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Amid Russia Ukraine war, Indian rupee declines to an all-time low against US dollar: How does US Dollar determine the value of Indian currency? All you need to know

India is one such country that is primarily affected by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The Indian rupee fell to a record lifetime low of 76.97 against the US dollar.

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India is on the path to becoming the world's leading consumption economy, as household growth, tax reforms, and a booming Gen Z population fuel discretionary spending.

The ongoing Russia Ukraine war has not impacted just these two countries’ GDP but also affected the economy globally. India is one such country that is primarily affected by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The value of the Indian currency has declined to an all-time low.

The Indian rupee fell to a record lifetime low of 76.97 against the US dollar. It’s due to a significant increase in international crude oil prices, which has threatened to raise imported inflation and deepen the country’s trade and current account deficit.

Global crude oil prices were nearing record highs after reports said that the US and its European allies are considering barring Russian oil imports in response to the country’s invasion of Ukraine. Brent crude oil hit a high of USD 139.13 per barrel, before easing a bit.

Which is the most powerful currency in the world and how does it determine the value of other currencies?

US dollar is the most powerful currency in the world. All the trading in the world is done in US dollars. Each country has its own currency and its value is determined by the economic concept of Demand and Supply.

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The value of a currency that is in higher demand has a higher value. The value of a currency is determined by economic factors such as trade, inflation, employment, interest rates, growth rate, and geopolitical situations.

The concept of currency fluctuation is part of the larger Foreign exchange market.

What is Foreign Exchange Market?

The Foreign Exchange Market is mainly a global market for currency trading. One currency is exchanged for another at a particular rate. The rate at which two particular currencies are exchanged is called the exchange rate.

The value of one country’s currency in relation to another country’s currency is known as the exchange rate.

How does US Dollar determine the value of Indian currency?

The US dollar is in high demand because India imports more goods from the US than it exports. The demand for the US dollar will rise in this situation because more dollars will be paid to the US while purchasing products from them.

To pay for these goods, more dollars will have to be purchased on the foreign exchange market in India. As a result, demand for US dollars will rise compared to the Indian rupee, boosting their value.

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However, if the Indian Rupee’s value plummets dramatically, the government will step in. They will aim to decrease the supply of Indian rupees immediately to compensate for the low demand. They will purchase the Indian rupee on the market with US dollar reserves. As it buys more Indian currency with US dollars, the supply of Indian currency falls while the supply of US money rises, resulting in an increase in the rupee’s value and a reduction in the dollar’s value.

If the oil prices keep increasing at this rapid rate then the Indian currency could head towards 79 per dollar soon.

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Amit Shah counters delimitation concerns, says southern states to gain Lok Sabha seats

Amit Shah assures Parliament that southern states will gain Lok Sabha seats after delimitation, countering opposition criticism during the women’s reservation debate.

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Amit Shah

Union Home Minister Amit Shah on Thursday addressed concerns over the proposed delimitation exercise, asserting in the Lok Sabha that southern states will not lose representation but instead see an increase in their number of seats.

His remarks came during a heated debate linked to the implementation of women’s reservation, where opposition parties have raised fears that population-based delimitation could reduce the political weight of southern states.

Shah rejected these claims, calling them misleading, and said the proposed framework ensures fairness while expanding the overall strength of the Lok Sabha.

Seat count to rise with expansion of Lok Sabha

The government has indicated that the total number of Lok Sabha seats could increase significantly as part of the delimitation process. In this expanded House, the combined representation of southern states is expected to rise from 129 seats at present to around 195 seats.

Shah emphasised that no state will lose seats in absolute terms, and the exercise is designed to reflect population changes while maintaining balance across regions.

State-wise projections shared in Parliament

During his address, Shah also provided indicative figures for individual southern states, suggesting notable increases in representation. According to the projections:

  • Tamil Nadu could see its seats rise substantially
  • Kerala, Telangana, and Andhra Pradesh are also expected to gain additional seats
  • Karnataka’s representation may increase as well

These figures were presented to counter the argument that delimitation would disproportionately favour northern states.

Political debate intensifies over linkage with women’s quota

The delimitation exercise has been closely linked to the rollout of women’s reservation, which proposes one-third seats for women in Parliament and state assemblies.

