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India-UK trade deal may be signed during PM Modi’s likely visit to London this month

Prime Minister Narendra Modi is likely to visit the UK soon, with the India-UK free trade deal and defence cooperation on the agenda.

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Prime Minister Narendra Modi is expected to visit the United Kingdom by the end of July or early August, in what could mark a major milestone in India-UK relations. Diplomatic sources indicate that the long-anticipated India-UK free trade agreement (FTA) is likely to be formally signed during the visit.

The FTA, concluded earlier in May after three years of intensive negotiations, promises to be a landmark pact between the two nations. It is set to eliminate tariffs on nearly 99% of Indian exports and facilitate easier access for British products such as whisky and automobiles into the Indian market. The deal represents the most comprehensive trade pact undertaken by the UK since its departure from the European Union.

Alongside the FTA, the two countries also concluded a double contribution convention earlier this year. Prime Minister Modi has hailed both agreements as historic steps toward deepening the India-UK strategic partnership, while driving trade, investment, employment, and economic growth in both countries.

Sources confirm that both sides are working to finalize the schedule for the high-level visit, which may take place either at the end of July or in early August. While there had been speculation about British Prime Minister Keir Starmer visiting India first, that visit is now expected later in the year.

In addition to the trade pact, the visit may focus on advancing defence and security cooperation. Discussions are expected on the implementation of the Technology Security Initiative (TSI), a framework established in July 2023 to enhance collaboration in emerging technologies such as telecom, semiconductors, artificial intelligence, and critical minerals.

The TSI aims to leverage the respective strengths of India and the UK in these sectors and foster resilient supply chains and joint R&D projects. It aligns with the broader objectives outlined in the India-UK Roadmap 2030, which envisions a strengthened partnership across economic, security, and technological dimensions.

Notably, India remained the UK’s second-largest source of investment projects in 2023–24 for the fifth consecutive year, underscoring the robust economic engagement between the two nations.

If signed during PM Modi’s visit, the FTA would mark a transformative moment in bilateral relations and elevate the India-UK partnership to new strategic heights.

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India, Myanmar reaffirm commitment to stronger security, trade and connectivity ties

India and Myanmar have agreed to deepen ties in security, trade and connectivity, with leaders discussing infrastructure projects, border stability and economic cooperation during talks in New Delhi.

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India and Myanmar have agreed to deepen cooperation in the areas of security, trade and connectivity following high-level discussions in New Delhi during Myanmar President Min Aung Hlaing’s official visit to India.

The discussions marked an important step in strengthening ties between the neighbouring countries, which share a 1,643-kilometre border and maintain close strategic, economic and cultural links. Both sides reiterated their commitment to accelerating key connectivity projects, expanding bilateral trade and enhancing cooperation on security-related issues.

The talks were held during President Min Aung Hlaing’s five-day visit to India, his first overseas trip since assuming office earlier this year. The visit included meetings with senior Indian leaders, including Prime Minister Narendra Modi and External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar.

Focus on connectivity and economic cooperation

India and Myanmar agreed to push forward major connectivity initiatives aimed at improving regional integration and facilitating trade. The two countries emphasized the importance of infrastructure projects that can strengthen links between India’s Northeast and Southeast Asia while boosting economic opportunities on both sides of the border.

Officials also discussed ways to expand bilateral trade and encourage greater economic engagement. Both governments expressed support for increasing cooperation across multiple sectors, including development and infrastructure.

Security and border management remain key priorities

Security cooperation featured prominently in the discussions, with both countries acknowledging the importance of maintaining peace and stability along their shared border. Border management, defence cooperation and measures aimed at ensuring regional stability were among the major topics addressed during the visit.

India has consistently viewed Myanmar as an important partner under its Act East policy, while developments in Myanmar have direct implications for security and connectivity in India’s northeastern region.

Strategic significance of the visit

Analysts view the visit as significant for both countries amid evolving regional dynamics. For India, stronger engagement with Myanmar supports connectivity goals, border security and economic interests. For Myanmar, the visit provides an opportunity to broaden diplomatic and economic engagement with a key neighbour.

The leaders also reaffirmed their commitment to maintaining close cooperation and promoting stability, development and prosperity in the region through continued dialogue and collaboration.

