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BJP would win if elections were held now, Modi most acceptable PM says a survey

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BJP would win if elections were held now, Modi most acceptable PM says a survey

Modi government would return to power but with a reduced margin if Lok Sabha elections are held now, says a survey by ABP News – C Voter.

The survey comes at a time the government is facing severe criticism over rising fuel prices, sinking of rupee and allegations of corruption in the Rafale deal. These do not seem to have affected the voter’s choice.

Narendra Modi was still voted to be the ideal Prime Ministerial candidate, though the worrying sign for the BJP is his popularity waning steadily over the last one year by six percent. Last year, Modi garnered 69 percent of the votes. Close to 47 percent of the citizens in the survey felt that the Narendra Modi government should not be given another chance in 2019.

By contrast, the popularity of Congress President Rahul Gandhi jumped six percent since the survey was last conducted in January. His vote share at that time was 28 percent.

The “Desh Ka Mood” survey noted that the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) would have secured 276 of the 543 seats, a drop of 60 from the 336 seats with which the ruling alliance won the general elections in 2014.

Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) would have won 112 seats.

The survey results predicted a vote share of 38 per cent for NDA and a vote share of 25 per cent for UPA.

Others may bag as many as 155 seats with a vote share of 37 per cent, the survey predicted.

State and region wise:

In Uttar Pradesh, if the UPA forms a mahagatbandhan, it is estimated to win more than half the seats. But without the Samajwadi Party and Bahujan Samaj Party alliance, the Congress party could be the biggest loser.

In case of a Congress-SP-BSP alliance, the UPA would win 56 seats, with the NDA only winning 24 seats.

Left alone, the UPA would only secure two seats if contesting alone, with the NDA to get 36 seats, and the BSP-SP alliance would get 42 seats.

If Mayawati opts to fight alone, then the NDA is slated to snatch the lion’s share of 70 seats in UP while Congress may get just two and the Others to get eight in total. BJP had won 71 seats in the previous elections.

For its prediction in Bihar, the ABP-CVoter estimated a close call if the Congress party forms a mahagathbandhan, and if the NDA alliance stays then it will win the maximum number of seats. If LJP and RLSP decide to cobble up an alliance, then NDA may get 22 seats while the UPA may get 18. If the NDA alliance remains intact then it may gather a massive 31 seats leaving the rest 9 for the Opposition parties.

In Maharashtra, if the Shiv Sena joined hands with the BJP and all the other parties contested on their own, the NDA would have secured the state. Things could go the other way around if the Congress aligned with the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) and the Shiv Sena does not align with the NDA. If Congress, NCP stitch an alliance and the Shiv Sena opting to contest alone then UPA’s tally may go up to 30 making NDA win 16 seats. Shiv Sena may just end up with 2 seats in this scenario. What if a Cong-NCP vs BJP-Sena battle emerges in Maharashtra? NDA may then win 36 seats while 12 may go to UPA. If all parties fight alone, it would be BJP 22, Sena 7, Cong 11, NCP 8.

The southeren states would pose a tough nut to crack for the NDA as they would not be able to garner a majority. Of the 129 seats in the states of Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana and Karnataka, the NDA would have secured 21 seats, with the UPA bagging 32 seats and the regional parties taking up the rest.

Madhya Pradesh and Chattisgarh would continue to be BJP bastions, with the NDA bagging nine of the 11 seats in Chattisgarh, and 23 of the 29 seats in Madhya Pradesh.

According to the opinion poll, NDA is seen getting eighteen seats in the 25 seats up for grabs in Rajasthan. The three states continue to remain the strongholds of the saffron party.

About, Odisha (21 seats), the survey notes that BJP is seeking to brighten its prospects in the eastern state where speculations of PM Narendra Modi contesting on a seat in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections are rife. If that happens, BJP is likely to get 13 seats, 6 may go to BJD while Congress may take just two in its kitty.

In the north-eastern states, NDA is likely to get 18 seats out of the stipulated 25. Six are seen going to the UPA.

A landslide victory is predicted for the UPA in Punjab while neighbouring Haryana is seen going the BJP way.  The survey says Delhi will be completely swept by the BJP.

India News

Amit Shah praises Dharmendra Pradhan’s resignation, says Nation above post

Amit Shah hailed Dharmendra Pradhan’s resignation as Union Education Minister, saying BJP places the nation and students above any position while highlighting the government’s commitment to examination reforms.

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Amit Shah

Union Home Minister Amit Shah on Saturday praised Dharmendra Pradhan’s decision to step down as Union Education Minister, saying the move reflected the Bharatiya Janata Party’s commitment to placing the nation and students above any political position.

