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Will simultaneous polls to Lok Sabha and state assemblies become a reality by Feb-March 2019?

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Will simultaneous polls to Lok Sabha and state assemblies become a reality by Feb-March 2019?

By Puneet Nicholas Yadav

Lok Sabha deputy Speaker M Thambidurai writes to CMs seeking views on holding federal and provincial polls together, EC says it’ll be ready by Sept 2018

Could Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his BJP soon set the wheels in motion for amendments to the Constitution and other legislations that govern the conduct of federal and provincial elections to ensure that simultaneous polls to the Lok Sabha and state assemblies become a reality by February-March 2019?

A letter written by Lok Sabha deputy Speaker and senior AIADMK leader M Thambidurai to the Prime Minister in August and to chief ministers of all states a few weeks later not only endorses the proposal but also proposes that simultaneous elections to the Lok Sabha and state assemblies be held by “end-February or early-March 2019”.Will simultaneous polls to Lok Sabha and state assemblies become a reality by Feb-March 2019?The Election Commission (EC) has already given clear indications that it would be ready to hold simultaneous polls by September 2018.

On Wednesday, while attending a function in Bhopal to launch the ERONet software (to check inaccuracy and duplicity in electoral rolls), Election Commissioner OP Rawat had told mediapersons that the government had sought a response from the EC on conduct of simultaneous state and national polls.

Rawat said that the EC would require around 40 lakh electronic voting machines equipped with voter-verifiable paper audit trail (VVPAT) apparatus for holding the simultaneous polls and confirmed that orders for these had been placed by two government agencies. The Election Commissioner said that the poll panel had been allocated Rs 3400 crore for procuring the additional EVMS and Rs 12000 crore for the VVPAT equipment and added that “We will be logistically ready to hold simultaneous polls by September 2018”

Rawat, however, qualified his comments by insisting that “it is up to the government to take a decision and make necessary legal amendments” for conducting the polls simultaneously.

The Election Commissioner’s comments, when read in reference to the remarks made by Thambidurai in his letter to PM Modi (datedAugust 21) and to chief ministers (dated September 13) – copies of which are in possession of APN – show that there is a clear effort to rollout the big electoral reform soon.

In his letter to the Prime Minister, Thambidurai says: “presently, there is a strong report doing the rounds on this (holding of simultaneous polls)… so, to give a bright start to this idea, end-February or early-March 2019 could be taken as the baseline for holding such simultaneous elections.”

M ThambiduraiThambidurai also addresses a key argument being made against the proposal by the likes of former chief election commissioner SY Quraishi and other election experts – what would the government or EC do if a state government fails to complete its full term in the event of failing a floor test or some other unforeseen situation? Will all state assemblies and the Lok Sabha then be dissolved to have another round of simultaneous polls?

Thambiduari suggests in his letter to Modi: “in the unfortunate event of some State (assembly) getting dissolved in between, then the elections to such states can be held only for the remaining period of the term and not for five years (the usual term of an assembly or Lok Sabha) from then on. This will be in tune with the by-elections that are held to elect MPs or MLAs where they are elected only for the remaining term of Lok Sabha or the State Assemblies and not for the five years from the date of their election.”

The Lok Sabha deputy Speaker goes on to say: “the elections to the States that are likely to go to polls from now on and till March 2019 can be postponed (till Feb-March 2019). Likewise, the elections to the States that are likely to go to polls for at least one year after 2019, can be preponed to hold simultaneous polls in 2019. Those States that are likely to go to polls beyond that period and till 2024 can have shorter Assembly terms so that they can also be taken on-board for simultaneous elections in 2024 along with the general elections”.

Thambidurai has proposed that if the government adopts his formula then “elections to all State Assemblies and the Lok Sabha can be held together simultaneously in 2024 and every five years thereafter”.

It remains to be seen whether or not the Centre and the EC adopt the Lok Sabha deputy Speaker’s formula for simultaneous polls. However, it is certain that the radical electoral reform would face stiff resistance from opposition parties, especially the likes of Congress, Trinamool Congress and CPM who are ruling various states and wouldn’t want the term of their government’s cut short to give an obvious electoral advantage to the BJP, which at least for now seems invincible in its victory march at the hustings.

There are also a host of other technical and operational problems that the poll panel will need to address before venturing out to implement the proposal.

As former CEC SY Quraishi said in an article he wrote for India Legal – APN’s sister-concern – recently: “while the idea (of simultaneous polls) is desirable, it is doubtful whether it is feasible.”

Read full article here: Simultaneous Polls: Desirable But Not Feasible

Quraishi cited multiple hurdles in implementing the reform:

“Let us first consider a practical constraint. Even if elections were to be held simultaneously, every state and every assembly will witness its own political course. What is one to do if a particular state witnesses an upturned majority in case a few of the MLAs decide to shift their “loyalty”? How are simultaneous elections to be continued in such a scenario? Or, as was the case in 1998, what happens if the Lok Sabha is dissolved within 13 days? Do we also dissolve all democratically elected state assemblies for reasons beyond the states’ boundaries?”

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Deve Gowda hits back at Kharge’s married PM jibe, calls congress tie-up abusive relationship

HD Deve Gowda rebuts Mallikarjun Kharge’s remarks, saying JD(S) did not desert Congress and was forced to exit an “abusive” alliance.

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Former Prime Minister H. D. Deve Gowda has responded sharply to remarks made by Congress president Mallikarjun Kharge in the Rajya Sabha, rejecting the suggestion that he chose to align with Prime Minister Narendra Modi over the Congress.

War of words in rajya sabha

During his farewell speech in the Upper House, Kharge made a light-hearted remark about Deve Gowda’s political journey, saying he had “dated” the Congress but ultimately “married” Modi. The comment drew laughter across the House, including from the Prime Minister, who was present at the time.

