Pakistan’s declaration that it will not take the field against India at the T20 World Cup has pushed the tournament into an unusual and sensitive situation, with ICC playing conditions clearly outlining the sporting consequences of a refusal.

Matches between India and Pakistan carry political significance, but under World Cup regulations, the procedural outcome of a team declining to play is largely unambiguous. If India arrive in Colombo as scheduled, attend training and fulfil all pre-match formalities, the onus rests entirely on Pakistan.

Should Pakistan then refuse to take the field, the fixture would be officially forfeited. India would be awarded two points, while Pakistan would receive none. The forfeiture would also negatively affect Pakistan’s net run rate, a factor that has frequently proven decisive in tightly contested World Cup group stages.

Net run rate impact could prove costly

A forfeit is not treated as a neutral outcome under ICC rules. In a competitive tournament environment, the loss of points combined with a dent to net run rate can have long-term implications, potentially influencing qualification for the semi-finals.

There is only one alternative scenario outlined under the regulations. If India do not travel to the venue, the match would be considered cancelled rather than forfeited, resulting in points being shared by both teams. However, with India expected to meet all logistical and operational requirements, that possibility currently appears unlikely.

Past precedents at ICC events

While forfeitures at World Cups are rare, they are not unprecedented. During the 1996 ODI World Cup, Australia and the West Indies declined to play matches in Sri Lanka following a bomb blast in Colombo, resulting in Sri Lanka being awarded full points.

In the 2003 ODI World Cup, England forfeited their match against Zimbabwe in Harare citing political and security concerns, while New Zealand refused to play Kenya in Nairobi due to safety considerations.

More recent ICC events have also seen withdrawals, including Zimbabwe pulling out of the 2009 T20 World Cup and New Zealand’s Under-19 team exiting the 2022 Under-19 World Cup because of COVID-19 restrictions. In such cases, the ICC has consistently prioritised the integrity of the tournament framework.

Can force majeure apply?

Pakistan’s potential reliance on a force majeure clause forms the crux of the legal debate. Force majeure traditionally applies to unforeseen and unavoidable circumstances such as natural disasters or extreme situations that make participation impossible rather than undesirable.

According to ICC sources, invoking force majeure in this case would be difficult. Such clauses are interpreted narrowly, and political objections alone do not automatically qualify unless there is a demonstrable and immediate threat to safety or feasibility. Without meeting that threshold, a refusal to play would fall outside force majeure protections.

Beyond the immediate match

The implications may extend beyond the scorecard. ICC sources indicate that severe sanctions, including the possibility of suspension, could be considered if a refusal is deemed a breach of participation obligations. Any such action would follow due process rather than being immediate, but precedent exists for firm intervention when competition rules are undermined.

For now, the impact remains primarily sporting. India stand to gain two crucial points without play, while Pakistan risk compromising both their World Cup campaign and their standing within the ICC framework.

What was expected to be the tournament’s most watched fixture could instead become its most consequential non-match, shaped not by runs or wickets but by regulations that leave little room for interpretation.

Pakistan’s decision to boycott its group-stage match against India at the T20 World Cup 2026 has triggered a major controversy, with the International Cricket Council (ICC) warning of possible punitive action that could impact Pakistan’s participation in global cricket.

The Pakistan cricket team is set to take part in the tournament but will not take the field against India in the February 15 match scheduled in Colombo. The move was approved by the Pakistan government and announced publicly through a social media post, which confirmed participation in the event while excluding the India fixture.

Why Pakistan decided to boycott the India match

The decision follows the ICC’s removal of Bangladesh from the T20 World Cup 2026. Bangladesh had requested a venue change for their matches citing security concerns, but the request was turned down by the ICC, eventually leading to their exclusion from the tournament. Pakistan’s government cited this development while taking the call to skip the India game.

ICC responds with strong warning

Reacting to Pakistan’s stance, the ICC said selective participation undermines the integrity and fairness of global tournaments. In its official statement, the governing body stressed that ICC events are built on sporting integrity, competitiveness and consistency, adding that such decisions are not in the interest of the global game or fans, including those in Pakistan.

The ICC also clarified that it has not yet received any formal communication from the Pakistan Cricket Board regarding the boycott decision.

Sanctions Pakistan could face

According to developments surrounding the issue, Pakistan could face a range of consequences if the boycott is enforced. These may include financial penalties, a possible ban from the current or future ICC events, and resistance from top cricketing nations in scheduling bilateral series. There is also a risk that overseas players could be barred from participating in the Pakistan Super League if sanctions escalate.

The situation remains fluid as the ICC is expected to take a final call after official communication from Pakistan’s cricket board.

India will look to end their T20I series against New Zealand on a positive note when the two sides meet in the fifth and final match in Thiruvananthapuram on Saturday. Although the hosts have already secured the five-match series by winning the first three games, they suffered a 50-run defeat in the fourth T20I.

New Zealand posted a challenging total of 215 for 7 in the previous match, with Tim Seifert striking an aggressive half-century. Devon Conway and Daryl Mitchell added valuable contributions to push the visitors to a commanding score. In response, Shivam Dube provided resistance with a powerful knock, but India failed to keep up with the required run rate and fell well short.

With this match being India’s final T20I before the upcoming T20 World Cup, the team management is expected to field players who are likely to feature in the global tournament.

Sanju Samson is set for a crucial outing in front of his home crowd. The wicketkeeper-batter has managed just 40 runs across four matches in the series and will be keen to regain form. He is expected to open the batting alongside the in-form Abhishek Sharma.

Ishan Kishan is likely to return to the XI and slot in at No. 3, while captain Suryakumar Yadav is expected to move back to his preferred No. 4 position. Shivam Dube is set to retain his place following his recent performance and is also expected to provide a bowling option if required.

Axar Patel, who missed games earlier due to a finger injury sustained in the opening T20I, is expected to make his comeback. India’s spin attack is likely to feature Varun Chakaravarthy and Kuldeep Yadav as specialist spinners.

In the pace department, Jasprit Bumrah and Arshdeep Singh are expected to lead the attack. All-rounder Hardik Pandya is likely to be rested after featuring in the first four matches of the series.

India predicted XI for 5th T20I vs New Zealand

Abhishek Sharma, Sanju Samson, Ishan Kishan, Suryakumar Yadav (c), Shivam Dube, Rinku Singh, Axar Patel, Varun Chakaravarthy, Kuldeep Yadav, Jasprit Bumrah, Arshdeep Singh