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Reliance Jio’s hyper-aggression scorches competition

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Reliance Jio’s hyper-aggression scorches competition

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Market analysts predict fall in revenues in telecom sector

By Sindhu Bhattacharya

Reliance Jio Infocomm is living up to the hype surrounding its arrival, having ‘primed’ competition to offer unbelievably low priced data packs over the weekend. Remember, though RJio has said its services will become commercial from April 1, after a six-month free run, it has priced these services dirt cheap and is driving membership of ‘Prime’ aggressively before March ends. This combination of low-priced data packs and Jio Prime membership drive is already killing the telecom industry.

On Sunday, Paytm chief Vijay Shekhar Sharma started a thread where he sought additional data from market leader Bharti Airtel on Twitter. He began by seeking more information about the Rs 549 plan that offers 1 GB data limit every day. Sharma said he called up Airtel customer care and got 60 GB per month data use option in place of current 15 GB monthly usage limit on Rs 2,999 plan.

Though many among the Twitterati panned him saying there was no need to continue paying Rs 2,999 despite increased data usage, Sharma’s thread spurred countless mobile phone users to also seek higher data usage from their respective service providers. Meanwhile, RJio snatched this opportunity and said on twitter that it would offer him 56 GB mobile broadband plan for just Rs 499, which Sharma obviously accepted. It is entirely possible that Bharti will now try and retain Sharma’s connection by offering him matching plans offline, but the point really is that RJio is changing tariff dynamics of the industry and everyone will have to suffer a cut in revenues due to this.

Rajiv Sharma and Darpan Thakkar of HSBC Global Research said in a note to clients that despite RJio beginning commercial operations from April, “We see sector revenues declining in FY18 by 6% as Average Revenue Per User (ARPUs) for the mid- to high-end of the subscriber base with incumbent telcos may get reset to significantly lower levels. The revenue decline may be bigger for the sector if termination rates were to decline meaningfully, as this may add to the ongoing tariff wars the sector currently faces.” Remember, the industry has already seen a similar 6% decline in revenues in the third quarter, when RJio services were free.

In fact, Edelwiess analysts Sandip Agarwal and Pranav Kshatriya had another warning for the embattled telecom industry: they expect RJIO to venture into feature phone segment with aggressive voice offering which will drive down voice realisations, leading to revenue headwinds. So not only is cheap data fast becoming a headache for the leading telcos Bharti, Idea Cellular and Vodafone India, even voice realisations may fall in the near future.

According to this piece, RJio is offering two key monthly plans at Rs 499 and Rs 303, with 28 days of validity each. Apart from basic offerings, the 4G data available to a non-Prime user in the Rs 499 plan is 5GB for 28 days without any daily cap. But Prime members will get 2GB of 4G data every day, which means 56GB in 28 days. The Rs 303 Plan offers 2.5GB 4G data to non-Prime users, valid for 28 days, while Prime users will receive 1GB 4G data every day for 28 days. It is obvious that with such generous data offers, competition to RJio also needs to loosen its purse strings.

RJio is in a hurry to gain market share and this is evident from presentation it gave to analysts on Friday. Sample this: RJio is targeting 50% market share, in a market 50% larger and an Ebitda margin of 50% by 2021. This means it is eying $22 billion revenue and $11billion Ebitda within the next four years. Obviously then, it must wean away customers from competition to achieve such ambitious targets. But are the RJio targets realistic?

Analysts of IIFL Institutional Equities said in a note to clients that RJIO’s Prime membership will threaten industry revenue growth over the next six months.  They also quoted the company’s presentation to say “R JIO thinks that in its 1GB/day Prime plan at Rs303 for 28 days, effective yield will be Rs30/GB and it will go up to Rs50/GB in six months and will be higher in regular packs. We think RJIO has overestimated industry revenue and its revenue market share, and it has underestimated the capability of competition to raise their data capacity.”

Whether Rjio achieves its ambitious medium term targets of market share etc remains to be seen. But in the immediate future, competition cannot afford to sit over RJIo’s unmatched aggression. In these telecom wars, the only beneficiary for now seems to be the Indian phone user.[/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]

India News

Modi says right time to invest in Indian shipping sector; meets global CEOs

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Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Wednesday exhorted global investors to take bets on the Indian shipping sector, pointing out that this is the “right time” for such a move.

The Prime Minister also met a select chief executives of global majors, including DP World and APM, at a specially convened meeting on the sidelines of the India Maritime Week 2025 held here.

“For all of you hailing from different countries, this is the right time to work in the Indian shipping sector and also expand (your presence),” Modi said during a public address before the closed-door meeting with CEOs.

Modi listed several targets being chased by India in the maritime sector over the next few years, and underlined the importance of the global community in the same.

“You all are an important partner who will help us achieve all our aims. We welcome your ideas, innovations and investments,” Modi said.

