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Telenor exit may portend trend

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Telenor exit may portend trend

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]No longer wise to wait for valuations to rise before selling out; market reset likely to yield three main players

By Sindhu Bhattacharya

The valuation at which Norwegian telecom operator Telenor agreed to sell off its Indian operations to Bharti Airtel last week reveals a lot more besides just the seller’s desperation to cut losses and run. It shows why all other small telecom operators still braving it out in the world’s second largest telecom market may need to also hasten their exits.

This is no longer a game for the weak hearted, and as the Telenor deal shows, it is also no longer wise to wait for valuations to rise before the small guys start thinking of selling out. Yes, the changed telecom market reality has partly been engineered by the arrival of Reliance Jio Infocomm last September in an already crowded market. Another reason could also be the abundant spectrum availability for major telcos after the last round of auctions which has cooled the appetite of big operators to pay any premium to acquire the smaller rivals. Telenor did well to absorb its losses and exit while there was still a taker. And Bharti has gained not just in money terms but also by stocking up on spectrum for future wars with RJio on the data front.

According to analysts, the Bharti-Telenor deal was concluded at just about Rs 2,000 crore when they were expecting the deal size to be up to four times more for Bharti to acquire Telenor’s spectrum, customers and employees. Telenor had said while announcing the deal that Bharti would only acquire outstanding spectrum payments and other operational contracts including tower lease, which led analysts to conclude that Bharti will invest just Rs 2,000 crore in the deal.

Analysts from brokerage Motilal Oswal said in a note to clients this morning that after the recently-concluded auction, there were limited takers for incremental spectrum in the market. This made it difficult for Telenor to get any premium whatsoever for its significant spectrum holding in some of India’s most populous telecom circles.  Given the impending merger of number two and three telecom operators, Vodafone and Idea Cellular; the already inked RJio-RCom spectrum sharing terms; and the fact that no sizeable operator was willing to take its spectrum, Telenor was anyway left with limited options. This may have led to the low valuation in its deal with Bharti. The bottomline is that the deal worked in Bharti’s favour because it came so cheap.

These analysts further said that at a potential investment of about Rs 2,000 crore for Bharti, generating operating cash flow of Rs 32,000 crore and net debt of Rs 102,000 crore, “the investment would add hardly 2% to net debt, which would be offset by the EBITDA contribution from the merger.”

Also read: Telenor’s painful exit and the writing on the wall

This piece points out that as consolidation has picked up pace in India’s telecom market, sellers are settling for lower and lower valuations. “Telenor even settled for nothing, despite having 44 million customers and nearly Rs 5,000 crore in annual revenues; leave alone the value of its spectrum.”

The Motilal analysts quoted earlier said the Bharti-Telenor deal bolsters Bharti’s defence against RJio. While the incremental spectrum Bharti gets as part of this deal may not be presently required, given the large-scale data traffic on RJio’s network, holding high quantum of spectrum would allow Bharti to compete with RJio in a fixed-cost-driven market. “We believe Bharti’s strategy to remain ahead of the curve in data-rich spectrum investments should hold it in good stead”.

Not just the Bharti-Telenor deal, smaller telcos need to also take a lesson from other M&As being lined up. Already, the number two and three telecom operators in India. Vodafone and Idea Cellular, are in merger talks. If this merger happens, then the merged entity and Bharti will together control over 70% of India’s telecom market share by revenue. This obviously spells doom for remaining small players. Industry estimates peg post-merger market share for Tata Teleservices at 6.5%, BSNL and MTNL combine at 5%, Aircel at 5.7% and Sistema at 4%. Reliance Communications (RComm) is estimated to be close to Sistema’s share at 4.2%.

Also read: Vodafone, Idea merger plans leave Tata Tele in a fix

The market has space for four or at best five strong operators to play. Any more and it will become a very uneven playing field. Already, RJio’s freebies have spurred others to enter a bruising price war. As RJio’s commercial launch nears its April one deadline, competitors like Bharti and Vodafone will start offering competing plans – RJIo has promised voice calls for free and no charges for national roaming and there are already indications that at least Bharti will match these offers.

Also read: Tata in early talks to join RCom-Aircel-MTS combine to take on Jio

This piece speaks of a possible merger of Tata Teleservices with the RComm, Aircel, MTS combine and goes on to say that such a move could create a strong number three telco behind the proposed Vodafone-Idea combine and Bharti Airtel.[/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]

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Google reduces 10% of managerial staff to enhance efficiency and ‘Googleyness’

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Google has pruned its managerial workforce, reducing it by 10% in a move aimed at streamlining operations and redefining its corporate culture in a year-long push. This pruning, part of a broader efficiency drive, includes a 10% cut at manager, director, and vice president levels.

Reports indicate that during an all-hands meeting, CEO Sundar Pichai outlined the rationale behind the decision, emphasizing the need for efficiency and redefining the company’s core values, often referred to as “Googleyness.”

A Google spokesperson revealed that some affected employees would transition to individual contributor roles, while others faced role eliminations. These adjustments come amidst growing challenges in the tech industry, particularly with rapid developments in artificial intelligence (AI) and fierce competition from rivals like OpenAI.

