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Budget 2023: Government bond yields may rise, rupee upswing capped

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Government bond yields may witness a rise this week as investors prepare for another year of record government borrowing, according to a report which adds that the Indian currency’s rise may also be capped amid meetings of major central banks.

According to a poll of economists conducted by news agency Reuters, the Union government is expected to announce a record gross borrowing of 16 trillion rupees ($196.28 billion) for 2023-24 when it presents the budget tomorrow.

Another poll predicts the fiscal deficit target at 6% of gross domestic product (GDP).

An earlier report by Reuters said that India was

Reuters reported on Friday the country was likely to keep its gross market borrowing below 16 trillion rupees ($196 billion) for 2023/24 as it does not want to destabilise the bond market with any negative surprises.

Chief investment officer for debt at IDBI Mutual Fund, Raju Sharma, believes that any figure below 15.50 trillion rupees could see some positive reaction.

India’s benchmark bond yield ended at 7.3874% on Friday, having gained 4 basis points (bps) last week after rising 5 bps in the week prior. Market participants expect the benchmark bond yield to trade in the 7.30%-7.50% band this week.

Another key number is the funds to be raised via green bonds during the fiscal year as the government raised Rs 80 billion last week, in its first-ever green bond issuance by selling five- and 10-year bonds at a coupon of 5-6 basis points lower than prevailing yields.

A major chunk was however bought by local investors.

Industry insiders believe that it doesn’t make much sense to increase the ticket size if the bonds are majorly being bought by local players.

After two weeks of ups, the rupee saw a minor dip last week at it ended at 81.5225 per dollar. The rupee may see a volatile upswing or downwards spike due the budget and three major global central bank meetings.

Analysts say that forex traders will keep an eye for any incentives to entice foreign investments and any update on India’s inclusion in global bond guides.

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Video of Bill Gates enjoying Vada Pav with Sachin Tendulkar during Mumbai visit goes viral

Gates, currently touring India, has been making waves with high-profile engagements. Earlier this week, he touched down in New Delhi, where he held discussions with Prime Minister Narendra Modi and several Union ministers.

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Microsoft co-founder and philanthropist Bill Gates delighted his followers by posting an Instagram video featuring Indian cricket icon Sachin Tendulkar, with the playful caption, “A snack break before we get to work.” The brief clip captures the duo relishing Mumbai’s beloved street food, vada pav, whilst perched on a bench, ending with a teasing “Serving soon” message splashed across the screen.

Gates, currently touring India, has been making waves with high-profile engagements. Earlier this week, he touched down in New Delhi, where he held discussions with Prime Minister Narendra Modi and several Union ministers. His itinerary then brought him to Mumbai, where he met Maharashtra Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis. The tech titan’s visit underscores his ongoing fascination with India’s innovative spirit, a theme he expanded upon in a recent blog post.

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DHbYDGXJnxq/?utm_source=ig_web_button_share_sheet

Writing on his personal site, Gates reflected on the trip’s impact: “I came away with fresh perspectives because India is brimming with clever, driven individuals addressing some of the globe’s toughest challenges in ingenious ways.” His words echo sentiments he shared ahead of the visit, when he praised Odisha’s farmers for leveraging artificial intelligence to boost agricultural outcomes—a story that’s garnered attention for its blend of tradition and technology.

The vada pav moment with Tendulkar, a national treasure, adds a light-hearted touch to Gates’s packed schedule. It’s not just a snack break; it hints at a potential collaboration, though details remain under wraps. For Indian fans, seeing two legends—one from tech, the other from cricket—share a casual bite is a rare treat, blending global influence with local flavour.

As Gates continues his journey, his interactions spotlight India’s dual role as a hub of innovation and a cultural powerhouse. Whether it’s AI-driven farming or a street-side snack with a sporting hero, his visit is proving to be a feast of ideas—and vada pav.

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Manappuram Finance shares hit record high after Bain Capital announces $508 million stake deal

Shares of Manappuram Finance surged to an all-time high after Bain Capital announced plans to acquire an 18% stake in the gold loan provider.

