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Pakistan: Caught in the Iran vs Saudi Arabia great game

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Pakistan: Caught in the Iran vs Saudi Arabia great game

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Sunni groups in Pakistan have been harassing and abducting Shias, heading to and from Iran, for quite some time.

By Abu Turab

In a rare show of muscle, Iran has warned Pakistan that it will not hesitate in attacking areas “sheltering” terrorists on its soil if it does not tighten control over its borders and stop cross-border attacks in the Siestan-Balochistan province.

The head of Iran’s armed forces Major General Mohammad Baqeri made the comments on Monday in Tehran after two weeks since 10 Iranian border guards were killed near Pakistan territory. Jaish-ul-Adl, a Pakistan-based hardliner Sunni group, which claims to be fighting for gaining independence in the Iranian province, claimed responsibility for the attack.

Jaish-ul-Adl or Army of Justice was also responsible for abducting five Iranian border guards in 2014. Iran, at that time, had also threatened to send its troops into Pakistan to retrieve the abducted guards. However, four guards returned alive after a religious leader helped to resolve the situation. One of the Iranian guards was killed by the Jaish-ul-Adl.

Meanwhile, Iran’s Defence Minister Brigadier General Hossein Dehghan retorted on Sunday to a recent threat from Saudi Deputy Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman that a Saudi-Iran war will be fought on Iranian soil. Dehghan said that if the Saudis did anything stupid, the Iranian army will hit back and destroy everything in the kingdom except Mecca and Medina, housing the two grand mosques.

He referred to the ongoing Saudi bombing campaign of Yemen and said the Saudis think they can do anything because they have an air force.

In continuation to his earlier remarks, Iran’s Defense Minister said on Tuesday that Saudi Arabia has become so “miserable” as to ally with Israel against Islamic Republic of Iran. He was speaking to Lebanon-based Arab language Al-Manar TV network owned by Hezbollah.

Saudi Deputy Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman had accused Iran of seeking to take over Islamic holy sites in Saudi Arabia saying, “We won’t wait for the battle to be in Saudi Arabia. Instead, we will work so that the battle is for them in Iran.”

In his reaction to the Saudi royal’s remark, the Iranian Defence Minister said Tehran is neither interested in nor will it occupy any Arab or Muslim country.

According to Press TV, a Tehran-based official English language TV network, Saudi Arabia has been a known sponsor of extremist Wahhabi groups wreaking havoc in the region and beyond. It has also been leading a group of its vassal states in a war on Yemen since March 2015.

Saudi Interior Ministry spokesman Major General Mansour al-Turki, was quoted saying to Al-Hayat Arabic newspaper, in December last year, that more than 2000 Saudi citizens have joined radical Islamic terror groups in foreign countries.

On February 22, 2010, Iranian agencies successfully arrested Abdolmalek Rigi, leader of Pakistan-based Jundullah, a Sunni extremist group, while he was flying from Dubai to Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan. He had reportedly met CIA officials in Kabul a day prior to his arrest and was about to meet ‘senior officials’ in the Central Asian country. Iranians forced the plane to land at Bandar Abbas where he was arrested, all this without a single bullet being fired.

Jundullah, or Soldiers of God has been operating since 2002 in the borderlands between Iran, Pakistan and Afghanistan. It claims of fighting to defend human rights, culture and faith of ethnic Baluchis, the Sunnis. Tehran alleges that the group receives tactical support form forces with Pakistan’s notorious military intelligence that helped Afghan Taliban. It also alleges Saudi Arabia and CIA for encouraging the armed groups in that country.

Iran’s Intelligence Minister, while addressing a Press Conference in Tehran next day, hailed Rigi’s arrest and displayed pictures of his meeting with CIA officials in Kabul. On February 25, 2010, Iranian state television broadcast footage of a supposed confession made by Rigi, saying he was flying to Central Asia to meet with American handlers at the US-run Manas air base in Kyrgyzstan.

Rigi was hanged in Tehran’s Evin prison in June the same year for his involvement in terrorist attacks in Iran. He was accused of being behind a series of deadly bombings and raids in Siestan-Baluchistan.

Iran has been playing an important advisory role in the fight against Daesh (ISIS) in Iraq and Syria and protecting its western borders from the menace. It has also been engaged on protecting its soil from Sunni armed groups from three sides. Geographically, Iran is surrounded by Pakistan, Afghanistan and Iraq, where Wahhabi-influenced Jaish-ul-Adl, Jundullah, Taliban and Daesh (ISIS) were actively involved in gruesome terror acts.

