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Afghanistan, Not India, Will Be Imran Khan’s Priority Until 2019

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Afghanistan, Not India, Will Be Imran Khan’s Priority Until 2019

~By Saeed Naqvi

Even before elections in Pakistan had taken place the media which articulates the western establishment point of view, like the Economist, had already declared it a “flawed election”; it even screamed “foul play” which the “khaki umpire” (for which read the Army) had rigged.

If you will stand for a mixed metaphor, the “khaki umpire” is, these days, playing the monkey between two cats – the US and China. With Donald Trump and his Deep State apparently engaged in a savage fight to the finish, the balance of advantage must be seen to be with China. But Chinese themselves are keeping their fingers on the China-Pak economic corridor. Imran Khan has expressed reservations on transparency issues. On the other hand, there have been reports that thousands of Pakistan students, who in the past would have been westward bound, have entered Chinese schools of learning. Who knows, this may be the thin end of the wedge.

If the Chinese can decolonize the Pakistani mind to this extent, it must be time for the West to take note. But a sketch that sections of the Army and Imran Khan might be innately anti west can be overdrawn. Yes, Pakistan has choices other than the US which includes Russia, but this does not mean the army will bite the hand that has fed it since its inception.

Afghanistan, Not India, Will Be Imran Khan’s Priority Until 2019

These are complex times and a durable phenomena like the “West” manifests itself in many forms. After all retired Pakistan armymen, like retirees elsewhere, do keep a steady gaze on post retirement sinecures. A huge opportunity beckons Pakistan retired army officers in Saudi Arabia with its insatiable appetite for a war without end against the Arab world’s poorest country – Yemen.

The new Prime Minister will be pragmatic. He will not seek to impose a moral code on his armed forces. But he will draw some very firm red lines and these red lines will stretch from Pakhtunkhwa right through Afghanistan, the arena of his political baptism and purgatory. That is where he cannot be seen to be striking deals. His political turf will turn to ash if he does.

He should not be seen in the traditional Pathan-Punjabi balance. The brunt of the blowback from the Afghan war was borne by the Pathan region, true, but it was a national catastrophe. Let me explain. Washington twisted Pervez Musharraf’s arm to turn upon those Mujahideen in Afghanistan whom Riyadh, Washington and Islamabad had reared to fight the Soviets in Afghanistan. The blowback from the Afghan war singed Pakistan. The Lal Masjid fiasco in Islamabad aggravated an uncontrollable situation. The reverberations from that blowback have not ended yet. Remember, the public outcry was against Musharraf fighting “America’s war” against terrorism. It became all the more shrill when the two brothers controlling Lal Masjid, Ghazi Rashid and Maulana Aziz, led the chorus.

Let me fast forward to the latest American debacle in Syria and its possible impact on the Af-Pak region. Ever since the Russians landed in Syria to fight terrorism, the US, Israel, Saudi bluff has been called. They armed and financed Jabhat al Nusra, Al Qaeda and worse but their town criers amplified these rogue elements as the Free Syrian Army. When almost all the mercenary Islamists had been caught with their trousers down, the existential question arose: what to do with trained terrorists?

When animal lovers in Britain forced an end to the traditional foxhunt, the impulse reached India’s southern hill station of Ootacamund also. The same question arose: what to do with hundreds of pedigree hounds? Good sense dawned and the canines were kept in a deluxe kennel, then distributed among dog lovers. But what do the trainers do with terrorists, trained and tested in action, who have not only tasted blood but have begun to love it? Trained terrorists can only have one use: as assets against any Muslim society the “trainer” wishes to destabilize – Afghanistan, Xinxiang, the Caucasus and so on.

I can quote atleast two recent US Presidents to prove my point. In an interview to Thomas Friedman in August 2014, President Barack Obama made a startling admission. Asked why he had not ordered air attacks against the Islamic State, when it first reared its head, Obama said: “that would have taken the pressure off Nouri al Maliki”, Iraq’s stubbornly anti American, Shia Prime Minister. In other words, the IS advance from Mosul to Baghdad was facilitated to oust Nouri al Maliki, an outcome the US was excitedly waiting for. Maliki had to be punished for the affront of not signing the “Status of Forces agreement” with the US. Eventually Maliki was shown the door.