In a post on X, Shah said that for BJP workers, the country, its youth and students are more important than any office. He described Pradhan’s resignation as an example of the party’s guiding principle of prioritising national interest over personal ambition.

Shah highlights government’s focus on exam reforms

Amit Shah said the Narendra Modi-led government respects the sentiments of students and remains committed to strengthening the examination system following concerns over alleged paper leaks.

He said the Centre has introduced strict measures to ensure severe punishment for those involved in examination paper leaks and expressed confidence that these steps would deliver justice to students who cleared the National Eligibility-cum-Entrance Test (NEET).

Praises Pradhan’s work as Education Minister

Recalling Dharmendra Pradhan’s tenure, Shah highlighted several initiatives undertaken during his time in the Education Ministry. He credited Pradhan with helping implement the National Education Policy (NEP), expanding PM SHRI schools, promoting digital education, strengthening skill development and improving coordination between industry and academic institutions.

Shah also said Pradhan worked towards making examinations more inclusive and student-centric, adding that his tenure reflected his commitment to the vision of a developed India.

Resignation follows NEET controversy

Dharmendra Pradhan’s resignation comes amid nationwide protests over alleged irregularities in the NEET examination and growing demands for accountability.

The resignation has triggered political reactions across party lines. While opposition parties have described the development as a result of sustained student protests, BJP leaders have projected it as an example of accountability and commitment to national interest.

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Assam flood death toll rises to 66, over 6.5 lakh people still affected

Assam’s flood situation improved slightly on Saturday, but more than 6.54 lakh people remain affected in six districts. Four fresh deaths have pushed the state’s flood toll to 66.

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Assam floods

The flood situation in Assam showed marginal improvement on Saturday, though the disaster continued to impact more than 6.54 lakh people across six districts. Four more deaths were reported during the day, taking the total number of fatalities in this year’s floods to 66.

According to the Assam State Disaster Management Authority (ASDMA), three of the latest deaths were reported from Sivasagar district, while one person lost their life in Charaideo.

The number of affected people declined from over 7.05 lakh across nine districts on Friday to 6,54,800 across six districts on Saturday, indicating a gradual improvement in the overall situation.

Sivasagar remains the worst-hit district

Among the affected districts, Sivasagar continues to be the worst hit, with nearly 2.9 lakh people impacted by the floods. Charaideo follows with around 1.9 lakh affected residents, while more than 1.3 lakh people remain affected in Jorhat.

The other districts still facing flood-related challenges are Dibrugarh, Golaghat and Nagaon.

Relief operations continue across affected areas

The ASDMA said the state administration is operating 274 relief camps and aid distribution centres across the affected districts. Around 18,902 displaced people are currently taking shelter at these facilities.

The latest daily bulletin also stated that floodwaters have inundated 810 villages across the state, while 34,970.8 hectares of agricultural land have suffered damage.

Rivers flowing above danger level

The floods have also damaged embankments, roads, bridges and other public infrastructure in several areas.

Authorities said the Dikhou River in Sivasagar and the Dhansiri River at Numaligarh are flowing above the danger level, and officials continue to closely monitor the situation.

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India News

UP Government forms new SIT led by 3 IPS officers to probe Ayodhya Ram Temple donation theft

The Uttar Pradesh government has formed a new SIT led by three IPS officers to investigate the alleged Ram Temple donation theft case in Ayodhya following Supreme Court directions.

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Ram Mandir

The Uttar Pradesh government has reconstituted a Special Investigation Team (SIT) headed by IG Kiran S, with DIG Somen Verma and SSP Dr Gaurav Grover as members, to investigate the alleged theft of donations meant for the Ram Temple in Ayodhya. 

The move comes after directions from the Supreme Court, which sought a reconstituted investigation team to ensure an independent and comprehensive probe into the allegations.

The newly formed SIT is expected to continue the investigation and submit a status report before the Supreme Court on July 27.

Senior IPS officers to lead the probe

According to the state government, the investigation will now be supervised by senior IPS officers.  The revamped SIT has been tasked with examining all aspects of the alleged embezzlement of temple donations and carrying the investigation forward.

The Supreme Court had observed that criminal investigations and technical examination of theft-related cases are more effectively handled by experienced police officers, leading to the reconstitution of the SIT under senior IPS leadership.

Probe to continue under court supervision

The case relates to the alleged embezzlement of offerings (chadhava) donated by devotees at the Shri Ram Janmabhoomi Temple in Ayodhya.

The Supreme Court is monitoring the investigation and will review the SIT’s status report at the next hearing.

Authorities are expected to continue examining evidence collected during the earlier stages of the investigation as the newly constituted SIT proceeds with the case.

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