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Apathy’s skeletons at the doors of power

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UNIQUE PROTEST: Farmers present their case before an authority figure, symbolised by a man in a Modi mask

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]A group of destitute farmers from Tamil Nadu are on a now-month-long hunger strike at Jantar Mantar in Delhi, demanding loan waivers, water for their fields and a little mercy. APN spoke to some of them, through their leader Ayyakkannu

By Meha Mathur

Skeletons of abject apathy cry on the streets of the national capital today. They scream to meet the Prime Minister, but when you can’t provide the threat of 50,000 tractors entering Delhi to clog the streets, as the Jat agitation did to push for reservation, your PM might as well be living in another land.

Thus is the fate of starving farmers from Tamil Nadu, a state in deep drought. Thus is the state of people who have nothing but the skeletons of their loved ones to show, just for a little mercy.

Damodaran, from the Nagapattinam district of Tamil Nadu, says he had taken a loan of Rs 4.5 lakh to buy a tractor. He managed to replay Rs 3.5 lakh. But then, he says, he suddenly saw his accumulated due, including interest, had jumped to a mammoth amount that was completely beyond his capacity to pay.

Faced with constant threats, his wife committed suicide. Damodaran has brought a skull, claiming it to be that of his wife’s, to a protest hunger strike in the Capital, a blunt reminder to the government that achche din can’t be claimed in a bubble of words.

DIRE STRAITS: A distraught farmer narrates his misfortunes during the stir

DIRE STRAITS: A distraught farmer narrates his misfortunes during the stir

One hundred and seventy four farmers had joined the protest mid-March. They begged and borrowed Rs 2,000-5,000 from relatives and friends and even sold jewellery to finance their Delhi trip to join the protest, in the hope of getting justice. They also want their honour and respect restored. They say that banks, in trying to extract the loan amount from them, resort to the most humiliating tactics—like questioning where they get the money to buy clothes when there’s no money to repay loans. Stripped of all dignity, these farmers have decided to come in bare minimum attire, to try and shame those in government.

On April 10, a few farmers stripped near the PMO, when they had gone to present a memorandum of their demands to the Prime Minister and were denied audience.

Many have been forced to go back as because money dried out, or as they fell ill. But even now, 23 farmers continue with their hunger strike. Occupying a sizeable portion of the protest street at Jantar Mantar. They have been visited by politicians (such as Rahul Gandhi), environmentalists like Vandana Shiva as well religious figures. They are here to bring to government and media notice their dire condition.

Two small victories did happen. First, with the Madras High Court directing the state government to waive loans and secondly a central drought grant that has just about surfaced.

The root cause

The crisis is primarily on account of a severe water shortage. It hasn’t rained sufficiently in the last 10 years, and the Cauvery water dispute is very real to these farmers, receiving so little of an already drying river that both Tamil Nadu and Karnataka desperately rely upon, that it never really is enough.

AT THE HELM: Ayyakkannu, the leader of the stir

AT THE HELM: Ayyakkannu, the leader of the stir

Ayyakkannu, a big farmer and a lawyer, who is leading this protest, informs that such a severe drought had not happened in the last 140 years.

The crops of paddy, banana and sugarcane, which are as such water intensive crops, are failing and are no more profitable. Four-hundred farmers have committed suicide. He informs that Tamil Nadu had demanded Rs 2,600 crore from the central government as input subsidy, out of which Rs 1,748 crore has been given.

Of the total relief fund of Rs 1,712.1 crore announced for Tamil Nadu recently by the Centre, 1,447.99 crore is for kharif drought relief and Rs 264.11 crore for the destruction in the cyclonic storm Vardha.

The decision to provide relief under NDRF to both states was taken in the recent meeting of a high level committee chaired by Home Minister Rajnath Singh.

Ayyakkannu, 72, owns 20 acres of land and is also a lawyer specializing in criminal law. He has handled 200 to 300 cases and, strangely enough, 5,000 related divorce cases. He says he was moved when individuals started coming to him seeking divorce because the partner has not been able to repay bank loans and life has become hell. Their pathetic condition led him to start a farmers’ association and he decided to take up his cases free of cost.

With 70 percent shortfall of rains in Tamil Nadu, the desperation is clear. The farmers had protested in front of the office of Trichy’s collector holding dead rats in their mouths in December 2016. The state government has already pressed the panic button. The then chief minister O Panneerselvam declared the state draught-hit on January 10, and the government requested the centre for a relief of Rs 39,565 crore from the National Disaster Response Fund (NDRF).