Opposition leaders have questioned this linkage, arguing that tying reservation to delimitation could delay its implementation and raise federal concerns. Some leaders have also warned that the move could impact national unity if apprehensions among states are not addressed.

The government, however, maintains that the reforms are necessary to ensure equitable representation and to align the electoral system with demographic realities.

Centre dismisses ‘false narrative’ on southern states

Shah reiterated that concerns about southern states losing influence are unfounded. He said the delimitation process will increase representation across regions and described the criticism as a “false narrative” aimed at creating confusion.

The issue is expected to remain a key flashpoint as Parliament continues discussions on the women’s reservation framework and related legislative changes.

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PM Modi assures no discrimination in women’s quota, delimitation debate intensifies in Parliament

PM Narendra Modi has assured that women’s reservation will be implemented without discrimination, amid a heated debate over delimitation in Parliament.

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PM modi

Prime Minister Narendra Modi has assured that there will be no discrimination in the implementation of women’s reservation, as Parliament witnessed a sharp debate over the proposed linkage between the quota and delimitation exercise.

During the ongoing special session, the government reiterated its commitment to ensuring fair representation while addressing concerns raised by opposition parties regarding the timing and structure of the legislation.

The proposed framework aims to reserve 33 percent of seats for women in the Lok Sabha and state assemblies. However, its implementation is tied to a fresh delimitation exercise, which is expected after the next census.

Opposition questions timing and intent

Opposition leaders have raised concerns that linking the women’s quota to delimitation could delay its implementation. They argue that the process of redrawing constituencies may push the actual rollout further into the future.

The issue has triggered a broader political confrontation, with multiple parties questioning whether the move could alter representation across states.

Some critics have also alleged that the delimitation exercise could disproportionately benefit certain regions based on population, a charge the government has rejected.

Government reiterates commitment to fair implementation

Responding to these concerns, the Centre has maintained that the reforms are necessary to ensure accurate and updated representation based on population data.

Leaders from the ruling side have repeatedly emphasized that the process will be carried out transparently and without bias. The assurance that there will be “no discrimination” is aimed at addressing fears among states and opposition parties.

The debate marks a key moment in Parliament, with both sides engaging in intense exchanges over one of the most significant electoral reforms in recent years.

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Give all tickets to Muslim women, Amit Shah says, attacking Akhilesh Yadav on sub-quota demand

A sharp exchange between Amit Shah and Akhilesh Yadav in Parliament over sub-quota for Muslim women highlights key divisions on women’s reservation implementation.

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A heated exchange broke out in Parliament during discussions on the women’s reservation framework, with Union Home Minister Amit Shah and Samajwadi Party chief Akhilesh Yadav locking horns over the demand for a sub-quota for Muslim women.

The debate unfolded as the government pushed forward key legislative measures to implement 33% reservation for women in the Lok Sabha and state assemblies.

Akhilesh Yadav argued that the proposed reservation must ensure representation for women from marginalised communities, including Other Backward Classes (OBCs) and Muslim women. He said that without such provisions, large sections could remain excluded from political participation.

He also questioned the timing of the bill, alleging that the Centre was avoiding a caste census. According to him, a census would lead to renewed demands for caste-based reservations, which the government is reluctant to address.

Government rejects religion-based quota

Responding to the demand, Amit Shah made it clear that reservation based on religion is not permitted under the Constitution.

He stated that any proposal to provide quota to Muslims on religious grounds would be unconstitutional, firmly rejecting the idea of a separate sub-quota for Muslim women within the broader reservation framework.

The government has maintained that the existing framework already includes provisions for Scheduled Castes (SC) and Scheduled Tribes (ST) women within the overall reservation structure.

Wider political divide over implementation

The issue of sub-categorisation within the women’s quota has emerged as a major flashpoint, even as most opposition parties broadly support the idea of women’s reservation.

Samajwadi Party leaders reiterated that their support for the bill depends on inclusion of OBC and minority women, while the government continues to defend its constitutional position.

The debate is part of a broader discussion during the special Parliament session, where multiple bills linked to delimitation and implementation of the women’s quota are being taken up.

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