US President Donald Trump’s approval rating remained close to its lowest level ahead of Tuesday’s congressional midterm elections, with a nationwide poll indicating that a significant section of American voters viewed their ballots as an opportunity to express opposition to the Republican leader.
According to the latest poll completed on Monday, November 2, only 32% of respondents approved of the job Trump was doing as President. The figure was unchanged from the previous week and just one percentage point above his record-low reading of 31%, recorded two weeks earlier.
The findings come as Republicans seek to retain their majorities in Congress, with all 435 seats in the House of Representatives up for grabs and several closely contested races expected to shape the Senate.
Although Trump himself is not on the ballot, his presidency has emerged as a significant factor in the midterm elections.
Democrats lead Republicans in nationwide congressional preference
The poll found that Democrats held an eight-percentage-point advantage over Republicans when respondents were asked which party they preferred to see in charge of Congress.
Around 46% of respondents favoured Democrats, compared with 38% who preferred Republicans.
However, the Democratic lead was narrower than the 11-percentage-point advantage recorded in a similar poll conducted a week earlier.
The so-called generic ballot question provides an overall indication of voters’ preferences between the two parties for control of Congress. However, it does not account for differences between individual states and congressional districts, which ultimately determine the composition of the House and Senate.
Political strategists from both parties believe Democrats have a stronger opportunity to take control of the House of Representatives. Their prospects in the Senate are considered more difficult, with the party facing challenges in states including Alaska and Michigan.
Half of independent voters see their vote as opposition to Trump
The survey also highlighted the extent to which Trump is influencing voters’ decisions despite not contesting the election himself.
Among registered independent voters, 50% said they viewed their congressional vote as a vote against Trump.
In comparison, 13% said their vote was in support of the President, while 33% said Trump was not a factor in their voting decision.
These findings indicate that voters’ views of the President are an important consideration for a section of the electorate heading into the congressional elections.
Rising cost of living emerges as a major election issue
Economic concerns, particularly the rising cost of living, featured prominently in the poll.
Around 78% of respondents said the cost of living would be either a very important or the most important issue in determining their voting decisions.
When asked which party was better equipped to handle the issue, 43% chose Democrats, compared with 32% who favoured Republicans.
The poll also pointed to concerns over rising fuel prices following the US military campaign against Iran, which began in February.
The increase in fuel prices has added to the economic challenges facing the Trump administration ahead of the elections.
Democrats report greater enthusiasm about voting
The survey also found a difference in voting enthusiasm between supporters of the two major political parties.
Around 49% of Democratic voters said they were very enthusiastic about voting in the midterm elections.
Among Republican voters, the corresponding figure stood at 33%.
The difference in enthusiasm is an important factor for both parties as they seek to mobilise their supporters and secure votes across the country.
The latest poll surveyed 1,765 US adults online and had a margin of error of two percentage points.