The latest twist in the ongoing political drama in Maharashtra saw the Shiv Sena pull out of the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA).
Arvind Sawant, the only Shiv Sena minister in Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government, resigned and set the ball rolling for a probable non-BJP alliance in the state. “The BJP went back on their pre-election promises. It would not have been morally right for me to continue at the Centre, so I have resigned as Union Minister,” he said as he resigned as the Minister for Heavy Industries and Public Enterprises.
The BJP won 105 seats in the October 21 elections, and with the support of its oldest ally Shiv Sena, which has 56 in its kitty, was to reach the majority mark of 145 comfortably in the 288-member assembly and form the government.
However, the Sena wants an equal share of power in Maharashtra and refused to support the BJP unless the party agreed to a rotational arrangement for the chief minister’s post for half the term and an equal share in ministries.
The Sena has been claiming that a “50:50″ deal was discussed with BJP chief Amit Shah earlier this year, but the outgoing Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis denied any such deal.
After the Maharashtra Governor invited the BJP on Sunday to form the government, the party gave up the pursuit for forming a government conceding it didn’t have the numbers and that the Sena is welcome to go ahead.
The Shiv Sena has been contemplating forming the government with the help of non-BJP parties – the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) has 54 seats and its ally Congress can bring its 44 to the pool. The Sena has been sending out feelers to Sharad Pawar, but the NCP chief’s initial talks with Congress chief Sonia Gandhi didn’t translate into anything favourable.
While Sharad Pawar appeared to be on board, if only to stop the BJP’s return to power in the state, he has stressed that no decision can be taken without discussions with the Congress.
The Sena’s breaking away from the NDA was needed, both for initiating talks with the NCP as well as it being untenable for it to continue as an ally of the BJP at the Centre.
Meanwhile, the Congress’ Working Committee (CWC) is currently discussing its options and weighing the pros and cons of supporting its ideologically-opponent Shiv Sena since almost all Congress MLAs favour aligning with the Sena.
But one of the leaders of the grand-old party in the state, Sanjay Nirupam, a form Shiv Sena leader, warned the party that such a move would be “disastrous”.
He tweeted: “In the current political arithmetic in Maharashtra, it’s just impossible for Congress-NCP to form any government. For that we need Shiv Sena. And we must not think of sharing power with Shiv Sena under any circumstances. That will be a disastrous move for the party.”
In another tweet he suggested that “no matter who forms government and how, political instability in Maharashtra cannot be ruled out now. Get ready for early elections. It may take place in 2020. Can we go to the elections with Shiv Sena as partner?”
Sources suggest that Shiv Sena leader Sanjay Raut is likely to meet top Congress leaders in Delhi to seek support for his party.
In the meantime, Congress MLAs are camping at a resort in Jaipur in party-ruled Rajasthan while the Sena has sent all its MLAs to a resort at Madh Island in suburban Mumbai to prevent any “poaching” attempts by the BJP.