He said that India allows 100 per cent foreign direct investment in the shipping and ports sector, and also provides incentives under the “Make In India, and Make For The World” vision.

Addressing an audience, including leaders of various companies, the Prime Minister affirmed India’s commitment to strengthening the supply chain resilience at a global level.

He also said that India is engaged in creating world-class mega ports, and cited the work undertaken on the Vadhavan Port to the north of the financial capital, which entered the top-10 firms in the world on the first day.

The government is also looking to grow the capacity at 12 major ports by four times and increase India’s share in containerised cargo at the global level.

Later, Modi held a meeting with top CEOs of shipping sector companies from across the world.

As per people in the know, he met AP Moller-Maersk Chairman Robert Maersk Uggla, DP World Group Chairman Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem, Mediterranean Shipping Company Chief Executive Soren Toft, Adani Ports and SEZ Managing Director Karan Adani and French company CMA-CGM’s Senior Vice President Ludovic Renou.

The participation from over 85 countries in the IMW sends a strong message, Modi said, noting the presence of CEOs of major shipping giants, startups, policymakers, and innovators at the event.

The Prime Minister also thanked Port of Singapore (PSA) for the nearly Rs 8,000 crore investment in the Jawaharlal Nehru Port Authority’s fourth terminal, pointing out that this is also the largest FDI in the port sector in India.

Modi said more than 150 new initiatives have been launched under the ‘Maritime India Vision’, resulting in nearly doubling the capacity of major ports, a substantial reduction in turnaround time, and a new momentum in cruise tourism.

—PTI

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Economy news

ITR filing last date today: What taxpayers must know about penalties and delays

The deadline for ITR filing ends today, September 15. Missing it may lead to penalties, interest charges, refund delays, and loss of tax benefits.

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Income Tax Return

The deadline to file Income Tax Returns (ITR) for most taxpayers, including salaried individuals, pensioners, and small businesses not requiring audit, ends today, September 15. Those who miss the due date face penalties, interest charges, and loss of certain tax benefits.

Penalties for late filing

If the return is not filed by the deadline, taxpayers can still file a belated return until December 31. However, under Section 234F of the Income Tax Act, late filing attracts penalties.

  • For income up to Rs5 lakh: penalty is capped at Rs1,000.
  • For income above Rs5 lakh: penalty increases to Rs5,000.

Additionally, if any tax remains unpaid, Section 234A imposes an interest of 1% per month (or part thereof) until the return is filed.

Consequences of missing deadline

  • Loss of certain tax benefits: Belated filers cannot carry forward specific losses such as business or capital losses.
  • Restrictions on tax regime change: Taxpayers lose the option to switch between old and new tax regimes after the deadline.
  • Refund delays: Those eligible for refunds will face delays compared to timely filers.

Steps to file before time runs out

  • Gather documents: Form 16, Form 26AS, Annual Information Statement (AIS), bank interest certificates, and proofs of investments or deductions.
  • Use the e-filing portal: File immediately to avoid last-minute portal congestion.
  • Verify your return: Ensure the ITR is verified electronically or physically for it to be considered valid.

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Economy news

India’s GDP surges 7.8% in Q1, outpaces estimates and China

India’s GDP surged 7.8% in Q1 2025-26, the highest in five quarters, driven by strong services and agriculture sector growth, according to NSO data.

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GDP Growth

India’s economy recorded a sharp growth of 7.8% in the April-June quarter (Q1) of 2025-26, surpassing the earlier estimate of 6.5% and outpacing China’s 5.2% growth in the same period. The figure also marks a notable rise from the 6.5% growth in the corresponding quarter last year, making it the fastest expansion in the last five quarters.

Strong performance across key sectors

According to data released by the National Statistical Office (NSO), the surge was driven primarily by the services sector, which expanded 9.3% compared to 6.8% a year ago, and the agriculture sector, which rose 3.7% against 1.5% last year.

The construction sector, however, witnessed a slowdown, growing 7.6% compared to 10.1% in the same quarter of the previous fiscal.

RBI’s earlier forecast

Earlier this month, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) had projected a more modest Q1 growth of 6.5%, with overall real GDP growth for 2025-26 expected at 6.5%. RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra attributed the positive outlook to favorable conditions, including a good monsoon, lower inflation, and strong government capital expenditure.

He said, “The above normal southwest monsoon, lower inflation, rising capacity utilisation and congenial financial conditions continue to support domestic economic activity. The supportive monetary, regulatory and fiscal policies, including robust government capital expenditure, should also boost demand. The services sector is expected to remain buoyant, with sustained growth in construction and trade in the coming months.”

India remains fastest-growing major economy

With China reporting 5.2% growth in April-June, India has retained its position as the world’s fastest-growing major economy. The latest figures highlight resilience in the face of external pressures, including recent US tariffs on Indian imports.

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