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By elections to Gorakhpur, Phulpur, Araria Lok Sabha seats test for Modi, Adityanath

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By elections to Gorakhpur, Phulpur, Araria Lok Sabha seats test for Modi, Adityanath

The Election Commission on Friday, February 9, announced March 11 as the date for by-elections to Lok Sabha seats of Gorakhpur and Phulpur in Uttar Pradesh and Araria in Bihar.

Gorakhpur and Phulpur Lok Sabha constituencies were vacated by BJP’s Yogi Adityanath and Keshav Prasad Maurya in September 2017, six months after the former took over as chief minister of Uttar Pradesh and appointed Maurya as his deputy in March 2017.

The poll panel also announced the schedule for by elections to the Araria Lok Sabha seat along with Bhabua and Jehanabad assembly constituencies of Bihar. All these seats will witness polling on March 11 while the results will be declared on March 14.

No decision has been taken about the Kairana Lok Sabha seat which fell vacant after the death of its MP Hukum Singh earlier this month.

The by-elections, especially for the Lok Sabha seats, assume great significance for the BJP in the aftermath of the drubbing that the saffron party received at the hands of the Congress in the by-polls to Rajasthan’s Alwar and Ajmer parliamentary constituencies. Although the BJP is widely expected to sweep the by poll in Gorakhpur, the pocketborough of Yogi Adityanath and a seat he represented in the Lok Sabha for five consecutive terms since 1998, the battle to retain the Phulpur seat vacated by Maurya is expected to be a hard-fought one.

Similarly, the by-poll to the Araria Lok Sabha seat – necessitated by the demise of RJD’s Mohammed Taslimuddin who had won the seat in the 2014 general elections despite the ‘Modi wave’ – and to the two assembly constituencies in the state will be the first electoral test of chief minister Nitish Kumar since his hasty break-up with the RJD and Congress last year and his return to the NDA.

With RJD chief Lalu Prasad Yadav behind bars following three guilty sentences in the fodder scam related cases and his son, former deputy chief minister Tejashwi Yadav leading the charge against the Nitish Kumar-led state government, result of the three by polls in Bihar will show whether the electorate has accepted the chief minister’s decision to “betray” the mandate given to the Mahagathbandhan in 2015 and hitch his wagon to the saffron front

There is speculation that BSP supremo and Dalit leader Mayawati could be persuaded by a combined Opposition in Uttar Pradesh to contest the Phulpur by poll. Mayawati or her party have so far not given any indication on whether this proposal has been accepted. However, if the Opposition parties in UP – the Akhilesh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party, the BSP and the Congress – succeed in putting their differences aside and let be the sole serious challenger to the BJP in Phulpur, the result could very well upset the saffron party.

For the BJP, a defeat in UP will be a major political setback as the state had overwhelmingly voted for the party in the 2014 Lok Sabha polls – giving it 73 of the total 80 seats – and then again in the 2017 assembly elections that saw the saffron party get a stunning majority and come to power under the chief ministership of Adityanath. The BJP’s victory in the UP assembly polls and choice of its CM candidate had signalled that the saffron party was willing to shun its self-claimed electoral plank of development and return to its time-tested, albeit divisive, agenda of Hindutva.

If the BJP suffers a defeat in Phulpur, compounded by possible setbacks in Bihar, the results will be used by the Congress-led Opposition to claim that the ‘Modi mania’ that had put the saffron party on a four-year-long upswing was finally waning. With nearly a dozen assembly elections lined up for the next year, leading up to the 2019 general elections, a debacle in these by polls will help the Congress build a narrative of its resurgence while granting those sections of the electorate who are getting disenchanted with Narendra Modi and his party the confidence to shun the BJP in subsequent polls.

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Rahul Gandhi attacks Centre ahead of Vladimir Putin’s India visit

Rahul Gandhi alleged that the government discourages visiting foreign dignitaries from meeting Opposition leaders, calling it a sign of “insecurity,” hours before Russian President Vladimir Putin arrives in Delhi.

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Rahul Gandhi

As Russian President Vladimir Putin arrives in Delhi today for the India-Russia Annual Summit, Leader of the Opposition Rahul Gandhi has renewed his charge that the Centre discourages visiting foreign leaders from meeting Opposition representatives. He called it a sign of “insecurity” within the government.

Rahul Gandhi alleges break in long-followed tradition

Speaking outside Parliament, Rahul Gandhi said that it has traditionally been the norm for visiting foreign leaders to meet the Leader of the Opposition, a practice he claims continued during the tenures of Atal Bihari Vajpayee and Manmohan Singh.

He alleged that the present government advises foreign dignitaries against such meetings. “When foreign leaders come, the government suggests they should not meet the Leader of the Opposition. This is their policy,” Gandhi said. He added that a meeting with the Opposition offers visiting leaders a broader perspective, as “we too represent India.”

Gandhi further stated that this approach reflects the government’s reluctance to allow engagement between the Opposition and foreign guests.

Former Foreign Secretary counters Gandhi’s remarks

Responding to Gandhi’s allegations, former Foreign Secretary and Rajya Sabha MP Harsh Vardhan Shringla said visiting leaders operate on very tight schedules and there is no protocol mandating a meeting with the Leader of the Opposition. He stressed that such interactions depend entirely on the guest’s time and preference, noting that the required meetings are those with the President and the Prime Minister.

