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Rahul’s Bihar litmus test – how to keep party MLAs from jumping ship

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Rahul Gandhi

By Abhishek Kumar

With the collapse of the RJD-JDU-Congress Mahagathbandhan government, Congress MLAs in Bihar feel staying in Opposition not a wise political choice

Presenting a major challenge for Congress vice president Rahul Gandhi, at least 19 of the party’s legislators from Bihar want him to ditch the alliance with Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) chief Lalu Prasad Yadav.

Rahul’s dilemma now is to either ignore the rebel MLAs and risk losing a majority of the party’s elected representatives in Bihar to rivals BJP and JD (U) or give in and lose a trusted ally like Lalu, who inarguably is the most vocal and effective Opposition leader against Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his BJP.

Over the past week, both Rahul and his mother, Congress president Sonia Gandhi have held separate meetings with nearly a dozen rebel MLAs of the party’s Bihar unit.

Sonia had met them first and impressed upon them that it is imperative for the Congress to stand with Lalu at a time when “secular political forces are facing their biggest political challenge” in the face of the BJP’s continuing electoral successes. A senior Bihar MLA who had met Sonia last week said that she even conceded that “the coalition of RJD, JDU and Congress had managed to stall BJP’s victory march largely because of Lalu’s popularity and networking across Bihar” and that chief minister Nitish Kumar is certain to lose his popular sheen due to his decision of ditching Lalu and joining hands with Modi.

However, the MLAs weren’t satisfied with Sonia’s arguments, said another leader, adding that the Congress MLAs in Bihar were facing a dilemma of their own – stay in Opposition for their ideology and work under Lalu’s shadow or join hands with the ruling coalition and ensure a “longer, more fruitful political innings”.

Through Wednesday and Thursday, sources said, Rahul held a series of discussions with at least 17 of the dissenting MLAs. While he is learnt to have implored them to heed the Congress president’s advice, it is learnt that the MLAs weren’t convinced.

Ashok ChoudharyAnother challenge for Rahul, sources said, is to decide on the fate of Bihar Congress president Ashok Choudhary – a popular ‘youth’ face of the party and an MLA. It was Rahul who had got Choudhary installed as the party’s state unit chief. With the political grapevine in Bihar abuzz with rumours of Choudhary being instrumental in the rebellion and being in talks with the JD (U) to engineer defections, Rahul is learnt to have asked at least 11 of his party MLAs if the state unit chief should be replaced.

However, a majority of Congress’ 27 legislators in Bihar are loyal to Choudhary. It was largely Choudhary hard bargaining that got the Congress 50 seats in the seat-sharing talks with Lalu and Nitish before the Bihar Assembly polls and he had had a crucial role in selecting the candidates too. Choudhary, who wasn’t called by Rahul for his meetings with the Bihar leaders the past few days, has publicly declared that he is “extremely unhappy” about being “sidelined by the leadership”.

“My father was in this party for 50 years till his death and I’m here for the last 25 years…During my president-ship (of the Bihar unit), the number of MLAs went to 27 from 4 in the state assembly. In the legislative council, we had zero, now we have six members,” Choudhary said, while adding that though he remains a Congressman, humiliation by the leadership would force him to explore political options.

Choudhary’s refrain of exploring other political options is one that has been echoed by other Bihar Congress legislators too – though on condition of anonymity. “What can the Congress offer us while being in Opposition,” asked one Congress MLA while another was more brazen, saying, “if we stay in the Opposition we might not even win another election but if we join hands with Nitish, we might get something in return and perhaps win the next assembly polls also”.

It now remains to be seen as to how Rahul – whose political acumen has for long been suspect and a matter of embarrassment for his party colleagues – manages to stem the rot within his fold.

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Rahul Gandhi faces expulsion demand in Lok Sabha over trade deal remarks

BJP MP Nishikant Dubey has moved a notice seeking Rahul Gandhi’s expulsion from the Lok Sabha. Here is how the disqualification and expulsion process works.