Education takes a hit

Akhilan of Trichy district got admission to first year BE at Annai Mathammal Sheela Engineering College, but when he approached the Bank of Baroda for an education loan, he was told that since his father, a farmer, had already taken a loan of Rs 1,75,000, which he had been unable to repay, the son could not be given any further loan. Akhilan had to surrender his seat. Frustrated, he even tried to commit suicide.

John Milkiyo Raj had taken Rs 4 lakh from the Bank of Baroda in 2007, and although he has paid back 2 lakh already, a huge amount (including interest) is still pending. The only recourse now is to sell off his land to repay. And Nachamma from Trichy, who had taken a loan of Rs 3 lakh for a bore well on her seven-acre land in 2012, could repay only R 1.5 lakh, and still has a huge amount pending against her. Her jewels have been auctioned, including the mangalsutra. Today, her husband is working as a watchman for a salary of Rs 2,500 per month, and her two married sons, unable to sustain themselves on farming returns, are working as railway porters.  

THE SURVIVOR: A protester displays the skulls of his brethren who committed suicide

THE SURVIVOR: A protester displays the skulls of his brethren who committed suicide

SR Kannan, a graduate in geography, took a loan of Rs 3 lakh from the Syndicate Bank and Rs 3 lakh from the Indian Bank, and since has pledged his jewellery, that has been auctioned. Now his worry is how to save his land from being auctioned too.

The river of hope

A strong notion that he and his fellow farmers harbour is that interlinking of rivers will somehow solve the problem. The environmentalists’ argument that it might create havoc with nature is lost on them. Ayyakkannu says: “The water resource ministry has examined the proposal and said it was feasible. But no steps have been taken so far.”

D Davidraj, a graduate in history and young farmer from Kanyakumari, also feels that interlinking of rivers between north and south India can solve the problem as “north India has a lot of water”. Davidraj owns a five acre banana field, and has also suffered due to paucity of water. The first time that he cultivated banana, he got good returns, and invested that in the next season. But then the rains failed. Now, the still-optimistic youngster sits flanked by his friends, among them an IIT-Kharagpur graduate, who points out how drastically the water level has fallen, from 130 feet to 270 feet. He also points out how, while the government is letting the powerful multinational Pepsi draw excess water in Tirunelveli, commoners adjacent to it are facing extreme hardship.

As a matter of fact, in March this year, a Madras High Court bench in Madurai dismissed a clutch of petitions against the supply of surface water of Tamirabarani to Pepsi and Coca-Cola at their plants in Gangaikondan in Tirunelveli, whereas in November 2016 the court had put an interim ban on co-packers of these two cold drink companies from using surface water.

A partial victory for the protesting farmers has been achieved, with the Madras High Court directing the state government on April 4 to waive loans of all farmers. In 2016 the state government had agreed to waive loans to small and marginal farmers owning land up to five acres (16.9 lakh farmers), but now an additional  3.01 lakh farmers have been brought into the ambit of loan waivers. This means that an additional burden of Rs 1,980 crore will now be incurred by the state, while the state had originally planned a loan waiver of Rs 5,780 crore.

The farmers now want a similar loan waiver from centralized banks, too.

It might be a big economic cost, but considering that 400 farmers have already taken their lives, it’s definitely worth the pain.

Photos by Anil Shakya[/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]

India News

Sharad Pawar admitted to Mumbai hospital hours after Pune discharge

NCP (SP) chief Sharad Pawar was admitted to Mumbai’s Breach Candy Hospital hours after being discharged from Pune’s Ruby Hall Clinic, where he had been undergoing medical observation following complaints of cough and chest pain.

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Sharad Pawar

Nationalist Congress Party (Sharadchandra Pawar) chief Sharad Pawar was admitted to Mumbai’s Breach Candy Hospital on Wednesday, just hours after being discharged from Pune’s Ruby Hall Clinic. His daughter and Baramati MP Supriya Sule confirmed the development in a social media post, saying that the veteran politician was being admitted for further medical tests.

The 85-year-old leader had been discharged from Ruby Hall Clinic earlier on Wednesday after being admitted on November 2 following complaints of cough and pleuritic chest pain.

Confirming his admission to the Mumbai hospital, Supriya Sule said, “We are admitting Baba to Breach Candy Hospital for further tests. Thank you all for your concern and good wishes.”

Pawar’s latest hospitalisation came after he had undergone medical tests and observation during his stay at the Pune facility. Sule had earlier said that his health parameters were stable.

