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Gambia returns to democracy after 22 years

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Gambian President Yahya Jammeh holds a copy of the Quran while speaking to a poll worker at a polling station during the presidential election in Banjul, Gambia, December 1, 2016, Reuters/UNI

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Dictator Jammeh ousted peacefully, exiled to Equatorial Guinea

By Abu Turab

Around the time of Donald Trump’s inauguration as the new US president, another elected president, some 6,500 km away in Gambia, West Africa, was struggling to come to power despite his legitimate election. Newly-elected president Adama Barrow was forced to take the oath of office in neighbouring Senegal on January 19 while the outgoing president, Yahya Jammeh, was being persuaded by regional leaders to leave the country to avert military intervention.

Ultimately, after weeks of pressure from regional players and the threat of arrest by West African troops, Jammeh and his wife left Banjul, the Gambian capital, late on January 21, for Equatorial Guinea, ending his 22-year rule. He was accompanied by Guinea’s President Alpha Conde, who played an important mediatory role.

President Barrow returned to Gambia on January 27 and chose to stay at his own home until the security clearance of State House, the official residence of the president. Later, there were reports of recovery of a huge quantity of arms from State House.

During his inaugural speech, Barrow called upon the Economic Council of West African States (ECOWAS), the African Union and the United Nations to “support the government and people of Gambia in enforcing their will”.

The swearing-in ceremony at the inauguration of Gambia President Adama Barrow at the Gambian embassy in Dakar, January 19, 2017, Reuters/UNI

The swearing-in ceremony at the inauguration of Gambia President Adama Barrow at the Gambian embassy in Dakar, January 19, 2017, Reuters/UNI

The three agencies were closely working for smooth transfer of power in the country. ECOWAS took the lead both in setting the agenda and launching the diplomatic exercise involving five rounds of presidential missions to Banjul and incorporating six heads of state, including Noble Peace laureate Ellen Johnson Sirleaf, president of Liberia.

According to Al Jazeera, Barrow, while addressing his first press conference in Banjul, said Gambia was a republic and “not an Islamic Republic”.  The country has an approximately 90 percent Muslim population. “Islamic” was added to the country’s name by Jammeh in 2015.

Barrow, while describing his proposed reforms, also vowed to reform the country’s notorious intelligence agency, the National Intelligence Agency (NIA), and promised to ensure media freedom.

ECOWAS, apart from its diplomatic efforts, also exerted pressure on Jammeh with a credible threat of military action. A December 17 summit of the regional leaders resolved to “undertake all necessary action” and mobilised their troops to enter Gambia on January 19, setting a deadline for Jammeh to relinquish power.

Returnees from Barra seen on arrival at Banjul Port a day after President Yahya Jammeh departed from Banjul, Gambia, for exile, January 22, Reuters/UNI

Returnees from Barra seen on arrival at Banjul Port a day after President Yahya Jammeh departed from Banjul, Gambia, for exile, January 22, Reuters/UNI

Equatorial Guinea, the exile destination of Jammeh, is not a signatory to the Rome statute enabling establishment of the International Criminal Court. This guaranteed that Jammeh would not be extradited if the new government decides to prosecute him.

Jammeh is the first president to peacefully hand over power in Gambia since its independence from British rulers in 1965.

After defeat in the December 1 election, Jammeh initially conceded defeat but later called the elections fake. But, as pressure mounted,  Jammeh, who had once said he would rule Gambia for a billion years, said he would stand down and that it was “not necessary that a single drop of blood be shed.”

Africa is full of longtime dictators or undemocratic heads of state. Equatorial Guinea and Angola are under continuous rule for 37 years by Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo and Jose Eduardo dos Santos, respectively; Cameroon has been ruled by Paul Biya for 34 years, Uganda by Yoweri Museveni for 31 years, Zimbabwe by Robert Mugabe for 29 years, Sudan by Omar al-Bashir for 27 years, Chad by Idriss Deby for 26 years, Eritrea by Isaias Afwerki for 23 years and Gambia was under Jammeh for 22 years.

Before assuming power Barrow assured Jammeh of all rights legally ensured to a former president including immunity from prosecution. He also confirmed that Jammeh will be permitted to keep a fleet of luxury cars.

According to the BBC, luxury cars and other items were seen being loaded onto a Chadian cargo plane on the night Jammeh left the country.

The change of guard in Gambia was an exemplary exercise in many ways. It was a rare occasion in history when a dictator was forced to leave through successfuldiplomacy without a drop of blood being shed.

According to a December 2016 ministry of external affairs report, some 600 Indians are engaged in trade and private business in Gambia. India’s relations with the country are marked with cooperation in the Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) and the United Nations. Indian exports to Gambia include cotton yarn, fabrics, cosmetics, drugs, pharmaceuticals and semi-finished iron and steel products whereas Gambia exports cashew and cotton to India.

Union Minister Mukhtar Abbas Naqvi visited Gambia as a special envoy of Prime Minister Narendra Modi in September 2015. Gambian Vice-President Isatou Njie-Saidy participated in the India-Africa Forum Summit in New Delhi in October 2015.[/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]

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India considers tax relief to attract foreign investors amid Iran war impact

India is evaluating tax incentives, including a possible capital gains tax exemption on government securities for foreign investors, to support capital inflows amid economic pressures linked to the Iran war.

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India is considering a set of measures aimed at attracting more foreign investment as the ongoing Iran war continues to create pressure on the country’s economy, according to reports citing government sources. One of the key proposals under discussion is the removal of capital gains tax on investments made by foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) in government securities.

