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US to end preferential treatment terms to India in trade, India not to retaliate

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US to end preferential treatment terms to India in trade, India not to retaliate

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]In a move seen as a major setback to India-US bilateral relations in trade and economy, US President Donald Trump on Monday, March 4, told the US Congress he intended to terminate the designation of India and Turkey as beneficiary developing countries under the Generalised System of Preferences (GSP) programme.

The program, which sets zero tariffs for certain goods from a set of 120 developing countries in order to foster trade and economic development, accounts for some $5.6 billion of India’s exports to the US, making India the largest GSP beneficiary. Exports to the US from India under GSP — at $5.58 billion — were over 12 per cent of India’s total goods exports of $45.2 billion to the US.

The GSP programme allows duty-free entry of 1,784 products from India into the US, benefitting exporters of textiles, engineering, gems and jewellery and chemical products, said a media report.

In a letter to the Speaker of the US House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi, Trump said that New Delhi had “not assured” the United States that it would “provide equitable and reasonable access” to the markets of India.

“I am taking this step because, after intensive engagement between the United States and the Government of India, I have determined that India has not assured the United States that it will provide equitable and reasonable access to the markets of India…” Trump said in a letter to the Speaker of the House of Representatives and President of the Senate, shared with reporters.

A mandatory 60 days must now pass after notice has been given to the beneficiary countries and to Congress, during which time there is, technically speaking, the possibility of negotiation. After the 60-day period, a beneficiary country can be taken off the GSP list by a presidential proclamation.

While Trump said in his letter that he “will continue to assess whether the Government of India is providing equitable and reasonable access to its markets, in accordance with the GSP eligibility criteria,” a re-negotiation of India’s place under the system is, however, unlikely, The Hindu reported quoting sources.

In a separate letter, Trump also informed the Congress of his intent to terminate the GSP beneficiary designation of Turkey. This was primarily because the economy of Turkey had improved a lot in the last four-and-a-half decades and is no longer a developing country.

“In the four-and-a-half decades since Turkey’s designation as a GSP beneficiary developing country, Turkey’s economy has grown and diversified,” he said.

Trump has had several disagreements with Turkey’s leader, Recep Tayyip Erdogan. His country’s once-robust economy has weakened, and that will likely be a key issue in local elections at the end of the month, said a Bloomberg report.

In a separate statement, the US Trade Representative (USTR) said India’s termination from GSP followed its failure to provide the US with assurances that it would provide equitable and reasonable access to its markets in numerous sectors. “India has implemented a wide array of trade barriers that create serious negative effects on United States commerce.  Despite intensive engagement, India has failed to take the necessary steps to meet the GSP criterion,” the United States Trade Representative (USTR) said on its website.

“By statute, these changes may not take effect until at least 60 days after the notifications to Congress and the governments of India and Turkey, and will be enacted by a Presidential Proclamation,” the USTR said.

Under the United States GSP programme, certain products can enter the US duty-free if the beneficiary developing countries meet the eligibility criteria established by Congress. The GSP criteria include, among others, respecting arbitral awards in favour of US citizens or corporations, combating child labour, respecting internationally recognised worker rights, providing adequate and effective intellectual property protection and providing the US with equitable and reasonable market access. Countries can also be graduated from the GSP programme, depending on factors related to economic development.

Points of friction

India’s new e-commerce rules, price controls on medical devices and tariffs on ICT (information and communications technology) products are among the issues that have caused trade frictions between the two countries. Trump has repeatedly taken shots at India’s tariffs, which he views as unreasonable. US commerce secretary Wilbur Ross recently raised concerns regarding new trade barriers created by India, hinting at the stringent e-commerce rules that affected US companies such as Amazon and Walmart-owned Flipkart.

The Trump Administration had launched an eligibility review of India’s compliance with the GSP market access criterion in April 2018. The USTR announced that it was reviewing the GSP eligibility of India, after the US dairy industry and the US medical devices industry requested a review of India’s GSP benefits, given India’s alleged trade barriers affecting US exports in these sectors. Total US imports under GSP in 2017 was $21.2 billion, of which India was the biggest beneficiary with $5.6 billion, followed by Thailand ($4.2 billion) and Brazil ($2.5 billion).

“India has implemented a wide array of trade barriers that create serious negative effects on United States commerce. Despite intensive engagement, India has failed to take the necessary steps to meet the GSP criterion,” the USTR said.

India to take it easy

The Indian government on Tuesday downplayed the effect of the decision by the United States government to withdraw trade concessions granted to India under the Generalised System of Preferences (GSP).

India’s Commerce secretary Anup Wadhawan, The Hindu reported, said that the impact would amount to $190 million on total export amount of $5.6 billion to the US.

He said disproportionate demands from the US led to the collapse of talks even though India was ready for greater market access in agricultural products to the US.

“The withdrawal of GSP benefits to India will have a minimal and moderate impact,” Wadhawan was reported to have said at a press conference. “The total GSP benefits amount to about $190 million on overall exports of $5.6 billion between the two countries.”

“We had worked out a meaningful package that covered the US’ concerns but they made additional requests which were not acceptable at this time,” he added.

Wadhawan added that India was still in talks with the US on the higher import duties that country charges on steel and aluminium, and said that India was still reviewing whether it would impose retaliatory tariffs or not. The government had in the middle of last year decided the list of items on which it would impose retaliatory tariffs, but has since then postponed the deadline of implementation six times, said The Hindu report. The latest deadline is April 1, 2019.

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US strikes Iranian drone control and radar sites following drone shootdown

Washington launched targeted military strikes on radar and drone command centers in Iran’s Goruk and Qeshm Island following the downing of an American surveillance drone over international waters.

