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Budget 2026 signals India’s strategy to shield economy from global tariff shocks

Budget 2026 highlights India’s cautious approach to global trade tensions, focusing on defence, infrastructure and strategic self-reliance while sticking to fiscal discipline.

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Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s economic strategy to protect India from rising global trade tensions became clearer with the presentation of the Union Budget 2026, which focused on strengthening strategic sectors, supporting exporters and maintaining fiscal stability.

The spending plan comes at a time when India faces an uncertain external environment, marked by tariff pressures from the United States and disruptions to global supply chains. The budget announced fresh support for exporters affected by overseas trade barriers and increased backing for critical sectors such as rare earths, semiconductors and critical minerals.

A key highlight of the budget was a significant push towards national security and infrastructure. The government announced an 18% increase in defence expenditure alongside new infrastructure outlays, positioning the move as a safeguard against regional security challenges involving China and Pakistan.

Despite higher spending in select areas, the government largely adhered to its fiscal roadmap. Overall expenditure remained controlled, with no major tax cuts for households and no large-scale stimulus measures. The budget also avoided major populist announcements in a year when the ruling party faces electoral contests in several states.

According to policy analysts, the approach reflects caution amid global uncertainty. The emphasis is on insulating the economy while keeping a close watch on external risks rather than pursuing aggressive expansion.

Market reaction to the budget was muted, with equities declining after the announcement. Investors attributed the fall mainly to a tax increase on equity market transactions aimed at curbing speculation, rather than dissatisfaction with the broader spending plan. The government’s decision to borrow more than expected in the next fiscal year also raised concerns about potential pressure on the bond market.

Setting the tone for the budget speech in Parliament, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman highlighted the challenges posed by weakening multilateral trade systems and disruptions in access to resources and supply chains. She stressed the need for India to remain integrated with global markets while boosting exports and attracting long-term investment.

Although not named directly, the budget addressed challenges arising from recent tariff measures imposed by the US, including steep duties affecting labour-intensive sectors such as textiles and furniture. These measures have added pressure on industries dependent on overseas demand.

The government’s response has been to strengthen domestic capabilities. Over the past year, steps have been taken to boost consumption, simplify labour regulations and open up sectors such as nuclear energy and finance to investors. The latest budget builds on that direction by deepening reforms and improving productivity across sectors.

At the same time, India is seeking to diversify its trade relationships. Recent free trade agreements with the European Union, the UK and New Zealand aim to reduce dependence on any single market and provide exporters with greater stability.

Focus on self-reliance and strategic sectors

The budget placed strong emphasis on self-reliance, announcing new initiatives to promote domestic manufacturing in semiconductors and pharmaceuticals. It also outlined plans to develop mining, processing and manufacturing capacity for rare earth minerals, particularly in mineral-rich eastern and southern states.

Industry leaders described the initiatives as essential for building a resilient industrial ecosystem capable of withstanding global shocks.

However, questions remain over whether the cautious spending approach will be sufficient to support growth and generate employment for India’s young workforce. While the government has projected growth between 6.8% and 7.2% for the coming fiscal year, market estimates are slightly lower.

Opposition leaders criticised the budget for not addressing issues such as youth unemployment and declining household savings. The government, however, appears focused on navigating geopolitical and economic uncertainty while staying committed to fiscal discipline.

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PM Modi-Xi meeting: Xi says India, China can learn from each other’s strengths

PM Modi and Xi Jinping held bilateral talks on the sidelines of the BRICS Summit, with discussions focused on border peace, bilateral relations and cooperation.

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China President Xi Jinping

Chinese President Xi Jinping said India and China can learn from each other’s strengths and support one another as he held bilateral talks with Prime Minister Narendra Modi in New Delhi on Saturday.

The meeting took place on the sidelines of the BRICS Summit 2026 during Xi’s two-day visit to India. It was his first visit to the country in seven years. The discussions covered bilateral relations, border issues, trade and investment.

PM Modi stresses importance of border peace

Prime Minister Narendra Modi emphasised that peace and tranquillity in the border areas are essential for the continued development of India-China relations.

He also underlined the need for both countries to follow existing agreements and understandings related to border issues. The two leaders reaffirmed their commitment to pursuing a fair, reasonable and mutually acceptable resolution of the boundary question while keeping the long-term interests of both countries in mind.

The two sides also noted steady progress in bilateral relations since Modi and Xi last met in Tianjin in August 2025.

Modi stressed that differences between India and China should not turn into disputes. He said the relationship should be guided by three principles — mutual respect, mutual sensitivity and mutual interest.

Xi calls for long-term India-China ties

During the meeting, Xi Jinping said China has consistently viewed its relationship with India from a strategic and long-term perspective.

He recalled that he and Modi have met 21 times over the years and said these meetings had helped guide India-China relations towards steady development.

Xi said that despite differences in their national conditions, India and China could learn from each other’s strengths, support one another and pursue common development.

He also highlighted the responsibilities of India and China as two of the world’s most populous countries and important members of the Global South.

Both sides review bilateral relations

The two leaders carried out a comprehensive review of India-China relations and discussed measures to expand engagement.

The talks also highlighted the importance of maintaining peace and tranquillity along the border and continuing cooperation based on mutual respect, mutual sensitivity and mutual interest.

After the meeting, Modi said the two sides had reviewed the full range of India-China relations. He also conveyed India’s best wishes to China ahead of its BRICS presidency next year.

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Bank holiday on September 14: Banks closed in these cities

Banks will remain closed on September 14 in nine cities, including Mumbai, Bengaluru, Chennai and Hyderabad, due to Ganesh Chaturthi and related festival observances.