After having been briefed by the Intelligence Agencies, candidate Donald Trump told Jake Tapper of the CNN: “Where do you think have billions of dollars worth of arms – and cash – gone in the course of our involvement in Syria? To the extremists, ofcourse, I believe so.” He has not budged from this position.

What should worry Imran Khan is the next stage: the transfer of trained terrorists from Syria to Northern Afghanistan. Iran’s Supreme leader, Ayatullah Ali Khamenei told a Friday congregation in Tehran on January 30. “The US transfer of IS terrorists to Afghanistan is aimed at creating a justification for its (US’s) continued presence in the region.” More recently, Russia’s Deputy Minister for Foreign Affairs, Morgulov Igor Vladimirovich told a high powered assembly at the Raisina Dialogue in New Delhi: “IS fighters were being flown to northern Afghanistan”. The Afghan air space is under the control of the US and the government in Kabul. “so who is responsible?” Vladimirovich asked.

Islamabad, Beijing, Moscow are all persuaded that Taleban will have to be part of the solution in Afghanistan. Americans have been marking time with the good Taleban, bad Taleban mantra because they clearly do not have a policy.

The moment is laden with irony for President Ashraf Ghani in Kabul. The emergence of a Pathan in Islamabad should have provided him with comfort. Instead he is having kittens: the Pathan on the other side has an agenda which is totally at cross purposes with Ghani’s. Imran’s agenda would boost his popularity in the country where Ghani, alas, has none. The moral is simple: no sidekick to a foreign power has ever been respected at home.

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Will Russian oil imports be cut? India reiterates energy security as top priority

India has reiterated that its energy security needs remain paramount, even as the US pushes for a halt to Russian oil imports and links trade concessions to energy sourcing.

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India has reiterated that its energy security requirements will continue to guide decisions on crude oil imports, amid renewed pressure from the United States to halt purchases from Russia.

Responding to questions on India’s oil sourcing strategy, the Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) said the country’s priority remains meeting the energy needs of its 1.4 billion population. The government emphasised that diversification of energy supplies is central to ensuring stable and affordable access to fuel.

“Insofar as India’s energy sourcing is concerned, ensuring the energy security of 1.4 billion Indians is the supreme priority of the government,” MEA spokesperson Randhir Jaiswal said during a press briefing.

He added that India’s approach involves sourcing energy in line with market conditions and evolving global dynamics, a position the government has consistently articulated over time.

US pressure and tariff rollback linked to trade framework

The remarks come after the White House stated that India had committed to stopping direct or indirect imports of Russian oil and would instead increase purchases from the United States. This claim formed part of the context under which Washington decided to withdraw additional tariffs earlier imposed on Indian goods over New Delhi’s purchases of Russian crude.

The US has repeatedly argued that revenues from Russian oil exports are being used to fund the ongoing war in Ukraine, an allegation that Moscow has denied.

India, however, has not announced any formal change in its oil import policy and has continued to stress that energy decisions are driven by national interest.

Russia says India free to choose suppliers

The Kremlin has also weighed in on the issue, saying India is free to procure oil from any source it chooses. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov noted that Russia is not India’s sole supplier of oil and petroleum products.

“India has always purchased these products from other countries. Therefore, we see nothing new here,” Peskov said.

Trade deal outlines tariff changes on both sides

Under the broader trade framework with the US, India has agreed to eliminate or reduce tariffs on all US industrial goods and a wide range of agricultural and food products. These include dried distillers’ grains, red sorghum for animal feed, tree nuts, fresh and processed fruits, soybean oil, as well as wine and spirits.

