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By elections to Gorakhpur, Phulpur, Araria Lok Sabha seats test for Modi, Adityanath

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By elections to Gorakhpur, Phulpur, Araria Lok Sabha seats test for Modi, Adityanath

The Election Commission on Friday, February 9, announced March 11 as the date for by-elections to Lok Sabha seats of Gorakhpur and Phulpur in Uttar Pradesh and Araria in Bihar.

Gorakhpur and Phulpur Lok Sabha constituencies were vacated by BJP’s Yogi Adityanath and Keshav Prasad Maurya in September 2017, six months after the former took over as chief minister of Uttar Pradesh and appointed Maurya as his deputy in March 2017.

The poll panel also announced the schedule for by elections to the Araria Lok Sabha seat along with Bhabua and Jehanabad assembly constituencies of Bihar. All these seats will witness polling on March 11 while the results will be declared on March 14.

No decision has been taken about the Kairana Lok Sabha seat which fell vacant after the death of its MP Hukum Singh earlier this month.

The by-elections, especially for the Lok Sabha seats, assume great significance for the BJP in the aftermath of the drubbing that the saffron party received at the hands of the Congress in the by-polls to Rajasthan’s Alwar and Ajmer parliamentary constituencies. Although the BJP is widely expected to sweep the by poll in Gorakhpur, the pocketborough of Yogi Adityanath and a seat he represented in the Lok Sabha for five consecutive terms since 1998, the battle to retain the Phulpur seat vacated by Maurya is expected to be a hard-fought one.

Similarly, the by-poll to the Araria Lok Sabha seat – necessitated by the demise of RJD’s Mohammed Taslimuddin who had won the seat in the 2014 general elections despite the ‘Modi wave’ – and to the two assembly constituencies in the state will be the first electoral test of chief minister Nitish Kumar since his hasty break-up with the RJD and Congress last year and his return to the NDA.

With RJD chief Lalu Prasad Yadav behind bars following three guilty sentences in the fodder scam related cases and his son, former deputy chief minister Tejashwi Yadav leading the charge against the Nitish Kumar-led state government, result of the three by polls in Bihar will show whether the electorate has accepted the chief minister’s decision to “betray” the mandate given to the Mahagathbandhan in 2015 and hitch his wagon to the saffron front

There is speculation that BSP supremo and Dalit leader Mayawati could be persuaded by a combined Opposition in Uttar Pradesh to contest the Phulpur by poll. Mayawati or her party have so far not given any indication on whether this proposal has been accepted. However, if the Opposition parties in UP – the Akhilesh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party, the BSP and the Congress – succeed in putting their differences aside and let be the sole serious challenger to the BJP in Phulpur, the result could very well upset the saffron party.

For the BJP, a defeat in UP will be a major political setback as the state had overwhelmingly voted for the party in the 2014 Lok Sabha polls – giving it 73 of the total 80 seats – and then again in the 2017 assembly elections that saw the saffron party get a stunning majority and come to power under the chief ministership of Adityanath. The BJP’s victory in the UP assembly polls and choice of its CM candidate had signalled that the saffron party was willing to shun its self-claimed electoral plank of development and return to its time-tested, albeit divisive, agenda of Hindutva.

If the BJP suffers a defeat in Phulpur, compounded by possible setbacks in Bihar, the results will be used by the Congress-led Opposition to claim that the ‘Modi mania’ that had put the saffron party on a four-year-long upswing was finally waning. With nearly a dozen assembly elections lined up for the next year, leading up to the 2019 general elections, a debacle in these by polls will help the Congress build a narrative of its resurgence while granting those sections of the electorate who are getting disenchanted with Narendra Modi and his party the confidence to shun the BJP in subsequent polls.

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CJP leaders Saurav Das, Ashutosh Ranka, Ajinkya Shinde sent to 5-day judicial custody

Three CJP leaders, Saurav Das, Ashutosh Ranka and Ajinkya Shinde, were placed under preventive arrest following a protest at Delhi’s Jantar Mantar over Chief Election Commissioner Gyanesh Kumar.

