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Post-demonetisation, 50 lakh men lost jobs; Women unemployment rate higher: Report

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Unemployment

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In the middle of an acrimonious election campaign with Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his party BJP talking more about Pakistan, military, Muslims and Hindutva, a new report brings the focus back to hard realities within India.

The State of Working India 2019 report published by Azim Premji University’s Centre for Sustainable Employment in Bengaluru on Tuesday, April 16, says almost 50 lakh men lost their jobs between 2016 and 2018, the “beginning of the decline in jobs” coinciding with the government’s demonetisation exercise in 2016, “although no direct causal relationship can be established based only on these trends”.

The job losses are higher when women are taken into account.

“Whether or not this decline was caused by demonetisation, it is definitely a cause for concern and calls for urgent policy intervention,” the report says.

The report said that unemployment in the country has risen steadily since 2011. The overall unemployment rate was pegged at around 6% in 2018, double what it was between 2000 and 2011.

It assesses that unemployment, in general, has risen steadily post 2011 and the higher educated and the young are vastly over-represented among the unemployed.

In addition to open employment among the educated, the less educated have seen job losses and reduced work opportunities over this time period. The numbers, says the report, clearly demonstrate why unemployment has emerged as the primary economic issue in the election.

The report used data from the Consumer Pyramids Survey of the Centre for Monitoring the Indian Economy or CMIE-CPDX as official data on unemployment from the Periodic Labour Force Survey conducted by the National Sample Survey Organisation have not been released.

The findings of the Periodic Labour Force Survey leaked in January also recorded the unemployment rate in India at a 45-year-high of 6.1% in 2017-’18.

The report said unemployment is prevalent among the higher educated and those in the age group of 20 and 24. This age group accounts for 13.5% of the working population of urban men, but 60% of the unemployed, a great cause for concern as this represents the young workforce. This is true for all segments, urban men and women, rural men and women.

“In general, women are much worse affected than men. They have higher unemployment rates as well as lower labour force participation rates,” the report states.

“In addition to rising open unemployment among the higher educated, the less educated (and likely, informal) workers have also seen job losses and reduced work opportunities since 2016,” the report said.

The CMIE-CPDX is a nationally representative survey that covers about 1,60,000 households and 5,22,000 individuals. It is conducted in “three waves” spanning four months, beginning from January of every year.

“After remaining at around 2-3 per cent for the first decade, the unemployment rate has steadily increased to around 5 per cent in 2015 and then just over 6 per cent in 2018,” the report said. “During the entire time that the overall unemployment rate was around 3 per cent, the unemployment rate among the educated was 10 per cent. It has increased since 2011 (9 per cent) to around 15-16 per cent (in 2016).”

The study also does a comparative analysis of data from three different sets of data and concludes that unemployment trends are by and large consistent in all three.

“The last three years have been one of great turmoil in the Indian labour market as well as in the system of labour statistics…. four big lessons stand out: 1. Unemployment, in general, has risen steadily post-2011, whichever survey we examine. 2. The highest education and the young are vastly over-represented among the unemployed 3. The less educated have seen job losses and reduced work opportunities in this time-period 4. Women are worse off than men with respect to levels of unemployment and reduced labour force participation,” the report states.

India’s working-age population (15+ years) increased from 95 crore 8 lakhs in 2016 to 98 crore 31 lakhs in 2018.[/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]

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Video of Bill Gates enjoying Vada Pav with Sachin Tendulkar during Mumbai visit goes viral

Gates, currently touring India, has been making waves with high-profile engagements. Earlier this week, he touched down in New Delhi, where he held discussions with Prime Minister Narendra Modi and several Union ministers.

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Microsoft co-founder and philanthropist Bill Gates delighted his followers by posting an Instagram video featuring Indian cricket icon Sachin Tendulkar, with the playful caption, “A snack break before we get to work.” The brief clip captures the duo relishing Mumbai’s beloved street food, vada pav, whilst perched on a bench, ending with a teasing “Serving soon” message splashed across the screen.

Gates, currently touring India, has been making waves with high-profile engagements. Earlier this week, he touched down in New Delhi, where he held discussions with Prime Minister Narendra Modi and several Union ministers. His itinerary then brought him to Mumbai, where he met Maharashtra Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis. The tech titan’s visit underscores his ongoing fascination with India’s innovative spirit, a theme he expanded upon in a recent blog post.

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Writing on his personal site, Gates reflected on the trip’s impact: “I came away with fresh perspectives because India is brimming with clever, driven individuals addressing some of the globe’s toughest challenges in ingenious ways.” His words echo sentiments he shared ahead of the visit, when he praised Odisha’s farmers for leveraging artificial intelligence to boost agricultural outcomes—a story that’s garnered attention for its blend of tradition and technology.

