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RBI keeps key rates unchanged; predicts -9.5% GDP for 2020-21

Addressing a press briefing, the RBI Governor said that the country’s GDP would contract by 9.5 per cent due to disruptions caused by COVID-19.

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The Reserve Bank of India’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) led by Governor Shaktikanta Das on Friday announced that the key interest rates will be kept unchanged in the light of growing inflation. The committee kept the repo rate unchanged at four percent, while the reverse repo rate stood at 3.35 per cent. Das said that it was an unanimous decision by the MPC to keep the rates at existing levels. He added that the reason to maintain its  accommodative monetary policy stance was to support growth amid the coronavirus pandemic which is still ongoing in the country.   

Addressing a press briefing, the RBI Governor said that the country’s GDP would contract by 9.5  per cent due to disruptions caused by COVID-19. He further said that the economy was entering a decisive phase in its fight against the pandemic. He said that the GDP growth might enter a positive zone by the fourth quarter of the fiscal. The decision taken by the MPC was in line with the predictions made by most economists who had expected the central bank to not any make changes in the key rates.

Read Also: RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das to announce decisions of Monetary Policy Committee today; expected to hold key rates

The MPC’s announcement on monetary policy was postponed this year due to delayed appointments of three external members. It was supposed to be held from September 29. The three external members of MPC  comprise of  Ashima Goyal, a member of PM Narendra Modi’s economic advisory council, Shashanka Bhide, a senior advisor at think-tank National Council for Applied Economic Research, and Jayanth Varma, a finance and accounting professor at IIM Ahmedabad. The have replaced  Chetan Ghate, Pami Dua and Ravindra Dholakia.  Instituted by the Government of India under the RBI Act, MPC’s tasks include framing monetary policy with the help of  tools like the repo rate, reverse repo rate, bank rate, cash reserve ratio (CRR).

Economy news

ITR filing last date today: What taxpayers must know about penalties and delays

The deadline for ITR filing ends today, September 15. Missing it may lead to penalties, interest charges, refund delays, and loss of tax benefits.

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Income Tax Return

The deadline to file Income Tax Returns (ITR) for most taxpayers, including salaried individuals, pensioners, and small businesses not requiring audit, ends today, September 15. Those who miss the due date face penalties, interest charges, and loss of certain tax benefits.

Penalties for late filing

If the return is not filed by the deadline, taxpayers can still file a belated return until December 31. However, under Section 234F of the Income Tax Act, late filing attracts penalties.

  • For income up to Rs5 lakh: penalty is capped at Rs1,000.
  • For income above Rs5 lakh: penalty increases to Rs5,000.

Additionally, if any tax remains unpaid, Section 234A imposes an interest of 1% per month (or part thereof) until the return is filed.

Consequences of missing deadline

  • Loss of certain tax benefits: Belated filers cannot carry forward specific losses such as business or capital losses.
  • Restrictions on tax regime change: Taxpayers lose the option to switch between old and new tax regimes after the deadline.
  • Refund delays: Those eligible for refunds will face delays compared to timely filers.

Steps to file before time runs out

  • Gather documents: Form 16, Form 26AS, Annual Information Statement (AIS), bank interest certificates, and proofs of investments or deductions.
  • Use the e-filing portal: File immediately to avoid last-minute portal congestion.
  • Verify your return: Ensure the ITR is verified electronically or physically for it to be considered valid.

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Economy news

India’s GDP surges 7.8% in Q1, outpaces estimates and China

India’s GDP surged 7.8% in Q1 2025-26, the highest in five quarters, driven by strong services and agriculture sector growth, according to NSO data.

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GDP Growth

India’s economy recorded a sharp growth of 7.8% in the April-June quarter (Q1) of 2025-26, surpassing the earlier estimate of 6.5% and outpacing China’s 5.2% growth in the same period. The figure also marks a notable rise from the 6.5% growth in the corresponding quarter last year, making it the fastest expansion in the last five quarters.

Strong performance across key sectors

According to data released by the National Statistical Office (NSO), the surge was driven primarily by the services sector, which expanded 9.3% compared to 6.8% a year ago, and the agriculture sector, which rose 3.7% against 1.5% last year.

The construction sector, however, witnessed a slowdown, growing 7.6% compared to 10.1% in the same quarter of the previous fiscal.

RBI’s earlier forecast

Earlier this month, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) had projected a more modest Q1 growth of 6.5%, with overall real GDP growth for 2025-26 expected at 6.5%. RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra attributed the positive outlook to favorable conditions, including a good monsoon, lower inflation, and strong government capital expenditure.

He said, “The above normal southwest monsoon, lower inflation, rising capacity utilisation and congenial financial conditions continue to support domestic economic activity. The supportive monetary, regulatory and fiscal policies, including robust government capital expenditure, should also boost demand. The services sector is expected to remain buoyant, with sustained growth in construction and trade in the coming months.”

India remains fastest-growing major economy

With China reporting 5.2% growth in April-June, India has retained its position as the world’s fastest-growing major economy. The latest figures highlight resilience in the face of external pressures, including recent US tariffs on Indian imports.

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Economy news

Sensex falls 600 points, nifty slips 180 as US tariffs hit Indian markets

Indian equity markets witnessed sharp declines as US tariffs on Indian imports took effect. Sensex dropped over 600 points, while Nifty fell nearly 180 points in early trade.

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Stock market crash

Indian stock markets opened lower on Thursday, reeling under the pressure of fresh US tariffs imposed on Indian goods.

At 9:17 am, the BSE Sensex dropped over 600 points to trade at 80,315, while the Nifty 50 declined nearly 180 points to 24,583. This comes a day after Washington enforced an additional 25% duty on Indian imports, raising the total tariff to 50%.

Broad-based sell-off across sectors

Market sentiment remained weak with 14 of the 16 major sectors posting losses. Small-cap and mid-cap indices also dipped, losing 0.2% and 0.1%, respectively.

The fall follows a steep correction earlier this week. On Tuesday, before the tariff announcement, both Nifty and Sensex fell by around 1% — their sharpest single-day decline in three months. Domestic markets remained closed on Wednesday for a local holiday.

Analysts warn of near-term pressure

According to market experts, Indian equities are likely to witness further volatility as investors digest the impact of the US action. The tariffs were imposed in retaliation for India’s continued crude oil imports from Russia, a move that has escalated trade tensions between the two nations.

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