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Syrian Militants Secretly Flown To Afghanistan, China Raises a Battalion

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Syrian Militants Secretly Flown To Afghanistan, China Raises a Battalion

~By: Saeed Naqvi

 

Among the dozen or so guests US Ambassador Frank Wisner was escorting to Bhutan for a holiday was Richard Holbrooke, former US ambassador to the UN. Wisner had invited a few Indian friends to the long hall of Roosevelt House to meet the group. The year was 1996. The ebb and flow of conversation was interrupted when Holbrooke raised his hand like a Japanese tour leader. “Silent” he whispered audibly. He walked to the far end of the hall to talk on the telephone.

 

He returned with his mouth full of news. “US-Taleban romance is over” he announced with authority. Until the previous day the US was operating on the assumption that the Taleban was the most organized and muscular group in Afghanistan, who could be relied upon to stabilize the country. TAPI or the Turkmenistan, Afghan, Pak, India gas pipeline would then begin to look feasible to the US oil company, UNOCAL – the principal reason for the Afghan conflict.

 

What the US had not bargained for was the brutality with which the Taleban applied Shariah law on Afghan women. A series of prime time features on Taleban cruelty against women, telecast by the CNN’s Christiane Amanpour created a sensation in Washington. Without any waste of time, the US decided to distance itself from the Taleban. US officials supportive of the UNOCAL project, did not conceal their disappointment. “US gender politics has scuttled a strategic initiative”.

 

Fast forward to the great Tajik leader, Ahmad Shah Massoud (the lion of Panjshir valley) addressing the European Union in Brussels, in early spring 2001. He alerted the EU leaders, of the information his anti Taleban Northern Alliance had collected: Al Qaeda, helped by the Taleban, were planning a major attack on the US mainland. For this audacity Massoud was to pay with his life. On September 9, two days before the attack on the Twin towers in New York, Massoud was assassinated at his hideout on the Tajik border. It is interesting that the two Tunisian suicide bombers who had approached Massoud disguised as journalists travelled on passports forged in Brussels, the city where Massoud exposed the plot which turned out to be 9/11. At whose behest was Massoud killed?

 

Had the financial crisis of 2008 not weakened the West, there may have been different scripts for many regions, including Afghanistan. But given the ground realities, President Barack Obama settled on July 2011 as the date on which US troops would begin to withdraw. In August 2011 precisely a month after the Afghan withdrawal date was announced, the Syrian theatre was opened up. Coordination or chaos?

 

In a paper for the Observer Research Foundation in September 2010 I had argued that Obama’s exit plans were a pipedream. Do Americans have an endgame planned? Can a superpower, in a theatre of strategic importance, have a linear exit plan when multiple strategic options present themselves? US has been extremely watchful of a nuclear Pak. Is it now willing to walk away leaving the world’s only “Islamic” bomb unmonitored? Let’s not forget, Afghanistan has been the US watch tower on this count.

 

Moreover, a US being bled by an endless war suits all powers in the region. Demanding American departure but doing everything to keep it tied down in Afghanistan is an elementary game everyone is playing. Would interests in Pakistan wish the logistical supply line from the Karachi harbour to Afghanistan past Baluchistan to dry up? It is a regular source of incalculable earnings.

 

Would not a possible US departure cause Iran, Pakistan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Russia and China to contemplate the Afghan real estate as a huge vacuum which each power must rush to fill up before the next one does? Here is a recipe for the mother of all civil wars.

 

Are the Americans likely to walk away simply because they are exasperated? After having spent a trillion dollars, losing thousands of lives, losing face – so soon after their reversal in Syria – are they really contemplating withdrawal? Will the bosses of UNOCAL suck their thumbs now? Will the priceless poppy fields of Helmand, the oil in the North, the unexplored mineral wealth now become a Russian asset?

 

Of course not. Absence of consistency has been one of the constants in US policy on Afghanistan. To cloak this inconsistency, amplified in the time of Trump, we have strange reports coming out of the White House. Before Steve Bannon, the President’s Chief strategist was shown the door in August 2017 he had drawn the President’s attention to an outlandish proposition put forward by Eric Prince, the founder of Blackwater, the world’s biggest provider of private armies.

 

At a strategy session in Camp David, Trump’s Best and Brightest considered the plan: Afghanistan should be administered exactly as the British controlled India – under a viceroy. Is former US ambassador to Kabul, Zalmay Khalilzad, to be that Viceroy? He is an ethnic Afghan and is being tipped as special Envoy which is what the Viceroys were.

 

Ofcourse, the senior military brass around Trump shot down the first Prince proposal. But with Trump beginning to look vulnerable, all manner of risky adventures are being contemplated. The other day National Security Adviser john Bolton leaked the alarming news that Syria was about to launch a chemical attack in Idlib. How did he know? From Hezbullah leader Hasan Nasrallah’s speech last Sunday? Nasrallah said “data indicates that preparations are underway to stage a new chemical incident in Idlib”. This is the western “ruse to launch an aggression on Syria.”

 

Meanwhile, there are statements by Iranian Supreme leader Ayatullah Ali Khamenei, Russian Foreign Ministry and reports by independent journalists like Robert Fisk that militant groups like Jabhat al Nusra, trounced in Syria, are being secretly airlifted to Northern Afghanistan. There are unconfirmed reports of a Chinese retaliation: a battalion being raised in the Wakhan Corridor to block terrorism being transported from Afghanistan. An air strike on the Afghan-Tajik border killed eight militants. According to the Afghan spokesman Khalil Asir, the origin of the aircraft remains unclear. Strange things are happening.

 

US Presidents have been known to dramatically divert attention when faced with internal crises. Is some catastrophe being manufactured to protect Trump?

