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Exit polls 2023: BJP gains in Rajasthan, Congress in Chhattisgarh, Telangana, tough contest in MP

As per exit polls, the BJP is set to defeat the Congress and return to power in Rajasthan, while the Congress might reclaim its power in Chhattisgarh.

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The assembly elections for five states concluded today after Telangana voted to elect 119 members of the state legislative assembly. The result of the exit polls has been announced. The counting of the votes for all the five states namely Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Telangana and Rajasthan will take place on December 3. 

The exit polls predicted Congress win in Chhattisgarh. If the Congress reclaims its power in the state it will be a major boost to the party ahead of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. Exit poll of ABP News- C Voter showed BJP with 36-48 seats, Congress with 41-53 seats. As per India Today- Axis My India, BJP gained 36-46 seats with Congress winning in 40-50 seats. Jan Ki Baat predicted 34-45 seats for BJP and 42-53 for Congress. News 24- Today’s Chanakya showed 33 seats for BJP and 57 seats for Congress. TV9 Bharatvarsh- Polstrat and Republic TV- Matrize showed 35-45 and 34-42 for BJP, while 40-50 and 44-52 for Congress respectively. The two-phase assembly election in the state took place on November 7 and November 17. To win the assembly election in the state, the political party must win 46 seats. 

In Rajasthan, the exit polls predicted that Ashok Gehlot might lose power as BJP is gaining majority seats in the state. Notably, a political party needs to win 100 seats in order to win the assembly election in the northern state. Dainik Bhaskar gave BJP 98-105 seats, Congress around 85-95 seats. Jan Ki Baat predicted 100-122 seats for BJP and 62-85 seats for Congress. India Today- Axis My India showed 80-100 seats for BJP and 86-106 for Congress. TV9 Bharatvarsh- Polstrat gave 100-110 seats for BJP and 90-100 seats for Congress. Times Now-ETG predicted 108-128 seats for BJP, while 56-72 for Congress. Rajasthan conducted a single-phase assembly election on November 25.

According to multiple exit polls, Madhya Pradesh might witness a tough fight between BJP and Congress. To win the assembly election in the state, a political party has to win 116 seats. Dainik Bhaskar predicted 95-115 seats for BJP and gave Congress 105-120 seats. Jan ki Baat predicted 100-123 seats for BJP and 102-125 seats for Congress. Republic TV- Matrize predicted 118-130 seats for BJP and 97-107 seats for Congress. TV9 Bharatvarsh- Polstrat showed 106-116 seats for BJP and 111-121 seats for the Congress. Madhya Pradesh assembly election was carried out on November 17. 

Congress might win in Telangana, where the assembly election was conducted today. As per India TV- CNX, BRS will claim 31-47 seats, 63-79 Congress, 2-4 BJP and 5-7 AIMIM. Jan ki Baat predicted 40-55 seats for BRS, 48-64 seats for Congress, 7-13 seats for BJP and AIMIM 4-7 seats. Republic TV- Matrize showed 46-56 seats for BRS, 58-68 seats for Congress, 4-9, 5-7 seats for BJP and AIMIN respectively. TV9 Bharatvarsh- Polstrat predicted 48-58 seats for BRS, 49-59 Congress, 5-10 BJP and 6-8 AIMIM. To win the Telangana assembly election, a political party has to win 60 seats in the state legislative assembly. 

In Mizoram, MNF and ZPM witnessed a tight battle in winning the assembly election with 21 seats. ABP News-C Voter predicted 15-21 seats for MNF, 12-18 seats for ZPM, 2-8 seats for Congress. India TV- CNX showed 14-18 seats for MNF, 12-16 seats for ZPM, 8-10 for Congress and 0-2 for BJP. Jan Ki Baat predicted 10-14 seats for MNF, 15-25 seats for ZPM, 5-9 seats for Congress and 0-2 for BJP. Republic TV- Matrize showed 17-22 seats for MNF, 7-12 seats for ZPM, 7-10 seats for Congress and 1-2 for BJP. Times Now-ETG predicted 14-18 seats for MNF, 10-14 seats for ZPM, 9-13 seats for Congress and 0-2 seats for BJP. Mizoram was the first state to go into assembly election on November 7.