Experts believe that Pakistan has become the ground for Saudi Arabia’s proxy war against Iran. Pakistan was host to a number of Afghan leaders and millions of refugees while the US was indirectly fighting Russian forces in Afghanistan through Wahhabi-inclined mujahids during the 1980s.[/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]

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Pakistan faces domestic backlash after India secures lower tariffs in US trade deal

India’s US trade agreement has sparked criticism in Pakistan after Islamabad ended up with higher tariffs despite sustained outreach to Washington.

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PM Shehbaz Sharif

India’s recently concluded trade agreement with the United States has triggered strong domestic criticism in Pakistan, where opposition leaders, journalists and commentators are questioning Islamabad’s diplomatic strategy after the country ended up with higher tariffs than India.

Under the agreement announced on February 2, US tariffs on Indian exports have been set at 18 per cent, while Pakistani goods will face a 19 per cent rate. The outcome has drawn sharp reactions in Pakistan, especially given what critics describe as sustained efforts by its leadership to engage Washington in recent months.

New Delhi, by contrast, is widely seen as having resisted pressure from US President Donald Trump and negotiated from a position of economic leverage rather than personal diplomacy.

Social media reactions highlight public anger

Following the announcement, Trump shared images related to India, including India Gate and a magazine cover featuring Prime Minister Narendra Modi alongside himself, before confirming the revised tariff rate for Indian goods. The optics did not go unnoticed in Pakistan, where social media users questioned why India secured better terms without overt displays of political deference.

One widely circulated post by Pakistan-based X user Umar Ali used sharp language and imagery to criticise Pakistan’s approach, reflecting growing frustration among sections of the public over what they see as an unequal outcome despite extensive outreach efforts.

Opposition leaders question foreign policy approach

Former Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf minister Hammad Azhar described the outcome as a failure of strategy rather than circumstance. He argued that modern foreign policy depends on economic strength, market access and tariffs, not symbolic gestures or personal relationships, pointing to India’s recent trade agreements with both the US and the European Union as examples.

Other opposition figures echoed similar views, saying India negotiated with “strategic autonomy” while Pakistan relied too heavily on personal engagement with US leadership.

Journalists warn of economic consequences

Journalists in Pakistan also weighed in, warning that the tariff decision could deepen the country’s existing economic challenges. Concerns were raised about declining exports, falling foreign investment and reduced bargaining power on the global stage.

Commentator Imran Riaz Khan criticised what he termed a failed lobbying strategy, arguing that symbolic gestures cannot replace economic leverage in international negotiations. Digital creator Wajahat Khan similarly framed the outcome as a reflection of unequal negotiating positions, stating that India approached the talks as a partner, while Pakistan did not.

India’s trade deals expected to boost exports

India’s back-to-back trade agreements with the European Union and the United States are expected to provide a significant boost to exports. Estimates suggest these deals could add up to $150 billion in exports over the next decade, strengthening India’s economic standing and reinforcing its negotiating position in future global trade talks.

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New Delhi free to buy oil from any source, Russia says amid US deal claims

Russia has said India is free to purchase oil from any country, dismissing claims that New Delhi has agreed to stop buying Russian crude under a US trade deal.

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New Delhi free to buy oil from any source, Russia says amid US deal claims

Russia has said that India is free to purchase crude oil from any country, responding to claims by US President Donald Trump that New Delhi has agreed to stop buying Russian oil as part of a recent trade deal with Washington.

The Kremlin said Russia is not India’s only energy supplier and noted that India has long sourced crude oil from multiple countries. It added that there is nothing new in India’s efforts to diversify its oil imports.

Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said that energy experts are well aware that India purchases oil and petroleum products from various global suppliers. He added that Moscow does not see any change in India’s approach to sourcing crude.

No official word from India on halting imports

A day earlier, Peskov said Russia has not received any official statement from India regarding the cessation of Russian oil purchases. Russia’s Foreign Ministry echoed the view, saying the hydrocarbon trade between the two countries remains mutually beneficial.

Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova said India’s purchase of Russian hydrocarbons contributes to stability in the global energy market and that Moscow remains ready to continue close cooperation with New Delhi in the energy sector.

