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No confidence vote: Outcome known, BJP & Opposition hope to score propaganda points

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No confidence vote: Outcome known, BJP & Opposition hope to score propaganda points

~By Rajesh Sinha

The four-year-old NDA government led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi faces its first motion of no-confidence on Friday, July 20.

Lok Sabha Speaker Sumitra Mahajan, who had repeatedly turned down notices for such a motion during the Budget session, on Wednesday admitted a notice moved by the Telugu Desam Party. While the outcome of a confidence vote was a foregone conclusion – even in the Budget session – the opposition parties intend to use it to make an all out attack on the government on a range of issues: In the normal course, they would have to give notice for a discussion on each of the topics separately. A no-confidence motion removes this limitation.

BJP was wary of having such a debate during Budget session, with the crucial Karnataka assembly election – for BJP under Amit Shah’s presidentship, every election is crucial – about to come up.

Now, the BJP leadership reckons, it suits the party. Media reports quoting BJP sources said that the change in the government’s approach to allow the no-confidence vote was driven by party president Amit Shah. He convinced the rest of the leadership that the debate on the no-confidence motion would afford the government the opportunity to expose the Opposition narrative and also its lack of unity.

The BJP felt that once the no-trust vote is debated and defeated, the Opposition would not have any excuse to disrupt proceedings of the House.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who will reply to the debate, is expected to use the occasion as a launching pad for the 2019 campaign.

“We will put the welfare schemes and development projects carried out by the government in last four years before the people,” said Parliamentary Affairs Minister Ananth Kumar.

A BJP leader said the government’s numbers would also work to its advantage as more lawmakers from the ruling coalition would get an opportunity to speak on the motion than the Opposition because of its sheer strength in the Lok Sabha: Parties are allocated time in debates according to their strength in parliament.

The debate on the motion is likely to go on beyond the normal time of 6 pm for the House. PM Narendra Modi, who will be the last speaker in the debate, will have people of the country watching him as they come home and sit down to watch TV.

The PM’s speech is expected to be a veritable launch of his Lok Sabha election campaign.

Some analysts wrote that the PM could use the no-confidence motion debate to call for an early election. Winning the vote to retain his projected image of being ‘unbeatable’ would be an opportune time, especially in view of the weak footing the BJP finds itself in for the assembly polls in Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Mizoram Assembly polls in November-December.

Modi-Shah led BJP, which has been rooting for simultaneous elections, would stand a better chance if the Lok Sabha polls are also called at the same time, argue these analysts.

The Opposition would hope its speakers succeed in conveying to the people why nearly all Opposition parties are against the Modi government. They will speak on a host of issues – price rise, lynchings, Jammu & Kashmir, foreign policy, flight of capital, increase in deposits by Indians in Swiss banks, fleeing of economic offenders from India, atrocities on Dalits and security of women.

The Congress was not too happy at TDP’s motion being admitted. Eight notices of no confidence in the Council of Ministers were received as the monsoon session of Parliament commenced. Three notices came from the TDP, two from the Congress, and one each from the NCP, CPM, and RSP.

The Speaker allowed TDP MP Kesineni Srinivas’ notice given to protest denial of a special package for Andhra Pradesh. She said Srinivas’ notice was the “first in point of time”, said some media reports (– though some others said it was done by lottery; the confusion remains).

Mallikarjun Kharge, Congress’ designated leader in Lok Sabha, reportedly made his party’s displeasure known on the floor of the House at the Speaker’s decision.

The reason is, it is the party which initiates the motion that will open the debate and get enough time to make its point. All other parties would get time as per their strength, and those parties would have to make adjustments accordingly, especially if they have more than one speaker.

The BJP and most of media hype is about the result of the no-confidence vote and the numbers game. That, however, is no secret. The 13-party NDA has 315 MPs in the House where the current effective strength is 536, instead of 545, there being nine vacancies. The government needs 269 votes to defeat the no-confidence motion.

