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Monsoon this year likely to be delayed, may be below normal as well

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Monsoon this year likely to be delayed, may be below normal as well

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]The Southwest monsoon that accounts for about 75 per cent of rainfall in India and is the most anticipated weather phenomenon in the country is likely to miss its date with Kerala on June 1 and arrive a few days late.

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecast for 2019 released today (Wednesday, May 15), as reported by The Indian Express (IE) and The Hindu, says it would hit the Kerala coast six days late, on June 6. Private weather forecaster Skymet puts its arrival date as June 4.

In 2017, the onset over Kerala happened two days in advance (May 30) whereas in 2018, the onset was realised on May 29, which was three days preceding the normal onset date over Kerala.

In Andaman and Nicobar islands, the IMD said, monsoon will arrive towards the end of this week, later than normal. It usually arrives over the islands anytime between May 10 – May 15.

“Conditions are becoming favourable for monsoon to advance onto Andaman and Nicobar islands around May18 or May 19,” the forecast suggested.

Generally, the monsoon reaches Kerala within 10 days of reaching the Andamans. However, meteorologists had indicated that the monsoon — impeded by high temperatures in the seas surrounding India, and an El Nino — will advance sluggishly after reaching Kerala.

To forecast the monsoon arrival, the IMD uses a customised weather model which, it stated, had been wrong only once – in 2015 – since 2014.

This model crunches 6 meteorological parameters: the minimum temperatures over northwest India; the pre-monsoon rainfall peak over south Peninsula; the outgoing long-wave radiation (OLR) over the South China Sea; the lower tropospheric zonal wind over southeast Indian Ocean; the upper tropospheric zonal wind over the east equatorial Indian Ocean; and the outgoing long-wave radiation (OLR) over the southwest Pacific region.

The model has a built-in error margin of four days and prediction of aJune 6 onset can mean any day from June 2-10.

The monsoon’s arrival time, the IMD said, had no bearing to the quantum of rainfall in June-September period.

The IMD said it expected a “normal monsoon” but pointed to a “significant probability” of below normal rains.

But the Skymet forecast could e reason for worry. Skymet has maintained, in line with its earlier forecast, that the rains would be poor this year at 93 per cent of the normal.

According to its forecast, the drought-affected regions of Marathwada and Vidarbha in Maharashtra, along with parts of Gujarat and Madhya Pradesh, will face nearly 9 per cent deficiency in the June-September rains, reported The Business Standard (BS).

Rajasthan, northern Karnataka and Rayalseema could also see poor rain, Skymet said. While the model error for the amount of rain is 5 per cent, that for the date of arrival is two days.

“All four regions are going to witness lower than normal rain this season. East and northeast India and the central parts will get poorer rain than northwest India and the southern peninsula,” Jatin Singh, managing director at Skymet, was reported as saying.

The initial advance of the monsoon over peninsular India in June is going to be slow, the weather agency said. What does not augur well for the economy is that Skymet expects multiple agrarian regions to have a serious shortfall in rain.

On the other hand, observations by global weather agencies that show weaker El Nino conditions in the monsoon period could limit the scarcity to some extent. All long-range forecasts, however, are prone to error due to the complexity of the Indian monsoon system. Skymet’s forecast of a fully normal monsoon (100 per cent) last year was proven wrong when the actual rainfall turned out to be 91 per cent of the normal.

Independent weather observers concurred with Skymet on the onset date, the BS report said. They said temperatures in the mainland dropped a bit due to a series of western disturbances, which are causing thunderstorms in Delhi and other states. This is delaying the development of low-pressure areas in central India and desert regions, they added.

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India News

Boy buys sanitary pad for fellow student after she gets unexpected period in class, netizens praise boy

The act of goodwill by young boy indicates his bringing and parenting. It is reminder that empathy has no boundaries. This generation needs more people like him who break the myth and orthodox rooted in the society.

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Boy buys pad for fellow classmate

A girl’s tweet is going viral on the internet where she described how a boy in her institute went the extra mile to help her after she unexpectedly got her period in class. He offered help by breaking all traditional taboos, went to the shop with the girl and got her the pad and an ice cream for her. She showed her love for the city and its people. Many people praised this simple act of generosity, a small kind act that can bring positive impact on people at large in our society.

The post got many positive reactions. People were impressed with the young boy’s gesture and also they were glad to witness such change in the surroundings. Good people are everywhere, they need to be recognized. Another person stated, the good thing about social media is that more people are getting aware about the problem faces by women. Such people has always kept the society’s soul alive, they make it a safe place for women.   

