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Will simultaneous polls to Lok Sabha and state assemblies become a reality by Feb-March 2019?

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Will simultaneous polls to Lok Sabha and state assemblies become a reality by Feb-March 2019?

By Puneet Nicholas Yadav

Lok Sabha deputy Speaker M Thambidurai writes to CMs seeking views on holding federal and provincial polls together, EC says it’ll be ready by Sept 2018

Could Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his BJP soon set the wheels in motion for amendments to the Constitution and other legislations that govern the conduct of federal and provincial elections to ensure that simultaneous polls to the Lok Sabha and state assemblies become a reality by February-March 2019?

A letter written by Lok Sabha deputy Speaker and senior AIADMK leader M Thambidurai to the Prime Minister in August and to chief ministers of all states a few weeks later not only endorses the proposal but also proposes that simultaneous elections to the Lok Sabha and state assemblies be held by “end-February or early-March 2019”.Will simultaneous polls to Lok Sabha and state assemblies become a reality by Feb-March 2019?The Election Commission (EC) has already given clear indications that it would be ready to hold simultaneous polls by September 2018.

On Wednesday, while attending a function in Bhopal to launch the ERONet software (to check inaccuracy and duplicity in electoral rolls), Election Commissioner OP Rawat had told mediapersons that the government had sought a response from the EC on conduct of simultaneous state and national polls.

Rawat said that the EC would require around 40 lakh electronic voting machines equipped with voter-verifiable paper audit trail (VVPAT) apparatus for holding the simultaneous polls and confirmed that orders for these had been placed by two government agencies. The Election Commissioner said that the poll panel had been allocated Rs 3400 crore for procuring the additional EVMS and Rs 12000 crore for the VVPAT equipment and added that “We will be logistically ready to hold simultaneous polls by September 2018”

Rawat, however, qualified his comments by insisting that “it is up to the government to take a decision and make necessary legal amendments” for conducting the polls simultaneously.

The Election Commissioner’s comments, when read in reference to the remarks made by Thambidurai in his letter to PM Modi (datedAugust 21) and to chief ministers (dated September 13) – copies of which are in possession of APN – show that there is a clear effort to rollout the big electoral reform soon.

In his letter to the Prime Minister, Thambidurai says: “presently, there is a strong report doing the rounds on this (holding of simultaneous polls)… so, to give a bright start to this idea, end-February or early-March 2019 could be taken as the baseline for holding such simultaneous elections.”

M ThambiduraiThambidurai also addresses a key argument being made against the proposal by the likes of former chief election commissioner SY Quraishi and other election experts – what would the government or EC do if a state government fails to complete its full term in the event of failing a floor test or some other unforeseen situation? Will all state assemblies and the Lok Sabha then be dissolved to have another round of simultaneous polls?

Thambiduari suggests in his letter to Modi: “in the unfortunate event of some State (assembly) getting dissolved in between, then the elections to such states can be held only for the remaining period of the term and not for five years (the usual term of an assembly or Lok Sabha) from then on. This will be in tune with the by-elections that are held to elect MPs or MLAs where they are elected only for the remaining term of Lok Sabha or the State Assemblies and not for the five years from the date of their election.”

The Lok Sabha deputy Speaker goes on to say: “the elections to the States that are likely to go to polls from now on and till March 2019 can be postponed (till Feb-March 2019). Likewise, the elections to the States that are likely to go to polls for at least one year after 2019, can be preponed to hold simultaneous polls in 2019. Those States that are likely to go to polls beyond that period and till 2024 can have shorter Assembly terms so that they can also be taken on-board for simultaneous elections in 2024 along with the general elections”.

Thambidurai has proposed that if the government adopts his formula then “elections to all State Assemblies and the Lok Sabha can be held together simultaneously in 2024 and every five years thereafter”.

It remains to be seen whether or not the Centre and the EC adopt the Lok Sabha deputy Speaker’s formula for simultaneous polls. However, it is certain that the radical electoral reform would face stiff resistance from opposition parties, especially the likes of Congress, Trinamool Congress and CPM who are ruling various states and wouldn’t want the term of their government’s cut short to give an obvious electoral advantage to the BJP, which at least for now seems invincible in its victory march at the hustings.

There are also a host of other technical and operational problems that the poll panel will need to address before venturing out to implement the proposal.

As former CEC SY Quraishi said in an article he wrote for India Legal – APN’s sister-concern – recently: “while the idea (of simultaneous polls) is desirable, it is doubtful whether it is feasible.”

Read full article here: Simultaneous Polls: Desirable But Not Feasible

Quraishi cited multiple hurdles in implementing the reform:

“Let us first consider a practical constraint. Even if elections were to be held simultaneously, every state and every assembly will witness its own political course. What is one to do if a particular state witnesses an upturned majority in case a few of the MLAs decide to shift their “loyalty”? How are simultaneous elections to be continued in such a scenario? Or, as was the case in 1998, what happens if the Lok Sabha is dissolved within 13 days? Do we also dissolve all democratically elected state assemblies for reasons beyond the states’ boundaries?”

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Amit Shah counters delimitation concerns, says southern states to gain Lok Sabha seats

Amit Shah assures Parliament that southern states will gain Lok Sabha seats after delimitation, countering opposition criticism during the women’s reservation debate.

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Amit Shah

Union Home Minister Amit Shah on Thursday addressed concerns over the proposed delimitation exercise, asserting in the Lok Sabha that southern states will not lose representation but instead see an increase in their number of seats.

