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Central expert predicts India likely to witness Covid peak by May 7

Maximum by another 10-15 days, the team expect every Indian state to peak and begin a downturn. There could be outliers as well but by and large, that is what the team expect.

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Covid-19 cases

The Central government’s experts on Covid-19 has predicted that India could see the peak of the second wave of coronavirus cases by May 7. If the predictions hold true, it would be a huge relief for the country to cross the national peak of the second wave by this weekend.

Read Also: Centre’s data shows only 9 states began vaccination for 18-44 age group

What Professor Vidyasagar has predicted about Covid-19 cases?

A member of the Mathematical modelling experts team on Covid-19 cases, Professor M Vidyasagar suggested that Covid-19 infection cases should start declining by the end of this week but different states will peak at different times.

Speaking about the situation in various states and the trend therein, Prof Vidyasagar explained that different states would attain their peak at different times, and see a decline in their cases, as is currently being seen in the case of Maharashtra.

Centre’s top mathematician said that the second wave basically started in Maharashtra and the states located far away from Maharashtra will see a slow peak while the states closer to Maharashtra will attain their peaks soon and their graph will start declining sooner.

Maximum by another 10-15 days, the team expect every Indian state to peak and begin a downturn. There could be outliers as well but by and large, that is what the team expect.

Asked if there could be states that would reach their peaks after May, Prof Vidyasagar said that’s unlikely.

How long will Covid second wave take to end after it’s peak?

Professor Vidyasagar said if one compares curves of the first and second wave, one would find that in the first wave the rise in cases was very gentle. He said it took about 3.5 months to reach the peak and the drop was equally gentle. In the second wave, on April 1 India had 75,000 cases and exactly a month later, India breached the 4-lakh mark. Indians were expected that the decline will be more or less as rapid as the rise was. He has also clarified that India is not going to see zero cases that’s something that is not going to happen.

Read Also: Mamata Banerjee takes oath as West Bengal Chief Minister for third consecutive term

What are the predictions on Covid third wave?

While India is still grappling with the second Covid-19 wave, there have been concerns about the possibility of a third wave hitting the country. Prof Vidyasagar said even though in the second wave a large number of people tested positive for Covid-19, there could be those who were infected and were asymptomatic, but have not been tested.

India News

Maharashtra elections: Milind Deora to fight against Aaditya Thackeray from Worli seat

The elections for the 288 Assembly seats in Maharashtra are scheduled for November 20, with the counting of votes set to take place on November 23.

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Maharashtra Chief Minister Eknath Shinde-led Shiv Sena has declared Rajya Sabha MP Milind Deora as its candidate for the Worli Assembly seat, setting the stage for a high-stakes battle against Shiv Sena (UBT) leader Aaditya Thackeray.

Taking to X on Friday, Deora said: “Chief Minister Eknath Shinde believes that justice for Worli and Worlikars is long overdue. Together, we’re paving the way forward and will share our vision soon. It’s Worli now!”

Deora, who recently switched from the Congress party to Shiv Sena due to feeling marginalised, was initially considered for the South Mumbai seat against Arvind Sawant of Shiv Sena and was expected to contest in the election. However, ultimately, another member from Shiv Sena’s Byculla constituency unsuccessfully vied for that seat.

The Worli constituency, which Thackeray won in his electoral debut in 2019, is now poised for a triangular contest, with Maharashtra Navnirman Sena’s (MNS) Sandeep Deshpande emerging as the third contender.

Aaditya Thackeray filed his nomination from the traditional Worli seat on Thursday, expressing his confidence to win in the upcoming state polls and hoping that people would bless him with their votes.

Speaking to ANI, he said, “I am very confident that the people will bless me because we are about to form government in Maharashtra and that is for sure. As you can see, this atmosphere is very good, you can see the love people are giving me.”

Thackeray’s interest in contesting from Worli prompted strategic moves by the party, including bringing Ahir into their fold and elevating him to the Legislative Council. Additionally, Shinde was similarly accommodated to ensure a clear path for Thackeray.

Releasing its first list of candidates on Tuesday, which included Chief Minister Eknath Shinde contesting from Kopri-Panchpakhadi in Thane city and more than half a dozen cabinet members from their respective seats, the ruling Shiv Sena also renominated almost all the MLAs who supported Shinde during his revolt against the then Chief Minister Uddhav Thackeray in June 2022. The party aims to contest a total of 45 seats in the state Assembly elections.

The Shiv Sena’s announcement comes shortly after its ally, the BJP, released a list of 99 candidates for the state Assembly polls.

The elections for the 288 Assembly seats in Maharashtra are scheduled for November 20, with the counting of votes set to take place on November 23.

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Rahul Gandhi slams PM Modi-led central government over terror attacks in J&K

According to reports, two soldiers and two civilians were killed when terrorists ambushed army vehicles in the Baramulla district of Jammu and Kashmir.

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Leader of Opposition in the Lok Sabha and Congress leader Rahul Gandhi on Friday slammed Prime Minister Narendra Modi-led central government over the recent terror attacks in Jammu and Kashmir.