Why was Sharad Pawar admitted to hospital?

Sharad Pawar was initially admitted to Pune’s Ruby Hall Clinic on November 2 after experiencing complaints of cough and pleuritic pain, a form of chest pain that generally becomes worse while breathing, coughing or sneezing.

Dr Purvez K Grant, chief cardiologist, chairman and managing trustee of Ruby Hall Clinic, had said that Pawar was admitted for a general health check-up and medical observation following complaints of pleuritic pain.

During his hospital stay, Supriya Sule had informed that Pawar was undergoing medical tests and that his health parameters remained stable.

He was subsequently discharged from the Pune hospital on Wednesday. However, hours later, his family decided to admit him to Mumbai’s Breach Candy Hospital for further medical examinations.

PM Modi calls Sharad Pawar, advises complete rest

Prime Minister Narendra Modi also spoke to Sharad Pawar over the phone on Wednesday morning to enquire about his health.

According to Pawar’s aide Vitthal Maniyar, the Prime Minister spoke to the NCP (SP) chief and advised him to take complete rest.

Maniyar said Modi told Pawar that his daughter Supriya Sule and others were ready to take care of the country, and that the veteran politician should focus on his health.

Pawar thanked the Prime Minister for enquiring about his well-being, the aide said.

Maniyar also said that Pawar told Modi that he was resting and had no worries about the country, as others were there to take care of things.

The latest hospital admission was confirmed by Supriya Sule, who said her father was being taken to Breach Candy Hospital for further tests.

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Ramayana Day 1 Box Office: Ranbir Kapoor film eyes Rs. 100 crore-plus opening

Ramayana is expected to make a strong start at the Indian box office, with trade experts projecting a Day 1 opening of around Rs. 100 crore to Rs. 125 crore. The film’s China prospects remain uncertain.

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Ramayana Teaser

Nitesh Tiwari’s Ramayana is heading for a potentially massive opening at the Indian box office, with trade experts predicting that the film could collect more than Rs. 100 crore on its first day.

The film, starring Ranbir Kapoor, Yash and Sai Pallavi, is scheduled for theatrical release on November 5. Produced by Namit Malhotra, the mythological epic has generated significant expectations because of its cast, scale, music and visual effects.

Trade analyst Ramesh Bala has given the most optimistic domestic opening estimate, expecting around Rs. 125 crore gross in India on Day 1. He believes the Hindi version and the film’s premium-format availability could help drive its opening, particularly across the Hindi-speaking markets.

Exhibitor and trade analyst Akshaye Rathi has offered a slightly more conservative estimate, putting the film’s nationwide opening at around Rs. 100 crore or more across languages. He noted that the pre-Diwali release period could influence the opening numbers because audiences are occupied with Diwali preparations and shopping.

Veteran trade analyst Komal Nahta also expects the film to reach the Rs. 100-crore range across languages. His estimate is around Rs. 60 crore for the Hindi version, with the total across all languages potentially reaching Rs. 100 crore or more.

Ramayana vs Dhurandhar 2

One of the key box-office questions is whether Ramayana can surpass the opening-day performance of Dhurandhar 2.

Trade experts are cautious about making that comparison. Bala expects a strong opening but pointed out that Dhurandhar 2 benefited from being a sequel and having substantial pre-release hype.

Nahta believes Ramayana is unlikely to surpass Dhurandhar 2 on Day 1, partly because of the timing of its release. Rathi also expects a strong start but highlighted the pre-Diwali period as a factor that could affect the film’s initial numbers.

These are trade projections, rather than confirmed box-office figures. The actual Day 1 collection will depend on occupancy, spot bookings and audience response after the film’s release.

Why Ramayana has strong box-office potential

The film has several factors working in its favour. Its cast includes Ranbir Kapoor as Ram, Sai Pallavi as Sita and Yash as Ravana, while Nitesh Tiwari is directing the project.

The film also features music by AR Rahman and visual effects from DNEG, giving it a large-scale cinematic presentation. Trade experts believe the combination of mythology, star power and spectacle could attract audiences across different sections of the country.

The familiarity of the Ramayana story is another major factor. Experts believe its cultural and emotional connection with Indian audiences gives the film an advantage that many other releases do not have.

What could happen in China?

China is one of the biggest uncertainties surrounding Ramayana’s overseas prospects.

Nitesh Tiwari’s previous film Dangal had a major run in China, but trade experts have differing views on whether that success can be repeated with Ramayana.

