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Why Can’t We Be Friends?

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Why Can’t We Be Friends?

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Trump has reached out to Modi, and the chemistry seems to be crackling between the two leaders, but for the Indian PM, nurturing the new friendship will prove to be a balancing act

By Sujit Bhar

Donald J Trump is not just the 45th President of the United States; he is a billionaire in his own right, a reality TV host and a successful one at that, and he has a family of ardent followers who believe a severely protectionist America would actually be a good thing.

What Trump probably lacks is a set of “friends” across the world. International geopolitics isn’t a reality television show, though often it looks like one. It is a hard world of deals and more deals, each defining a nation’s apparent effort at positioning itself on the world’s stage.  Friends need to back each other up – it is a Bigg Boss thing that Trump should understand – and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi fits firmly in that slot.

So when Trump called Modi ahead of calling Moscow or Beijing or Tokyo, read less of summit politics into it. It’s about a greenhorn president, one who has suddenly become the most powerful politician of the world, seeking an early friend who he can be officially comfortable with. And that friend should also be non-controversial. That’s it.

The problem is whether Modi would be as comfortable with Trump as he was with Barack Obama. Modi has to bring up the China-Pakistan issue, which is a favourite with Trump, but he also has to bring up the H1B visa issue, which, for Trump is anathema. The game of balancing policies will have to start all over again.

Modi has said that he has invited Trump to India – the Trump name has already landed, with a huge luxury real estate project coming up in Mumbai – (and vice-versa) and while British Prime Minister Theresa May will be the first top international leader to visit Washington (she has been berated by the UK media for this move), whether Modi’s future visit to the US swill be as spectacular as before will have to be seen.

Trump has made the right noises for India to feel comfortable in a growing relationship. And when Modi was among the first leaders to phone Trump and congratulate him on his victory, it was probably a move towards strengthening this relationship. It was a hint that India had taken from Trump’s campaign talk, in which he had said: “Under the Trump administration, we are going to become even better friends, in fact I would take the term better out and we would be best friends.”

Trump had said: “I love India, I love Hindu.”

Not that this had anything to do with the ruling party’s Hinduvta drive; if anything it was a generic term that Trump possibly used somewhat unknowingly. That is one part of the new president that Modi has to be careful in assessing.

The big issue is not just a friendship for friendship’s sake. What can India get out of this friendship? There could be more defence deals, and there could yet be a shadow on the Dassault Rafale deal. And if the Trump-Putin friendship holds, India’s joint venture with Russia in developing fifth generation stealth fighter project – known in India as the Perspective Multi-role Fighter (PMF) – could also go ahead smoothly.

The small problem is that Trump has remained as unpredictable in office as he was on campaign. International relations are bound and sealed with the understanding of a level of maturity and stability in dealings. Whether Modi and Trump would be able to reach a proper understanding in the wake of Trump’s strong protectionist attitude, is a delicate matter.

These, therefore, are early times, and early signs might not really be indicative of what the future holds. There is need for caution in dealing with Trump. A huge number of Indian technocrats would be looking forward to it. So would top Indian IT companies, who are already in a hire-local drive in the US.

The bigger bounty would be if Trump actually manages to put hurdles in front of China’s access to the US market. Why he said yes to a complicated deal with Alibaba chief Jack Ma remains an issue mired in complication. That Chinese connection was virtually sealed with “smart” comments from both. And that was even before Trump had taken oath.

If US-China trade relations do hit a roadblock, India must be prepared to take advantage of that. The only problems are India’s woeful infrastructure and absurd red tape.

There will have to be new tweaks in place for India to address a person like Trump; Modi’s personal equation notwithstanding. That will be a tough ‘mitroon’ to handle.[/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]

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Trump says Iran getting more serious in talks, no decision yet on major strikes

Donald Trump says Iran is becoming more serious in negotiations with the US but insists no decision has been taken on launching major military strikes against Tehran.

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Donald Trump

US President Donald Trump has said he has not yet decided whether to authorise major military strikes against Iran, stating that Tehran has become “more serious” in its negotiations with Washington even as tensions between the two countries remain high.

Speaking to reporters in the Oval Office on Friday, Trump said discussions with Iran were continuing and suggested diplomatic efforts were showing signs of progress.

“We’re talking to them right now. I think they’re getting more and more serious as the days go by,” Trump said, adding that no final decision had been taken on launching military action.

Trump says diplomacy remains an option

Trump said the United States remained prepared for military action if required but indicated that ongoing talks could still lead to an agreement.

“We’re locked and loaded and ready to go. But we’re talking to them, so I think while we’re talking, we’ll see what comes of it. I believe they’re very serious. They should be,” he said.

The US President also warned that Iran would face a “much higher level” of strikes if negotiations failed, while reiterating that preventing Tehran from developing a nuclear weapon remained his key red line.