The former Congress chief said that the NDA government’s policies have failed to establish security and peace in the valley.

“Contrary to their claims, the reality is that the J&K is living under the shadow of danger due to repeated terrorist activities, attacks on our soldiers and targeted killings of civilians,” Gandhi said in a post in Hindi on X.

The Congress leader asked the government to immediately take accountability and restore peace in the valley at the earliest and ensure the safety of the army and civilians.

Expressing his condolences, the Congress leader said: “The news of the martyrdom of our brave soldiers in the cowardly attack on an army vehicle in Gulmarg, Jammu and Kashmir is extremely sad.” Two porters also lost their lives in the attack, he added.

According to reports, two soldiers and two civilians were killed when terrorists ambushed army vehicles in the Baramulla district of Jammu and Kashmir.

Officials stated that a convoy transporting personnel from a Rashtriya Rifles unit, along with civilian porters, was en route to the Nagin post in the Afrawat range. The attack occurred when terrorists opened fire on two army trucks at Botapathri, approximately 6 kilometers from the tourist destination of Gulmarg.

National Conference president Farooq Abdullah also condemned the terrorist attack and said attacks like the one in Gulmarg would continue to occur until India and Pakistan found a way to be friends and that would end J&K’s troubles.

Speaking to reporters, Abdullah said: “Such attacks will continue to take place in this state. You know where they come from and it will not stop until some way is found to get out of this trouble. I have been witnessing it for the last 30 years, innocent people are getting killed.”

“We are not going to become a part of Pakistan. So, why are they doing this? To disrupt our future? To make us poorer?” he said.

Union Home Minister Amit Shah had on October 20 condemned the recent terror attack, in which two labourers were killed in Gagangir area of the Ganderbal district.

In a post on X, he said: “The dastardly terror attack on civilians in Gagangir, J&K, is a despicable act of cowardice. Those involved in this heinous act will not be spared and will face the harshest response from our security forces. At this moment of immense grief, I extend my sincerest condolences to the families of the deceased. Praying for the speedy recovery of those injured.”

Despite the Home Minister’s appeal, on October 24, seven people, including six non-local labourers and a local doctor, were killed in Kashmir’s Ganderbal district. The terror attack occurred when terrorists opened fire at the victims at the Z-Morh tunnel construction site.

Earlier on October 18, a labourer from Bihar was found dead in the Shopian district. His bullet-riddled body was found in the Wachi area of Zainapora.

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Cyclone Dana: West Bengal CM Mamata Banerjee says around 2 lakh people moved to relief camps, one dead

IMD added that isolated extremely heavy rainfall is expected over coastal Odisha and south Gangetic West Bengal (east & west Medinipur) on October 25.

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West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee on Friday said around 2.16 lakh people have been evacuated from affected areas to relief camps, adding that one person has died during Cyclone Dana.

Addressing a press conference, Banerjee said some districts were affected badly after Cyclone Dana hit the areas here, especially ‘kaccha’ houses. She said all District Magistrates, police officers and concerned officials have been doing their best and the government coordinating with all of them from time to time.

“2.16 lakh people evacuated from affected areas to relief camps. I talked to an MLA, he informed me that Kapil Muni Mandir has been affected and faced massive waterlogging. I talked to all MLAs of affected districts,” she said.

On Thursday, Banerjee was personally overseeing every move from the State Emergency Operation Centre in Nabanna, ahead of Cyclone Dana.

India Meteorological Department (IMD) has stated that Cyclone Dana crossed the north Odisha coast as a severe cyclonic storm with a wind speed of 100-110 kmph gusting to 120 kmph. Isolated extremely heavy rainfall is highly likely over south Gangetic West Bengal, specifically in east and west Medinipur today.

The severe cyclonic storm Dana made landfall close to Habalikhati Nature Camp (Bhitarkanika) and Dhamara between 0130 hrs IST to 0330 hrs IST on October 25, with wind speeds of 100-110 kmph gusting to 120 kmph, said IMD.

IMD added that isolated extremely heavy rainfall is expected over coastal Odisha and south Gangetic West Bengal (east & west Medinipur) on October 25.

NDRF DIG Mohsen Shahedi said, “Reports are being compiled from the field by the SOC and shortly we will have the details. The normal services have also been restored. The air services have been resumed.”

Flight operations have now resumed at Netaji Subhash Chandra Bose International Airport in Kolkata. These services were previously suspended due to the effects of Cyclone Dana. Rains are being experienced in various parts of West Bengal as a result of the cyclonic activity.

Odisha Chief Minister Mohan Charan Majhi said that Cyclone Dana made landfall at midnight on the 24 and 25 October. During the landfall, the windspeed was 82-100 km/hour, he added.

“There has been no report of any casualty anywhere. We have achieved the target of zero casualty due to proper planning and execution. We have shifted more than 6 lakh people to safer places. Airport services have become normal. The first flight landed in Bhubaneswar at 9 am and all the road blockage will be cleared by 1 pm today,” the Chief Minister said.

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