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Cyclone Vayu to hit Gujarat on June 13 morning, delay northward progress of monsoon

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Cyclone Vayu to hit Gujarat on June 13 morning, delay northward progress of monsoon

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]A storm that developed near Lakshadweep islands over Arabian Sea is likely to develop into a severe cyclonic storm by tomorrow (Wednesday, June 12) while heading north-northwest towards Gujarat and bringing widespread rain all along India’s western coast, the met department said.

The cyclone is likely to delay further the already delayed monsoon as it would suck away moisture from it and delay its progression. This means the heat wave affected areas in central and north India would continue to swelter for a longer period.

Today morning, the storm attained the strength of a cyclone which has been called ‘cyclone Vayu’, a name given by India. The storm will peak on Thursday, June 13, with winds gusting up to 135 kmph over the sea.

It is expected to hit Gujarat coast on June 13. A heavy rainfall warning has been issued in parts of Gujarat in the next few days. Mumbai will also get affected by cyclonic storm Vayu, but not severely.

Cyclonic storm Vayu is very likely to move nearly northward and cross Gujarat coast between Porbandar and Mahuva around Veraval and Diu region with windspeed going up to go up to 110-120 kmph gusting to 135 kmph on June 13 early morning, the Indian Metereological Department (IMD) said.

Cyclone Vayu is expected to draw moisture away from the monsoon, which is likely remain stalled over the next few days. “Progress of the monsoon seems unlikely till June 15-16 because the cyclone will drag moisture away. It may move a bit through northeast India but major progress isn’t expected in that region too during this period,” said media reports quoting D Sivananda Pai, head of IMD’s long range forecasting.

The weatherman has put across an ‘orange message’ for south Gujarat region on June 12, which warns authorities to be prepared.

Private forecaster Skymet said that a deep depression is likely to intensify into a cyclonic storm Vayu today. “By that time it would be abeam Mumbai. With long sea travel, low vertical wind shear, and warm sea surface temperatures, the probable cyclone is further expected to gain strength and intensify into a severe cyclone storm,” the private forecaster added.

“Mumbai will also be affected Cyclone Vayu but not severely. The cyclone is expected to cross from 250-300 km away, parallel to the Mumbai coast tomorrow, early morning. A cyclonic warning has been issued for fishermen and people living near the coastline,” KS Hosalikar, Mumbai weather official was quoted as saying to news agency ANI.

The National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) tweeted: “#CycloneVayu likely to cross Gujarat coast between Porbandar and Mahuva around Veraval & Diu region as a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm with wind speed 130-140 kmph gusting to 155 kmph during mid-night of 12th June 2019.”

With cyclonic storm intensifying into a severe cyclone Vayu, places like Jamnagar, Somnath, Porbandar, Dwarka and Nailiya in Kutch would be impacted. It could even herald pre-monsoons rain across Gujarat.

Cyclone Vayu might bring light showers to cities, like Ahmedabad, Gandhinagar, Surat, Rajkot, Veraval and Bhuj on June 12 and June 13.Cyclone Vayu is expected to be closest to the Saurashtra Coast by June 12 and between June 12 and June 14, the western-most parts of Saurashtra and Kutch region in Gujarat could witness squally winds and heavy to very heavy rains, weather officials said.

Cyclone Vayu is likely to halt the northward progression of the monsoon for a few days. The arrival of the monsoon has already been delayed, hitting the Kerala coast on June 8 instead of June 1.

The cyclone is expected to interfere with normal progression, by sucking all the moisture from the monsoon winds towards itself. Cyclones are sustained by very strong low-pressure areas at their core. Winds in surrounding areas are forced to rush towards these low-pressure areas.

The places where the monsoon has already reached would continue to get rain, mainly along the western coastline, but other areas would have to wait a little longer.

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Maharashtra civic body polls held today with focus on Mumbai and Pune

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Voting is underway today for civic body elections across Maharashtra, covering 29 municipal corporations, with Mumbai and Pune emerging as the main political battlegrounds. The polls, being held after a long delay, are widely seen as a crucial test of political strength and identity ahead of larger state and national contests.

Polling began at 7.30 am for a total of 2,869 seats across 893 wards in the 29 civic bodies. The elections are taking place years after the scheduled term of most municipal corporations ended between 2020 and 2023. Voting will continue until 5.30 pm, while counting of votes is scheduled to begin at 10 am on January 16.

BMC election draws maximum attention

The Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC), India’s richest civic body, remains the centre of attention. Unlike other corporations, the BMC follows a single-member ward system, meaning each voter casts only one vote. In the remaining 28 civic bodies, wards have three to five seats, requiring voters to cast multiple votes.

The BMC poll is particularly significant for the Thackeray brothers, Uddhav and Raj, who have come together in its backdrop after two decades. The election is seen as an opportunity for them to reassert their claim as political heirs of Bal Thackeray and revive their influence in Mumbai, a city long governed by the undivided Shiv Sena.