Kharge also noted his long association with Deve Gowda, saying he had known him for over five decades but was unsure why the Janata Dal (Secular) leader shifted alliances.

Deve gowda’s ‘forced marriage’ reply

In a statement issued later, Deve Gowda said he was not present in the House when the comment was made as he had left for Bengaluru for Ugadi celebrations. Responding in similar metaphorical language, he said his association with the Congress was a “forced marriage” that eventually turned into an “abusive relationship.”

He asserted that his party did not leave the Congress alliance, but was instead compelled to move on after being sidelined.

Reference to 2018 karnataka alliance

Deve Gowda also revisited the 2018 Karnataka political developments, stating that the Congress leadership, including Ghulam Nabi Azad, had proposed his son H. D. Kumaraswamy as Chief Minister. He claimed he had instead suggested Kharge’s name, in the presence of leaders like Siddaramaiah.

Despite this, Kumaraswamy eventually took charge as Chief Minister after the Congress-JD(S) alliance formed the government.

Alliance collapse and aftermath

The coalition government collapsed in 2019 after multiple MLAs from both parties defected, leading to the fall of the government. Deve Gowda alleged that the Congress failed to act against those responsible for triggering the defections.

He maintained that the breakdown of the alliance left JD(S) with no option but to seek a “more stable” political partnership later.

Political context

Deve Gowda briefly served as Prime Minister following the 1996 Lok Sabha elections, heading a United Front government supported by the Congress. His party later allied with the Congress in Karnataka in 2018 before parting ways after the coalition government’s collapse.

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India News

Markets tumble as oil crosses $110, sensex falls over 1,900 points

Markets opened sharply lower with Sensex plunging over 1,900 points as crude oil crossed $110 and global factors weighed on sentiment.

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Sensex

Indian stock markets opened sharply lower on Thursday, snapping a three-session gaining streak, as rising global crude oil prices and geopolitical tensions weighed heavily on investor sentiment.

Benchmark indices witnessed a gap-down opening, with the Sensex plunging over 1,900 points at the open, while the Nifty dropped more than 450 points. The decline follows reports of Iran targeting key energy infrastructure in the Gulf region, pushing Brent crude oil prices above the $110 per barrel mark.

At around 9:17 AM, the Sensex was trading at 75,235.05, down by 1,469.08 points. Meanwhile, the Nifty stood at 23,291.85, slipping 485.95 points.

Oil spike, global cues pressure equities

The surge in crude oil prices is a major concern for Indian markets, as higher oil costs can widen the current account deficit and fuel inflation. This often leads to cautious investor behaviour and triggers selling in equities.

Adding to the negative sentiment, the US Federal Reserve maintained its interest rates at current levels. Stable rates in the US tend to keep bond yields attractive, which can result in foreign institutional investors (FIIs) pulling money out of emerging markets like India.

Early indicators had already pointed to a weak start. GIFT Nifty futures were trading at 23,324, down 453 points, signalling a negative opening for domestic indices.

Expert view signals sectoral shift

According to InvestorAi’s strategic outlook, there has been a noticeable shift in market positioning towards IT large-cap stocks. The move reflects a preference for companies with stable earnings visibility, especially those earning in dollars amid a weakening rupee.

The analysis highlights that IT exporters benefit from currency depreciation, as revenues are largely dollar-denominated while costs remain in rupees. However, the outlook remains sensitive to crude prices. A sustained rise above $110 could force policy tightening and impact valuations.

Key stocks in focus

Among the top conviction picks highlighted:

  • Mphasis seen as a strong mid-cap IT play with AI and cloud exposure
  • Wipro emerging as a turnaround candidate with improving margins
  • TCS acting as a sector bellwether reflecting broader IT trends
  • PB Fintech offering a high-margin digital growth story
  • KEI Industries representing domestic infrastructure and electrification demand

What investors should watch

Market participants are closely tracking the rupee’s movement against the US dollar. A sustained breach beyond 90.5–91 levels could further support IT stocks but may also signal broader macroeconomic stress.

Additionally, crude oil prices and geopolitical developments will remain key triggers for market direction in the near term.

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Delhi-NCR sees second spell of rain and thunderstorms in four days

Delhi-NCR experienced another spell of rain and thunderstorms on March 18, with IMD forecasting more showers over the next few days.

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Delhi and parts of the National Capital Region witnessed another spell of rain, thunderstorms, and strong winds on Wednesday evening, marking the second such weather event in the past four days.

The sudden change brought relief from unusually high temperatures recorded earlier this month. According to officials, the temperature at Safdarjung — the city’s base weather station — was recorded at 24 degrees Celsius at 7 pm.

The India Meteorological Department had earlier issued an alert predicting light to moderate rainfall accompanied by thunderstorms and lightning on March 18. Several areas across the capital experienced gusty winds along with brief but intense showers.

More rain likely over next two days

The weather department has forecast partly cloudy skies for March 19 and 20, with chances of light rain or thundershowers occurring once or twice during the day. On March 21, skies are expected to remain cloudy with the possibility of light showers continuing.

Conditions are likely to stabilise from March 23 onwards, with forecasts indicating a return to partly cloudy to clear skies across the region.

Weather activity across India to intensify

The IMD has also indicated widespread weather activity across multiple regions of the country in the coming days. Rainfall is expected to intensify in several states, accompanied by thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds.

In the northeastern region, heavy rainfall is likely over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, and Meghalaya during the early part of the week.

Meanwhile, the western Himalayan region is also set to witness a shift in weather patterns. Himachal Pradesh is likely to receive heavy rainfall on March 19 and 20, while Uttarakhand and Jammu and Kashmir may experience heavy showers around March 20.

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