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Exit polls 2022: Yogi Adityanath wins back Uttar Pradesh, AAP wave washes into Punjab, Congress in Uttarakhand, BJP in Manipur and Congress ahead in tight Goa race

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BJP wins Uttar Pradesh MLC Election 2022

The high hopes of the Samajwadi Party to unseat the Yogi Adityanath-led BJP government seems not to have translated into reality, if we go by exit polls on Monday that screamed that the BJP will return to power albeit with a lower tally than in 2017.

But a big disclaimer: This is what the exit polls say. For the real deal and who got it right and who read a wave in a ripple, we will have to wait a few more days for counting day Thursday, March 10.

The voteshare seems to be predicted to be firmly behind the BJP with a share as high as 45.4%. Some three exit polls have predicted an easy romp home for the BJP, giving it more than 250 seats. This is lower compared to the 312 seats it won in 2017.

The ETG Research Exit Polls 2022 had BJP winning between 230 and 245 seats, the SP getting 150-165, the BSP 5-10 seats and the Congress getting 2 to 6 seats.

The NewsX-Polstrat exit poll says the BJP will win a maximum 225 seats, enough to form a government of its own. The Samajwadi Party seems to be stuck below 160 and the BSP getting a better 14-24 seats.

The Congress is expected to win between 2 and 6 seats. The Republic- P-MARQ exit polls have put the BJP at 240 seats and the SP at 140.

Again, as TV pundits reiterated, it was the Ram factor which seems to have outweighed the anti-incumbency of the Yogi Adityanath government.

Apart from the BJP’s return in Uttar Pradesh, the Aam Aadmi Party is expected to sweep Punjab. Times Now-Veto exit poll says AAP will win 70 seats, Congress 22 seats, SAD+ 19, BJP+ will have 5 seats, and others will have 1 seat. The Axis My India prediction has AAP winning Punjab with 76-90 seats in Punjab. The state has 117 seats.

Others pegged AAP at 55 (India News-MRC) and between 59-67 (India TV-CVoter) and AAP at 54 seats (News 24-Today’s Chanakya). The ABP-Lokniti CSDS exit poll put AAP to get 36-46 seats. The last two projections point to a hung Assembly in Punjab.

In Goa, the Congress seems to be ahead though by a slim margin. Zee News poll said it expected the BJP to win 15 seats. And the Congress+ is likely to get more than 16 seats and others will get 7 seats. The numbers though close leave room for MLA-hopping if push comes to a shove.

In Manipur, the BJP is likely to get re-elected under N. Biren Singh with 33-37 seats.  The Congress may get 12-17 seats.

The Uttarakhand projections are mixed. With a few polls making it a clean BJP majority, some others credit a Congress return.

Again, these are exit poll projections. March 10 will show who is right and who is not!

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Rohit Pawar alleges big personality link in Ajit Pawar plane crash case

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Rohit pawar

Nationalist Congress Party (SP) MLA Rohit Pawar on Thursday alleged that a “big personality” was connected to the company linked to the plane crash that killed his uncle, Maharashtra Deputy Chief Minister Ajit Pawar, and others in Baramati last month.

Addressing reporters after holding a protest, Rohit Pawar demanded the resignation of Union Civil Aviation Minister K. Rammohan Naidu. He alleged that the minister’s party had financial links to the company involved in the crash and said he should step down from his post.

“The owner of VSR company is close to very powerful leaders. Many people in Maharashtra are connected to this. There is a clear attempt to protect VSR because some ‘big personality’ is involved in this,” Rohit Pawar said.

Demand for wider probe

The fatal aircraft accident occurred in Baramati on January 28. Following the incident, the investigation into the accidental deaths of Ajit Pawar and others was transferred to the Criminal Investigation Department (CID) of the Pune Police, considering the gravity of the case.

Rohit Pawar questioned the progress of the probe and said the public must be informed about the steps taken so far. He pointed out that the Aircraft Accident Investigation Bureau (AAIB) examines technical aspects of an aviation mishap, but not possible criminal angles.

Additional Director General of Police Sunil Ramanand said the CID investigation is exploring multiple aspects, including whether there was any foul play or sabotage behind the accident, whether criminal negligence played a role, and whether there was any larger conspiracy. He added that the AAIB report would be incorporated into the CID’s findings once received.