Test of Marathi identity politics

The elections are also being closely watched as a test of the “Marathi Manoos” plank. Rooted in the Samyukta Maharashtra movement of the 1950s and shaped politically by Bal Thackeray, the Marathi identity has remained a defining feature of Mumbai’s politics and a core theme for the Thackeray-led parties, particularly the Maharashtra Navnirman Sena.

BJP-Shinde alliance and NCP in fray

For Chief Minister Eknath Shinde, who split the Shiv Sena in 2022, the civic polls offer a chance to regain lost ground and reinforce his claim as Bal Thackeray’s political successor. His alliance partner, the BJP, is contesting 137 of the BMC’s 227 seats, while the Shinde-led Sena is contesting the remaining 90. The BJP, which won 82 seats in the last BMC election in 2019, is aiming to significantly improve its tally.

Meanwhile, Ajit Pawar’s faction of the Nationalist Congress Party is contesting the polls independently after differences with the BJP over leadership issues. The party is hoping to regain influence, especially in Pune, where the undivided NCP had controlled the civic body for a decade between 2007 and 2017.

With high political stakes, delayed polls and shifting alliances, today’s civic elections are expected to offer clear signals about Maharashtra’s evolving political landscape.

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Karnataka to convene joint legislature session over MGNREGA repeal

The Karnataka government will convene a joint session of the legislature from January 22 to discuss the Centre’s repeal of MGNREGA, triggering sharp criticism from the opposition.

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karnataka assembly

The Karnataka cabinet on Wednesday decided to convene a joint session of the state legislature from January 22 to January 31, with the Centre’s decision to repeal the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MGNREGA) set to be the key focus.

The Congress-led government had earlier planned a two-day special session to discuss the repeal of MGNREGA, which has been replaced by the Viksit Bharat Guarantee for Rozgar and Ajeevika Mission (Gramin) (VB-G RAM G). However, State Law and Parliamentary Affairs Minister H K Patil said the plan was altered due to constitutional provisions.

Briefing reporters, Patil said the government was compelled to convene a joint session instead of a special session because of a technical requirement. Citing Article 176 of the Constitution, he explained that the Governor must address the first session of the state legislature every year.

“As a result of this technical reason, we are advancing the session. Instead of a special session, it will be a joint session,” Patil said, adding that holidays during the session would be announced by the Speaker.

He stressed that the state government would not remain silent if people’s rights were “snatched away” and said the objective of the session was to create public awareness and exert pressure on the Centre to restore MGNREGA.

Opposition questions intent of the session

Leader of Opposition in the Karnataka Assembly R Ashoka strongly criticised the decision, alleging that the joint session was convened with a “malafide intention” and amounted to a “sheer waste of money”.

Addressing a press conference, Ashoka said legislative sessions were meant for law-making and discussions on governance issues, questioning the purpose of holding a session on a matter decided by the Centre.

“What is this session convened for? Is it to utter gibberish in the House? There is no use of this session,” he said, adding that any resolution passed by the Assembly would have no practical value and would be ignored.

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Centre urges Indians to leave Iran amid worsening security situation

India has advised its citizens to leave Iran and avoid travelling to the country as nationwide protests intensify and the security situation continues to deteriorate.

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unrest in iran

India on Wednesday asked all its nationals currently in Iran to leave the country using available commercial means, citing a sharp deterioration in the security situation amid widespread anti-government protests and a heavy crackdown by authorities.

The government has also issued a strong advisory urging Indians to avoid travelling to Iran until further notice.

Advisory issued for Indian nationals in Iran

In a fresh advisory, the Indian Embassy in Iran said Indian citizens, including students, pilgrims, businesspersons and tourists, should leave Iran by available modes of transport, including commercial flights.

The embassy further advised Indian nationals and persons of Indian origin to exercise extreme caution, avoid areas witnessing protests or demonstrations, stay in regular contact with the embassy, and closely monitor local developments through official channels and local media.

Separately, the Ministry of External Affairs reiterated its warning, strongly advising Indians against travelling to Iran in view of the evolving situation. Earlier this month, the ministry had already asked citizens to avoid non-essential travel and urged those residing in Iran to remain cautious.

Protests spread nationwide

The unrest in Iran began late last month in Tehran after the Iranian currency, the rial, fell to record lows. What started as protests over economic hardship has since expanded into a broader movement demanding political change.

The demonstrations have now spread across all 31 provinces of the country, with the overall situation deteriorating significantly in recent days.

According to reports cited by media, the death toll from the nationwide protests has crossed 2,500, reflecting the scale and intensity of the ongoing crackdown.

Rising regional tensions

The developments in Iran have also contributed to heightened tensions in West Asia. The situation escalated further after the US president warned Tehran against the use of force on demonstrators and hinted at possible military action.

In a message addressed to protesters, the US president said that “help is on the way,” adding to the growing international pressure surrounding the crisis.

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