The BJP has 274, including rebel MPs Shatrughan Sinha and Kirti Azad who stand to lose their membership if they defy the party whip to vote against the motion.

The UPA comprising the Congress, NCP, RJD, IUML, JMM and Kerala Congress Mani, has 64 MPs. The Congress has 48.

Other parties, including Independents, have 157 MPs.

The numbers explain the quickness with which the Speaker returned after lunch break to list discussions on the no-confidence motion on July 20. She said the entire business of the House, question hour, zero hour and private members’ Bills, will be suspended that day to take up the notice.

It was false confidence shown by Sonia Gandhi when she said: “Who told you the Opposition does not have the numbers?”

But then, one rarely ever says ‘we know are going to lose’.

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Congress hits back at PM Modi, says J&K has became bureaucratic fiefdom controlled by BJP-RSS

The Grand old party asked when will full statehood return to Jammu and Kashmir.

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The Congress Saturday hit out at Prime Minister Narendra Modi over his statehood to Union Territory only by saffron party possible remarks saying the region has become a bureaucratic fiefdom controlled by the BJP-RSS cabal.

The Grand old party asked when will full statehood return to Jammu and Kashmir.

Earlier today, Prime Minister Modi addressed an election rally in the Doda district of Jammu region in support of BJP candidates and said only his government will grant statehood to Jammu and Kashmir.

Congress General Secretary (Communications) Jairam Ramesh noted that since the fall of the PDP-BJP government in 2018, Jammu and Kashmir has been administered by Modi government.

In a series of questions to the Prime Minister,  Ramesh asked, “Why has Modi’s government failed to salvage the security situation in J&K and what is his vision to restore normalcy.”

 “Why is the central government consistently lying to the country about the security situation in J&K?” Ramesh said in a post on X.

The Congress leader further asked why has there been a sharp increase in narcotics smuggling under the Union government’s administration.

Ramesh said one fundamental reason for the upsurge in terrorist activity, particularly in Jammu, is the sharp rise in naroctics smuggling over the last few years with the International Border in Jammu rather than the LoC in Kashmir, being the primary area of operation for the smugglers.

He alleged that since 2018, the people of J&K have been denied any avenue to express their grievances.

“The region has become a bureaucratic fiefdom controlled by the BJP-RSS cabal. While claiming to have ended special status for J&K, the government has in fact created an extra-special situation of a new and unique political system: one where the state has been downgraded to a UT, elections have been suspended, and all norms of constitutional morality violated,” he alleged.

In his speech in Parliament on December 11, 2023, Home Minister Amit Shah stated that full statehood to J&K would be restored at an “appropriate time”, Ramesh pointed out.

“Five years after being stripped of their statehood, the people of J&K still lack clarity on what the timeline for this return of statehood is. Based on the experience of the last five years, where the Assembly elections were delayed on one pretext or the other, the people of J&K don’t buy the center’s assurance of restoration of statehood,” he said.

Can the Prime Minister give a straight answer to this key question as to when will full statehood return to Jammu and Kashmir, the Congress leader asked.

He further asked who will take moral responsibility for the loss of two Indian Army personnel to terrorist attacks in Kishtwar on Friday.

“One of the most repeated talking points of the non-biological PM is that the Government’s abrogation of Article 370 has curbed terrorism in Jammu and Kashmir. The mood on the ground in J&K, however, is one of anxiety. At least fifty-three security personnel have been killed to the south of Pir Panjal since 2021, in an area where there were no major incidents of terrorism between 2007 and 2014,” he said.

“In the last few months, it has spread even to neighboring districts that we considered largely peaceful: as evinced by the attack in Reasi on the 9th of June, the attack in Kathua on the 10th of June, in Doda on the 11th of June, in Udhampur on the 19th of August, and in Kishtwar on 13th of September. Infiltration from Pakistan is rising along the International Border, and a palpable sense of insecurity prevails across J&K,” Ramesh said.