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Bank holidays

The bank holiday on September 14 will affect branches in select cities across India as banks observe a regional holiday for Ganesh Chaturthi and related festival observances.

September 14, 2026, falls on a Monday and is listed as a holiday for Ganesh Chaturthi, Ganesh Puja, Varasiddhi Vinayaka Vrata, Vinayakar Chathurthi and Hartalika in certain banking centres.

Bank holiday on September 14: Full city-wise list

According to the holiday listings, bank branches will remain closed on September 14 in the following centres:

CityFestival/occasion
BelapurGanesh Chaturthi/Ganesh Puja/related observances
BengaluruGanesh Chaturthi/Ganesh Puja/related observances
BhubaneswarGanesh Chaturthi/Ganesh Puja/related observances
ChennaiGanesh Chaturthi/Ganesh Puja/related observances
HyderabadGanesh Chaturthi/Ganesh Puja/related observances
MumbaiGanesh Chaturthi/Ganesh Puja/related observances
NagpurGanesh Chaturthi/Ganesh Puja/related observances
PanajiGanesh Chaturthi/Ganesh Puja/related observances
VijayawadaGanesh Chaturthi/Ganesh Puja/related observances

The holiday is therefore not applicable to bank branches across the entire country. Bank holidays in India vary by state and banking centre, depending on local festivals and occasions.

Why are banks closed on September 14?

September 14 marks Ganesh Chaturthi in 2026. The festival falls on Monday this year, with the date confirmed as September 14.

The banking holiday calendar uses different names for the observance across centres, including Ganesh Chaturthi, Ganesh Puja, Varasiddhi Vinayaka Vrata, Vinayakar Chathurthi and Hartalika.

The National Stock Exchange’s 2026 holiday circular also lists September 14 as a trading holiday for Ganesh Chaturthi.

Will online banking services work on September 14?

The closure applies to physical bank branches in the affected centres. Customers can generally continue to use digital banking channels such as mobile banking, internet banking and UPI, although specific services can depend on the bank.

Customers who need to visit a branch for cash deposits, withdrawals, account-related work or other in-person services should check the holiday status of their particular branch before visiting.

What about banks in other cities?

Banks in cities that are not covered by the September 14 regional holiday are not automatically closed because of Ganesh Chaturthi.

The bank holiday calendar is centre-specific, so customers should check their bank’s branch holiday schedule before planning a branch visit.

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Harish Rawat quits Congress posts after ED raid on aide

Former Uttarakhand chief minister Harish Rawat resigned from two Congress posts after the ED searched his aide Chandan Singh Jeena’s premises in a money laundering probe.

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Harish Rawat

Former Uttarakhand chief minister Harish Rawat has resigned from two organisational positions in the Congress after the Enforcement Directorate (ED) conducted searches at the premises of his personal assistant, Chandan Singh Jeena.

Rawat announced his decision on Friday, saying he did not want the controversy surrounding his close associate to weaken the Congress’s campaign against corruption. He stepped down as a member of the Uttarakhand Pradesh Congress Committee executive and as a permanent invitee to the Congress Working Committee.

The ED searches were linked to a money laundering investigation concerning alleged irregularities in the 2016 Gram Panchayat Vikas Adhikari examination conducted by the Uttarakhand Subordinate Service Selection Commission (UKSSSC).

What ED recovered from Rawat’s aide

The ED carried out searches at multiple locations in Dehradun, including premises connected with former UKSSSC officials, a private computer agency involved in processing OMR sheets and alleged middlemen.

According to the agency, its search of Jeena’s residence resulted in the seizure of Rs 32 lakh in unaccounted cash, gold coins and chains weighing around 200.5 grams, and 12 luxury watches.

The gold comprised 13 coins and seven chains. The watches included brands such as Rolex, Rado, Piaget, Movado, Tissot and Casio Edifice, according to the ED.

The agency also said bank accounts belonging to Jeena and his family members containing Rs 52.16 lakh were frozen. His mobile phone was seized for forensic examination.

The ED alleged that Jeena had made substantial cash expenditures for which no legitimate source of income could be established. It also said unaccounted cash, jewellery and other valuables were recovered from some former UKSSSC officials and associated individuals.

What is the UKSSSC exam case?

The ED’s money laundering investigation stems from four FIRs registered by the Uttarakhand Police and Vigilance Bureau over alleged irregularities in the 2016 Gram Panchayat Vikas Adhikari examination.

According to the agency, OMR answer sheets were allegedly removed from secure custody and taken to the residence of the commission’s then secretary. Roll numbers of under-filled answer sheets were recorded and passed to personnel of a private computer agency.

The ED has alleged that answer bubbles were subsequently filled or altered fraudulently before the sheets were resealed, with illegal payments allegedly routed through middlemen.

Jeena is currently serving as Rawat’s personal assistant. He had earlier served as Rawat’s officer on special duty when Rawat was Uttarakhand chief minister between 2014 and 2017.

What Harish Rawat said

Reacting to the allegations, Rawat said he found it difficult to believe that Jeena had been involved in wrongdoing. He acknowledged Jeena’s association with him and said the truth behind the allegations would emerge with time.

Rawat said that if evidence showed Jeena had tampered with OMR sheets in the recruitment examination, he would be ashamed of such conduct, while adding that he did not believe the allegation.

Explaining his resignation, Rawat said Uttarakhand politics was entering an election phase and that attempts were being made to create a narrative against him.

He said Congress and its workers were fighting corruption and that he did not want any action associated with him to weaken the party’s campaign. Since he did not hold a government position from which he could resign, he chose to step down from his organisational responsibilities in the party.

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