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Economic Survey 2024: Economy likely to grow at 6.5 to 7 per cent in FY 25

The Economic Survey stated that the Indian economy is on a strong wicket and stable footing, showing resilience in the face of geopolitical challenges.

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Economic Survey 2024: Economy likely to grow at 6.5 to 7 per cent in FY 25

While presenting the Economic Survey 2023-24, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman highlighted that the Indian Economy is on a strong wicket and stable footing. The survey projected a real GDP growth of 6.5 per cent to 7 per cent in FY 25. 

The Economic Survey stated that the Indian economy is on a strong wicket and stable footing, showing resilience in the face of geopolitical challenges. The economy also consolidated post-Covid recovery with policymakers, fiscal and monetary, ascertaining economic and financial stability.

The survey further underlined that for the recovery to be sustained, there has to be heavy lifting on the domestic front because the environment has become extraordinarily difficult to reach agreements on key global issues like trade, investment and climate. 

It mentioned that headline inflation remains largely under control, despite increased rates for some specific food items. Notably, the trade deficit for FY24 was lower compared to FY23, with a current account deficit around 0.7 per cent of GDP and a surplus recorded in the last quarter. The foreign exchange reserves are ample, supporting economic stability. 

In recent years, public investment has driven capital formation and the private sector has begun investing in FY22 after addressing balance sheet issues, and is currently poised to sustain this momentum.

The survey stated that job creation occurs mostly in the private sector. Additionally, many of the factors influencing economic growth, job creation, and productivity are within the purview of state governments. Hence, India needs a tripartite compact, among the central government, state governments, and the private sector, more than ever before to meet the rising aspirations of its citizens and achieve the goal of a developed India by 2047, the survey noted.

The survey also highlighted that the agriculture sector is crucial for India and ripe for a comprehensive pan-India dialogue. It stated that India heavily subsidises water, electricity, and fertilizers for farmers, often providing the former two virtually free.

In addition, farmers’ incomes are untaxed, and the government offers a minimum support price (MSP) for 23 selected commodities, along with monthly cash support through the PM-KISAN scheme. Despite significant spending by national and sub-national governments, a re-orientation of existing and new policies could better serve farmers.

At present, a mix of conflicting policies is harming farmers’ interests, destroying soil fertility, depleting groundwater, polluting rivers, and contributing to environmental issues. These aforesaid policies also undermine public health by promoting diets rich in sugar and carbohydrates instead of fiber and protein. Untangling these policy knots could yield immense benefits, restoring faith in the state’s ability to guide the nation towards a better future and delivering substantial socio-economic advantages.

Another factor where policy intentions have yet to achieve desired outcomes is with respect to small, medium, and large enterprises. Earlier, multiple products were reserved for small-scale industries, but this approach was phased out as it benefitted neither the small industries nor the overall economy. Recent concerted efforts at formalizing these enterprises are making progress, but access to finance remains a significant challenge. 

Notably, buyers and creditors are shedding old mindsets and practices too slowly for these enterprises to feel the impact. Additionally, these businesses need maximum relief from the compliance burdens they face. Existing laws, rules, and regulations stretch their finances, abilities, and bandwidth, potentially robbing them of the will to grow.

Further, the Economic Survey highlighted that the tripartite compact that India needs to become a developed nation amidst emerging unprecedented global challenges involves three key elements namely, governments must trust and let go, the private sector must reciprocate this trust with long-term thinking and fair conduct, and the public must take responsibility for their finances and their physical and mental health.

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Markets surge as Nifty jumps 750 points after India-US trade deal

Indian equity markets rallied sharply with Nifty and Sensex posting strong gains after the India-US trade agreement announcement.

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Sensex

The Indian equity markets opened sharply higher on Tuesday morning, buoyed by optimism following the announcement of a trade agreement between India and the United States.

In early trade, the Nifty jumped around 750 points, while the Sensex surged nearly 2,400 points, reflecting strong investor confidence hours after the deal was made public.

The rally came after US President Donald Trump announced that Washington would slash tariffs on Indian goods to 18 per cent from 50 per cent, as part of a broader trade agreement with New Delhi. In return, India agreed to halt purchases of Russian oil and lower trade barriers, according to the announcement.

President Trump shared the development in a post on his social media platform, calling it a major trade breakthrough. The announcement was followed by a message from Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who thanked the US President on behalf of the people of India for the decision.

Rupee opens stronger against dollar

The positive sentiment was also reflected in the currency market. The Indian rupee opened stronger at 90.40 against the US dollar, gaining 1.10 rupees in early trade, supported by expectations of increased foreign investor inflows following the deal.

Asian markets rebound

Asian markets also traded higher, adding to the positive global cues. Japan’s Nikkei rose about 2.5 per cent, recovering from previous losses, while South Korea’s KOSPI climbed nearly 4 per cent. Market sentiment was further supported by signs of improved US factory activity overnight.

Futures indicated a recovery in Hong Kong markets, while S&P 500 futures were up around 0.3 per cent, as investors tracked upcoming corporate earnings.

With global cues turning favourable and optimism surrounding the India-US trade agreement, Indian markets are expected to remain buoyant, with investors closely watching further developments during the trading session.