Latest world news

UK Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper visits India to strengthen bilateral partnership

UK Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper held high-level meetings in New Delhi during her first official visit to India, underscoring efforts to deepen cooperation in trade, security, technology and regional stability.

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UK Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper visited New Delhi for her first official trip to India since assuming office, holding key meetings with Prime Minister Narendra Modi and External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar as both countries seek to deepen cooperation across trade, security and strategic sectors.

The visit comes at a significant time in India-UK relations, with both governments working toward the implementation of their recently concluded trade agreement while also expanding collaboration in areas such as technology, climate action, supply chains and regional security.

Focus on trade and strategic cooperation

During her engagements in New Delhi, Cooper discussed ways to strengthen the comprehensive strategic partnership between the two countries. Conversations also touched on accelerating the implementation of the India-UK trade agreement and enhancing economic cooperation.

Her visit followed recent discussions between Indian Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal and UK Business and Trade Secretary Peter Kyle regarding the rollout of the bilateral trade pact.

New initiatives announced

India and the UK also announced fresh cooperation initiatives during the visit, including the launch of a Critical Minerals Global Supply Chain Observatory aimed at strengthening collaboration on critical minerals and supply-chain resilience.

Officials described the initiative as an important step in expanding cooperation in emerging strategic sectors and supporting resilient global supply chains.

Addressing global challenges

Apart from bilateral issues, discussions covered wider global concerns, including regional stability, economic disruptions arising from international conflicts and maritime security. The visit reflects the growing importance both countries attach to their strategic partnership amid evolving geopolitical challenges.

India and the UK have increasingly broadened cooperation across defence, technology, innovation, clean energy and people-to-people ties, with both sides aiming to further strengthen engagement in the coming years.

Fact-check assessment

The core angle—Yvette Cooper’s first official visit to India, meetings with PM Modi and S. Jaishankar, focus on trade, security, strategic cooperation and the launch of new bilateral initiatives—is supported by multiple current reports and appears factually sound.

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Trump says India-US trade deal likely soon, calls PM Modi a good friend

Donald Trump has expressed confidence that India and the United States will soon finalize a trade agreement, while praising Prime Minister Narendra Modi and highlighting ongoing bilateral negotiations.

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Donald Trump statement

US President Donald Trump has expressed confidence that the United States and India will reach a trade agreement in the near future, even as discussions continue amid concerns over potential new tariffs. Trump also praised Prime Minister Narendra Modi, describing him as a good friend and highlighting the strong relationship between the two leaders.

Speaking to reporters at the White House, Trump said he expects the two countries to finalize a deal and pointed to his personal rapport with Prime Minister Modi. He said the relationship between Washington and New Delhi remains strong and that ongoing negotiations are moving toward an agreement.

The remarks come shortly after a US trade delegation concluded discussions in India on an interim bilateral trade arrangement. According to Indian officials, the talks were conducted in a cooperative atmosphere, with both sides reaffirming their commitment to a mutually beneficial agreement aimed at strengthening economic ties.

During the interaction, Trump also repeated his criticism of India’s past tariff policies, arguing that India had imposed high duties on American goods for many years. He claimed recent US trade measures were intended to address what he views as an imbalance in the trading relationship.

His comments come days after the US administration proposed additional tariffs on imports from India and several other economies under a separate trade investigation related to forced-labour concerns. The proposal remains under review and has become one of the issues running alongside broader trade negotiations between the two countries.

Despite the tariff dispute, both governments have continued negotiations. Recent statements from officials on both sides suggest that substantial progress has already been made on several aspects of the proposed agreement, with discussions focused on resolving the remaining issues.

The United States is one of India’s largest trading partners, and a bilateral agreement is expected to further expand trade and investment flows between the two countries. Trump’s latest remarks are being seen as a sign that both sides remain committed to finding common ground despite ongoing trade disagreements.

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India considers tax relief to attract foreign investors amid Iran war impact

India is evaluating tax incentives, including a possible capital gains tax exemption on government securities for foreign investors, to support capital inflows amid economic pressures linked to the Iran war.

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India is considering a set of measures aimed at attracting more foreign investment as the ongoing Iran war continues to create pressure on the country’s economy, according to reports citing government sources. One of the key proposals under discussion is the removal of capital gains tax on investments made by foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) in government securities.

The move comes at a time when geopolitical tensions in West Asia have pushed up global oil prices, weakened investor sentiment and increased pressure on the Indian rupee. India, which imports a significant share of its crude oil requirements, has been among the countries closely monitoring the economic fallout from the conflict.

Government exploring ways to boost capital inflows

Officials are reportedly evaluating tax-related incentives to make Indian debt markets more attractive to overseas investors. The proposed exemption on capital gains from government securities is aimed at encouraging foreign portfolio investment and supporting capital inflows during a period of heightened global uncertainty.

The government is seeking to counter the impact of foreign capital outflows that have intensified amid concerns over the Iran conflict and its implications for energy markets and global economic growth.

Rupee and markets under pressure

Recent weeks have seen increased volatility in financial markets, with foreign investors pulling money out of Indian equities. Analysts have linked part of the pressure on the rupee to rising oil prices and continued overseas investor withdrawals.

Market participants believe that measures aimed at attracting foreign investment into government securities could help improve investor confidence and provide support to the domestic currency.

Broader economic concerns

The Iran war has added to concerns about inflation, economic growth and India’s external sector. Higher energy prices can increase import costs and put pressure on inflation, while sustained foreign capital outflows may affect financial market stability.

While no final decision has been announced, discussions on easing tax rules for foreign investors reflect the government’s efforts to strengthen capital inflows and cushion the economy from external shocks.

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