His remarks came during a heated debate linked to the implementation of women’s reservation, where opposition parties have raised fears that population-based delimitation could reduce the political weight of southern states.

Shah rejected these claims, calling them misleading, and said the proposed framework ensures fairness while expanding the overall strength of the Lok Sabha.

Seat count to rise with expansion of Lok Sabha

The government has indicated that the total number of Lok Sabha seats could increase significantly as part of the delimitation process. In this expanded House, the combined representation of southern states is expected to rise from 129 seats at present to around 195 seats.

Shah emphasised that no state will lose seats in absolute terms, and the exercise is designed to reflect population changes while maintaining balance across regions.

State-wise projections shared in Parliament

During his address, Shah also provided indicative figures for individual southern states, suggesting notable increases in representation. According to the projections:

  • Tamil Nadu could see its seats rise substantially
  • Kerala, Telangana, and Andhra Pradesh are also expected to gain additional seats
  • Karnataka’s representation may increase as well

These figures were presented to counter the argument that delimitation would disproportionately favour northern states.

Political debate intensifies over linkage with women’s quota

The delimitation exercise has been closely linked to the rollout of women’s reservation, which proposes one-third seats for women in Parliament and state assemblies.

Opposition leaders have questioned this linkage, arguing that tying reservation to delimitation could delay its implementation and raise federal concerns. Some leaders have also warned that the move could impact national unity if apprehensions among states are not addressed.

The government, however, maintains that the reforms are necessary to ensure equitable representation and to align the electoral system with demographic realities.

Centre dismisses ‘false narrative’ on southern states

Shah reiterated that concerns about southern states losing influence are unfounded. He said the delimitation process will increase representation across regions and described the criticism as a “false narrative” aimed at creating confusion.

The issue is expected to remain a key flashpoint as Parliament continues discussions on the women’s reservation framework and related legislative changes.

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PM Modi assures no discrimination in women’s quota, delimitation debate intensifies in Parliament

PM Narendra Modi has assured that women’s reservation will be implemented without discrimination, amid a heated debate over delimitation in Parliament.

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PM modi

Prime Minister Narendra Modi has assured that there will be no discrimination in the implementation of women’s reservation, as Parliament witnessed a sharp debate over the proposed linkage between the quota and delimitation exercise.

During the ongoing special session, the government reiterated its commitment to ensuring fair representation while addressing concerns raised by opposition parties regarding the timing and structure of the legislation.

The proposed framework aims to reserve 33 percent of seats for women in the Lok Sabha and state assemblies. However, its implementation is tied to a fresh delimitation exercise, which is expected after the next census.

Opposition questions timing and intent

Opposition leaders have raised concerns that linking the women’s quota to delimitation could delay its implementation. They argue that the process of redrawing constituencies may push the actual rollout further into the future.

The issue has triggered a broader political confrontation, with multiple parties questioning whether the move could alter representation across states.

Some critics have also alleged that the delimitation exercise could disproportionately benefit certain regions based on population, a charge the government has rejected.

Government reiterates commitment to fair implementation

Responding to these concerns, the Centre has maintained that the reforms are necessary to ensure accurate and updated representation based on population data.

Leaders from the ruling side have repeatedly emphasized that the process will be carried out transparently and without bias. The assurance that there will be “no discrimination” is aimed at addressing fears among states and opposition parties.

The debate marks a key moment in Parliament, with both sides engaging in intense exchanges over one of the most significant electoral reforms in recent years.

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Give all tickets to Muslim women, Amit Shah says, attacking Akhilesh Yadav on sub-quota demand

A sharp exchange between Amit Shah and Akhilesh Yadav in Parliament over sub-quota for Muslim women highlights key divisions on women’s reservation implementation.

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A heated exchange broke out in Parliament during discussions on the women’s reservation framework, with Union Home Minister Amit Shah and Samajwadi Party chief Akhilesh Yadav locking horns over the demand for a sub-quota for Muslim women.

The debate unfolded as the government pushed forward key legislative measures to implement 33% reservation for women in the Lok Sabha and state assemblies.

Akhilesh Yadav argued that the proposed reservation must ensure representation for women from marginalised communities, including Other Backward Classes (OBCs) and Muslim women. He said that without such provisions, large sections could remain excluded from political participation.

He also questioned the timing of the bill, alleging that the Centre was avoiding a caste census. According to him, a census would lead to renewed demands for caste-based reservations, which the government is reluctant to address.

Government rejects religion-based quota

Responding to the demand, Amit Shah made it clear that reservation based on religion is not permitted under the Constitution.

He stated that any proposal to provide quota to Muslims on religious grounds would be unconstitutional, firmly rejecting the idea of a separate sub-quota for Muslim women within the broader reservation framework.

The government has maintained that the existing framework already includes provisions for Scheduled Castes (SC) and Scheduled Tribes (ST) women within the overall reservation structure.

Wider political divide over implementation

The issue of sub-categorisation within the women’s quota has emerged as a major flashpoint, even as most opposition parties broadly support the idea of women’s reservation.

Samajwadi Party leaders reiterated that their support for the bill depends on inclusion of OBC and minority women, while the government continues to defend its constitutional position.

The debate is part of a broader discussion during the special Parliament session, where multiple bills linked to delimitation and implementation of the women’s quota are being taken up.

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