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NSA Ajit Doval’s Canada visit signals cautious reset in India-Canada ties

NSA Ajit Doval’s visit to Canada marks a cautious effort by New Delhi and Ottawa to stabilise strained ties through renewed security and law enforcement cooperation.

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Ajit Doval

India and Canada have taken a measured step toward repairing strained bilateral ties following National Security Adviser Ajit Doval’s visit to Ottawa last week. The NSA-level engagement marks one of the most substantive security interactions between the two countries in recent years and signals a cautious return to dialogue after a prolonged diplomatic freeze.

Doval’s visit, held from February 6 to 7, comes against the backdrop of tensions that followed a diplomatic row in 2023 over the killing of a Khalistani separatist. While both sides described the talks as part of routine bilateral engagement, officials and analysts see the timing as significant, indicating a deliberate effort to stabilise relations.

Focus on security and law enforcement cooperation

During the visit, Doval held meetings with Canada’s Deputy Clerk and National Security and Intelligence Adviser to the Prime Minister, Nathalie Drouin, and Public Safety Minister Gary Anandasangaree. The discussions centred on strengthening cooperation in national security and law enforcement, with an emphasis on practical and result-oriented collaboration.

According to India’s official statement, both sides acknowledged progress on initiatives aimed at enhancing the safety and security of their citizens. They also agreed on a shared work plan to guide future cooperation, underscoring a mutual intent to rebuild trust through structured engagement.

Canada’s readout echoed this approach, highlighting agreement on concrete steps rather than broad political signalling. A key outcome of the meetings was the decision to establish security and law-enforcement liaison officers in each other’s countries, a move expected to streamline communication and improve information-sharing.

Cooperation on cyber threats, drugs and immigration enforcement

Officials said the liaison mechanism would help address issues such as transnational organised crime, the illegal flow of drugs—including fentanyl precursors—and other cross-border security challenges. These concerns have increasingly featured in bilateral discussions between New Delhi and Ottawa.

The talks also covered cooperation on cybersecurity policy and the sharing of information related to cyber threats. Continued engagement on fraud prevention and immigration enforcement was discussed as well, with both sides stressing that collaboration would remain aligned with domestic laws and international obligations.

The careful wording of official statements reflects sensitivity to past disputes and the need for institutional safeguards as ties are gradually rebuilt.

Message on extremism and diplomatic reset

Beyond the immediate outcomes, Doval’s visit is being viewed as a broader signal that extremist groups, including Khalistani-linked networks, do not enjoy official backing under the current Canadian government led by Prime Minister Mark Carney.

The engagement is also seen as laying the groundwork for a possible prime ministerial-level visit. Officials in both capitals are treating the NSA talks as an important precursor to Carney’s likely visit to India next month, which would mark the first such engagement since relations deteriorated sharply.

Background of strained ties

India-Canada relations hit a low point during the tenure of former prime minister Justin Trudeau, particularly after his 2023 allegations of a potential Indian link to the killing of Khalistani separatist Hardeep Singh Nijjar. India had rejected the claims as “absurd,” leading to mutual recriminations and downgraded diplomatic engagement.

Against that backdrop, the resumption of structured security dialogue is being interpreted as a sign that both sides are seeking to move past recent turbulence. Analysts note that cooperation in technical and functional areas such as law enforcement and cybersecurity could help rebuild confidence and create momentum for broader political engagement.

While the visit does not resolve all outstanding issues, it reflects a willingness to re-engage seriously. With high-level political contact potentially on the horizon, India and Canada appear to be cautiously steering their relationship back toward a more stable and predictable footing.

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Trump says Iran getting more serious in talks, no decision yet on major strikes

Donald Trump says Iran is becoming more serious in negotiations with the US but insists no decision has been taken on launching major military strikes against Tehran.

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Donald Trump

US President Donald Trump has said he has not yet decided whether to authorise major military strikes against Iran, stating that Tehran has become “more serious” in its negotiations with Washington even as tensions between the two countries remain high.

Speaking to reporters in the Oval Office on Friday, Trump said discussions with Iran were continuing and suggested diplomatic efforts were showing signs of progress.

“We’re talking to them right now. I think they’re getting more and more serious as the days go by,” Trump said, adding that no final decision had been taken on launching military action.

Trump says diplomacy remains an option

Trump said the United States remained prepared for military action if required but indicated that ongoing talks could still lead to an agreement.

“We’re locked and loaded and ready to go. But we’re talking to them, so I think while we’re talking, we’ll see what comes of it. I believe they’re very serious. They should be,” he said.

The US President also warned that Iran would face a “much higher level” of strikes if negotiations failed, while reiterating that preventing Tehran from developing a nuclear weapon remained his key red line.

The United States has said its military operations are aimed at preventing Iran from closing the strategically important Strait of Hormuz. Iran, meanwhile, has carried out retaliatory strikes on US bases, with four American service members reported killed.

