonymity, has accused the US of having crushed Swiss banks. Since trusts can operate as shell companies in some US states, it is ironical that a Swiss trust company has gone ahead and opened an office in South Dakota. The analyst feels that some of the flight of capital from Switzerland has ended up in the US.

This is because while non-US banks and financial institutions across the world have to reveal American account details, this is not the case with US deposits by offshore account holders.

Bersier does not see too much emerging from the Federal Council consultations with the Indian government on the need to detect, recover and repatriate illegal deposits.

“The key issue is what pressure the Indian government can exert on the Swiss government,” says Bersier. “The US threatened to close all Swiss banks operating in the US which led to the Swiss immediately signing a treaty with the US and UK. There are no Swiss banks operating in India.”

On the subject of the AEOI Information between the Swiss and Indian governments expected to be operationalised by 2018, she remains equally cynical.

Erecting the AEOI platform is all very well, she feels, but it is too little too late. Berseir believes that by the time it becomes operational, all the illegal deposits will have been moved out. There are any number of countries where this money can be moved to.

While some signatories of the AEOI are committed to sharing information from 2017, others will start providing information from 2018. Till then, we have to wait and watch.[/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]

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Pakistan faces domestic backlash after India secures lower tariffs in US trade deal

India’s US trade agreement has sparked criticism in Pakistan after Islamabad ended up with higher tariffs despite sustained outreach to Washington.

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PM Shehbaz Sharif

India’s recently concluded trade agreement with the United States has triggered strong domestic criticism in Pakistan, where opposition leaders, journalists and commentators are questioning Islamabad’s diplomatic strategy after the country ended up with higher tariffs than India.

Under the agreement announced on February 2, US tariffs on Indian exports have been set at 18 per cent, while Pakistani goods will face a 19 per cent rate. The outcome has drawn sharp reactions in Pakistan, especially given what critics describe as sustained efforts by its leadership to engage Washington in recent months.

New Delhi, by contrast, is widely seen as having resisted pressure from US President Donald Trump and negotiated from a position of economic leverage rather than personal diplomacy.

Social media reactions highlight public anger

Following the announcement, Trump shared images related to India, including India Gate and a magazine cover featuring Prime Minister Narendra Modi alongside himself, before confirming the revised tariff rate for Indian goods. The optics did not go unnoticed in Pakistan, where social media users questioned why India secured better terms without overt displays of political deference.

One widely circulated post by Pakistan-based X user Umar Ali used sharp language and imagery to criticise Pakistan’s approach, reflecting growing frustration among sections of the public over what they see as an unequal outcome despite extensive outreach efforts.

Opposition leaders question foreign policy approach

Former Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf minister Hammad Azhar described the outcome as a failure of strategy rather than circumstance. He argued that modern foreign policy depends on economic strength, market access and tariffs, not symbolic gestures or personal relationships, pointing to India’s recent trade agreements with both the US and the European Union as examples.

Other opposition figures echoed similar views, saying India negotiated with “strategic autonomy” while Pakistan relied too heavily on personal engagement with US leadership.

Journalists warn of economic consequences

Journalists in Pakistan also weighed in, warning that the tariff decision could deepen the country’s existing economic challenges. Concerns were raised about declining exports, falling foreign investment and reduced bargaining power on the global stage.

Commentator Imran Riaz Khan criticised what he termed a failed lobbying strategy, arguing that symbolic gestures cannot replace economic leverage in international negotiations. Digital creator Wajahat Khan similarly framed the outcome as a reflection of unequal negotiating positions, stating that India approached the talks as a partner, while Pakistan did not.

India’s trade deals expected to boost exports

India’s back-to-back trade agreements with the European Union and the United States are expected to provide a significant boost to exports. Estimates suggest these deals could add up to $150 billion in exports over the next decade, strengthening India’s economic standing and reinforcing its negotiating position in future global trade talks.

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New Delhi free to buy oil from any source, Russia says amid US deal claims

Russia has said India is free to purchase oil from any country, dismissing claims that New Delhi has agreed to stop buying Russian crude under a US trade deal.

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New Delhi free to buy oil from any source, Russia says amid US deal claims

Russia has said that India is free to purchase crude oil from any country, responding to claims by US President Donald Trump that New Delhi has agreed to stop buying Russian oil as part of a recent trade deal with Washington.

The Kremlin said Russia is not India’s only energy supplier and noted that India has long sourced crude oil from multiple countries. It added that there is nothing new in India’s efforts to diversify its oil imports.

Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said that energy experts are well aware that India purchases oil and petroleum products from various global suppliers. He added that Moscow does not see any change in India’s approach to sourcing crude.