Putin’s schedule packed with bilateral engagements

Russian President Vladimir Putin is set to land in Delhi this evening on Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s invitation. His itinerary includes:

  • A private dinner with PM Modi
  • Visit to Mahatma Gandhi’s memorial at Raj Ghat
  • Engagements at Bharat Mandapam and Hyderabad House
  • A banquet hosted by President Droupadi Murmu

The visit forms part of the 23rd India-Russia Annual Summit.

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TMC MLA Humayun Kabir suspended after Babri Mosque replica proposal sparks row

TMC suspended MLA Humayun Kabir after he proposed building a Babri mosque replica in Murshidabad, a move that drew criticism from the party and sparked political tension.

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Trinamool Congress on Thursday suspended MLA Humayun Kabir after he publicly announced plans to construct a replica of the Babri Masjid in West Bengal’s Murshidabad district. Party leaders said Kabir had earlier been cautioned for making such statements but continued to push ahead with the controversial proposal.

Kolkata Mayor Firhad Hakim said the MLA’s remarks were unacceptable, stressing that the party stood firmly by its secular stance. “We noticed that one of our MLAs suddenly declared he would build the Babri masjid. We had warned him before. As per the party’s decision, we are suspending him,” he said.

Kabir vows to continue project, may form new party

Kabir had planned to lay the foundation stone for the mosque replica in Beldanga on December 6. Sources indicated he is likely to resign from Trinamool on Friday and float a new party while continuing with the project.

The choice of date and nature of the project drew sharp criticism from the Trinamool leadership. Hakim alleged the move reflected a “divisional politics” strategy aligned with the BJP. “Why December 6? He could build a school or college. This is divisional politics,” he said.

Sources also said Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee was “hugely annoyed” by Kabir’s remarks and informed him that the party would not support or associate with such activities.

Governor raises concerns, administration on alert

West Bengal Governor Ananda Bose questioned why action was not being taken if the MLA’s statements risked creating a law-and-order issue. He said intelligence inputs suggested attempts to turn Murshidabad into a “hub of scandal,” adding that authorities would not remain silent if communal tensions were provoked.

Officials confirmed that while Kabir has permission to hold the December 6 event, the administration is maintaining a high-level alert in Murshidabad.

Minutes after his suspension, Kabir withdrew from Mamata Banerjee’s rally in the India–Bangladesh border district, where she was protesting against the Special Intensive Revision (SIR) of voter lists.

BJP attacks Kabir over remarks

BJP spokesperson Pratul Shah Deo condemned Kabir’s comments, claiming they were intended to “create communal tensions.” He said any attempt to raise structures linked to historical rulers would trigger disputes similar to the Babri Masjid conflict.

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Karnataka Power Shift: What Siddaramaiah–DK Shivakumar compromise formula means

A closer look at the emerging ‘compromise formula’ between Karnataka’s top leaders Siddaramaiah and DK Shivakumar, and how it may shape the state’s political future.

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A possible settlement between Karnataka Chief Minister Siddaramaiah and Deputy Chief Minister DK Shivakumar has emerged, signalling a calmer phase in the leadership tussle within the state Congress. While the final decision rests with the party leadership in Delhi, details of the so-called “compromise formula” are gradually becoming clearer.

Breakfast diplomacy calms tensions

After weeks of speculation over friction between the two top leaders, Siddaramaiah and Shivakumar met over breakfast today. The meeting, aimed at projecting unity, served as a symbolic reset after their strained ties over the chief ministership question.

Analysts believe the optics were crucial — the Congress successfully avoided a public showdown by diffusing tensions before they escalated further.

A transition of power likely, say analysts

According to political observers, the compromise indicates a strong possibility of Shivakumar taking over as Chief Minister in a smooth transition, potentially as early as March–April 2026.
For now, sources say the arrangement requires Shivakumar to continue as Deputy Chief Minister without pushing for immediate change.

In return, the formula reportedly includes more cabinet positions for leaders loyal to Shivakumar and continuation of his role as the state Congress chief. Siddaramaiah is also expected to back Shivakumar as the party’s face for the 2028 Assembly election.

Why the Congress prefers this route

Replacing Siddaramaiah abruptly would not only upset internal balance but could also weaken the party, given his stature and mass appeal. Shivakumar, despite his influence, does not have the numbers within the legislature to force a takeover, making compromise the most viable path.

Siddaramaiah has already stated that this will be his final term as Chief Minister. With his legacy secure and his position as one of Karnataka’s tallest leaders intact, he appears willing to enable a dignified transition when the time comes.

Variables that could shape the final outcome

The success of the formula depends on three key factors:

1. Trust between the two leaders

Whether Shivakumar believes Siddaramaiah will keep his word remains uncertain. Karnataka’s political history is full of last-minute shifts, giving rise to the phrase “natak in Karnataka”.

2. Decision-making by the Congress high command

Delhi’s leadership must ensure the transition happens on time and without internal resistance, especially in the run-up to the 2028 Assembly polls.

3. Caste equations and political alignment

Siddaramaiah is the strongest face of the AHINDA bloc, while Shivakumar represents the OBC Vokkaliga community. The Congress cannot afford to alienate either group, making the timing and execution of any transition extremely delicate.

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