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Three leaders of the Cockroach Janata Party (CJP) — Saurav Das, Ashutosh Ranka and Ajinkya Shinde — have been placed under preventive arrest in connection with a protest at Delhi’s Jantar Mantar, where demonstrators demanded the resignation of Chief Election Commissioner Gyanesh Kumar.

The three were detained early Tuesday after crossing police barricades and entering Jantar Mantar, which was recently removed from the list of designated protest venues. A case was registered against them over their alleged actions.

According to the police case, the charges include trespassing, violation of a bond, and obstructing a public official from performing official duties.

The three leaders were produced before a Special Court of the Executive Magistrate on Wednesday and could be sent to judicial custody at Tihar Jail.

Why CJP leaders protested at Jantar Mantar

The protest comes amid demonstrations by the CJP and opposition groups over alleged irregularities in the Special Intensive Revision (SIR) of electoral rolls.

The protesters were demanding the resignation of Chief Election Commissioner Gyanesh Kumar. The controversy centres on allegations concerning the electoral roll revision exercise, which the Election Commission and the BJP have denied.

Jantar Mantar was recently removed from the list of designated protest venues in Delhi. The change followed an order naming alternative locations for demonstrations, prompting criticism from groups that want to hold protests at the established site.

CJP legal team raises concerns over detention

Ratna Singh, head of the CJP legal team, said in a post on X that Delhi Police had arrested Saurav Das, Ashutosh Ranka and Ajinkya Shinde at Parliament Street Police Station in connection with the Jantar Mantar case.

Singh alleged that the three were brought to the police station in a private van at around 3 am and were not allowed to meet their lawyers until late at night.

She also raised concerns about the legal process and the possibility of the leaders being sent to judicial custody.

The allegations regarding access to legal counsel were made by the CJP legal team and should be distinguished from the charges registered by the police.

The arrests mark another development in the ongoing dispute over protests at Jantar Mantar and the CJP’s campaign against the Chief Election Commissioner over the SIR exercise.

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BJP focuses on religion as opposition pushes BDM strategy in UP

The BJP is emphasising religious issues ahead of the Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections, while opposition parties are seeking to consolidate Backward, Dalit and Minority voters. Recent exchanges involving Yogi Adityanath, Akhilesh Yadav and Asaduddin Owaisi have added to the political contest over the state’s electoral narrative.

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Ahead of the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections, the BJP is emphasising religious issues, while opposition parties are seeking to build a coalition of Backward, Dalit and Minority voters. The competing approaches have brought caste representation and religious messaging to the forefront of the state’s political discourse.

Recent temple-related controversies in Kashi, Ayodhya, Mathura and Sambhal have brought religious messaging back into the political conversation. The developments have also coincided with exchanges between Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath and Samajwadi Party chief Akhilesh Yadav over possible electoral contests.

Yogi Adityanath, Akhilesh Yadav trade election challenges

The latest round of political exchanges followed Yogi Adityanath’s invocation of the “80-20” formula during the Rajya Sabha election. Akhilesh Yadav subsequently challenged the Chief Minister to contest from Ayodhya.

During his visit to Ayodhya, the Samajwadi Party president attended a Bhagwat Katha but did not visit the Ram Mandir for darshan. His visit, during which he attended a Bhagwat Katha but did not visit the Ram Mandir for darshan, became another point of political discussion.

The Chief Minister responded during a visit to Balrampur, asking Akhilesh Yadav to contest against him.

The exchanges continued as political leaders questioned the Samajwadi Party chief’s religious outreach. State minister Om Prakash Rajbhar asked why Yadav had not visited Mathura, while AIMIM chief Asaduddin Owaisi challenged him to contest from Sambhal.