Family voices concerns

Referring to concerns raised by family members, Rohit Pawar said that Jay Pawar, Ajit Pawar’s son, had expressed doubts on social media regarding the aircraft’s black box. Sunetra Pawar, Ajit Pawar’s wife, has sought a probe by the Central Bureau of Investigation.

Speaking emotionally about his relationship with his uncle, Rohit Pawar said Ajit Pawar had guided him politically and personally. He added that Ajit Pawar had wished to reunite with Sharad Pawar and had recently spoken to him.

The CID continues its investigation, while awaiting the technical report from the AAIB.

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Over 5,000 tribals join BJP in Assam’s Goalpara ahead of elections

More than 5,000 tribals, largely from the Garo community, joined the BJP in Assam’s Goalpara district during a large-scale ST Morcha programme ahead of elections.

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Hemanta Sharma

More than 5,000 members of tribal communities formally joined the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) at a large-scale event held in Assam’s Goalpara district on February 25, weeks before key elections.

The joining programme was organised by the BJP ST Morcha, Assam Pradesh, at the Agia School playground. The event was conducted under the leadership of Riya Sangma, State Secretary of BJP ST Morcha and in-charge of the Goalpara ST Morcha.

Party leaders said the programme witnessed strong participation, particularly from the Garo community, describing it as a significant political development in the district.

The chief guest at the event was Samir Oran, National President of BJP ST Morcha and outgoing Member of Parliament (Rajya Sabha). Among those present were Bijuli Kalita Medhi, MP from the Guwahati Lok Sabha constituency, Ravindra Raju, Horen Singh Bey, who serves as State President of BJP ST Morcha, and other party leaders.

Goalpara district has traditionally seen strong influence from opposition parties, especially the Congress. Tribal voters in the region have largely remained divided, making the large-scale induction ahead of elections politically significant.

Addressing the media, Samir Oran said the BJP has brought a new phase of recognition and opportunity for tribal communities across the Northeast. He stated that the joining programme reflected growing trust among tribal populations in the party.

Riya Sangma said many tribal communities, particularly members of the Garo community, had earlier felt deprived of adequate respect and development benefits. She added that the participation of over 5,000 people demonstrated confidence in the BJP’s leadership.

Dipankar Nath, BJP Goalpara District President, termed the development a “game-changer” for the constituency. He said the party remains committed to the welfare, development and dignity of tribal communities.

Party leaders expressed confidence that the induction drive would strengthen the BJP’s organisational base in Goalpara and nearby areas ahead of the upcoming polls.

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PM Modi crosses 100 million followers on Instagram, first world leader to achieve milestone

Prime Minister Narendra Modi has crossed 100 million followers on Instagram, becoming the first world leader to achieve the milestone and widening the gap with global counterparts.

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Prime Minister Narendra Modi has become the first world leader and politician to cross 100 million followers on Instagram, marking a significant moment in global political communication.

Having joined the platform in 2014, the Prime Minister has steadily built one of the most followed political profiles worldwide. Over the past decade, his Instagram account has featured updates on official engagements, international visits, public outreach programmes, cultural highlights and personal moments, helping him connect with a broad and diverse audience.

With 100 million followers, PM Modi now ranks first among world leaders on Instagram. His follower count is more than double that of US President Donald Trump, who stands at 43.2 million followers.

Other prominent leaders remain considerably behind in comparison. Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto has around 15 million followers, Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has 14.4 million, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has 11.6 million, and Argentine President Javier Milei has 6.4 million followers.

Notably, the combined follower count of the next five major global leaders remains lower than PM Modi’s individual tally, highlighting the scale of his digital outreach. Observers note that his presence on Instagram resonates strongly with younger users in India and abroad, reflecting the growing importance of visual and interactive platforms in political engagement.

Wide gap within India’s political space

The Prime Minister also maintains a substantial lead over other Indian political figures on Instagram. Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath has around 16.1 million followers, while Congress leader Rahul Gandhi has approximately 12.6 million followers.

The gap underlines PM Modi’s dominant position on social media among domestic political leaders.

The milestone reflects a broader global trend of political leaders increasingly using platforms like Instagram to communicate directly with citizens, share governance updates, and expand public engagement beyond traditional media channels.

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