Reports claim Trump discussed large-scale military operation

Trump’s remarks came after media reports suggested he met senior advisers to discuss the possibility of a large-scale military operation against Iran. Another report said he was considering a “massive attack”, although Trump did not confirm those reports during his interaction with journalists.

He also acknowledged that the prolonged conflict, which he had earlier expected to last only a few weeks, was approaching its fifth month and had become a political challenge ahead of the US midterm elections scheduled for November.

Trump issues warning over support for Iran

Trump also addressed reports claiming that Russia and China were providing intelligence or military support to Iran. He said both Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin had assured him they would not arm Tehran.

“I think they wouldn’t want to have me disappointed,” Trump said.

In a separate post on his Truth Social platform, Trump warned Moscow and Beijing against supplying weapons to Iran, saying such a move would not be in their interests.

He further stated that Xi had assured him during their meeting in Beijing in May that China would not provide weapons to Iran, while Putin had conveyed a similar position despite the ongoing war in Ukraine.

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For second time, US strikes ship with Indian crew near Strait of Hormuz

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Strait of Hormuz

The United States Central Command (CENTCOM) has said that an oil tanker carrying Indian crew was drifting with its engine switched off near the Strait of Hormuz before it was struck by US forces.

A CENTCOM spokesperson said the vessel had stopped due to engine failure and was drifting after its crew repeatedly sought additional time to carry out repairs. US officials said the tanker was struck only after it failed to comply with directives issued by US forces enforcing a blockade on vessels allegedly transporting Iranian oil. The military said the strike was aimed at disabling the ship by targeting its engine room rather than sinking it.

The incident involved a tanker carrying Indian seafarers near the Gulf of Oman, close to the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s busiest maritime trade routes. The strike triggered a fire onboard, prompting rescue efforts by Omani authorities and maritime agencies. Indian authorities closely monitored the situation and coordinated with local officials regarding the welfare of the crew members.

The incident has drawn concern in India, with the government emphasising the safety of Indian nationals working aboard commercial vessels in the conflict-hit region. The Ministry of External Affairs has remained in touch with the authorities concerned as tensions between the United States and Iran continue to pose risks to international shipping.

In June, three Indian sailors were killed in a US strike on another oil tanker. The Strait of Hormuz handles a significant share of the word’s oil trade, and the latest incident has renewed concerns over the security of merchant vessels operating in the region. Maritime experts have warned that escalating hostilities could further disrupt commercial shipping and endanger civilian crews navigating one of the world’s most strategically important waterways.

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Trump announces phased tariff of up to 200% on generic drug imports, India may face impact

US President Donald Trump has announced a phased tariff plan on imported generic medicines, raising duties to 200% after three years, a move that could affect India’s pharmaceutical exports.

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Donald Trump

The United States has announced a phased tariff plan for imported generic medicines that could have implications for pharmaceutical exporters, including India. US President Donald Trump said the policy is intended to encourage companies to shift generic drug manufacturing to the United States by imposing steep tariffs after a two-year transition period.

The announcement is particularly important for India, one of the world’s largest suppliers of affordable generic medicines and a major exporter to the US market.

Trump outlines phased tariff plan

In a post on his Truth Social platform, President Trump said the new policy will take effect from August 1, 2026. Under the plan, imported generic medicines will continue to attract zero tariffs for the first two years.

Beginning in the third year, the tariff will increase to 100%, before rising further to 200% thereafter.

Trump said the measure is designed to encourage pharmaceutical companies to establish manufacturing facilities in the United States instead of relying on imports.

He added that companies choosing not to invest in US-based production during the transition period would face the higher tariff rates. According to Trump, the existing policy governing patented, branded and innovative medicines will remain unchanged.

Why India could be affected

India is widely regarded as the “pharmacy of the world” because of its large-scale production and export of generic medicines.

Indian generic drugs account for nearly 40% of the US generic medicine market by volume. According to a Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI) report, India exported pharmaceutical products worth USD 9.7 billion to the United States during the 2024-25 financial year, representing around 38% of the country’s total pharmaceutical exports of USD 25.8 billion.

However, the immediate impact of the newly announced tariff policy on Indian pharmaceutical companies remains uncertain.

Existing trade agreement and industry concerns

India and the United States struck a trade pact in February that states India would receive negotiated outcomes regarding generic pharmaceuticals and pharmaceutical ingredients.

Despite that provision, previous tariff threats by Trump had already raised concerns within the pharmaceutical industry over the future of affordable medicine exports from India.

Indian pharmaceutical companies supply a wide range of generic medicines used to treat conditions including hypertension, diabetes, depression, cancer, infectious diseases and mental health disorders.

According to a Financial Post report cited in the source material, around 65% of birth control pill prescriptions in the United States during 2024 were manufactured by two India-based companies — Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd. and Lupin Ltd.

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