No official word from India on halting imports

A day earlier, Peskov said Russia has not received any official statement from India regarding the cessation of Russian oil purchases. Russia’s Foreign Ministry echoed the view, saying the hydrocarbon trade between the two countries remains mutually beneficial.

Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova said India’s purchase of Russian hydrocarbons contributes to stability in the global energy market and that Moscow remains ready to continue close cooperation with New Delhi in the energy sector.

Russian media also noted that, unlike the US president, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has not made any public statement indicating an agreement to stop Russian oil imports.

India’s oil imports from Russia

India has continued to import Russian crude even after the US imposed tariffs on Indian goods. According to global trade data provider Kpler, India has been importing around 1.5 million barrels of Russian crude per day, making it the second-largest buyer of Russian oil and accounting for more than one-third of India’s total crude imports.

India buys about 88 per cent of its crude oil needs from overseas, with roughly one-third sourced from Russia. At its peak, imports from Russia crossed 2 million barrels per day, before falling to around 1.3 million barrels per day in December. The volume is expected to remain broadly stable in the near term.

However, imports declined further to about 1.1 million barrels per day in the first three weeks of January following higher tariffs imposed by the US, including levies linked to purchases of Russian energy.

Complete switch unlikely, experts say

Energy experts believe Indian refiners cannot fully replace Russian crude with American oil. Igor Yushkov of the National Energy Security Fund said US shale oil is lighter in grade, while Russian Urals crude is heavier and contains more sulphur.

He explained that replacing Russian oil would require blending different grades, increasing costs for refiners. He added that the US is unlikely to be able to supply the volume currently exported by Russia to India.

Yushkov also recalled that when Russia redirected its oil exports from Western markets to India in 2022, it reduced production by about one million barrels per day, contributing to a sharp rise in global oil prices and record fuel prices in the US.

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Moscow says no word from India on stopping Russian oil purchases

Russia says it has received no confirmation from India on stopping Russian oil purchases, despite Donald Trump’s claim that the move was part of a new India-US trade deal.

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Vladimir Putin

The Kremlin on Tuesday said it has not received any official communication from India regarding a halt in Russian oil purchases, following claims by US President Donald Trump that New Delhi had agreed to stop buying Russian crude as part of a trade agreement with Washington.

Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov told reporters that Moscow had not heard any confirmation from Indian authorities on the matter.

“So far, we haven’t heard any statements from New Delhi on this matter,” Peskov said, responding to Trump’s remarks linking reduced US tariffs on Indian goods to an alleged commitment by India to end Russian oil imports.

Russia stresses importance of ties with India

Peskov said Russia respects bilateral relations between India and the United States but underlined the strategic importance of ties between Moscow and New Delhi.

“We respect bilateral US-Indian relations,” he said, adding that Russia places equal importance on its strategic partnership with India.
“This is the most important thing for us, and we intend to further develop our bilateral relations with Delhi.”

What Trump claimed

Trump announced the India-US trade deal on Monday, stating that tariffs on Indian goods had been reduced from 50 per cent to 18 per cent. He claimed the reduction was linked to India agreeing to stop purchasing Russian oil.

According to Trump, India would instead buy more oil from the United States and potentially from Venezuela. He also suggested that the move would help bring an end to the war in Ukraine.

“He agreed to stop buying Russian oil and to buy much more from the United States and, potentially, Venezuela,” Trump said, referring to Prime Minister Narendra Modi.

India’s reliance on Russian crude

India has emerged as one of the largest buyers of Russian crude since the start of the Ukraine conflict. It currently imports around 1.5 million barrels of Russian oil per day, accounting for more than one-third of its total oil imports, according to global trade data.

India is the second-largest purchaser of Russian crude globally. Even after earlier US tariff measures on Indian goods, New Delhi continued its Russian oil imports, citing energy security concerns.

The Indian government has consistently maintained that securing affordable energy supplies is critical, given the country’s heavy dependence on oil imports.

Shift in energy ties after Ukraine war

Historically, India’s relationship with Russia was centred more on defence cooperation than energy trade, with Russia supplying a majority of India’s military equipment while contributing only a small share of its oil imports.

After the invasion of Ukraine, India significantly increased purchases of discounted Russian oil. The move helped India boost energy supplies while providing Russia with much-needed revenue amid Western sanctions.

As recently as December 2025, Russian President Vladimir Putin said during a visit to New Delhi that Moscow was ready to ensure uninterrupted fuel supplies to India despite pressure from the United States.

Earlier US push for Indian energy imports

Trump had earlier said, following a meeting with Prime Minister Modi in February last year, that India would begin buying more American oil and natural gas. However, those discussions did not lead to a major shift in India’s energy sourcing.

Subsequent US tariff measures also failed to significantly alter India’s stance on Russian oil imports.

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