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The Jio effect

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Reliance Jio chairman Mukhesh Ambani announces the extension of its free 4G services till March 31 under the Happy New Year Plan in Mumbai in December

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]With its subscriber base crossing 100 million and their data usage close to that of the US, plus a fresh offer of sharply discounted prices, Mukesh Ambani’s network has disrupted the Indian telecom market. The industry needs to recalibrate and now

By Sujit Bhar

Mukesh Ambani’s Jio is a disruptive network in the Indian Telecom firmament. On February 21, the Reliance Industry chairman, who also heads Jio, revealed three very important figures. First, the network’s subscriber base has now crossed 100 million, a milestone reached in a record time. Secondly, over 100 crore gigabytes of data has already been consumed by its subscribers.

The third was another huge marketing gimmick, regarding Jio prime. Said Ambani: “All customers who subscribed to our service on or before March 31 can enroll in the Jio prime membership for a one-time fee of Rs 99. Prime members will be eligible for all the unlimited benefits availed during the introductory offer for another 12 months till March 31, 2018, by paying a fee of Rs 303 per month.”

The announcement was a big step towards consolidating an even larger subscriber base within a given time-frame. This could change the cost-analysis of all existing telecom network providers and promises to provide connectivity that might be in the region of some developed nations.

The problem, of course, is of assured connectivity, with telecom towers being in short supply for the new network of the largest private corporation in the country. That is something that will need solving. There is another problem brewing, in the quick amalgamation of different networks, gearing up to fight the mega-offensive from Reliance.

Not that Ambani is not aware of all this. Said he: “We will monitor all plans announced by other operators across the country. We will match all these and will provide 25 per cent more data than anyone else. Our solemn promise is to offer better plans at best price.”

The existing scenario

What was the existing scenario in which such a disruptive situation emerged?

According to the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI), till January 2017, India “was the world’s second-largest telecommunications market… The deregulation of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) norms has made the sector one of the fastest growing and a top five employment opportunity generator in the country. The Indian telecom sector is expected to generate four million direct and indirect jobs over the next five years according to estimates by Randstad India”.

The bigger news was about market projections. Says TRAI: “Driven by strong adoption of data consumption on handheld devices, the total mobile services market revenue in India is expected to touch US$ 37 billion in 2017, registering a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.2 per cent between 2014 and 2017, according to research firm IDC.”

The forecasts match the Jio offerings. It says: “India is expected to have over 180 million smartphones by 2019, contributing around 13.5 per cent to the global smartphone market.”

That isn’t all. “According to a report by leading research firm Market Research Store, the Indian telecommunication services market will likely grow by 10.3 per cent year-on-year to reach US$ 103.9 billion by 2020,” says the TRAI report.

Accepting the huge market potential, what was the telecom companies’ market share till end of last calendar year?

The following graph (courtesy TRAI), makes it clear.

Pie chart on market share

Pie chart on market share

Idea (16.9 %) has now tied up with Vodafone (18.16 %) to form a block (total 35.06 %), while Reliance Infocomm (7.68 %) has tied up with Tata Telecomm (4.7 %) to garner a 12.38 % market. The largest so far is Bharti Airtel at 23.58 percent of market share. Jio has butted into that, starting at just 6.4 percent.

Future market

The overall subscription data (TRAI) makes things clearer.

Subscription data table

Subscription data table

Jio isn’t just a disruptive force; it has the potential to push open the overall market and force-expand it breadth-wise, incorporating the friendly Narendra  Modi government’s digitization drive.

Tomorrow will be another day, not quite like yesterday and certainly way beyond today. This is the accepted leapfrogging method that India has been adopting for a long time in this field, and reaping benefits.

We must remember Mukesh Ambani’s recent comment about H1B restrictions in the US. He had said that this could be blessing in disguise for Indian IT companies, because they would then have time to look back into the domestic market where opportunities abound.

Hugely disruptive moves such as Jio’s are timely interventions. The industry needs to recalibrate.[/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]

India News

Why Hindenburg Research is shutting down: A personal note from the founder

Anderson emphasised that his choice was not prompted by any single factor. There are no external threats, health concerns, or urgent issues necessitating this decision. Instead, he described it as a natural conclusion to a significant chapter in his life.

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Nate Anderson, the founder of Hindenburg Research, has decided to shut down his short-selling venture, which has famously exposed alleged frauds amounting to billions and sent shockwaves through major corporations. From igniting a $150 billion crisis for the Adani Group to taking down giants like Nikola and Eros International, Hindenburg has become synonymous with financial scrutiny and controversy depending on one’s perspective.

In a comprehensive blog post titled “Personal Note From Our Founder,” Anderson revealed his decision, stating that the firm has fulfilled its mission and that it is time to move forward. “As I’ve shared with family, friends, and our team since late last year, I have made the decision to disband Hindenburg Research,” he wrote.

Anderson emphasised that his choice was not prompted by any single factor. There are no external threats, health concerns, or urgent issues necessitating this decision. Instead, he described it as a natural conclusion to a significant chapter in his life.

This announcement follows Hindenburg’s completion of its final investigations into alleged financial fraud, which have been submitted to regulators. “As of the last Ponzi cases we just completed and are sharing with regulators, that day is today,” Anderson noted.

Reflecting on his career, he acknowledged that his intense dedication to the firm had come at the expense of other life areas. Initially motivated by a desire to prove himself, he ultimately began to view Hindenburg Research as just one of many chapters in his life.