The move comes at a time when geopolitical tensions in West Asia have pushed up global oil prices, weakened investor sentiment and increased pressure on the Indian rupee. India, which imports a significant share of its crude oil requirements, has been among the countries closely monitoring the economic fallout from the conflict.

Government exploring ways to boost capital inflows

Officials are reportedly evaluating tax-related incentives to make Indian debt markets more attractive to overseas investors. The proposed exemption on capital gains from government securities is aimed at encouraging foreign portfolio investment and supporting capital inflows during a period of heightened global uncertainty.

The government is seeking to counter the impact of foreign capital outflows that have intensified amid concerns over the Iran conflict and its implications for energy markets and global economic growth.

Rupee and markets under pressure

Recent weeks have seen increased volatility in financial markets, with foreign investors pulling money out of Indian equities. Analysts have linked part of the pressure on the rupee to rising oil prices and continued overseas investor withdrawals.

Market participants believe that measures aimed at attracting foreign investment into government securities could help improve investor confidence and provide support to the domestic currency.

Broader economic concerns

The Iran war has added to concerns about inflation, economic growth and India’s external sector. Higher energy prices can increase import costs and put pressure on inflation, while sustained foreign capital outflows may affect financial market stability.

While no final decision has been announced, discussions on easing tax rules for foreign investors reflect the government’s efforts to strengthen capital inflows and cushion the economy from external shocks.

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US proposes new tariffs on India over forced labour concerns amid trade negotiations

The United States has proposed additional tariffs on imports from India and 59 other economies following a Section 301 investigation into forced labour-related trade concerns.

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Donald Trump statement

The United States has proposed imposing additional tariffs on imports from India and 59 other economies after concluding that these countries have not taken sufficient steps to prevent the importation of goods allegedly linked to forced labour. The proposal was announced by the Office of the US Trade Representative (USTR) as part of an investigation conducted under Section 301 of the US Trade Act.

According to the USTR’s findings, India could face an additional tariff of 12.5% on goods exported to the United States. The proposed measure is part of a broader plan targeting 60 economies, with tariff rates ranging between 10% and 12.5% depending on the findings related to each country.

India among countries facing higher tariff proposal

The USTR said India had not effectively enforced restrictions on imports made using forced labour, describing the issue as a burden on US commerce. The agency argued that inadequate enforcement by major trading partners creates unfair competition for American workers and businesses.

While countries including Canada, Mexico, the European Union and the United Kingdom are proposed to face a 10% tariff, India is among a larger group of economies that could be subjected to a 12.5% duty under the recommendation.

Proposal comes during India-US trade discussions

The tariff proposal has emerged while Indian and US officials are engaged in trade negotiations aimed at strengthening economic ties between the two countries. A US delegation led by Assistant USTR Brendan Lynch is currently holding discussions with Indian officials in New Delhi.

India’s Commerce Ministry has indicated that discussions with the United States on the matter are continuing and noted that the proposed tariffs have not yet been finalised. The USTR has invited public comments on the proposal until July 6, with a public hearing scheduled for July 7 before any final decision is taken.

Certain products may remain exempt

The proposed tariffs include exemptions for several categories of goods, including some energy products, pharmaceuticals, rare earth materials and selected agricultural commodities. Additional details regarding sector-specific measures, including proposed textile-related actions, are expected to be released separately.

The latest move follows a Section 301 investigation launched earlier this year into forced labour concerns across global supply chains. Any final decision on imposing the tariffs will be made after the consultation process is completed.

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Trump reportedly rebukes Netanyahu over Lebanon strikes amid ceasefire concerns

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US President Donald Trump reportedly delivered a sharp rebuke to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu during a phone call over Israel’s military actions in Lebanon, as concerns grow that renewed hostilities could jeopardise fragile diplomatic efforts in the region.

According to multiple reports, Trump expressed frustration over Israeli strikes linked to ongoing tensions with Hezbollah in Lebanon. The reported exchange came at a sensitive time, with Washington attempting to prevent further escalation while also pursuing broader diplomatic discussions involving Iran.

Reports point to unusually tense exchange

Sources cited in international reports said Trump used unusually strong language during the conversation, warning that continued military actions risked damaging efforts to stabilise the situation. One report claimed Trump told Netanyahu that his actions were hurting Israel’s international standing and complicating diplomatic initiatives.

The reported disagreement followed Israeli operations against Hezbollah-linked targets in Lebanon. While Israeli officials argued that the actions were a response to security threats and ceasefire violations, the US administration has been pushing for restraint to avoid a wider regional conflict.

Lebanon fighting threatens broader diplomatic efforts

The latest tensions come amid efforts to maintain a ceasefire framework between Israel and Hezbollah. US officials have been involved in discussions aimed at reducing hostilities and preventing attacks on major Lebanese population centres, including Beirut.

Reports indicate that Trump personally intervened to discourage further escalation and support negotiations intended to preserve regional stability. Hezbollah has reportedly signalled a willingness to consider a broader ceasefire arrangement if reciprocal commitments are made.

Differing public messages after the call

Despite reports of a heated conversation, Trump later suggested publicly that discussions had been constructive and that progress had been made toward reducing tensions. Netanyahu, however, maintained that Israel would continue to respond to security threats and would not alter its overall approach toward Hezbollah if attacks persisted.

The developments highlight growing challenges facing diplomatic efforts in the Middle East, where the conflicts involving Israel, Lebanon and Iran remain closely interconnected. Analysts say any major escalation in Lebanon could further complicate ongoing negotiations and increase instability across the region.

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