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Pre-monsoon showers by July 27, monsoon to hit Delhi by June 29

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Pre-monsoon showers by July 27, monsoon to hit Delhi by June 29

After stalling for an abnormally long period of 11 days, monsoon has revived to spread into more parts of Central India and is expected to hit Delhi on June 29, its normal onset date for the national capital.

Conditions are becoming favourable for pre-monsoon thunderstorm activity over parts of northwest India from June 27, Indian Meteorological Department’s (IMD) Additional Director General Mritunjay Mohapatra said.

After making an early arrival on May 29 when it Kerala coast, three days ahead of its normal on-set date, the Southwest Monsoon covered the coastal parts of Kerala, Karnataka, Maharashtra and south Gujarat. After a fortnight, the system had remained stalled since June 12 for an unusually long period of 11 days due to unfavourable conditions in the Indian Ocean, from where the rain-laden winds originate. This has resulted in a countrywide rainfall deficit of 11%.

Reviving after the lull, the monsoon advanced into more parts of central India on Sunday. Met officials expect its progress to continue, with the rain-bearing system now looking likely to cover parts of north India, including Delhi, by June 29 to July 1.

Before that, pre-monsoon showers are expected in north India from Tuesday or Wednesday, which could be quite widespread.

“We expect good rainfall in the next few days that will hopefully wipe out much of the deficit by the end of this month,” said M Mohapatra, additional director-general, IMD.

The monsoon covers the entire country normally by the middle of July.

Pre-monsoon showers by July 27, monsoon to hit Delhi by June 29

IMD expects a good monsoon in the crucial sowing month of July, during which it has forecast 101% rainfall (1 percentage point higher than normal) while the forecast for the entire June-September period is 97%, on the lower end of the normal range.

Its forecast along similar lines, Skymet weather also said isolated thunderstorm activity is expected to commence over Delhi and the NCR region around June 26. However, for the next 24 hours, heatwave like conditions will persist.

Thereafter, easterly winds will start moving towards Delhi and NCR along with the Northern Plains leading to the commencement of Pre-Monsoon activities around June 27.

Gradually, these Pre-Monsoon activities will start increasing. Thus, on and off rains will continue for some time. The normal date of arrival of monsoon over Delhi is around June 29 and we expect timely onset of monsoon over Delhi with an error margin of +/-2 days, said Skymet weather.

“Rains are expected to increase further, and we expect good rains around June 30 and 31st. In fact, the month of July is also expected to begin on a rainy note. In a nutshell, by the end of the month good rains will commence over Delhi and NCR leading to significant drop in temperatures as well,” reported Skymet weather.

The maximums are expected to drop down to around 35 and 36 degrees Celsius which at present are settling between 43 and 45 degrees. Thus, significant relief is expected in coming days as Southwest Monsoon will also make an onset over Delhi and NCR.

However, there are now growing fears of an El Nino forming during the last month of the monsoon season which could subdue rains during September, said a Times of India (TOI) report. El Nino is an abnormal warming of ocean waters in the east equatorial region of the Pacific, which often suppresses the southwest monsoon.

“There’s a good chance of El Nino forming this year. The higher uncertainty is about when it will set in. If it forms after September, the monsoon may not get impacted. If it happens earlier, we could see subdued rainfall in September. But that too will depend on other local factors,” said D Sivananda Pai, IMD’s lead monsoon forecaster, reported TOI.

The uncertainty over conditions during the second half of the monsoon season was one reason why IMD had pegged rains in August at 6% below normal in its updated monsoon forecast released earlier on May 30.

Meanwhile, IMD data has revealed that less than 25 per cent of the country received normal or excess rains till now, according to a report by news agency PTI.

The overall monsoon deficiency stood at minus 10 per cent.

Of the four meteorological divisions of the country, only the southern peninsula has recorded 29 per cent more rains. The rainfall deficit was 29 and 24 per cent in east-northeast and northwest India respectively.

Of the 36 meteorological sub-divisions in the country, 24 subdivisions have received ‘deficient’ and ‘largely deficient rainfall’. This means, less than 25 per cent of the country has received ‘normal’ or ‘excess’ rainfall.

India News

Tamil Nadu potboiler: Now, Sasikala to launch new party ahead of election

Sasikala has announced the launch of a new political party ahead of the Tamil Nadu Assembly elections, positioning herself against AIADMK chief Edappadi K Palaniswami.

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In a significant political development ahead of the Tamil Nadu Assembly elections, expelled AIADMK leader V. K. Sasikala has announced that she will float a new political party and contest the polls by fielding her own candidates.

Speaking in Madurai before heading to Pasumpon for a public event, Sasikala said she would unveil her party’s flag later in the evening. She indicated that more details regarding the party’s structure and plans would be shared at the gathering.

The event venue carries political symbolism. Pasumpon is the birthplace of Thevar leader Muthuramalinga Thevar, and Sasikala herself belongs to the influential Thevar community in southern Tamil Nadu. The programme was held as part of birth anniversary events of former Chief Minister J. Jayalalithaa.

Direct challenge to EPS

Sasikala’s move is being viewed as a direct political challenge to AIADMK general secretary Edappadi K. Palaniswami (EPS). After Jayalalithaa’s death in 2016, Sasikala briefly took control of the party and had appointed Palaniswami as Chief Minister. However, following her conviction in the disproportionate assets case, she served a four-year prison term, and during that period, she was expelled from the party.

Palaniswami later aligned with O. Panneerselvam, whom Sasikala had earlier removed from the Chief Minister’s post. The two leaders subsequently adopted a dual leadership arrangement within the party and government.