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Rahul Gandhi

Nishikant Dubey, a Member of Parliament from the Bharatiya Janata Party, has sought the expulsion of Congress leader Rahul Gandhi from the Lok Sabha. Dubey has submitted a notice calling for a substantive motion against Gandhi over his remarks concerning the India–US trade deal.

The BJP MP has demanded cancellation of Gandhi’s Lok Sabha membership and has also called for a lifetime ban on him from contesting elections. The development has raised questions about the procedure for removing a sitting Member of Parliament from the House.

How can a Lok Sabha MP be expelled

The process for expelling a Member of Parliament involves several procedural steps within the House:

Submission of complaint
The process begins when a member or political party files a formal complaint against a sitting MP.

Reference to committee
The Lok Sabha Speaker may refer the matter to the Committee of Privileges for examination. The committee is tasked with conducting a detailed inquiry into the allegations.

Investigation and findings
The committee can examine evidence, call witnesses, and allow the concerned MP to present a defence. After completing its review, it submits a report outlining its findings and recommendations.

Consideration by the House
The committee’s report is tabled in the Lok Sabha. If it recommends expulsion, a motion is moved in the House to adopt the recommendation.

Voting on expulsion
For the motion to pass, it must secure a majority of members present and voting. If approved, the MP stands expelled from the House.

Rahul Gandhi’s disqualification in 2023

In 2023, a court in Surat sentenced Rahul Gandhi to two years in prison in a criminal defamation case related to a remark about the “Modi surname”. Under Section 8(3) of the Representation of the People Act, 1951, any MP convicted and sentenced to two years or more faces automatic disqualification from Parliament.

Following the conviction, Gandhi was disqualified as a Member of Parliament. However, he later challenged the verdict in the Supreme Court of India, which stayed his conviction. After the stay order, his Lok Sabha membership was restored and he resumed his role as an MP.

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Vijay targets DMK over Rs 2,000 scheme, calls on voters to blow the whistle

Vijay accused the DMK of trying to influence voters through financial promises and urged people to back TVK in the upcoming Tamil Nadu elections.

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Actor vijay

With the Tamil Nadu elections approaching, Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) chief and actor Vijay launched a strong attack on Chief Minister M K Stalin and the ruling Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK), accusing them of attempting to influence voters through financial promises.

Addressing a massive gathering in Salem, Vijay questioned the timing of the state government’s transfer of Rs 3,000 to women beneficiaries under a welfare initiative, describing it as an “advance payment”. He also criticised the announcement of an additional Rs 2,000 per woman as part of a so-called “summer special”, suggesting the payout was linked to the election outcome.

“Will you vote for ‘good’ TVK or ‘evil’ DMK?” Vijay asked supporters, framing the contest as a moral battle.

‘Take the money, but blow the whistle’

Claiming the DMK was attempting to buy votes, Vijay urged people to accept the financial assistance but support his party at the ballot box. Referring to TVK’s election symbol, he said, “Take the money, but blow the whistle.”

He questioned the rationale behind calling it a “summer allowance”, asking whether summer occurred only this year. According to him, the announcement was prompted by the growing popularity of the TVK and its whistle symbol across the state.

Vijay alleged that Stalin feared increasing support for his party, particularly among women voters. Taking a swipe at the DMK’s experience in governance, he remarked that while the ruling party had experience in corruption, his party was “inexperienced in that”.

Rally restrictions and Karur stampede reference

The TVK leader also criticised restrictions imposed on attendance at the Salem rally, including a reported cap of 4,998 participants and identity verification measures.

Authorities cited a stampede at a rally in Karur last year, in which 41 people lost their lives, as the reason for stricter norms. The DMK accused Vijay of failing to follow standard operating procedures during that event. However, TVK leaders have alleged that the violence was orchestrated to damage the actor’s political prospects.