The United States has said its military operations are aimed at preventing Iran from closing the strategically important Strait of Hormuz. Iran, meanwhile, has carried out retaliatory strikes on US bases, with four American service members reported killed.

Reports claim Trump discussed large-scale military operation

Trump’s remarks came after media reports suggested he met senior advisers to discuss the possibility of a large-scale military operation against Iran. Another report said he was considering a “massive attack”, although Trump did not confirm those reports during his interaction with journalists.

He also acknowledged that the prolonged conflict, which he had earlier expected to last only a few weeks, was approaching its fifth month and had become a political challenge ahead of the US midterm elections scheduled for November.

Trump issues warning over support for Iran

Trump also addressed reports claiming that Russia and China were providing intelligence or military support to Iran. He said both Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin had assured him they would not arm Tehran.

“I think they wouldn’t want to have me disappointed,” Trump said.

In a separate post on his Truth Social platform, Trump warned Moscow and Beijing against supplying weapons to Iran, saying such a move would not be in their interests.

He further stated that Xi had assured him during their meeting in Beijing in May that China would not provide weapons to Iran, while Putin had conveyed a similar position despite the ongoing war in Ukraine.

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For second time, US strikes ship with Indian crew near Strait of Hormuz

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Strait of Hormuz

The United States Central Command (CENTCOM) has said that an oil tanker carrying Indian crew was drifting with its engine switched off near the Strait of Hormuz before it was struck by US forces.

A CENTCOM spokesperson said the vessel had stopped due to engine failure and was drifting after its crew repeatedly sought additional time to carry out repairs. US officials said the tanker was struck only after it failed to comply with directives issued by US forces enforcing a blockade on vessels allegedly transporting Iranian oil. The military said the strike was aimed at disabling the ship by targeting its engine room rather than sinking it.

The incident involved a tanker carrying Indian seafarers near the Gulf of Oman, close to the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s busiest maritime trade routes. The strike triggered a fire onboard, prompting rescue efforts by Omani authorities and maritime agencies. Indian authorities closely monitored the situation and coordinated with local officials regarding the welfare of the crew members.

The incident has drawn concern in India, with the government emphasising the safety of Indian nationals working aboard commercial vessels in the conflict-hit region. The Ministry of External Affairs has remained in touch with the authorities concerned as tensions between the United States and Iran continue to pose risks to international shipping.

In June, three Indian sailors were killed in a US strike on another oil tanker. The Strait of Hormuz handles a significant share of the word’s oil trade, and the latest incident has renewed concerns over the security of merchant vessels operating in the region. Maritime experts have warned that escalating hostilities could further disrupt commercial shipping and endanger civilian crews navigating one of the world’s most strategically important waterways.

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Trump announces phased tariff of up to 200% on generic drug imports, India may face impact

US President Donald Trump has announced a phased tariff plan on imported generic medicines, raising duties to 200% after three years, a move that could affect India’s pharmaceutical exports.

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Donald Trump

The United States has announced a phased tariff plan for imported generic medicines that could have implications for pharmaceutical exporters, including India. US President Donald Trump said the policy is intended to encourage companies to shift generic drug manufacturing to the United States by imposing steep tariffs after a two-year transition period.

The announcement is particularly important for India, one of the world’s largest suppliers of affordable generic medicines and a major exporter to the US market.

Trump outlines phased tariff plan

In a post on his Truth Social platform, President Trump said the new policy will take effect from August 1, 2026. Under the plan, imported generic medicines will continue to attract zero tariffs for the first two years.

Beginning in the third year, the tariff will increase to 100%, before rising further to 200% thereafter.

Trump said the measure is designed to encourage pharmaceutical companies to establish manufacturing facilities in the United States instead of relying on imports.

He added that companies choosing not to invest in US-based production during the transition period would face the higher tariff rates. According to Trump, the existing policy governing patented, branded and innovative medicines will remain unchanged.

Why India could be affected

India is widely regarded as the “pharmacy of the world” because of its large-scale production and export of generic medicines.

Indian generic drugs account for nearly 40% of the US generic medicine market by volume. According to a Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI) report, India exported pharmaceutical products worth USD 9.7 billion to the United States during the 2024-25 financial year, representing around 38% of the country’s total pharmaceutical exports of USD 25.8 billion.

However, the immediate impact of the newly announced tariff policy on Indian pharmaceutical companies remains uncertain.

Existing trade agreement and industry concerns

India and the United States struck a trade pact in February that states India would receive negotiated outcomes regarding generic pharmaceuticals and pharmaceutical ingredients.

Despite that provision, previous tariff threats by Trump had already raised concerns within the pharmaceutical industry over the future of affordable medicine exports from India.

Indian pharmaceutical companies supply a wide range of generic medicines used to treat conditions including hypertension, diabetes, depression, cancer, infectious diseases and mental health disorders.

According to a Financial Post report cited in the source material, around 65% of birth control pill prescriptions in the United States during 2024 were manufactured by two India-based companies — Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd. and Lupin Ltd.

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