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Monsoon 2025 arrives in Kerala, earliest onset in 16 years, IMD forecasts above-normal rainfall

The 2025 monsoon season begins with an early onset over Kerala on May 24, the fastest since 2009, as the IMD predicts above-normal rainfall and stable weather conditions.

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Heavy rainfall

The southwest monsoon officially reached Kerala on Saturday, marking its earliest onset over the Indian mainland since 2009. According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), this early arrival—on May 24—precedes the usual June 1 onset by a full week.

Meteorological records show that since 1975, only once has the monsoon arrived earlier than this—on May 19 in 1990. Despite this, experts caution that the onset date doesn’t necessarily indicate the quantity or distribution of rainfall expected throughout the monsoon season.

Typically, the monsoon begins its journey over Kerala by June 1, sweeps across the country by July 8, and starts to retreat around September 17. The full withdrawal usually concludes by October 15.

Here’s how recent years compare:

  • 2024: May 30
  • 2023: June 8
  • 2022: May 29
  • 2021: June 3
  • 2020: June 1
  • 2019: June 8
  • 2018: May 29

This year’s May 24 onset is a significant deviation from this pattern, as confirmed by IMD data.

For the 2025 monsoon, the IMD has projected above-normal cumulative rainfall. The department has also ruled out the presence of El Niño conditions, which typically suppress rainfall in the Indian subcontinent.

Based on IMD’s long-period average of 87 cm over 50 years, rainfall in the range of 96% to 104% is considered normal. For reference:

  • Above normal: 105%-110%
  • Excess: Over 110%
  • Below normal: 90%-95%
  • Deficient: Below 90%

In 2024, India recorded 934.8 mm of rainfall, equating to 108% of the average—the highest since 2020.

Past five-year rainfall data:

  • 2024: 934.8 mm (108%)
  • 2023: 820 mm (94.4%)
  • 2022: 925 mm
  • 2021: 870 mm
  • 2020: 958 mm

The monsoon season is critical to India’s economy and food security. It directly impacts the agricultural sector, which sustains the livelihood of around 42% of the population and contributes 18.2% to the national GDP. Additionally, the rains play a vital role in replenishing reservoirs essential for drinking water and hydroelectric power generation.

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Delhi Building Collapse: Many trapped as 5-storey structure comes down

A building collapsed in Delhi’s Seemapuri area on Wednesday, with several people feared trapped under the debris. Rescue teams have reached the spot.

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A building collapsed in Delhi’s Seemapuri area on Wednesday, with several people feared to be trapped under the debris.

The incident took place in northeast Delhi, where emergency teams were rushed to the site after the collapse was reported.

Rescue operation underway

A search and rescue operation has been launched at the site as authorities work to determine whether people are trapped beneath the debris.

The Delhi Fire Service received information about the collapse at around 3:30 pm and sent fire tenders to the location. An official said some people might be trapped in the debris.

The incident has prompted an emergency response in the area, with rescue personnel working to locate anyone who may be trapped.

Collapse comes a month after Satya Niketan tragedy

The Seemapuri incident comes about a month after a building collapse in Delhi’s Satya Niketan area, where people were trapped after a multi-storey structure came down.

Further details about the Seemapuri collapse, including the number of people trapped and any casualties, are awaited as the rescue operation continues.

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Bhagwant Mann hits back at BJP over CBI search in Sangrur

Bhagwant Mann hit out at the BJP over a CBI search in Sangrur, alleging political targeting and claiming the agency returned empty-handed after a nearly six-hour search.

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Punjab Chief Minister Bhagwant Mann has criticised the BJP over a CBI search at the residence of his officer on special duty (OSD) Rajbir Singh Ghuman in Sangrur, alleging that central agencies are being used against political opponents ahead of elections.

Mann said the CBI action was an indication that elections were approaching and accused the BJP of using agencies such as the CBI and Enforcement Directorate against Opposition leaders or their associates.

“The CBI raid shows that elections have arrived,” Mann said.

