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Iran: US ramps up military presence as tensions rise

The deployment of a US aircraft carrier strike group and fighter jets to West Asia has intensified speculation over possible military action against Iran.

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The United States has stepped up its military positions around Iran, deploying an aircraft carrier strike group, fighter jets, and missile defence systems to West Asia, amid heightened tensions following violent crackdowns on nationwide protests inside Iran.

US officials said the strike group led by the USS Abraham Lincoln, accompanied by guided-missile destroyers and an attack submarine, is expected to enter the Arabian Sea or the Persian Gulf region in the coming days. The deployment marks a sharp escalation in pressure on Tehran, with Washington citing concerns over civilian deaths during protests triggered by Iran’s worsening economic crisis.

The carrier group was last publicly tracked in the Indian Ocean after being redirected from the South China Sea. Its current location is no longer visible on open-source maritime tracking systems.

Fighter jets and missile defences moved to region

Alongside naval deployments, F-15E Strike Eagle fighter jets have already arrived at an undisclosed base in West Asia. US Central Command shared visuals of one such aircraft landing earlier this week. The jets are part of a broader redeployment that includes KC-135 aerial refuelling aircraft, allowing combat planes to extend their operational range.

Additional missile defence systems, including THAAD and Patriot batteries, have also been positioned across the region, particularly in US-allied countries such as Israel and Qatar, according to media reports.

Protests and human rights concerns

The military build-up comes against the backdrop of prolonged unrest in Iran, where demonstrations over economic hardship escalated into nationwide protests late last year. Iranian state-linked outlets have reported more than 3,000 deaths, including civilians and security personnel, while rights groups estimate the toll could be significantly higher.

US President Donald Trump has repeatedly warned of military consequences, claiming American pressure forced Iran to halt planned executions of protesters. He reiterated this claim earlier this week, stating that hundreds of executions were cancelled following US threats. However, his remarks have since softened, reflecting a pattern of combining military pressure with diplomatic signalling.

Iranian leaders, meanwhile, have accused the US and Israel of instigating unrest as retaliation for earlier military strikes on nuclear facilities. Tehran has warned it is prepared to respond to any further aggression.

Nuclear concerns resurface

Adding to the uncertainty is the unresolved issue of Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile. Around 400 kilograms of enriched material — enough for multiple nuclear weapons — remains unaccounted for following US strikes on Iranian nuclear sites in June 2025.

Iran is expected to report to the International Atomic Energy Agency on the status of nuclear material at affected facilities, including the Fordow site. However, inspections have not taken place for several months, despite agency guidelines recommending regular monitoring.

Trump has stated that the US would act if Iran resumes its nuclear programme, reinforcing concerns that military options remain on the table.

What action could look like

Military observers say any US response is likely to begin with limited, targeted strikes aimed at deterrence rather than full-scale conflict. Such actions typically focus on missile launch sites, drone infrastructure, and command networks, often paired with diplomatic channels to prevent escalation.

While a direct strike on nuclear facilities cannot be ruled out, analysts caution that retaliation from Iran could draw the US and its allies into a wider regional conflict.

Iran’s response options

Iran is expected to avoid direct confrontation, instead relying on calibrated responses through aligned regional groups, cyber operations, or maritime pressure. Past actions suggest Tehran prefers visible but limited retaliation to signal resolve without triggering all-out war.

One of Iran’s most significant leverage points remains the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global oil supplies. Even limited disruption in the area could raise energy prices and intensify international pressure on Washington.

Israel on high alert

Israel has placed its air defence systems on alert amid the unfolding situation. If the US proceeds with military action, Israel is likely to become a secondary target due to its close alliance with Washington.

While Israel possesses advanced multi-layered air defence capabilities, joining a US-led strike is considered unlikely, as it remains engaged on other fronts and faces the risk of a broader regional escalation.

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Jamaat, BNP supporters clash in Dhaka as Bangladesh votes in 13th parliamentary polls

Clashes erupted in Dhaka’s Mirpur as Bangladesh voted in its 13th parliamentary elections, marking the first polls after Sheikh Hasina’s ouster.

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Clashes broke out between supporters of Jamaat-e-Islami and the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) in Dhaka’s Mirpur-10 constituency as Bangladesh voted in its 13th parliamentary elections on Thursday.

Jamaat-e-Islami chief Shafiqur Rahman is contesting from the Mirpur-10 seat. Polling is being conducted for 299 seats in the Jatiya Sangsad, Bangladesh’s parliament.

Voting details and electoral process

Voting began at 7.30 am local time (7 am IST) under the first-past-the-post system. Results are expected to start coming in by evening.

Out of the 300 parliamentary constituencies, polling in Sherpur-3 has been cancelled following the death of a candidate. A total of 12.77 crore registered voters are eligible to cast their ballots. The majority mark in the 299-seat contest stands at 150.

In addition to these seats, 50 positions in the Jatiya Sangsad are reserved for women. These members are elected by Members of Parliament through proportional representation using the single transferable vote system.

First polls after Hasina’s ouster

This election marks the first parliamentary contest since former prime minister and Awami League chief Sheikh Hasina was removed from office following massive student protests in August 2024. Her long-time political rival, BNP leader Khaleda Zia, passed away in December the following year.

Hasina and Zia alternated in power from 1991 until Hasina returned to office in 2009. She remained prime minister for over 15 years and 200 days and had won the 2024 elections before being deposed months later.

For the first time in decades, voters are participating in national elections without either of the two dominant political figures shaping the contest.

