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4 states, 4 elections, 4 potential crises for Congress hoping for poll wins

With Assembly elections due in Kerala, Tamil Nadu, West Bengal and Assam in 2026, the Congress is balancing optimism with internal challenges and alliance negotiations.

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Four states — Assam, West Bengal, Kerala and Tamil Nadu — are scheduled to vote in April/May 2026, presenting the Congress with four key opportunities to reset its political narrative after setbacks in recent elections.

After defeats in Delhi and Bihar last year, the party is keen to secure at least one significant win to reinforce its position ahead of the 2029 Lok Sabha polls. However, the road to revival is layered with internal challenges and alliance uncertainties across the four states.

Congress’ 2026 election hopes

The Congress is particularly optimistic about its prospects in Kerala. Riding on what it considers a strong performance in the December 2025 local body elections, the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) secured over 38 per cent of the combined vote share across corporation, municipality and panchayat polls.

In neighbouring Tamil Nadu, the mood is similarly positive. The Congress remains an ally of the ruling Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) and expects the alliance to return to power for a second consecutive term. The party also believes the partnership can once again block the expansion efforts of the Bharatiya Janata Party in the state.

That said, seat-sharing negotiations are yet to begin and could prove contentious. Sections within the Tamil Nadu Congress unit are reportedly seeking a more active role in government if the alliance wins, a demand that has caused friction. There are also murmurs of possible realignments, including speculation about outreach to actor Vijay’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam, which has positioned the DMK as its “political enemy”. The state Congress unit, however, has denied any formal link to such discussions and urged the DMK to begin seat talks.

In the 2021 Assembly elections, the Congress won 18 seats in Tamil Nadu while the BJP secured four. In 2016, the Congress had won eight seats, whereas the BJP failed to open its account.

Kerala leadership balancing act

In Kerala, questions over leadership have hovered in the background. Senior leaders Shashi Tharoor and Ramesh Chennithala have both been seen as possible chief ministerial faces should the party come to power.

For now, the party has attempted to strike a balance. Chennithala has been named the leader of the election campaign, with Tharoor as his deputy. The Congress is expected to project a collective leadership approach rather than foreground a single face.

Tharoor had earlier drawn attention after comments that were interpreted by some within the party as being favourable to Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the BJP, particularly following remarks linked to the Pahalgam attack last year. His recent public support of Rahul Gandhi during a parliamentary confrontation over former Army chief MM Naravane’s unpublished memoir has been viewed by some as a sign of improving ties within the party.

Tough terrain in Bengal

The situation is more challenging in West Bengal. The Congress has decided to contest independently against both the ruling Trinamool Congress and the BJP, each a formidable opponent.

In the 2021 Assembly election, the Congress failed to win any of the 91 seats it contested and saw its vote share decline by 9.32 per cent. With limited organisational strength, the party’s decision to go solo is being viewed as a bold but low-risk strategy given its current position.

In June 2024, senior leader Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury stepped down as state unit chief following poor electoral performances. Subhankar Sarkar was appointed in his place. Chowdhury had consistently opposed an alliance with Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee’s party, even during attempts at broader opposition unity.

The state unit has since ruled out tie-ups with the Trinamool Congress as well as with the Left Front.

Assam’s internal churn

Assam presents a different set of difficulties. The Congress currently holds 29 seats in the state Assembly and faces an uphill battle against the ruling BJP.

Controversy surrounding former state unit chief Bhupen Borah has cast a shadow over preparations. Borah recently submitted a resignation letter containing critical remarks about his successor, Gaurav Gogoi. Reports suggest he has also been courted by the BJP, with Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma expected to meet him.

Efforts by the party leadership, including outreach by Rahul Gandhi, appear to have paused any immediate exit, though uncertainty remains. The developments come just days before a scheduled visit by Priyanka Gandhi Vadra to the state.

For the Congress, retaining its existing seats while strengthening its grassroots base may be a more realistic goal in Assam, with an eye on longer-term prospects.

Lessons from the past

Recent history underscores the risks posed by internal divisions. In Haryana, factional tensions between Kumari Selja and Bhupendra Singh Hooda were widely cited as factors in the party’s underperformance. Similar rivalries in Chhattisgarh between Bhupesh Baghel and TS Singh Deo, and in Rajasthan between Ashok Gehlot and Sachin Pilot, also weighed on the party’s electoral fortunes.

As the 2026 Assembly season approaches, the Congress finds itself with opportunities in multiple states — but also confronting internal strains and alliance complexities. Whether it can convert these contests into electoral gains may depend as much on managing its internal equations as on countering its rivals.

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Mamata Banerjee says she will take over Delhi after Bengal win, sharpens attack on BJP

Mamata Banerjee says her party will move towards Delhi after winning Bengal, signalling national ambitions.

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Mamata Banerjee

West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee has made a strong political statement during the ongoing West Bengal assembly elections 2026, saying her party will aim for a larger role at the national level after securing victory in the state.