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Donald Trump statement

The US military announced it executed targeted “self-defense strikes” against Iranian radar and drone command facilities over the weekend, responding directly to aggressive actions by Tehran.

According to an official statement released on social media platform X by the US Central Command (CENTCOM), the targeted military operations focused on critical infrastructure located in Goruk and Qeshm Island inside Iran.

Response to MQ-1 drone downing

The American military intervention came after Iranian forces shot down a US MQ-1 drone, which Washington maintains was operating over international waters. Media reports indicate that the US deployment of fighter aircraft successfully eliminated Iranian air defenses, a ground control station, and two one-way attack drones involved in the hostile activity. CENTCOM confirmed that no American military personnel sustained injuries during the operation.

The weekend strikes mark another escalation in a series of direct confrontations between the two nations. Just last week, both sides engaged in retaliatory actions after an official from Washington disclosed that the US military hit an active Iranian drone operation operating near the strategic Strait of Hormuz. In retaliation, Tehran targeted an American military airbase.

Broader regional tensions and transit controls

The recent security friction comes amid complex developments in the region. Concurrently, Iranian state media reported that the maritime division of its forces coordinated the passage of 28 commercial vessels, including oil tankers and container ships, through the Strait of Hormuz over a 24-hour window. Iranian authorities claimed that recent instability in the Persian Gulf stems entirely from external military aggression.

The military flare-up also coincides with ongoing and highly fragile diplomatic negotiations over a ceasefire extension and discussions regarding Iran’s nuclear infrastructure, with negotiators trading warnings regarding bilateral trust and strategic rights.

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India a critical anchor to maintain balance of power in regional security, says top US official

Speaking at the Shangri-La Dialogue, top US official Pete Hegseth praised India as a critical anchor holding the line in South Asia, noting its heavy industrial capacity to sustain high-end military operations.

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In a major statement highlighting the growing strategic alignment between Washington and New Delhi, top US official Pete Hegseth described India as a critical pillar of regional stability. Speaking on the second day of the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore, Hegseth noted that New Delhi’s ongoing military modernisation directly serves the shared objective of preserving a balance of power across the Indo-Pacific.

“In South Asia, India is a critical anchor to hold the line,” the top official said while addressing delegates from 44 nations. “A powerful India acting in its own self-interest advances our shared goal of maintaining a balance of power across the region.”

Growing logistics and maritime capabilities

The US administration heavily praised New Delhi’s defence industrial advancements, particularly highlighting its expanding operations in the Indian Ocean region. According to media reports, the official observed that India is modernising its armed forces to carry its share of the security burden in these crucial maritime corridors.

Furthermore, the official emphasized that New Delhi is successfully building out a heavy industrial and logistics capacity capable of sustaining high-end military operations. This expanding domestic infrastructure includes the ability to repair and maintain shared defence platforms, as well as supporting allied naval vessels operating forward in the regional theatre.

Strategic co-production and regional readiness

The partnership between the two nations is translating into tangible operational steps. The official revealed that Washington has firmly committed to pursuing joint production initiatives with New Delhi. Among these initiatives is the co-production of advanced capabilities, including Javelin anti-tank guided munitions, aimed at improving the collective readiness of their forces.

“This kind of industrial muscle isn’t just a long-term goal, it’s an immediate operational imperative,” the official stated, linking New Delhi’s defence manufacturing strength to a broader collective strategy.

Global defense spending and alliance priorities

The address also outlined Washington’s massive domestic military manufacturing mobilisation under President Donald Trump. Following a defence expenditure of USD 1 trillion last year, plans are underway for a historic generational investment of USD 1.5 trillion this year to expand military dominance and weaponry production at scale and speed.

While noting that relations between Washington and Beijing are currently better than they have been in many years, the official maintained that no state can be allowed to impose hegemony or compromise regional security.

Calling upon global partners to match this resolve, the administration indicated it expects allies to hit a defence spending target of 3.5 per cent of their GDP. Moving forward, Washington intends to prioritize and fast-track cooperation with “model allies”—defined as nations that are capable, clear-eyed, and ready to stand up for their national interests.

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Satellite images reveal extensive construction of launch pads and bunkers near Chinese nuclear missile silos

Satellite images show that Beijing is constructing a vast web of over 80 launch pads, command bunkers, and electronic warfare facilities to protect its longest-range nuclear missiles in a remote desert complex.

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A vast military complex is rapidly taking shape in a remote Chinese desert, raising significant attention among security scholars. Freshly analyzed satellite images indicate that Beijing is building an expansive network of launch pads, bunkers, and communications nodes. This critical infrastructure is positioned near isolated nuclear silos that house the Chinese military’s longest-range missiles, which are already capable of reaching any city in the United States.

Media reports indicate that the scale of this newly discovered construction points to a sweeping expansion of hardened infrastructure. The entire network is specifically designed to protect and operate China’s land-based nuclear forces. This massive buildup signals a major upgrade in efforts to secure a resilient second-strike capability, highlighting the intensifying nuclear competition with Western powers amidst rising regional tensions.

Protecting second strike capabilities

According to assessments by security analysts, the imagery reveals more than 80 launch pads. These pads are intended for potential use by an expanding fleet of mobile missile launchers as well as air-defense batteries. Furthermore, the newly built facilities appear configured to serve command operations, satellite communications, and electronic warfare functions.

Security experts note that this infrastructure is being deployed on a grand scale, stretching across thousands of square kilometers of desert landscape beyond the primary silo fields. Depending on the exact operational capabilities of these sites, the development represents a highly considerable enhancement and diversification of the nation’s strategic nuclear deterrent.

The primary objective behind safeguarding these desert silos aligns with the stated goal of maintaining a credible nuclear deterrent. This military policy remains grounded in the absolute capacity to retaliate effectively if the nation is struck first.

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