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The Jio effect

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Reliance Jio chairman Mukhesh Ambani announces the extension of its free 4G services till March 31 under the Happy New Year Plan in Mumbai in December

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]With its subscriber base crossing 100 million and their data usage close to that of the US, plus a fresh offer of sharply discounted prices, Mukesh Ambani’s network has disrupted the Indian telecom market. The industry needs to recalibrate and now

By Sujit Bhar

Mukesh Ambani’s Jio is a disruptive network in the Indian Telecom firmament. On February 21, the Reliance Industry chairman, who also heads Jio, revealed three very important figures. First, the network’s subscriber base has now crossed 100 million, a milestone reached in a record time. Secondly, over 100 crore gigabytes of data has already been consumed by its subscribers.

The third was another huge marketing gimmick, regarding Jio prime. Said Ambani: “All customers who subscribed to our service on or before March 31 can enroll in the Jio prime membership for a one-time fee of Rs 99. Prime members will be eligible for all the unlimited benefits availed during the introductory offer for another 12 months till March 31, 2018, by paying a fee of Rs 303 per month.”

The announcement was a big step towards consolidating an even larger subscriber base within a given time-frame. This could change the cost-analysis of all existing telecom network providers and promises to provide connectivity that might be in the region of some developed nations.

The problem, of course, is of assured connectivity, with telecom towers being in short supply for the new network of the largest private corporation in the country. That is something that will need solving. There is another problem brewing, in the quick amalgamation of different networks, gearing up to fight the mega-offensive from Reliance.

Not that Ambani is not aware of all this. Said he: “We will monitor all plans announced by other operators across the country. We will match all these and will provide 25 per cent more data than anyone else. Our solemn promise is to offer better plans at best price.”

The existing scenario

What was the existing scenario in which such a disruptive situation emerged?

According to the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI), till January 2017, India “was the world’s second-largest telecommunications market… The deregulation of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) norms has made the sector one of the fastest growing and a top five employment opportunity generator in the country. The Indian telecom sector is expected to generate four million direct and indirect jobs over the next five years according to estimates by Randstad India”.

The bigger news was about market projections. Says TRAI: “Driven by strong adoption of data consumption on handheld devices, the total mobile services market revenue in India is expected to touch US$ 37 billion in 2017, registering a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.2 per cent between 2014 and 2017, according to research firm IDC.”

The forecasts match the Jio offerings. It says: “India is expected to have over 180 million smartphones by 2019, contributing around 13.5 per cent to the global smartphone market.”

That isn’t all. “According to a report by leading research firm Market Research Store, the Indian telecommunication services market will likely grow by 10.3 per cent year-on-year to reach US$ 103.9 billion by 2020,” says the TRAI report.

Accepting the huge market potential, what was the telecom companies’ market share till end of last calendar year?

The following graph (courtesy TRAI), makes it clear.

Pie chart on market share

Pie chart on market share

Idea (16.9 %) has now tied up with Vodafone (18.16 %) to form a block (total 35.06 %), while Reliance Infocomm (7.68 %) has tied up with Tata Telecomm (4.7 %) to garner a 12.38 % market. The largest so far is Bharti Airtel at 23.58 percent of market share. Jio has butted into that, starting at just 6.4 percent.

Future market

The overall subscription data (TRAI) makes things clearer.

Subscription data table

Subscription data table

Jio isn’t just a disruptive force; it has the potential to push open the overall market and force-expand it breadth-wise, incorporating the friendly Narendra  Modi government’s digitization drive.

Tomorrow will be another day, not quite like yesterday and certainly way beyond today. This is the accepted leapfrogging method that India has been adopting for a long time in this field, and reaping benefits.

We must remember Mukesh Ambani’s recent comment about H1B restrictions in the US. He had said that this could be blessing in disguise for Indian IT companies, because they would then have time to look back into the domestic market where opportunities abound.

Hugely disruptive moves such as Jio’s are timely interventions. The industry needs to recalibrate.[/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]

India News

Modi says right time to invest in Indian shipping sector; meets global CEOs

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Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Wednesday exhorted global investors to take bets on the Indian shipping sector, pointing out that this is the “right time” for such a move.

The Prime Minister also met a select chief executives of global majors, including DP World and APM, at a specially convened meeting on the sidelines of the India Maritime Week 2025 held here.

“For all of you hailing from different countries, this is the right time to work in the Indian shipping sector and also expand (your presence),” Modi said during a public address before the closed-door meeting with CEOs.

Modi listed several targets being chased by India in the maritime sector over the next few years, and underlined the importance of the global community in the same.

“You all are an important partner who will help us achieve all our aims. We welcome your ideas, innovations and investments,” Modi said.