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Manappuram Finance shares rise after Bain Capital deal

India’s gold loan provider Manappuram Finance saw its shares soar to an all-time high on Friday after Bain Capital revealed plans to invest $508 million for an 18% stake in the company. The move, analysts say, brings clarity to Manappuram’s management succession strategy and paves the way for stronger strategic control.

Bain Capital, a U.S.-based private equity firm, will subscribe to Manappuram’s shares and warrants at Rs 236 per share — a 9% premium over Thursday’s closing price of Rs 217.5. Following the transaction, Bain will jointly control the company along with other key stakeholders, referred to as ‘promoters’ under Indian regulations.

As of 12:05 p.m. IST on Friday, Manappuram’s shares surged by as much as 6.3% to Rs 231.08, marking their highest level on record.

Founder to step back as Bain gains influence

Founder and CEO V.P. Nandakumar, who has led the company for nearly four decades, will transition to the role of non-executive chairman once the investment is finalized. With Bain Capital now having rights to influence strategic decisions and appoint key roles including the CEO, analysts at Jefferies and CLSA have responded positively.

CLSA noted that the potential for re-rating of Manappuram’s stock is strong as new leadership takes over. Jefferies and CLSA have both raised their target prices by 14.6% and 20%, respectively, maintaining bullish ratings of “buy” and “outperform.”

Deal to boost gold loan business, offset microfinance losses

The deal is expected to close in the upcoming financial year and is likely to accelerate growth in the company’s gold loan segment, which currently contributes around 75% of its total revenue. With gold prices at historic highs, the demand for gold-backed loans remains robust.

Additionally, analysts expect part of the capital raised through the deal may be used to cushion the losses in Manappuram’s microfinance division. The company confirmed that Asirvad Micro Finance, its microfinance subsidiary, will withdraw its IPO draft filing amid changing market conditions and regulatory scrutiny.

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Alphabet’s $32 billion acquisition of Wiz marks biggest cybersecurity push

Alphabet has announced a $32 billion deal to acquire Wiz, reinforcing its cloud security offerings as it competes with AWS and Microsoft Azure.

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Alphabet to acquire Wiz for $32 billion to boost cloud security

Alphabet, the parent company of Google, has announced its largest acquisition to date with a $32 billion deal to buy cybersecurity startup Wiz. The move signals Alphabet’s aggressive expansion in cloud security as it competes with Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure in the cloud computing market.

A strategic investment in cybersecurity

The acquisition will integrate Wiz into Google Cloud, reinforcing its security capabilities to help businesses mitigate cyber risks. The deal, which follows Alphabet’s previously unsuccessful $23 billion bid, underscores the company’s commitment to securing a stronger foothold in the cloud security space.

Wiz, an Israel-based firm, provides security solutions that work across major cloud providers, including Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud. The company has gained significant traction, boasting clients such as Morgan Stanley, BMW, and LVMH.

Regulatory scrutiny and financial impact

Despite the high price tag, Alphabet appears confident in securing regulatory approval under the new U.S. administration, which has maintained a watchful eye on major tech mergers. Notably, the termination fee—over $3.2 billion—stands among the highest in M&A history, signaling both parties’ commitment to closing the deal.

Alphabet’s stock dipped nearly 3% following the announcement, reflecting investor concerns over its heavy spending, particularly in AI and cloud computing. The company may need external financing, given its cash reserves of approximately $23.47 billion as of December 31, 2024.

Growing importance of cybersecurity

The acquisition highlights the increasing demand for cybersecurity solutions, especially in light of last year’s global CrowdStrike outage that disrupted businesses worldwide. Analysts suggest that for Google Cloud to compete effectively with Microsoft Azure, it must offer a more comprehensive suite of security services.

Alphabet expects the deal to be finalized in 2026, pending regulatory approvals. Meanwhile, Wiz will continue providing its services across multiple cloud platforms, potentially alleviating antitrust concerns.

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