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NDA projected to retain power in Bihar, exit polls predict clear majority

Exit polls for Bihar Assembly Election 2025 project a clear majority for the NDA, with most surveys predicting over 130 seats. Results on November 14 will confirm the trends.

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As the Bihar Assembly Election 2025 concluded with record voter turnout, multiple exit polls released on Tuesday indicated that the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is likely to return to power in the state. The final results will be declared on November 14.

NDA ahead across multiple surveys

According to at least eight exit polls, the NDA is projected to secure between 130 and 167 seats in the 243-member assembly. The Mahagathbandhan (MGB), led by RJD’s Tejashwi Yadav in alliance with Congress, is expected to finish second with 70 to 108 seats. Most surveys have shown the Jan Suraaj Party (JSP) of Prashant Kishor failing to make a breakthrough, with projections ranging between zero and four seats.

Surveys by Chanakya Strategies, P-Marg, JVC, People’s Insight, and others consistently show a strong lead for the NDA. P-Marg’s exit poll projected 142–162 seats for the NDA, while JVC gave the alliance 135–150. Chanakya predicted 130–138 seats, while People’s Insight projected a comfortable win for the ruling alliance.

RJD-Congress alliance struggles to close gap

The opposition coalition—comprising RJD, Congress, and Left parties—appears unable to replicate its strong 2015 performance, when RJD had emerged as the single largest party. In this election, the Mahagathbandhan’s projected tally ranges from 80 to 108 seats, according to various polls.

Key NDA leaders such as Chief Minister Nitish Kumar and senior JD(U) minister Bijendra Prasad Yadav are contesting from their traditional bastions, while RJD’s Tejashwi Yadav aims to break the two-decade-long dominance of Nitish Kumar’s leadership.

Record voter turnout marks the election

Bihar recorded its highest-ever voter turnout of 67.14% across both phases, with districts such as Kishanganj, Katihar, and Purnia witnessing over 70% polling. Voting for the first phase was held on November 6, and the second phase covered 122 constituencies on November 11.

Exit poll accuracy in question

In 2020, most exit polls had predicted a close contest, with some forecasting a win for Tejashwi Yadav’s RJD. However, the NDA eventually secured a majority with 125 seats. The accuracy of this year’s exit polls will be tested when votes are counted on November 14.

India News

Centre caps airfares to curb surge amid IndiGo crisis

To protect passengers from soaring fares amid IndiGo’s operational crisis, the Centre has introduced temporary airfare caps and ordered expedited refunds for cancelled flights.

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As operational disruptions at IndiGo entered their fifth day, the Civil Aviation Ministry moved to prevent steep ticket price hikes by imposing fare caps across affected routes. The decision comes as hundreds of flights were cancelled, leaving passengers stranded at airports nationwide.

Ministry steps in to prevent “opportunistic pricing”

The ministry said it had taken note of unusually high fares being charged by some airlines during the ongoing travel disruption. Invoking regulatory powers, it ordered all carriers to follow newly prescribed fare caps until flight schedules stabilise.

According to the statement, the move aims to prevent any exploitation of travellers—especially senior citizens, students and those undertaking urgent medical travel—during the crisis. Airlines and online travel platforms will continue to be monitored through real-time fare data.

IndiGo told to clear refunds by Sunday evening

In a separate direction, the ministry asked IndiGo to ensure all refunds for cancelled or disrupted flights are processed by 8 pm on December 7. It also instructed airlines not to impose rescheduling fees for passengers whose plans were affected.

Hundreds of cancellations as pilot shortage triggers meltdown

IndiGo, which operates around 2,300 daily flights with a fleet of over 400 aircraft, has seen widespread cancellations due to a planning-related pilot shortage. Operational delays are expected to continue for several more days.

Scenes of severe inconvenience have unfolded at airports, with passengers reporting long waits, disrupted travel plans, and a lack of clarity from the airline.

IndiGo issues apology, promises gradual restoration

The airline apologised publicly, saying it understood the difficulties faced by passengers. IndiGo assured that refunds for cancelled flights would be processed automatically and added that full normalisation of domestic operations is likely between December 10 and 15, though recovery may take time due to the scale of disruption.

Minister claims crisis nearing resolution

Civil Aviation Minister Ram Mohan Naidu said the situation is “on the verge of getting resolved”. He noted that major metro airports such as Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai had cleared most backlogs, and that IndiGo would resume operations with limited capacity before gradually increasing flights.

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Centre plans major crackdown on IndiGo amid mass cancellations

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The Centre is preparing strong action against IndiGo after widespread disruption triggered by the airline’s handling of new pilot rest rules, according to sources. With thousands of passengers stranded and over 500 flights cancelled on consecutive days, the government is now likely to seek the removal of CEO Pieter Elbers, alongside other stringent measures.

Government weighs removal of IndiGo CEO

Sources indicate that the airline may be asked to remove its chief executive following what officials view as poor management of revised duty and rest regulations for pilots. The developments led to severe operational breakdown across airports and sparked public outrage.

Heavy penalties and flight curbs under consideration

According to officials, an unprecedented crackdown is being prepared. This includes the possibility of a hefty financial penalty on the carrier, which commands nearly two-thirds of India’s domestic aviation market.

Authorities are also evaluating whether the number of flights permitted to IndiGo should be temporarily reduced, marking what could become the toughest action taken against any airline in recent years.

IndiGo representatives were summoned by the aviation ministry on Friday evening as the government sought explanations for the crisis and measures to restore order.

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Lok Sabha clears bill to levy cess on pan masala and similar goods for health, security funding

The Lok Sabha has passed a bill to impose a cess on pan masala manufacturing units, aiming to create a dedicated revenue source for public health and national security initiatives.

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Nirmala Sitharaman

The Lok Sabha has approved the Health Security se National Security Cess Bill, 2025, paving the way for a new cess on pan masala manufacturing units. The legislation aims to generate dedicated funds for strengthening national security and improving public health, both areas identified as critical national priorities.

Bill aims to create predictable funding stream

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, responding to the debate before the bill was passed by voice vote, said that the cess will be shared with states because public health falls under the state list.

The new cess will be applied over and above the GST, based on production capacity and machinery used in units manufacturing pan masala and similar goods. The minister clarified that this cess will not affect GST revenue, and that pan masala already attracts the maximum GST slab of 40 per cent.

According to the bill text, the objective is to build a “dedicated and predictable resource stream” to support expenditure related to health and national security.

Sitharaman also mentioned that cess collection as a percentage of gross total revenue currently stands at 6.1 per cent, lower than the 7 per cent average between 2010 and 2014.

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