West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee has dismissed the exit poll predictions for the 2026 assembly elections, asserting that her party will return to power with a strong mandate of more than 226 seats.

Speaking after voting concluded, Banerjee urged people not to rely on exit poll projections, expressing full confidence in the electoral support for her party. She maintained that the All India Trinamool Congress would secure a decisive victory despite several surveys suggesting a close contest or advantage for the opposition.

Her remarks come at a time when multiple exit polls have indicated a tight race between the Trinamool Congress and the Bharatiya Janata Party, with some projections even pointing towards a potential shift in power.

Confidence vs projections as Bengal awaits results

Banerjee reiterated that exit polls have historically failed to capture the actual mood of voters in West Bengal. She said the final results would reflect the trust people have placed in her government.

The chief minister’s confidence echoes her earlier stance during the campaign, where she repeatedly claimed that her party would secure a comfortable majority and continue its governance in the state.

Meanwhile, exit poll trends released after voting suggested mixed outcomes. Some surveys projected a lead for the BJP, while others indicated a close fight or even a possible hung assembly.

High-stakes battle in West Bengal elections

The 2026 West Bengal assembly elections have been one of the most closely watched political contests in India, with intense campaigning by both the ruling TMC and the BJP.

High voter turnout and strong political mobilisation from both sides have added to the uncertainty surrounding the final outcome. Leaders from both parties have expressed confidence in forming the government once results are declared.

The official results are expected to determine whether Banerjee secures another term or if the state witnesses a political shift.

Exit polls for the 2026 Tamil Nadu Assembly elections suggest that the ruling Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK), led by Chief Minister M K Stalin, is likely to return to power, though the final outcome will be confirmed on counting day.

According to multiple projections, the DMK-led alliance is expected to secure a majority in the 234-member Assembly, with estimates placing the party’s tally in the range of around 122 to 145 seats.

Most polling agencies indicate that the ruling alliance has maintained a clear edge over its rivals, particularly the AIADMK-led bloc, in what has been a closely watched contest.

Vijay factor adds new dimension

A significant highlight of this election has been the entry of actor-turned-politician Vijay and his party, Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK). His debut has introduced a third force in a state traditionally dominated by the DMK and AIADMK.

Early assessments suggest that while TVK may not secure a large number of seats, it could influence vote shares and outcomes in several constituencies, especially by attracting younger voters and first-time participants.

This has made the electoral contest more complex, with analysts pointing to potential vote-splitting effects that could impact margins for both major alliances.

High turnout and key contest

Polling for all 234 seats was held on April 23, with the state witnessing a high voter turnout of over 84 percent, one of the highest in recent decades.

The election saw a multi-cornered fight involving the DMK alliance, AIADMK-led coalition, and newer players like TVK, alongside other regional parties.

What happens next

Exit polls provide only an early indication of voter trends and are not always accurate. The final results will be declared on May 4, when counting of votes takes place.

Until then, while projections favour a return of the DMK government, the actual impact of the “Vijay factor” and constituency-level dynamics will become clear only after the official results are announced.

Exit polls released after the final phase of voting in West Bengal suggest a closely contested election, with a “poll of polls” indicating that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) may hold a slight edge over the ruling Trinamool Congress (TMC) in some projections.

The estimates, which combine multiple exit poll surveys, point to a tight race in the state, reflecting a competitive political contest between Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee’s TMC and the BJP. While some projections show the BJP ahead, others indicate that the TMC remains firmly in contention, highlighting the uncertainty surrounding the final outcome.

The poll of polls aggregates data from different agencies to present a broader picture of voter sentiment. However, variations across surveys underline that the margin between the two major parties is narrow, and no clear consensus has emerged.

West Bengal’s election, held in two phases, has been one of the most closely watched political battles, drawing national attention due to the high-stakes contest between the incumbent leadership and the BJP’s aggressive campaign.

It is important to note that exit polls are only indicative and not definitive. Their accuracy depends on sampling methods and voter responses, and past trends have shown that final results can differ significantly from these projections.

The official results of the West Bengal Assembly elections are scheduled to be announced on May 4, which will ultimately determine whether the TMC retains power or if the BJP manages to make a breakthrough in the state.