In the upcoming six months, Anderson plans to create and share content, including materials and videos, to transparently illustrate the firm’s investigative techniques. He hopes this will inspire others to pursue similar efforts.

Hindenburg Research operated with a small but committed team of 11 members. Anderson praised their dedication to precise, evidence-based reporting and their courage in uncovering financial fraud. His team’s efforts have significantly influenced the landscape of financial accountability, with nearly 100 individuals facing civil or criminal charges partially attributable to their investigations.

“Nearly 100 individuals have been charged civilly or criminally by regulators, at least in part due to our work, including billionaires and oligarchs. We shook some empires that we felt needed shaking,” Anderson stated.

Hindenburg garnered international attention in January 2023 when it published a report alleging fraud and stock manipulation by the Adani Group. This report triggered a massive selloff in Adani’s stock, erasing over $100 billion from Gautam Adani’s personal wealth and causing the market capitalization of 10 Adani Group companies to plummet from ₹19.19 lakh crore on January 24, 2023, to below ₹7 lakh crore by February 27.

Although Adani stocks eventually recovered, the Supreme Court later noted that allegations made by organizations like Hindenburg, without proper verification, cannot be considered valid evidence. Previously, Hindenburg’s investigations included exposing Nikola Corporation in 2020 for fraud, which resulted in the resignation of founder Trevor Milton.

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India News

Sensex sheds 1,049 points, Nifty drops below 23,100

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Sensex falls 1,049 points, Nifty slips below 23,100 amid market downturn

The Indian stock market faced another day of sharp declines on January 13, as bearish sentiments tightened their grip for the fourth consecutive session. Weak global cues, a surge in crude oil prices to a three-month high, and reduced expectations of a U.S. rate cut in 2025 contributed to the downward spiral.

At the close of trading, the Sensex plunged 1,048.90 points or 1.36% to settle at 76,330.01. The Nifty also fell significantly, shedding 345.55 points or 1.47% to close at 23,085.95.

Sectoral impact

All sectoral indices ended the session in the red. The realty index was the worst hit, slumping by 6.7%. Other sectors, including oil & gas, power, PSU, metal, and media, recorded losses in the range of 3-4%.

This broad-based sell-off saw investors’ wealth take a major hit. The market capitalization of BSE-listed companies dropped sharply by Rs 12.39 lakh crore, falling to Rs 417.28 lakh crore from Rs 429.67 lakh crore in the previous session.

Key drivers of the decline

Crude oil prices: Crude oil surged to a three-month high, stoking fears of inflationary pressures and higher input costs across industries.

Global market trends: Weak global markets added to investor apprehensions, as global indices reflected a cautious outlook amid economic uncertainties.

Interest rate concerns: Revised expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve may delay rate cuts in 2025 also weighed on investor sentiment.

Outlook

Market experts suggest that volatility may persist in the near term as global and domestic factors continue to influence investor behavior. A focus on corporate earnings reports and international economic trends will be critical in shaping market movements in the weeks ahead.

With a significant erosion in investor wealth, market participants remain cautious as they navigate the ongoing uncertainties.

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Latest business news

Pune entrepreneur asks Blinkit CEO to launch ATM service after Ambulance, sparks debate

It’s worth mentioning that similar services are already available, such as platforms like MakeMyTrip that offer foreign currency delivery.

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Days after Blinkit launched its 10-minute ambulance service, a start-up founder and YouTuber reached out to Blinkit CEO Albinder Dhindsa with a request to introduce an “ATM-like” service. The founder suggested that this service would be “incredibly helpful.”

Harsh Punjabi, founder of The Dot Company and a YouTuber, posted on social media platform X: “Hey @albinder, please start an ATM-like service on Blinkit. Users could pay via UPI, and cash could be delivered to their doorstep in under 10 minutes. That would be super helpful!”

His rationale for this suggestion became clear in a follow-up tweet where he expressed, “Leaving for a trip and need cash. I only have Rs 100 at home. I don’t want to go to the ATM, but it looks like I’ll have to.”

Punjabi’s tweet sparked a variety of responses. Some users pointed out that delivery charges would incur an 18 percent GST, while others claimed that the idea would make Indians lazier. Many questioned the need for cash, given the widespread acceptance of UPI.

One user remarked, “The idea is good, but the 18 percent GST on delivery charges would ruin everything,” while another joked, “This scheme should be kept a secret.”

Another user lamented, “Why doesn’t Blinkit breathe on our behalf too? We’ve become that lazy,” and another added humorously, “Please, let’s not make India lazy to this extent.”

A user highlighted that similar arrangements exist where customers go to shops, pay extra for their bills, and take back the additional cash for tasks like paying rickshaw pullers.

“Why do you want cash? Cash should be eliminated. We need maximum digitalization,” one user opined, while another noted that acquiring smaller notes can be tricky, especially when UPI isn’t an option.

It’s worth mentioning that similar services are already available, such as platforms like MakeMyTrip that offer foreign currency delivery.

On January 2, Blinkit announced its ambulance service. Dhindsa stated, “We are taking our first step toward addressing the challenge of providing quick and reliable ambulance services in our cities. The first five ambulances will be operational in Gurugram starting today. As we expand, users will soon have the option to book a Basic Life Support (BLS) ambulance through the Blinkit app.”

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