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Seven months before end of financial year, fiscal deficit already at 96 per cent of annual estimate

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[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Data released by the Controller General of Accounts jeopardizes the Centre’s plan of doling out a Rs50000 crore stimulus package to revive the economy

Amid growing concerns of an economic downturn, former finance minister Yashwant Sinha claiming that Arun Jaitley has made a “mess’ of the economy and the Centre mulling a Rs 50000 crore stimulus package to revive the economy, latest data released by the Controller General of Accounts reveals that India’s fiscal deficit has already touched 96.1 per cent of the budget estimate for the full fiscal year.

The latest data paints a grim picture of the Indian economy even as Prime Minister Narendra Modi, finance minister Arun Jaitley and other members of the ruling central government make desperate attempts to present a contrary image of unprecedented economic growth”.

Compared to the corresponding period (April to August) of the last financial year when the deficit was 76.4 percent of the full-year target, the 96.1 per cent fiscal deficit seven months before the current financial year ends is a sure cause for worry.

The surge in the current fiscal deficit is being attributed to an increase in expenditure and this itself should put the Centre’s rumoured plan of doling out a Rs 50000 crore stimulus package to revive the fledgling Indian economy in doldrums.

A report in Business Today says: “In absolute terms, the fiscal deficit – difference between expenditure and revenue – was Rs 5.25 lakh crore during April-August, 2017-18, according to figures released by the Controller General of Accounts (CGA) on Friday. For 2017-18, the government aims to bring down the fiscal deficit to 3.2 per cent of the GDP.”

The Modi government had barely managed to meet the fiscal deficit target of 3.5 per cent of the GDP in the last financial year but this was possible perhaps because the parameters of calculating the GDP as well as other economic indices had been significantly changed by the Centre in 2015. As Yashwant Sinha had recently pointed out much to the charging of Jaitley, had the government been computing the GDP growth rate as per the formula that existed before 2015, the GDP growth rate of 5.7 per cent of the last quarter (already a three-year low) would have gone down further to around 3.7 per cent.

The CGA data released on Friday shows that the government’s revenue receipts worked out at Rs 4.09 lakh crore during the April to August period or 27 per cent of the budget estimate (BE) of Rs 15.15 lakh crore for the whole year. In the corresponding period of last fiscal, revenue receipts comprising taxes and other items were 28 per cent of the target.

The data also reveals that the Centre’s expenditure had been increasing on sequential basis and totalled Rs 9.5 lakh crore at August-end or 44.3 per cent of the budget estimates. In the comparable period last fiscal, the expenditure was 40.5 per cent of the estimate, the Business Today report says.

Several media reports have suggested that finance minister Jaitley may be forced sell bonds to raise funds for extra spending in a desperate bid to maintain the fiscal deficit with the budgetary estimate.

Jaitley had, during the general budget in February, proposed to raise Rs 5.8 trillion rupees in 2017-18 through bond sales to bridge the fiscal deficit of 3.2 percent of the GDP. Earlier this week, Economic Affairs Secretary Subhash Chandra Garg had said that the government would leave the full-year borrowing target intact and sell bonds worth Rs 2.08 trillion between October and March.[/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]

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Why Hindenburg Research is shutting down: A personal note from the founder

Anderson emphasised that his choice was not prompted by any single factor. There are no external threats, health concerns, or urgent issues necessitating this decision. Instead, he described it as a natural conclusion to a significant chapter in his life.

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Nate Anderson, the founder of Hindenburg Research, has decided to shut down his short-selling venture, which has famously exposed alleged frauds amounting to billions and sent shockwaves through major corporations. From igniting a $150 billion crisis for the Adani Group to taking down giants like Nikola and Eros International, Hindenburg has become synonymous with financial scrutiny and controversy depending on one’s perspective.

In a comprehensive blog post titled “Personal Note From Our Founder,” Anderson revealed his decision, stating that the firm has fulfilled its mission and that it is time to move forward. “As I’ve shared with family, friends, and our team since late last year, I have made the decision to disband Hindenburg Research,” he wrote.

Anderson emphasised that his choice was not prompted by any single factor. There are no external threats, health concerns, or urgent issues necessitating this decision. Instead, he described it as a natural conclusion to a significant chapter in his life.

This announcement follows Hindenburg’s completion of its final investigations into alleged financial fraud, which have been submitted to regulators. “As of the last Ponzi cases we just completed and are sharing with regulators, that day is today,” Anderson noted.

Reflecting on his career, he acknowledged that his intense dedication to the firm had come at the expense of other life areas. Initially motivated by a desire to prove himself, he ultimately began to view Hindenburg Research as just one of many chapters in his life.

In the upcoming six months, Anderson plans to create and share content, including materials and videos, to transparently illustrate the firm’s investigative techniques. He hopes this will inspire others to pursue similar efforts.