The vada pav moment with Tendulkar, a national treasure, adds a light-hearted touch to Gates’s packed schedule. It’s not just a snack break; it hints at a potential collaboration, though details remain under wraps. For Indian fans, seeing two legends—one from tech, the other from cricket—share a casual bite is a rare treat, blending global influence with local flavour.

As Gates continues his journey, his interactions spotlight India’s dual role as a hub of innovation and a cultural powerhouse. Whether it’s AI-driven farming or a street-side snack with a sporting hero, his visit is proving to be a feast of ideas—and vada pav.

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Manappuram Finance shares hit record high after Bain Capital announces $508 million stake deal

Shares of Manappuram Finance surged to an all-time high after Bain Capital announced plans to acquire an 18% stake in the gold loan provider.

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Manappuram Finance shares rise after Bain Capital deal

India’s gold loan provider Manappuram Finance saw its shares soar to an all-time high on Friday after Bain Capital revealed plans to invest $508 million for an 18% stake in the company. The move, analysts say, brings clarity to Manappuram’s management succession strategy and paves the way for stronger strategic control.

Bain Capital, a U.S.-based private equity firm, will subscribe to Manappuram’s shares and warrants at Rs 236 per share — a 9% premium over Thursday’s closing price of Rs 217.5. Following the transaction, Bain will jointly control the company along with other key stakeholders, referred to as ‘promoters’ under Indian regulations.

As of 12:05 p.m. IST on Friday, Manappuram’s shares surged by as much as 6.3% to Rs 231.08, marking their highest level on record.

Founder to step back as Bain gains influence

Founder and CEO V.P. Nandakumar, who has led the company for nearly four decades, will transition to the role of non-executive chairman once the investment is finalized. With Bain Capital now having rights to influence strategic decisions and appoint key roles including the CEO, analysts at Jefferies and CLSA have responded positively.

CLSA noted that the potential for re-rating of Manappuram’s stock is strong as new leadership takes over. Jefferies and CLSA have both raised their target prices by 14.6% and 20%, respectively, maintaining bullish ratings of “buy” and “outperform.”

Deal to boost gold loan business, offset microfinance losses

The deal is expected to close in the upcoming financial year and is likely to accelerate growth in the company’s gold loan segment, which currently contributes around 75% of its total revenue. With gold prices at historic highs, the demand for gold-backed loans remains robust.

Additionally, analysts expect part of the capital raised through the deal may be used to cushion the losses in Manappuram’s microfinance division. The company confirmed that Asirvad Micro Finance, its microfinance subsidiary, will withdraw its IPO draft filing amid changing market conditions and regulatory scrutiny.

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Alphabet’s $32 billion acquisition of Wiz marks biggest cybersecurity push

Alphabet has announced a $32 billion deal to acquire Wiz, reinforcing its cloud security offerings as it competes with AWS and Microsoft Azure.

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Alphabet to acquire Wiz for $32 billion to boost cloud security

Alphabet, the parent company of Google, has announced its largest acquisition to date with a $32 billion deal to buy cybersecurity startup Wiz. The move signals Alphabet’s aggressive expansion in cloud security as it competes with Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure in the cloud computing market.

A strategic investment in cybersecurity

The acquisition will integrate Wiz into Google Cloud, reinforcing its security capabilities to help businesses mitigate cyber risks. The deal, which follows Alphabet’s previously unsuccessful $23 billion bid, underscores the company’s commitment to securing a stronger foothold in the cloud security space.

Wiz, an Israel-based firm, provides security solutions that work across major cloud providers, including Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud. The company has gained significant traction, boasting clients such as Morgan Stanley, BMW, and LVMH.

Regulatory scrutiny and financial impact

Despite the high price tag, Alphabet appears confident in securing regulatory approval under the new U.S. administration, which has maintained a watchful eye on major tech mergers. Notably, the termination fee—over $3.2 billion—stands among the highest in M&A history, signaling both parties’ commitment to closing the deal.

Alphabet’s stock dipped nearly 3% following the announcement, reflecting investor concerns over its heavy spending, particularly in AI and cloud computing. The company may need external financing, given its cash reserves of approximately $23.47 billion as of December 31, 2024.

Growing importance of cybersecurity

The acquisition highlights the increasing demand for cybersecurity solutions, especially in light of last year’s global CrowdStrike outage that disrupted businesses worldwide. Analysts suggest that for Google Cloud to compete effectively with Microsoft Azure, it must offer a more comprehensive suite of security services.

Alphabet expects the deal to be finalized in 2026, pending regulatory approvals. Meanwhile, Wiz will continue providing its services across multiple cloud platforms, potentially alleviating antitrust concerns.

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