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Arvind Kejriwal visits Hanuman Mandir in Delhi’s CP day after release

“In this struggle against injustice, Lord Hanuman’s blessings have always been with us,” Kejriwal said.

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Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal on Saturday visited Hanuman Mandir in Delhi’s Connaught Place at noon today to offer thanks and seek blessings, a day after being released from Tihar Jail in Delhi excise policy case.

“In this struggle against injustice, Lord Hanuman’s blessings have always been with us,” Kejriwal said.

In a post on X, Kejriwal said, “Today, along with my wife Sunita Kejriwal and other colleagues, I reached the ancient Hanuman temple in Connaught Place and worshipped Lord Hanuman and received his blessings.” He added, “I prayed to God for everyone’s happiness and prosperity. May God keep this courage in all of us in this fight to save the country.”

The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) chief Kejriwal’s visit to the temple comes after the Supreme Court granted him bail on Friday in the Delhi excise policy case.

The Apex Court granted bail with few terms and conditions such as barring him from entering the Chief Minister’s office and signing files.

The Aam Aadmi Party leader visited the temple along with his wife Sunita, former deputy Manish Sisodia and AAP leaders Sanjay Singh and Saurabh Bharadwaj. Kejriwal also visited Rajghat and paid tributes to Mahatma Gandhi’s memorial.

“Today, Arvind Kejriwal and his wife met the country’s senior-most lawyer Abhishek Singhvi at his residence, who is providing legal assistance to Chief Minister Kejriwal in fighting all the conspiracies of the dictator,” APP said.

Sharing a picture with AAP leaders including Chief Minister Kejriwal on X, Singhvi said: “Good to see CM Kejriwal thinner due to weight loss but with none of his fire diminished. And the larger AAP family. Very sweet of them to come collectively.”

Yesterday, the bench of Justice Surya Kant and Justice Ujjal Bhuyan delivered its verdict on two petitions filed by Kejriwal challenging his arrest and seeking bail in the case registered by the CBI under the Prevention of Corruption Act. It allowed the bail petition of Kejriwal on the grounds that the charge sheet had been filed in the case and that the trial was unlikely to be completed in the near future.

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Mamata Banerjee makes surprise visit to protest site of junior doctors, says last attempt to resolve crisis

“This is my last attempt to resolve the crisis,” Banerjee said.

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West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee on Saturday made a surprise visit to the site where the junior doctors were protesting, and assured them that she would look into their demands and take action if anyone was found guilty. She said this was her last attempt to resolve the crisis.

Addressing the protesting doctors amid chants of “we want justice” outside the Swasthya Bhawan in Salt Lake, Banerjee said she was spending sleepless nights as the medics were agitating on the road amid rains.

Banerjee said, “I came to meet you as your ‘didi’ not as the Chief Minister.”

“I assure you that I will study your demands and take action if someone is found guilty,” she added, urging the protesting doctors to return to work.

The West Bengal Chief Minister also announced that all state-run hospitals’ patient welfare committees were dissolved immediately.

“This is my last attempt to resolve the crisis,” Banerjee said.

After the Chief Minister left the site, the agitating doctors said they were not ready to compromise on their demands till discussions were held.

The medics have been camping outside Swasthya Bhawan, the headquarters of the State Health Department, since Tuesday with a host of demands, including better security at state-run hospitals and the removal of top officials over the rape and murder of the doctor at the RG Kar Medical College and Hospital.

Last month, Banerjee denied claims accusing her of threatening doctors and alleged that a malicious disinformation campaign was unleashed against her speech yesterday. 

The Chief Minister asserted that she did not utter a single word against medical students or their movement against the rape and murder of a doctor in Kolkata’s RG Kar Medical College and Hospital.

Banerjee promised to bring amendments to laws to ensure capital punishment for convicted rapists. Speaking at the foundation day of the party’s student wing, Banerjee warned the state governor of the protest outside the Raj Bhavan here if the governor delays in giving assent to the amended bill or forwards it to the President for ratification.

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