Addressing a rally, Banerjee said that once her party wins the Bengal elections, it will move forward to “take over Delhi,” indicating a broader political strategy beyond the state. The remark comes at a time when campaigning has intensified across constituencies.

Her statement is being seen as part of a wider push by the Trinamool Congress to position itself as a key force against the Bharatiya Janata Party at the national level.

Banerjee has repeatedly expressed confidence that her party will return to power in West Bengal, aiming for another consecutive term.

Political context

The West Bengal elections have witnessed aggressive campaigning from both the ruling Trinamool Congress and the BJP. Leaders from both sides have exchanged sharp remarks, highlighting the high-stakes nature of the contest.

Banerjee’s latest comment adds to her earlier calls for opposition unity and signals her intent to expand political influence beyond the state. Similar remarks in recent weeks have indicated that her party sees the Bengal result as a stepping stone toward a larger national role.

At the same time, BJP leaders have projected confidence about their performance in the elections, further intensifying the political contest.

High-stakes election

The 2026 West Bengal assembly elections are crucial for both parties, with the Trinamool Congress seeking to retain power and the BJP aiming to make significant inroads in the state.

Banerjee’s “Delhi” remark underscores the broader national implications of the election, as regional parties increasingly position themselves in the national political landscape.

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Pawan Khera denied anticipatory bail by Gauhati High Court in Assam case

The Gauhati High Court has denied anticipatory bail to Congress leader Pawan Khera in a case filed by Assam CM’s wife over alleged remarks.

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Congress leader Pawan Khera

The Gauhati High Court has rejected the anticipatory bail plea filed by Congress leader Pawan Khera in connection with a criminal case registered in Assam.

The case stems from a complaint filed by Riniki Bhuyan Sarma, wife of Assam Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, following remarks made by Khera earlier this month.

A single-judge bench heard arguments from both sides earlier this week and reserved its order before delivering the verdict on Friday. With the rejection of anticipatory bail, Khera no longer has protection from arrest in the case.

Background of the case

The FIR against Pawan Khera was lodged after he made allegations during a press conference on April 5, claiming that the Chief Minister’s wife possessed multiple passports and undisclosed overseas assets.

Following these statements, legal proceedings were initiated in Assam, invoking multiple charges including defamation, cheating, and forgery.

Arguments in court

During the hearing, Khera’s legal team argued that the case was politically motivated and that arrest was not necessary, asserting that he was not a flight risk.

On the other hand, the Assam government opposed the plea, stating that the case involved serious offences beyond simple defamation and required custodial investigation.

Supreme Court’s earlier stance

Before approaching the Gauhati High Court, Khera had sought protection from arrest from the Supreme Court. However, the apex court declined to extend relief and directed him to approach the appropriate court in Assam.

What happens next

With the High Court denying anticipatory bail, the legal proceedings against Khera are set to continue, and he may now face arrest depending on the course of the investigation.

The case has also triggered political reactions, adding to tensions between the Congress and the Assam government.

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Nirmala Sitharaman reviews AI cybersecurity risks in banking, calls for stronger safeguards

Sitharaman urges banks to boost cybersecurity and adopt real-time intelligence sharing to counter AI threats.

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Nirmala Sitharaman

Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman chaired a high-level meeting with bank heads and key stakeholders to assess cybersecurity risks linked to artificial intelligence (AI) in the banking sector.

The meeting comes amid global concerns over advanced AI models that could potentially expose vulnerabilities in financial systems. Authorities discussed how such technologies may be misused to exploit software weaknesses and compromise sensitive banking data.

Banks asked to strengthen cybersecurity frameworks

During the discussions, banks were advised to take pre-emptive measures to secure IT systems, protect customer data, and safeguard financial assets.

The government emphasised the need for robust cybersecurity infrastructure, including stronger monitoring systems and improved incident response protocols. Banks were also encouraged to enhance internal preparedness against evolving digital threats driven by AI technologies.

Focus on real-time threat intelligence sharing

A key takeaway from the meeting was the push to establish a real-time threat intelligence sharing mechanism between banks, regulatory bodies, and cybersecurity agencies such as CERT-In.

This system is expected to help identify emerging risks early and enable faster response across the financial ecosystem, reducing the chances of large-scale disruptions.

Concerns linked to advanced AI models

The review gains significance in light of concerns around advanced AI systems, including models that reportedly highlight vulnerabilities in widely used software environments.

Officials noted that while AI offers significant benefits, it also introduces new challenges, particularly in cybersecurity, requiring coordinated action across institutions.

Government adopts proactive approach

The meeting reflects the government’s broader strategy to stay ahead of technological risks while promoting digital growth.

With increasing adoption of AI in financial services, authorities are focusing on ensuring that innovation is matched with strong safeguards to maintain trust and stability in the banking system.

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