Sasikala remains disqualified from contesting elections until 2027 due to her conviction. Nevertheless, she has stated that she intends to field candidates under her new party banner.

Fragmented Thevar vote base

Over the years, expulsions within the AIADMK — including Sasikala, her nephew TTV Dhinakaran and O Panneerselvam — have led to divisions within the Thevar support base. Political observers have linked this fragmentation to the party’s weakened electoral performance in the elections following Jayalalithaa’s passing.

While Dhinakaran has returned to the NDA fold, reports suggest Palaniswami is opposed to any arrangement that includes Sasikala or Panneerselvam. OPS, meanwhile, has exited the NDA.

Sasikala has repeatedly criticised Palaniswami, describing him as a betrayer, while he maintains that his leadership stems from the support of AIADMK legislators rather than her backing.

The AIADMK has not issued an official statement on Sasikala’s announcement. However, a senior party leader questioned her political standing, pointing out her disqualification from contesting elections and referring to legal issues linked to Jayalalithaa’s death.

With the Assembly polls approaching, Sasikala’s re-entry into active politics could further complicate the opposition space in Tamil Nadu and influence electoral calculations, particularly in the southern districts.

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As stealth reshapes air combat, India weighs induction of Sukhoi Su-57 jets

India is assessing the possible induction of up to 40 Sukhoi Su-57 fifth-generation fighter jets as stealth becomes central to future air combat strategy.

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Sukhoi Su-57 jets

Aerial warfare is increasingly being defined by the ability to remain undetected rather than by traditional dogfighting skills, and India is now assessing options to strengthen its capabilities in this new paradigm. Defence circles are abuzz with indications that the Indian Air Force may consider procuring up to 40 Russian fifth-generation Su-57 fighter jets, according to sources.

The possible move comes less than a year after Operation Sindoor, which was launched in May last year following the Pahalgam terror attack. The air engagements with the Pakistan Air Force during the operation are understood to have provided fresh operational insights, prompting discussions on future preparedness.

Why stealth is central to fifth-generation fighters

Fifth-generation fighter aircraft are designed with a strong emphasis on low observability. Platforms such as the Su-57 incorporate airframes shaped to reduce radar signatures and use radar-absorbent materials to make detection more difficult across radar, infrared and visible spectrums.

These aircraft typically integrate advanced avionics, sensor fusion and supercruise capabilities. They are also configured to carry specialised weapons internally, enhancing stealth during combat missions.

According to information available on Sukhoi’s official platform, the Su-57 is equipped with a deeply integrated avionics suite that offers a high level of automation and intelligent crew support. Its onboard systems enable it to operate autonomously and exchange data in real time with ground control systems or as part of a coordinated task force.

The aircraft can deploy a broad range of air-to-air and air-to-surface munitions, allowing it to undertake both fighter and strike roles. Sukhoi states that the jet is capable of conducting covert missions owing to reduced visibility across multiple wavelength ranges.

The Su-57 is also fitted with an auxiliary power unit designed to improve deployment autonomy and lower fuel consumption during ground operations. An onboard oxygen extraction unit enhances operational endurance. Additionally, the aircraft features an explosion-proof fuel tank system described as a generator-type neutral gas system, aimed at improving combat survivability.

Regional security context

The reported deliberations come amid evolving regional dynamics. China, regarded as Pakistan’s close strategic partner, has developed the J-20 fifth-generation stealth fighter, and there are indications that such capabilities could eventually be shared with Pakistan.

India is also pursuing its own fifth-generation programme, the Advanced Medium Combat Aircraft (AMCA). The first flight of the AMCA is expected around 2028 or 2029, with induction into the Air Force projected around 2035.

In this backdrop, any decision on the Su-57 would form part of a broader effort to ensure that the Indian Air Force remains prepared for future aerial warfare scenarios where stealth and advanced sensing capabilities play a decisive role.

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RSS chief backs nationwide rollout of Uniform Civil Code, cites Uttarakhand model

RSS chief Mohan Bhagwat has supported nationwide implementation of the Uniform Civil Code, urging adoption of the Uttarakhand model.

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Mohan Bhagwat

Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh chief Mohan Bhagwat has expressed support for implementing the Uniform Civil Code (UCC) across the country, stating that it would be a “very good thing” if adopted nationwide. He suggested that the framework introduced in Uttarakhand could serve as a model for other states.

Speaking at a former servicemen’s dialogue seminar organised to mark the RSS’s 100th anniversary, Bhagwat said the UCC should be implemented in a manner similar to the approach followed by Uttarakhand. The hill state became the first in the country to enforce the Uniform Civil Code on January 27 last year.

Highlighting the process adopted in Uttarakhand, Bhagwat noted that after a draft proposal was prepared, it was opened for public discussion. According to him, suggestions from nearly three lakh people were received, and these inputs were examined and incorporated.

Describing the UCC as essential for societal unity, the RSS chief said such a legal framework would strengthen social cohesion.

When asked about the ongoing issue concerning the University Grants Commission, Bhagwat declined to comment, stating that the matter is currently under consideration by the Supreme Court of India.

Addressing retired personnel from the armed forces and paramilitary services at the event, Bhagwat underlined the continuing importance of defence forces, even in an independent nation, to safeguard sovereignty.

He also reflected on the journey of the RSS, saying the organisation was established without external resources and continued to grow despite facing severe sanctions on two occasions. He attributed its progress to the confidence and support of society.

Encouraging participation, Bhagwat invited former servicemen to attend Sangh camps and programmes to observe the work of volunteers and contribute to service activities based on their interests and abilities.

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