In short, according to the exit polls, the BJP is set to defeat the Congress and return to power in Rajasthan, a state that has voted out the ruling party in elections for the last three decades. In BRS ruled Telangana, the Congress appears to be surging ahead as the exit polls indicate a clear lead over BRS.  As per exit polls, Congress might retain power in Chhattisgarh giving the party a major boost ahead of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. In Madhya Pradesh, BJP Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan is looking for his fifth term with Congress giving a tough competition to the party. Meanwhile, the exit polls have shown no clear winner in the Mizoram Assembly election.

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BJP says it stands for credibility of promises under PM Modi, Congress for crisis

Trivedi mockingly questioned whether Kharge was truthful in his statements made the previous day, implying that his critiques of the BJP were a reaction driven by pressure to reconcile his earlier remarks.

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The BJP said on Saturday that it stood for the credibility of promises made under Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s leadership, while labeling the Congress party as one suffering from a crisis of credibility, intensifying their ongoing rhetorical conflict over unfulfilled electoral pledges.

BJP spokesperson Sudhanshu Trivedi said that the ruling party has expanded its welfare initiatives, including health insurance, free food grains, and cash transfers to farmers, emphasising a strategy focused on wealth creation followed by equitable distribution as the Indian economy has grown over the last decade.

“We believe in the creation of wealth and its distribution. The Congress fosters corruption and depletes wealth,” he stated, referencing numerous unfulfilled promises made by Congress-led governments across various states.

Following Mallikarjun Kharge’s remark labeling “Modi ki guarantee” as a cruel joke after Modi seized Kharge’s guidance on budgetary constraints in state poll announcements, the BJP launched new accusations.

Trivedi mockingly questioned whether Kharge was truthful in his statements made the previous day, implying that his critiques of the BJP were a reaction driven by pressure to reconcile his earlier remarks.

Trivedi highlighted several accomplishments of the Modi government, including the construction of the Ram temple, the abrogation of Article 370, the building of over 14 crore homes for the impoverished, the establishment of more than 51 crore Jan Dhan accounts, and a firm stance against terrorism from Pakistan, to demonstrate the government’s fulfillment of its commitments.

He noted that Kharge, having witnessed notable leaders like PV Narasimha Rao and Pranab Mukherjee manage economic challenges effectively, is now observing the Congress party struggling under the influence of urban Naxals due to Leader of Opposition in the Lok Sabha Rahul Gandhi.

Addressing Kharge’s criticisms on various issues, Trivedi pointed to data from the Employees’ Provident Fund Organisation (EPFO) indicating a rise in account holders from 11 crore to 25 crore over the past decade.

He also referenced significant infrastructure projects, such as the construction of homes for the poor, 74 new airports, and an impressive pace of 37 kilometers of road built per day, claiming that these initiatives have created substantial employment opportunities.

“India is now ranked third in auto manufacturing and second in mobile phone manufacturing; if anyone is unable to recognize the country’s progress, there is a profound deficiency in their perspective,” asserted the BJP spokesperson.

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Maharashtra elections: Congress says Mahayuti understands its exit is certain

Congress leader Sachin Pilot, also an observer of the Congress party for the Maharashtra elections, said that the ruling Mahayuti alliance is aware that its exit is imminent.      

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The Congress on Wednesday asserted the ruling Mahayuti government in Maharashtra has understood that its exit is certain as the Maha Vikas Aghadi alliance is strong and that all its candidates are in a strong position for the upcoming Assembly elections in the state.

Congress leader Sachin Pilot, also an observer of the Congress party for the Maharashtra elections, said that the ruling Mahayuti alliance is aware that its exit is imminent.      

The Congress leader stated that the party is fully prepared and that its ally parties in Maharashtra are strong. He mentioned that the seat-sharing negotiations occurred in a positive atmosphere and that the ruling party has recognized that their exit is inevitable.