Ramesh Bala has taken a cautious position. He pointed out that Dangal’s success was influenced by several factors and that Ramayana’s mythological subject may not have the same familiarity among Chinese audiences.

Akshaye Rathi, however, sees considerable international potential. He believes that audiences outside India could approach the Ramayana as a fresh story and that effective international marketing could help the film connect with viewers in markets such as China.

Komal Nahta is also optimistic about China and believes the emotional journey of Sita could appeal to Chinese audiences.

The film’s potential in China therefore remains an expectation rather than a confirmed outcome. Its eventual performance will depend on the scale of its release, marketing and audience reception.

Can Ramayana recover its reported budget?

The film has been widely associated with a reported budget of around Rs. 4,000 crore, although trade experts caution that this figure could relate to the two-part project rather than the first instalment alone.

Ramesh Bala suggested that the reported Rs. 4,000 crore figure could cover both parts and said the exact allocation for the first film remains unclear. Komal Nahta estimated the cost of the first part at around Rs. 1,200 crore.

The experts also pointed to non-theatrical revenue, including OTT and satellite rights, as important factors in determining whether the project can recover its investment.

Can Ramayana become India’s biggest film?

The possibility of Ramayana challenging major box-office records is also being discussed ahead of its release.

Bala said the film has the ingredients to compete at the highest level, while Rathi believes it has the potential to become the highest-grossing Indian film worldwide. Nahta, however, has avoided making a definitive prediction before audiences see the film.

The experts also differed on the film’s eventual worldwide theatrical earnings. Bala suggested that it could potentially reach Rs. 1,000-1,500 crore, while Nahta gave an even broader possible range. Rathi did not put a specific figure on it but said the film could potentially reach the top tier of Indian cinema’s global box-office performers.

Ticket prices could affect the opening

Another factor attracting attention is the premium pricing for formats such as IMAX.

Ramesh Bala expects the makers to benefit from higher ticket prices during the initial period but believes prices could come down after the opening week.

Komal Nahta defended the strategy, arguing that the pricing could help a film that has involved such a large reported investment. Audiences who do not want to pay premium prices could instead opt for regular screenings.

Ramayana’s box-office verdict will depend on audience response

While the pre-release projections point towards a major opening, the longer-term performance of Ramayana will ultimately depend on audience reception and word of mouth.

The trade experts broadly agree that the film has the scale, cast and story required for a major theatrical run. However, its actual performance in India, China and other international markets can only be established after its release.

For now, the projections indicate that Ramayana could cross the Rs. 100-crore mark in India on its opening day, while its potential to become one of the biggest Indian films globally remains dependent on how audiences respond to the film.

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India News

Four militants killed as rival Naga groups clash in Manipur village

Four militants were killed in a gunfight between suspected rival Naga groups at Taodaijang village in Manipur’s Noney district on Wednesday.

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Manipur violence

At least four militants were killed in a gunfight between suspected rival Naga militant groups in Manipur’s Noney district on Wednesday, November 4.

The exchange of fire took place at Taodaijang village in the Khoupum area of the Naga-majority district. According to officials, the cadres involved were suspected to belong to rival Naga militant outfits, including the Zeliangrong United Front-Jenchui (ZUF-J) and the Zeliangrong United Front-Kamson (ZUF-K).

Initial reports indicated that the gunfight continued for several hours, leaving three cadres of ZUF-J and one cadre of ZUF-K dead.

The bodies of the deceased militants were subsequently recovered by local residents.

Residents appeal to armed groups to stop firing

Following the gunfight, local residents, including women, reached the spot in an attempt to prevent further violence between the rival groups.

They also used a public address system to appeal to the armed cadres to stop firing and prevent the situation from escalating further.

Further details about the circumstances surrounding the clash were awaited.

Manipur government reviews security situation

In a separate development, Manipur Chief Minister Yumnam Khemchand Singh directed senior security officials to identify active armed groups suspected of involvement in recent incidents of violence in the state.

The directive excluded groups engaged in peace talks with the state government.

The Chief Minister issued the instructions during a review meeting on the state’s law and order situation on Tuesday night.

He also asked security agencies, including the Army and central paramilitary forces, to submit a detailed report on the involvement of the suspected groups.

The Chief Minister said the state Cabinet could consider declaring such groups unlawful if their involvement in violence against innocent civilians was established.

He also emphasised that necessary action would be initiated against groups continuing to perpetrate violence against civilians.

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