The AI race and Google’s response

The tech giant has recently intensified its focus on AI innovations, unveiling Gemini 2.0, its most advanced AI model yet. Sundar Pichai described the new model as heralding a “new agentic era” in which AI systems are designed to comprehend and make decisions about the world.

This announcement boosted Google’s stock, which surged by over 4% following the news, a day after a 3.5% increase attributed to breakthroughs in its quantum chip technology.

Previous layoffs in 2024

The latest layoffs mark Google’s fourth round of job cuts in 2024. Earlier in January, Google eliminated several hundred positions in its global advertisements team. In June, its cloud unit also saw workforce reductions. By January of this year, Google had already cut 12,000 roles, equivalent to 6.4% of its global workforce.

In a letter addressed to employees during the earlier layoffs, Pichai took responsibility for the decisions, stating that the company had experienced dramatic growth that required adjustments to sustain operations. Despite efforts, he acknowledged the process could have been managed better.

Redefining ‘Googleyness’

At the same meeting, Pichai stressed the need to revisit and reshape the concept of “Googleyness.” This term, often used to define the company’s unique culture and hiring philosophy, will now play a pivotal role in transforming corporate dynamics to adapt to new challenges.

The adjustments highlight Google’s commitment to staying competitive while reshaping its operational framework to remain aligned with its long-term vision.

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Zomato introduces Food Rescue feature

“We don’t encourage order cancellation at Zomato, because it leads to a tremendous amount of food wastage,” he said.

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Zomato has introduced a new feature called Food Rescue to minimise food wastage, announced the food delivery platform CEO Deepinder Goyal on Sunday.

Announcing the new feature on X, Goyal said the decision, to introduce the new feature, was taken to prevent the tremendous amount of food wastage due to order cancellation on the platform.

Committed to minimising food wastage, the Zomato boss said: “We don’t encourage order cancellation at Zomato, because it leads to a tremendous amount of food wastage.”

Goyal said despite having stringent policies, and a no-refund policy for cancellations, more than 4 lakh perfectly good orders get cancelled, for various reasons by customers.

He said the top concern for the online food delivery platform, the restaurant industry, and even the customers who cancel these orders, is to somehow save the food from going to waste.

With the launch of the new feature, Food Rescue, cancelled orders will now pop up for nearby customers, who can grab them at an unbeatable price, in their original untampered packaging, and receive them in just minutes.

According to Zomato, the cancelled order will pop up on the app for customers within a 3 km radius of the delivery partner carrying the order. To ensure freshness, the option to claim will only be available for a few minutes.

The online food delivery platform will not keep any proceeds except the required government taxes and the amount paid by the new customer will be shared with the original customer (if they made payment online) and with the restaurant partner.

Orders containing items sensitive to distances or temperature such as ice creams, shakes, smoothies, and certain perishable items, will not be eligible for Food Rescue.

Restaurant partners will continue to receive compensation for the original cancelled order, plus a portion of the amount paid by the new customer if the order is claimed, the company said. “Most restaurants have opted in for this feature, and can opt of it easily whenever they want, directly from their control panels,” it added.

The delivery partners will be compensated fully for the entire trip, from the initial pickup to the final drop-off at the new customer’s location, it said.

Food Rescue will show up on the customers’ home page automatically if there’s a cancelled order available for them to grab. The Customers have to refresh the home page to check for any newly available orders which need to be rescued.

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Adani, Torrent compete to purchase Gujarat Titans from CVC Capital

The probable sale of the Gujarat Titans, with the lock-in period coming to a close, will therefore be a defining moment in the changing face of IPL investments.

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The Adani Group and Torrent Group are currently negotiating a deal with private equity firm CVC Capital Partners to offload a controlling stake in the Indian Premier League franchise Gujarat Titans. According to sources, close to the development, reports say CVC Capital Partners will be looking to sell a majority interest while retaining a minority share in the franchise.

This becomes important because it is aligned with the end of the lock-in period by the Board of Control for Cricket in India (BCCI), which restricts any new teams from selling stakes until February 2025. The three-year-old franchise Gujarat Titans is reportedly worth $1 billion to $1.5 billion. CVC Capital Partners had paid ₹5,625 crore for the franchise in 2021.

A source close to the development pointed out that IPL franchises have attracted many investors’ interest since the league has proved an asset with a good reputation for money-making capabilities and cash flows. This growing interest of investors embodies the financial value and stability that come with the IPL franchises.

Gautam Adani, who owns teams in the Women’s Premier League and UAE-based International League T20, is understood to be one of the serious buyers. In 2023, Adani’s group won the Ahmedabad franchise in the WPL with a bid of Rs1,289 crore, the highest offer. His interests in this potential deal signal his commitment to expanding his footprint in the cricketing world.

Arvinder Singh, COO of Gujarat Titans, exuded confidence in the financial future of the franchise. He said the team was confident of turning profitable in the next media rights cycle, referring to even the original ten IPL franchises that took four to five years to turn profitable. He added confidently that the Gujarat Titans would not only turn profitable but significantly enhance in brand value.
 
This surging interest of investors in it is evidence of the growing financial attractiveness of IPL franchises, driven by healthy revenue streams and an increasing global footprint. The probable sale of the Gujarat Titans, with the lock-in period coming to a close, will therefore be a defining moment in the changing face of IPL investments.

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