Hindenburg Research operated with a small but committed team of 11 members. Anderson praised their dedication to precise, evidence-based reporting and their courage in uncovering financial fraud. His team’s efforts have significantly influenced the landscape of financial accountability, with nearly 100 individuals facing civil or criminal charges partially attributable to their investigations.

“Nearly 100 individuals have been charged civilly or criminally by regulators, at least in part due to our work, including billionaires and oligarchs. We shook some empires that we felt needed shaking,” Anderson stated.

Hindenburg garnered international attention in January 2023 when it published a report alleging fraud and stock manipulation by the Adani Group. This report triggered a massive selloff in Adani’s stock, erasing over $100 billion from Gautam Adani’s personal wealth and causing the market capitalization of 10 Adani Group companies to plummet from ₹19.19 lakh crore on January 24, 2023, to below ₹7 lakh crore by February 27.

Although Adani stocks eventually recovered, the Supreme Court later noted that allegations made by organizations like Hindenburg, without proper verification, cannot be considered valid evidence. Previously, Hindenburg’s investigations included exposing Nikola Corporation in 2020 for fraud, which resulted in the resignation of founder Trevor Milton.

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India News

Sensex sheds 1,049 points, Nifty drops below 23,100

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Sensex falls 1,049 points, Nifty slips below 23,100 amid market downturn

The Indian stock market faced another day of sharp declines on January 13, as bearish sentiments tightened their grip for the fourth consecutive session. Weak global cues, a surge in crude oil prices to a three-month high, and reduced expectations of a U.S. rate cut in 2025 contributed to the downward spiral.

At the close of trading, the Sensex plunged 1,048.90 points or 1.36% to settle at 76,330.01. The Nifty also fell significantly, shedding 345.55 points or 1.47% to close at 23,085.95.

Sectoral impact

All sectoral indices ended the session in the red. The realty index was the worst hit, slumping by 6.7%. Other sectors, including oil & gas, power, PSU, metal, and media, recorded losses in the range of 3-4%.

This broad-based sell-off saw investors’ wealth take a major hit. The market capitalization of BSE-listed companies dropped sharply by Rs 12.39 lakh crore, falling to Rs 417.28 lakh crore from Rs 429.67 lakh crore in the previous session.

Key drivers of the decline

Crude oil prices: Crude oil surged to a three-month high, stoking fears of inflationary pressures and higher input costs across industries.

Global market trends: Weak global markets added to investor apprehensions, as global indices reflected a cautious outlook amid economic uncertainties.

Interest rate concerns: Revised expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve may delay rate cuts in 2025 also weighed on investor sentiment.

Outlook

Market experts suggest that volatility may persist in the near term as global and domestic factors continue to influence investor behavior. A focus on corporate earnings reports and international economic trends will be critical in shaping market movements in the weeks ahead.

With a significant erosion in investor wealth, market participants remain cautious as they navigate the ongoing uncertainties.

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Pune entrepreneur asks Blinkit CEO to launch ATM service after Ambulance, sparks debate

It’s worth mentioning that similar services are already available, such as platforms like MakeMyTrip that offer foreign currency delivery.

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Days after Blinkit launched its 10-minute ambulance service, a start-up founder and YouTuber reached out to Blinkit CEO Albinder Dhindsa with a request to introduce an “ATM-like” service. The founder suggested that this service would be “incredibly helpful.”

Harsh Punjabi, founder of The Dot Company and a YouTuber, posted on social media platform X: “Hey @albinder, please start an ATM-like service on Blinkit. Users could pay via UPI, and cash could be delivered to their doorstep in under 10 minutes. That would be super helpful!”

His rationale for this suggestion became clear in a follow-up tweet where he expressed, “Leaving for a trip and need cash. I only have Rs 100 at home. I don’t want to go to the ATM, but it looks like I’ll have to.”

Punjabi’s tweet sparked a variety of responses. Some users pointed out that delivery charges would incur an 18 percent GST, while others claimed that the idea would make Indians lazier. Many questioned the need for cash, given the widespread acceptance of UPI.

One user remarked, “The idea is good, but the 18 percent GST on delivery charges would ruin everything,” while another joked, “This scheme should be kept a secret.”

Another user lamented, “Why doesn’t Blinkit breathe on our behalf too? We’ve become that lazy,” and another added humorously, “Please, let’s not make India lazy to this extent.”

A user highlighted that similar arrangements exist where customers go to shops, pay extra for their bills, and take back the additional cash for tasks like paying rickshaw pullers.

“Why do you want cash? Cash should be eliminated. We need maximum digitalization,” one user opined, while another noted that acquiring smaller notes can be tricky, especially when UPI isn’t an option.

It’s worth mentioning that similar services are already available, such as platforms like MakeMyTrip that offer foreign currency delivery.

On January 2, Blinkit announced its ambulance service. Dhindsa stated, “We are taking our first step toward addressing the challenge of providing quick and reliable ambulance services in our cities. The first five ambulances will be operational in Gurugram starting today. As we expand, users will soon have the option to book a Basic Life Support (BLS) ambulance through the Blinkit app.”

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