In return, the US will impose a reciprocal tariff of 18 per cent on Indian-origin goods under the relevant executive order. The tariff will apply to sectors such as textiles and apparel, leather and footwear, plastics and rubber, organic chemicals, home decor, artisanal products, and certain categories of machinery.

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PM Modi thanks President Trump, says India-US trade framework reflects strong partnership

PM Modi said the India-US interim trade framework reflects growing trust between the two countries and offers tariff relief and new opportunities for Indian exporters.

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Modi trump

Prime Minister Narendra Modi has welcomed the newly announced interim trade framework between India and the United States, describing it as a reflection of the “growing depth, trust and dynamism” in bilateral relations.

The Prime Minister said the agreement highlights US President Donald Trump’s “personal commitment to robust ties between our countries” and opens up fresh opportunities across multiple sectors of the Indian economy.

Under the framework, the United States will apply a reciprocal tariff rate of 18 per cent on Indian goods. The uniform rate places India in a comparatively stronger position than several countries in the region and provides a competitive advantage for Indian exporters.

Focus on employment, innovation and supply chains

In a post on X, PM Modi said the interim framework is expected to generate large-scale employment, particularly for women and young people. He added that the agreement would deepen cooperation in investment and technology while strengthening resilient and trusted supply chains.

According to the Prime Minister, both countries share a commitment to promoting innovation, and the framework would contribute to global economic growth by enhancing trade and industrial collaboration.

Key sectors set to benefit from tariff relief

The 18 per cent tariff rate is expected to support Indian exporters in sectors such as textiles, apparel, leather goods, chemicals and engineering products. The framework also strengthens India’s position against regional competitors that rely heavily on cost-based exports.

The agreement further opens a path to tariff removal on a wide range of Indian goods, including generic pharmaceuticals, gems and diamonds, and aircraft parts. These sectors already have a strong global presence and face steady demand in the US market.

Washington will also remove tariffs on certain Indian aircraft and aircraft components, while India will receive a preferential tariff rate quota for automotive parts. However, outcomes related to generic drugs and pharmaceutical ingredients will depend on the findings of a US Section 232 investigation.

Preferential market access beyond tariffs

Beyond tariff measures, both countries have agreed to provide preferential market access in sectors of sustained mutual interest, marking another step toward closer economic cooperation under the interim framework.

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Suicide bombing at Islamabad imambargah kills 69, over 160 injured

At least 69 people were killed after a suicide bomber detonated explosives at a Shia shrine in Islamabad’s Shehzad Town area, triggering a city-wide emergency.

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Suicide bombing at Islamabad Shrine

A suicide bombing at a Shia place of worship in Pakistan’s capital Islamabad left at least 69 people dead and more than 160 injured on Friday, according to media reports.

The explosion took place at Tarlai Imambargah, located in the Shehzad Town area, when a suicide bomber detonated explosives near the main gate of the shrine during afternoon hours.

Attacker stopped at entrance, officials say

Security officials were quoted as saying that the attacker was intercepted by guards at the entrance, preventing him from entering the main hall where worshippers had gathered. Despite this, the blast caused extensive damage to the gate and nearby structures.

Visuals from the scene showed shattered windows of surrounding buildings and debris scattered across the road following the explosion.

Emergency declared, injured shifted to hospitals

Following the blast, the Islamabad Inspector General of Police declared a city-wide emergency, as rescue and law enforcement teams rushed to the site amid fears of high casualties.

The injured were shifted to Pakistan Institute of Medical Sciences (PIMS) and Polyclinic Hospital for treatment.

Prime minister condemns attack

Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif expressed deep grief over the attack and strongly condemned the bombing at the Shiite mosque in Islamabad.

In a statement, he said the incident was a tragic act of violence and offered condolences to the families of those killed. Official statements noted that dozens were injured in the attack, with treatment ongoing at city hospitals.

Previous attack referenced

The incident comes less than three months after a suicide blast outside a district and sessions court building in Islamabad on November 11, 2025, in which 12 people were killed and over 30 injured.

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