Responding to questions about the challenges, Akhilesh Yadav said the Chief Minister does not decide which candidates the parties nominate.

At a press conference in Lucknow, Yadav also remarked, “What could be better than getting the Chief Minister’s chair without even contesting the election?” His comment suggested that Adityanath might not contest the Assembly elections.

Adityanath, meanwhile, said he was pleased to have several options available to him.

BJP works on its own caste coalition

Alongside its emphasis on religious issues, the BJP is also seeking to broaden its social support base through caste representation.

During the Rajya Sabha elections, the party fielded three candidates from Backward Classes, two Dalits, two Brahmins and one Rajput. The Backward Class candidates included representatives of the Pal, Kurmi and Lodh communities.

The report describes the BJP’s selection of candidates from the Sonkar and Rawat communities as an attempt to attract support among the Gaur and Jatav Dalit vote banks. Its selection of two Brahmins and one Rajput was also part of its outreach to upper-caste voters.

These choices reflect the BJP’s efforts to build a social coalition that extends beyond its religious messaging as the state approaches the next Assembly election.

Akhilesh Yadav balances caste outreach with temple politics

The Samajwadi Party is also combining its BDM approach with religious outreach, described in the report as “soft Hindutva”.

Akhilesh Yadav is overseeing the construction of the Kedareshwar Temple in Etawah. When questioned about not visiting the Ram Mandir during his Ayodhya trip, he said he was waiting for the temple’s “Pran Pratishtha”, or consecration ceremony, implying that the ceremony held in 2024 did not count.

Yadav has also raised the issue of alleged theft of offerings at the Ram Temple, a move the report interprets as an attempt to appeal to Hindu voters.

The competing strategies indicate that caste representation, religious issues and temple-related controversies are all featuring in political messaging ahead of the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections.

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L Murugan quits Union ministry to strengthen BJP in Tamil Nadu

L Murugan has resigned from his Union ministerial post and Rajya Sabha membership, saying he wants to return to grassroots politics and dedicate himself to strengthening the BJP in Tamil Nadu before the 2029 Lok Sabha elections.

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L Murugan

L Murugan has resigned from his position as Union Minister of State and his Rajya Sabha membership, saying he wants to return to grassroots politics and work towards strengthening the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in Tamil Nadu ahead of the 2029 Lok Sabha elections.

Murugan, who held the portfolios of Information and Broadcasting and Parliamentary Affairs, announced his decision in a post on X on Tuesday, October 13. He described his time in the Union government under Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s leadership as a great honour and said he wanted to devote himself full-time to the party’s work in Tamil Nadu.

L Murugan says he wants to return to grassroots politics

In his post, Murugan expressed gratitude for the opportunity to serve in the Union Council of Ministers and highlighted his background as the son of daily-wage labourers.

He said he now wished to return to the grassroots, stand alongside BJP workers and dedicate his time to strengthening the party in Tamil Nadu before the next Lok Sabha elections.

Murugan’s stated objective is to help expand the BJP’s presence in the state and contribute to the party’s performance in the 2029 general elections.

Murugan’s resignation comes amid Cabinet reshuffle speculation

His decision comes amid speculation about a possible reshuffle in the Union government. The discussion gained momentum after several Rajya Sabha MPs and ministers, including Petroleum Minister Hardeep Singh Puri, were not renominated.

However, the report does not establish that the speculation about a Cabinet reshuffle was the reason for Murugan’s resignation. His publicly stated reason was his desire to return to grassroots work and strengthen the BJP in Tamil Nadu.

Murugan thanks PM Modi for the opportunity to serve

Murugan described serving India and Tamil Nadu under Modi’s leadership as one of the greatest privileges of his life. He also referred to his journey from a family of daily-wage labourers to the Union Council of Ministers.

His announcement places his immediate political focus on Tamil Nadu, with the BJP’s preparations for the 2029 Lok Sabha elections forming a central part of his stated plans.

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