He said that India allows 100 per cent foreign direct investment in the shipping and ports sector, and also provides incentives under the “Make In India, and Make For The World” vision.

Addressing an audience, including leaders of various companies, the Prime Minister affirmed India’s commitment to strengthening the supply chain resilience at a global level.

He also said that India is engaged in creating world-class mega ports, and cited the work undertaken on the Vadhavan Port to the north of the financial capital, which entered the top-10 firms in the world on the first day.

The government is also looking to grow the capacity at 12 major ports by four times and increase India’s share in containerised cargo at the global level.

Later, Modi held a meeting with top CEOs of shipping sector companies from across the world.

As per people in the know, he met AP Moller-Maersk Chairman Robert Maersk Uggla, DP World Group Chairman Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem, Mediterranean Shipping Company Chief Executive Soren Toft, Adani Ports and SEZ Managing Director Karan Adani and French company CMA-CGM’s Senior Vice President Ludovic Renou.

The participation from over 85 countries in the IMW sends a strong message, Modi said, noting the presence of CEOs of major shipping giants, startups, policymakers, and innovators at the event.

The Prime Minister also thanked Port of Singapore (PSA) for the nearly Rs 8,000 crore investment in the Jawaharlal Nehru Port Authority’s fourth terminal, pointing out that this is also the largest FDI in the port sector in India.

Modi said more than 150 new initiatives have been launched under the ‘Maritime India Vision’, resulting in nearly doubling the capacity of major ports, a substantial reduction in turnaround time, and a new momentum in cruise tourism.

—PTI

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Economy news

ITR filing last date today: What taxpayers must know about penalties and delays

The deadline for ITR filing ends today, September 15. Missing it may lead to penalties, interest charges, refund delays, and loss of tax benefits.

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Income Tax Return

The deadline to file Income Tax Returns (ITR) for most taxpayers, including salaried individuals, pensioners, and small businesses not requiring audit, ends today, September 15. Those who miss the due date face penalties, interest charges, and loss of certain tax benefits.

Penalties for late filing

If the return is not filed by the deadline, taxpayers can still file a belated return until December 31. However, under Section 234F of the Income Tax Act, late filing attracts penalties.

  • For income up to Rs5 lakh: penalty is capped at Rs1,000.
  • For income above Rs5 lakh: penalty increases to Rs5,000.

Additionally, if any tax remains unpaid, Section 234A imposes an interest of 1% per month (or part thereof) until the return is filed.

Consequences of missing deadline

  • Loss of certain tax benefits: Belated filers cannot carry forward specific losses such as business or capital losses.
  • Restrictions on tax regime change: Taxpayers lose the option to switch between old and new tax regimes after the deadline.
  • Refund delays: Those eligible for refunds will face delays compared to timely filers.

Steps to file before time runs out

  • Gather documents: Form 16, Form 26AS, Annual Information Statement (AIS), bank interest certificates, and proofs of investments or deductions.
  • Use the e-filing portal: File immediately to avoid last-minute portal congestion.
  • Verify your return: Ensure the ITR is verified electronically or physically for it to be considered valid.

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Economy news

India’s GDP surges 7.8% in Q1, outpaces estimates and China

India’s GDP surged 7.8% in Q1 2025-26, the highest in five quarters, driven by strong services and agriculture sector growth, according to NSO data.

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GDP Growth

India’s economy recorded a sharp growth of 7.8% in the April-June quarter (Q1) of 2025-26, surpassing the earlier estimate of 6.5% and outpacing China’s 5.2% growth in the same period. The figure also marks a notable rise from the 6.5% growth in the corresponding quarter last year, making it the fastest expansion in the last five quarters.

Strong performance across key sectors

According to data released by the National Statistical Office (NSO), the surge was driven primarily by the services sector, which expanded 9.3% compared to 6.8% a year ago, and the agriculture sector, which rose 3.7% against 1.5% last year.

The construction sector, however, witnessed a slowdown, growing 7.6% compared to 10.1% in the same quarter of the previous fiscal.

RBI’s earlier forecast

Earlier this month, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) had projected a more modest Q1 growth of 6.5%, with overall real GDP growth for 2025-26 expected at 6.5%. RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra attributed the positive outlook to favorable conditions, including a good monsoon, lower inflation, and strong government capital expenditure.

He said, “The above normal southwest monsoon, lower inflation, rising capacity utilisation and congenial financial conditions continue to support domestic economic activity. The supportive monetary, regulatory and fiscal policies, including robust government capital expenditure, should also boost demand. The services sector is expected to remain buoyant, with sustained growth in construction and trade in the coming months.”

India remains fastest-growing major economy

With China reporting 5.2% growth in April-June, India has retained its position as the world’s fastest-growing major economy. The latest figures highlight resilience in the face of external pressures, including recent US tariffs on Indian imports.

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