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US strikes Iranian drone control and radar sites following drone shootdown

Washington launched targeted military strikes on radar and drone command centers in Iran’s Goruk and Qeshm Island following the downing of an American surveillance drone over international waters.

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The US military announced it executed targeted “self-defense strikes” against Iranian radar and drone command facilities over the weekend, responding directly to aggressive actions by Tehran.

According to an official statement released on social media platform X by the US Central Command (CENTCOM), the targeted military operations focused on critical infrastructure located in Goruk and Qeshm Island inside Iran.

Response to MQ-1 drone downing

The American military intervention came after Iranian forces shot down a US MQ-1 drone, which Washington maintains was operating over international waters. Media reports indicate that the US deployment of fighter aircraft successfully eliminated Iranian air defenses, a ground control station, and two one-way attack drones involved in the hostile activity. CENTCOM confirmed that no American military personnel sustained injuries during the operation.

The weekend strikes mark another escalation in a series of direct confrontations between the two nations. Just last week, both sides engaged in retaliatory actions after an official from Washington disclosed that the US military hit an active Iranian drone operation operating near the strategic Strait of Hormuz. In retaliation, Tehran targeted an American military airbase.

Broader regional tensions and transit controls

The recent security friction comes amid complex developments in the region. Concurrently, Iranian state media reported that the maritime division of its forces coordinated the passage of 28 commercial vessels, including oil tankers and container ships, through the Strait of Hormuz over a 24-hour window. Iranian authorities claimed that recent instability in the Persian Gulf stems entirely from external military aggression.

The military flare-up also coincides with ongoing and highly fragile diplomatic negotiations over a ceasefire extension and discussions regarding Iran’s nuclear infrastructure, with negotiators trading warnings regarding bilateral trust and strategic rights.

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India a critical anchor to maintain balance of power in regional security, says top US official

Speaking at the Shangri-La Dialogue, top US official Pete Hegseth praised India as a critical anchor holding the line in South Asia, noting its heavy industrial capacity to sustain high-end military operations.

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In a major statement highlighting the growing strategic alignment between Washington and New Delhi, top US official Pete Hegseth described India as a critical pillar of regional stability. Speaking on the second day of the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore, Hegseth noted that New Delhi’s ongoing military modernisation directly serves the shared objective of preserving a balance of power across the Indo-Pacific.

“In South Asia, India is a critical anchor to hold the line,” the top official said while addressing delegates from 44 nations. “A powerful India acting in its own self-interest advances our shared goal of maintaining a balance of power across the region.”

Growing logistics and maritime capabilities

The US administration heavily praised New Delhi’s defence industrial advancements, particularly highlighting its expanding operations in the Indian Ocean region. According to media reports, the official observed that India is modernising its armed forces to carry its share of the security burden in these crucial maritime corridors.

Furthermore, the official emphasized that New Delhi is successfully building out a heavy industrial and logistics capacity capable of sustaining high-end military operations. This expanding domestic infrastructure includes the ability to repair and maintain shared defence platforms, as well as supporting allied naval vessels operating forward in the regional theatre.

Strategic co-production and regional readiness

The partnership between the two nations is translating into tangible operational steps. The official revealed that Washington has firmly committed to pursuing joint production initiatives with New Delhi. Among these initiatives is the co-production of advanced capabilities, including Javelin anti-tank guided munitions, aimed at improving the collective readiness of their forces.

“This kind of industrial muscle isn’t just a long-term goal, it’s an immediate operational imperative,” the official stated, linking New Delhi’s defence manufacturing strength to a broader collective strategy.

Global defense spending and alliance priorities

The address also outlined Washington’s massive domestic military manufacturing mobilisation under President Donald Trump. Following a defence expenditure of USD 1 trillion last year, plans are underway for a historic generational investment of USD 1.5 trillion this year to expand military dominance and weaponry production at scale and speed.

While noting that relations between Washington and Beijing are currently better than they have been in many years, the official maintained that no state can be allowed to impose hegemony or compromise regional security.

Calling upon global partners to match this resolve, the administration indicated it expects allies to hit a defence spending target of 3.5 per cent of their GDP. Moving forward, Washington intends to prioritize and fast-track cooperation with “model allies”—defined as nations that are capable, clear-eyed, and ready to stand up for their national interests.

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