The act of goodwill by the boy indicates his bringing and parenting. It is a reminder that empathy has no boundaries. This generation needs more people like him who break the myth and orthodox roots embedded into them by society. To make society more healthy and inclusive for everyone, we need more courageous people to take steps forward to break the social stigma.

There have been several myths attached to the menstrual cycle in India. The concept of purity and impurity dates to Vedic times. Living in the 21st century, it is important for us to understand that there is nothing pure or impure about periods. It is the male-dominated society and institution that determines whether something is pure or impure and moulds it into an unquestionable and unchallenged object of belief. The so-called dirty menstrual flow which supposedly makes women impure is scientifically linked with procreation. The blood and tissue that a woman’s body evicts are not utilized by the body. Menstrual flow is as impure or pure as blood flowing through a non-menstruating man’s arteries and veins.

Given the immense impacts in a girl’s life that occurs with puberty, it is critical to invest in women’s education as a means of influencing young girls, shifting discriminatory norms and debunking these myths. As women don’t live in isolation, it is also crucial to educate men and boys as their silence legalizes and reinforces period myths. In short, to address the issue more holistically, multidimensional approaches are required to connect physical infrastructure, sanitation projects, health education and reproductive health programmes.

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India News

Ambulance Dada Karimul Haque, who’s saved more than 7000 lives, signs contract with producer for a Hindi film about him

In Jalpaiguri, West Bengal, Karimul Haque is working hard in his own unique way. He provides emergency medical care for people.

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Karimul Haque

In Jalpaiguri, West Bengal, Karimul Haque is working hard in his own unique way. He provides emergency medical care for people. Karimul Haque is a former tea garden worker. His mother and father were agricultural labourers. Karimul Haque did not complete his schooling and dropped out early to work.

His journey begins with a tragic experience in 1995 that forever changed his life when he could not find an ambulance to transport his ailing mother to the hospital. As a result, his mother died of cardiac arrest. He then made a decision to help others in the event of a medical emergency.

In 1998, when a coworker suddenly fainted, Haque carried him to his motorcycle and took him to a neighbouring hospital. This was when he got the idea of a motorcycle ambulance and decided to start his own motorcycle ambulance business. He borrowed money to purchase his own motorcycle, and since 1998, he has helped more than 7,000 people in need of medical assistance in more than 20 adjacent areas.

The first motor ambulance was merely a motorcycle carrying a sick patient. Now the motorcycle features a more modern sidecar equipped with an oxygen tank. The service transports three to four patients each day using two motorbikes and an equal number of four-wheeler vans. A cell phone number is also displayed on the bikes and ambulances. Haque has been driving his “motorcycle ambulance” for 16 years, ever since he took his first patient to the Jalpaiguri district hospital. 

A former journalist, Biswajit Jha, authored a biography of Haque named ‘Bike Ambulance Dada: The Inspiring Story of Karimul Haque.”

In 2017, the Government of India awarded Karimul Haq the Padma Shri. In 2018, at Rashtrapati Bhavan on the eve of Republic Day, he learned to take selfies from Prime Minister Narendra Modi. In 2021, he was invited to “Kaun Banega Crorepati 12”. Haque recently signed a contract with a Mumbai-based producer for a Hindi film about him.

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India News

Married woman found dead, throat slit, in Barabanki, police believe extramarital affair involved

According to the police, one alleged accused has been arrested.

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crime scene

In Barabanki, Uttar Pradesh, a shocking incident came to light, a woman had been murdered and had her throat slit. The woman was sleeping on the terrace of her home when the incident was reported. According to the police, one alleged accused has been arrested.

At the time of investigation, it was found that the deceased woman’s husband, Rampal, and her three children were out to attend the wedding when the incident happened.

During the investigation, Rampal revealed, they returned home from the wedding by one o’clock. He knocked on the front door of the house but didn’t receive any response. Soon after, his kids Vikas (17) and Akash (15) also arrived. All three of them collectively called their mother and tried to enter the house.

After a while, when there was no response again, they lay down on the cot that was kept in front of the home. Everyone once more attempted to open the door at around five in the morning, but it remained closed. Rampal then began shouting as he climbed the wall from the house’s backyard to the terrace. After reaching the terrace he found his wife’s body lying on the terrace and her throat was slitted with a sharp weapon.

According to SP of Barabanki, the youngest son of the deceased woman told about some persons who used to visit his mother when his father wasn’t there at home. The SP added, one individual has been detained in connection with the incident, after the statement given by the child.

As soon as local authorities and police were notified of the incident, they rushed to the scene, after which the woman’s body was sent for a postmortem.

The woman was killed, according to the authorities, because of her extramarital affairs. They claimed that robbery was not a factor in the case. The police stated that additional inquiries concerning the case were being conducted.

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