Changing political landscape

With the Awami League excluded from participating due to its crackdown during the student protests, the political space has shifted significantly.

Tarique Rahman, son of Khaleda Zia, returned to Bangladesh in December after nearly 17 years in exile. The 60-year-old has emerged as a frontrunner for the prime minister’s post, drawing on the support base of the BNP and his late mother.

Jamaat-e-Islami, once allied with the BNP, is now leading its own coalition. It has secured backing from the National Citizen Party, a student and Gen-Z platform that emerged from the anti-Hasina protests.

Referendum on July National Charter

Alongside the general election, voters are also participating in a referendum on the July National Charter. The charter has been agreed upon by the Muhammad Yunus-led interim government and several political parties.

Key proposals in the charter include limiting prime ministers to two terms or 10 years, creating an upper House of parliament, and restoring the caretaker government system to oversee elections for 90 days to ensure free and fair polls.

Regional implications

The outcome of the election is expected to influence regional dynamics involving India, China and Pakistan.

Bangladesh had been seen as closer to India during Sheikh Hasina’s tenure. However, there has been a shift towards Beijing and Islamabad in recent times. Relations between India and Bangladesh have reportedly been tense under the Yunus-led interim arrangement.

Among the two principal contenders, the BNP is considered relatively more inclined towards New Delhi than Jamaat-e-Islami.

India is also monitoring the situation amid reports of attacks on minorities and killings of Hindus following Hasina’s ouster. Authorities have expressed concerns about potential violence on polling day.

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Donald Trump calls India trade deal historic, highlights rise in US coal exports

Donald Trump describes the India trade deal as historic and links it to rising US coal exports, while India reiterates national interest in energy decisions.

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US President Donald Trump has described the recent trade agreement with India as “historic”, saying it has contributed to a sharp rise in American coal exports.

Speaking at the Champion of Coal Event on Wednesday, Trump said the United States has strengthened its position as the world’s leading energy producer and is rapidly expanding its footprint as an energy exporter.

He said that trade deals signed in recent months with countries including Japan, South Korea and India have helped increase coal exports from the US.

“America is now the number one energy producer in the world. We’re becoming a massive energy exporter. In just the past few months, we’ve made historic trade deals with Japan, Korea, India, and others to increase our coal exports dramatically. The quality of our coal is supposed to be the finest anywhere in the world,” Trump said.

He also asserted that American coal is considered among the best globally in terms of quality.

India says national interest will guide energy choices

Meanwhile, on February 9, Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri said that India’s energy-related decisions will continue to be guided by national interest.

During a special briefing by the Ministry of External Affairs (MEA), Misri underlined that India’s energy policy is driven by adequate availability, fair pricing and reliable supply. His remarks came amid reports suggesting that India may be reducing its oil imports from Russia.

Clarifying how energy sourcing decisions are made, Misri said procurement is handled by oil companies based on prevailing market conditions. These companies assess availability, risks, pricing and logistical considerations while following internal accountability and fiduciary processes.

“As far as the actual sourcing of energy is concerned, this is undertaken by oil companies, which make decisions based on market conditions. They assess availability, evaluate risks, analyse costs, and follow their internal accountability processes and fiduciary responsibilities. At any given time, there is a complex matrix of considerations, including financial and logistical aspects, that these companies must take into account,” he said.

He added that both government and business decisions in the energy sector would continue to prioritise national interest.

Misri also noted that India remains a net importer of oil and gas and, as a developing economy, must remain mindful of resource availability and the inflationary impact of import dependence.

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Piyush Goyal lauds USA’s fabulous effort against India in T20 World Cup

Piyush Goyal praised the US cricket team’s performance against India in the T20 World Cup, calling it fabulous despite the defeat and making a light-hearted remark on tariffs.

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Union Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal on Monday praised the United States cricket team for their performance against India in the ongoing T20 World Cup, saying the side played “fabulously” despite losing the match.

Goyal made the remarks while responding to light-hearted comments by US Ambassador Sergio Gor at a reception hosted by the diplomat. Both were present at the India-USA T20 World Cup match played on Saturday.

Speaking at the event, the minister acknowledged the rapid progress made by the US cricket team in recent years. He also joked that trade policy might have changed the match’s outcome.

“The US may not have won the match, but for a country which has not known cricket and has started playing only a few years ago, the performance was fabulous,” Goyal said.

Referring to Ambassador Gor’s comments, he added humorously that if the US had made reciprocal tariffs zero, “you would possibly have won the match”.

India seal first win of the tournament

India registered their first victory of the tournament with a 29-run win over the USA. After being asked to bat first, India posted 161 for nine in their allotted 20 overs.

Suryakumar Yadav anchored the innings with an unbeaten 84 off 49 balls, hitting 10 fours and four sixes. Ishan Kishan contributed 20 off 16 deliveries, while Tilak Varma added 25 off 16 balls.

For the USA, Shadley van Schalkwyk returned figures of 4 for 29, while Harmeet Singh picked up two wickets for 26 runs.

USA fall short in chase

Chasing 162, the USA were restricted to 132 for eight, falling short by 29 runs.

Milind Kumar scored 34 off 34 balls, while Sanjay Krishnamurthi (37 off 31) and Shubham Ranjane (37 off 22) provided resistance in the middle order.

India’s bowlers shared the spoils, with Mohammed Siraj taking three wickets for 29 runs. Axar Patel and Arshdeep Singh chipped in with two wickets each.

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