“All the candidates of the Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA) are in a strong position. The people here have decided to support Congress and its allies in the upcoming Assembly elections,” he said.

He also noted that the alliance’s performance in the recent Lok Sabha elections was impressive. “Wherever Congress contested, our candidates won 80 percent of the seats. We expect this trend to continue,” he added.

Pilot acknowledged that there have been some differences among party members regarding specific seats but assured that those issues would be resolved in the next 2-3 days, ensuring there would be only one candidate from the MVA for each seat.

Earlier in the day, Ramesh Chennithala, Congress in charge of Maharashtra, slammed the BJP, claiming that the party is undermining its alliances in the state.

“The BJP is dismantling its alliances. They are forcefully converting alliance partner candidates into their own party candidates. The people will respond to this,” he stated while speaking to reporters.

Earlier on October 26, Chennithala alleged that crores of rupees have been reportedly offered to two of its MLAs to join Maharashtra Deputy Chief Minister Ajit Pawar-led NCP faction, ahead of state Assembly elections.

Chennithala made those allegations while speaking to reporters in the national capital. He also questioned the Maharashtra Chief Minister Eknath Shinde.

Voting for all 288 constituencies for the Maharashtra Assembly elections are set for November 20 and counting on November 23. In the 2019 Assembly elections, the BJP won 105 seats, the Shiv Sena 56, and the Congress 44. In 2014, the BJP secured 122 seats, the Shiv Sena 63, and the Congress 42.

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Rahul Gandhi not upset, Opposition spreading fake news: NCP (SP) leader Anil Deshmukh

“Opposition parties are spreading false information. It is not true that Rahul Gandhi is upset with leaders in the State,” he said.

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Asserting that Leader of Opposition in the Lok Sabha and Congress leader Rahul Gandhi was not upset with the Maharashtra unit, NCP (SP) leader Anil Deshmukh on Saturday accused the Mahayuti of spreading fake news over the issue of seat-sharing in the state.

Deshmukh mentioned that meetings between leaders of Congress in Maharashtra, including Balasaheb Thorat, Nana Patole, and Vijay Wadettiwar, and representatives of NCP (SP) and Shiv Sena (UBT), went well.

“Rahul Gandhi is not upset. Leaders like Balasaheb Thorat, Nana Patole and Vijay Wadettiwar all had meetings with leaders of NCP-SCP and Shiv Sena (UBT). We had taken the decision regarding seat sharing based on merit,” the NCP(SP) leader said.

He further clarified that the decision on seat sharing was made based on merit, countering the false information being spread by Opposition parties. Deshmukh also dispelled the notion that Rahul Gandhi was upset with the state leaders.

“Opposition parties are spreading false information. It is not true that Rahul Gandhi is upset with leaders in the State,” he said.

Furthermore, in preparation for the upcoming Assembly polls in Maharashtra, Congress released its second list of 23 candidates on Saturday.

The Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA) has concluded talks on sharing seats in 255 constituencies, with each party planning to contest 85 Assembly constituencies, as informed by Maharashtra Congress President Nana Patole.

On the same day, the BJP released a list of 40 star campaigners, including prominent party leaders such as Prime Minister Narendra Modi, party chief Jagat Prakash Nadda and Union Home Minister Amit Shah.

The other leaders from the saffron party — Union Minister Nitin Gadkari, Defence Minister Rajnath Singh, Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath, Assam Chief Minister Hemant Biswa Sarma, Madhya Pradesh Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan, Union Minister Bhupendra Yadav, Smriti Irani, Piyush Goyal, Jyotiraditya Scindia, Pramod Sawant were in the list.

The list also includes names of prominent leaders from the State — Maharashtra deputy CM Devendra Fadnavis, Vinod Tawde, Narayan Rane, Pankaja Munde, Chandrakant (Dada) Patil, Girish Mahajan, Radhakrishna Vikhe Patil, Ashish Shelar, Udayan Raje Bhonsle, Raosaheb Danve Patil, Ashok Chavan, Sudhir Mugantiwar, Navneet Rana, among others.

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