Russian media also noted that, unlike the US president, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has not made any public statement indicating an agreement to stop Russian oil imports.

India’s oil imports from Russia

India has continued to import Russian crude even after the US imposed tariffs on Indian goods. According to global trade data provider Kpler, India has been importing around 1.5 million barrels of Russian crude per day, making it the second-largest buyer of Russian oil and accounting for more than one-third of India’s total crude imports.

India buys about 88 per cent of its crude oil needs from overseas, with roughly one-third sourced from Russia. At its peak, imports from Russia crossed 2 million barrels per day, before falling to around 1.3 million barrels per day in December. The volume is expected to remain broadly stable in the near term.

However, imports declined further to about 1.1 million barrels per day in the first three weeks of January following higher tariffs imposed by the US, including levies linked to purchases of Russian energy.

Complete switch unlikely, experts say

Energy experts believe Indian refiners cannot fully replace Russian crude with American oil. Igor Yushkov of the National Energy Security Fund said US shale oil is lighter in grade, while Russian Urals crude is heavier and contains more sulphur.

He explained that replacing Russian oil would require blending different grades, increasing costs for refiners. He added that the US is unlikely to be able to supply the volume currently exported by Russia to India.

Yushkov also recalled that when Russia redirected its oil exports from Western markets to India in 2022, it reduced production by about one million barrels per day, contributing to a sharp rise in global oil prices and record fuel prices in the US.

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Moscow says no word from India on stopping Russian oil purchases

Russia says it has received no confirmation from India on stopping Russian oil purchases, despite Donald Trump’s claim that the move was part of a new India-US trade deal.

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Vladimir Putin

The Kremlin on Tuesday said it has not received any official communication from India regarding a halt in Russian oil purchases, following claims by US President Donald Trump that New Delhi had agreed to stop buying Russian crude as part of a trade agreement with Washington.

Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov told reporters that Moscow had not heard any confirmation from Indian authorities on the matter.

“So far, we haven’t heard any statements from New Delhi on this matter,” Peskov said, responding to Trump’s remarks linking reduced US tariffs on Indian goods to an alleged commitment by India to end Russian oil imports.

Russia stresses importance of ties with India

Peskov said Russia respects bilateral relations between India and the United States but underlined the strategic importance of ties between Moscow and New Delhi.

“We respect bilateral US-Indian relations,” he said, adding that Russia places equal importance on its strategic partnership with India.
“This is the most important thing for us, and we intend to further develop our bilateral relations with Delhi.”

What Trump claimed

Trump announced the India-US trade deal on Monday, stating that tariffs on Indian goods had been reduced from 50 per cent to 18 per cent. He claimed the reduction was linked to India agreeing to stop purchasing Russian oil.

According to Trump, India would instead buy more oil from the United States and potentially from Venezuela. He also suggested that the move would help bring an end to the war in Ukraine.

“He agreed to stop buying Russian oil and to buy much more from the United States and, potentially, Venezuela,” Trump said, referring to Prime Minister Narendra Modi.

India’s reliance on Russian crude

India has emerged as one of the largest buyers of Russian crude since the start of the Ukraine conflict. It currently imports around 1.5 million barrels of Russian oil per day, accounting for more than one-third of its total oil imports, according to global trade data.

India is the second-largest purchaser of Russian crude globally. Even after earlier US tariff measures on Indian goods, New Delhi continued its Russian oil imports, citing energy security concerns.

The Indian government has consistently maintained that securing affordable energy supplies is critical, given the country’s heavy dependence on oil imports.

Shift in energy ties after Ukraine war

Historically, India’s relationship with Russia was centred more on defence cooperation than energy trade, with Russia supplying a majority of India’s military equipment while contributing only a small share of its oil imports.

After the invasion of Ukraine, India significantly increased purchases of discounted Russian oil. The move helped India boost energy supplies while providing Russia with much-needed revenue amid Western sanctions.

As recently as December 2025, Russian President Vladimir Putin said during a visit to New Delhi that Moscow was ready to ensure uninterrupted fuel supplies to India despite pressure from the United States.

Earlier US push for Indian energy imports

Trump had earlier said, following a meeting with Prime Minister Modi in February last year, that India would begin buying more American oil and natural gas. However, those discussions did not lead to a major shift in India’s energy sourcing.

Subsequent US tariff measures also failed to significantly alter India’s stance on Russian oil imports.

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