The Punjab Chief Minister cited cases involving Jharkhand Chief Minister Hemant Soren and leaders close to former West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee while alleging that central agencies have been used ahead of elections. He also said Aam Aadmi Party leaders faced similar action before the Delhi Assembly elections.

Mann says CBI returned empty-handed

According to Mann, the CBI search at Gharachon village in Sangrur lasted nearly six hours.

The Chief Minister claimed that the agency “did not find anything” during the search and returned empty-handed. He alleged that the action was part of a BJP conspiracy to defame him and his government.

Mann also linked the CBI action to the BJP’s anti-drug campaign in Punjab and questioned the political impact of the campaign.

He alleged that the CBI action was politically motivated and intended to create a narrative against the AAP government ahead of upcoming elections.

CBI search at Mann aide’s house

Earlier, a CBI team searched the house of Mann’s OSD Rajbir Singh Ghuman in Gharachon village in Sangrur.

The search triggered a political confrontation involving the ruling AAP and Opposition parties. Representatives of Waris Punjab De and Akali Dal Punar Surjeet gathered in the village and welcomed the CBI team.

After the CBI vehicles left the area, people were seen beating dhols, performing bhangra and showering flower petals on the vehicles carrying the agency officials.

Sources cited in the report said the CBI was investigating allegations involving people accused of causing significant losses to Punjab and looting public money.

BJP hits back at Bhagwant Mann

BJP leader Tarun Chugh criticised the response to the CBI search, calling it an “extraordinary display of shamelessness”.

Taking a swipe at AAP chief Arvind Kejriwal, Chugh said the time for political drama was over and that those responsible would have to answer for money allegedly stolen from the people of Punjab.

“Stop the drama. Let the investigation proceed and let the facts speak,” he said.

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India’s 3-part peace plan to end Russia-Ukraine war explained

India has proposed a three-part truce plan for the Russia-Ukraine war, focusing on energy infrastructure, Black Sea trade and commercial shipping.

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India has proposed a three-part truce plan aimed at reducing hostilities in the Russia-Ukraine war, with the proposal focusing on energy infrastructure, Black Sea trade and commercial shipping.

New Delhi conveyed the proposal to Ukraine during External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar’s visit to Kyiv last month, people familiar with the development said.

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha confirmed that Kyiv had received the proposal and described it as the most comprehensive among four international initiatives under consideration for ending the conflict.

What is in India’s three-part truce plan?

India’s proposal seeks action on three key areas linked to the continuing conflict.

First, it calls for an end to attacks on energy facilities and other infrastructure.

Second, the plan seeks to ensure that grain and energy continue to move through Black Sea ports, protecting important commodity flows.

Third, it proposes ending attacks on commercial shipping travelling through the Black Sea.

The proposal therefore brings together energy infrastructure, trade and maritime security as part of a broader ceasefire framework.

How does Ukraine view India’s proposal?

Ukraine has said it is willing to consider different formats for a truce.

Mr Sybiha said any agreement should go beyond combat operations and address attacks on energy and port infrastructure as well as the situation in the Black Sea.

Ukraine has also received ceasefire proposals from Turkey, Egypt and the United States. According to diplomatic sources, India’s plan differs from the Egyptian and Turkish proposals, which primarily focus on maintaining the flow of grain from the Black Sea by seeking an end to attacks on commercial shipping.

The US proposal, meanwhile, focuses on an “energy ceasefire”.

India steps up peace efforts

India has maintained that dialogue and diplomacy are the way forward for resolving conflicts.

Earlier this week, Mr Jaishankar said New Delhi had moved beyond advocacy and was holding practical discussions with both Moscow and Kyiv on reducing hostilities.

He said India had been discussing issues including the safety of Black Sea shipping, grain and energy exports and possibilities for avoiding attacks.

The proposal comes as India seeks a more active role in diplomatic efforts to reduce the intensity of the Russia-Ukraine conflict while continuing its engagement with both sides.

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