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Rahul Gandhi, Rajnath Singh clash in Lok Sabha over ex-Army chief’s unpublished book on Ladakh

Lok Sabha proceedings were disrupted after Rahul Gandhi cited an unpublished book by former Army chief General MM Naravane on the Ladakh stand-off, drawing objections from Rajnath Singh and other BJP leaders.

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Rahul Gandhi

A sharp confrontation unfolded in the Lok Sabha on Monday after Leader of Opposition Rahul Gandhi referred to an unpublished book by former Army chief General MM Naravane while speaking on the 2020 India-China Ladakh stand-off, prompting strong objections from treasury benches.

Rahul Gandhi began his address by holding a printout of a magazine article that carried an essay on General Naravane’s yet-to-be-published memoir, Four Stars of Destiny. The reference immediately drew an intervention from Defence Minister Rajnath Singh, who objected to the citation, saying quoting an unpublished book violated parliamentary rules.

Objections from treasury benches

Rajnath Singh demanded that the Leader of Opposition place the book before the House, arguing that since the memoir had not been formally published, its contents could not be cited during proceedings. The objection was echoed by Home Minister Amit Shah, who questioned how references could be made to material that was not publicly available.

Parliamentary Affairs Minister Kiren Rijiju went a step further, suggesting that the House should deliberate on action against members who do not comply with the Speaker’s rulings.

As Rahul Gandhi persisted, repeatedly referring to “Chinese tanks” while discussing the eastern Ladakh situation, the opposition from BJP members intensified, leading to sustained disruptions.

Opposition support and continued disruptions

Samajwadi Party chief Akhilesh Yadav backed Rahul Gandhi, stating that issues concerning China were sensitive and that the Leader of Opposition should be allowed to present his views in the House.

Responding to the objections, Rahul Gandhi questioned the resistance to his remarks, asking what in the book was causing such concern. He maintained that both the article and the contents he was quoting were “100 per cent authentic.”

The Congress leader also said he had not intended to raise the issue but felt compelled to do so after BJP MP Tejasvi Surya questioned the patriotism of the Congress and its leadership.

Government, Congress trade charges

Government sources accused Rahul Gandhi of setting a dangerous precedent by citing material from an unpublished book, alleging that such references could be misused to make unverified claims on the floor of Parliament.

Congress MP Priyanka Gandhi defended her brother, saying he was not attempting to defame the Army and was merely reading an excerpt attributed to the former Army chief. She accused the ruling party of resisting discussion whenever uncomfortable issues surfaced.

House adjourned amid chaos

The repeated interruptions forced Lok Sabha Speaker Om Birla to adjourn the House till 3 pm. When proceedings resumed, similar scenes played out as Rahul Gandhi again attempted to speak on the subject, leading to further disruptions and another adjournment.

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P Chidambaram avoids commenting on Trump’s dead economy remark echoed by Rahul Gandhi

Chidambaram stays silent on Trump’s ‘dead economy’ remark echoed by Rahul Gandhi as Congress critiques Union Budget 2026.

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P Chidambaram

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Sunday presented her ninth consecutive union budget, stopping just short of Morarji Desai’s record of ten.

Congress MP P Chidambaram, however, avoided commenting on the ‘India is a dead economy’ statement made by former US President Donald Trump last July, which was later echoed by Rahul Gandhi.

Speaking to reporters after reviewing the budget, Chidambaram said he could not respond as he lacked the full context of Trump’s original remarks.

The comment by Trump followed India’s continued purchase of Russian crude oil, which the US had criticized as indirectly funding military action in Ukraine. Trump imposed a 25 per cent penalty tariff on Indian imports and added: “I don’t care what India does with Russia. They can take their dead economies down together, for all I care.”

Rahul Gandhi later supported the statement, saying, “He is right, everybody knows this except the Prime Minister and Finance Minister. I am glad President Trump stated a fact…”

The remark sparked a political debate, with BJP leaders criticizing Gandhi, while some Congress members, including Rajya Sabha MP Rajiv Shukla, called the statement “completely wrong.”

Ahead of the budget, Gandhi had highlighted the impact of US tariffs on small textile businesses, noting on X: “50 per cent US tariffs are badly hurting textile exporters. Job losses, shutdowns… are reality of our ‘dead economy’.”

The debate gained traction following the budget announcement, which did not offer immediate relief to middle-class taxpayers and saw markets react sharply, with the Sensex closing 1,500 points lower on Sunday.

Chidambaram, as usual, led Congress’ critique of the budget, pointing to a decrease in capital expenditure as a percentage of GDP from 3.2 per cent in FY25 to 3.1 per cent, despite the proposal of Rs 12.2 lakh crore for capex. He added, “Revenue receipts short by Rs 78,086 crore… total expenditure short by Rs 1,00,503 crore… revenue expenditure short by Rs 75,168 crore… capex was cut by Rs 1,44,376 crore… not a word was said to explain this…”

Rahul Gandhi echoed the criticism, highlighting issues such as unemployment, farmers’ distress, declining household savings, and low investment. “A budget that refuses course correction and is blind to India’s real crises,” he said on X.

Responding to the criticism, Finance Minister Sitharaman said, “With due respects, I don’t know what course correction he is referring to. The economy and its fundamentals are strong.”

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