Vijay dismissed the revised guidelines as politically motivated, quipping that he was familiar only with “Stalin Operating Procedure”. He pledged to continue fighting for justice for those who died in Karur.

TVK’s positioning in a Dravidian-dominated landscape

Vijay and the TVK have emerged as potential challengers in a political landscape long dominated by the DMK and the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK), which have alternated in power since the late 1960s.

The actor has ruled out any alliance with the DMK, describing it as his political adversary. His criticism of the AIADMK, however, has been comparatively restrained, a move seen as an attempt to attract swing voters and draw on the legacy of its founder M G Ramachandran.

National parties remain aligned with the state’s principal Dravidian forces for now, though political observers note ongoing discussions and potential shifts in seat-sharing arrangements.

As campaigning gathers pace, Vijay’s rhetoric signals an aggressive push to convert his popularity into electoral gains, positioning the TVK as an alternative to established players in Tamil Nadu politics.

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Latest Politics News

Tarique Rahman-led BNP set for landslide win in Bangladesh elections

BNP led by Tarique Rahman has crossed the majority mark in Bangladesh’s national elections, with projections suggesting a two-thirds majority. Jamaat has conceded defeat.

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Tariq Rehman

The Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP), led by Tarique Rahman, is heading towards a decisive victory in Bangladesh’s national elections, with projections indicating a clear parliamentary majority.

Early media projections at 8:00 am local time suggested that the BNP had comfortably crossed the 150-seat mark required to form the government in the 300-member parliament. One projection placed the party at 212 seats, putting it well on course for a two-thirds majority.

The BNP has already declared that it is prepared to form the next government after securing what it described as a majority mandate from voters.

Meanwhile, the Islamist-led alliance headed by Shafiqur Rahman of Jamaat-e-Islami was projected to win 70 seats. Although a significant improvement compared to its previous performance, the tally fell short of its expectations. Shafiqur Rahman conceded defeat and said his party would avoid confrontational opposition politics, adding that it would engage in “positive politics.”

Final results awaited, US extends congratulations

The Election Commission is yet to announce the final results for 299 constituencies where voting took place. An additional 50 seats reserved for women will be allocated based on party lists.

Even before the official declaration, the United States embassy in Dhaka congratulated Tarique Rahman and the BNP, describing the outcome as a “historic victory.”

Political transition under way

Bangladesh’s interim leader Muhammad Yunus is expected to step down once the new government assumes office. The Nobel Peace Prize winner has led the country since the ouster of Sheikh Hasina in August 2024 following a mass student-led uprising.

Yunus’s administration had barred the Awami League from contesting the elections by suspending its registration.

This election marked the first in decades without the participation of two dominant political figures — Sheikh Hasina and former prime minister Khaleda Zia, who passed away in December last year.

After nearly 17 years in exile, Tarique Rahman, 60, returned to Bangladesh following his mother Khaleda Zia’s death and quickly emerged as the frontrunner for the prime minister’s post.

Referendum on reforms held alongside polls

Voters also participated in a referendum on the July National Charter, a reform package negotiated by the Yunus-led interim administration and multiple political parties. The proposals include limiting prime ministers to two terms, forming an upper house of parliament, and restoring a caretaker government system to oversee elections for 90 days to ensure neutrality.

Sheikh Hasina criticised the election process, calling it “deceptive” and alleging low voter turnout. In a statement, she demanded cancellation of what she described as an “illegal and unconstitutional election” and sought Yunus’s resignation.

India watching developments closely

India is closely monitoring the situation due to its strategic and diplomatic interests in the region. Following recent political shifts in Dhaka and concerns over minority safety, New Delhi has emphasised that it will assess the mandate once results are officially declared.

When asked about the polls, MEA spokesperson Randhir Jaiswal said India would wait for the final outcome before commenting further.

With final results expected soon, Bangladesh appears set for a major political transition, with the BNP poised to return to power in a significant comeback.

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