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Trump suggests he may not enforce 25% tariff on India over Russian oil

: Donald Trump has indicated that Washington may not enforce a proposed secondary tariff on India over Russian oil imports, even as New Delhi condemns the steep duties.

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US President Donald Trump has hinted that Washington may not enforce a proposed secondary tariff on India over its purchase of Russian oil, even as New Delhi faces steep duties on its exports.

The remarks came after Trump claimed Russia had lost India as a key oil client following Washington’s tariff announcement, though India has not officially confirmed halting crude imports from Moscow.

Tariff move escalates trade tensions

Earlier this month, Washington imposed an additional 25% duty on Indian goods, later doubling it to 50%, citing India’s continued oil imports from Russia. The new tariffs are scheduled to take effect on August 27. India strongly condemned the move as “unfair, unjustified and unreasonable,” warning that sectors like textiles, marine and leather exports would be hit hard.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi maintained that New Delhi would not yield to economic pressure. India, alongside Brazil, now faces the highest US tariff rate under Trump’s trade measures.

Confusion over India’s oil imports

While a Bloomberg report suggested that Indian state-owned refiners stopped purchasing Russian crude after Washington’s action, Indian Oil Corporation chairman AS Sahney clarified that imports from Russia continue, based on “economic considerations.”

India emerged as Russia’s largest oil customer in 2022 after Western sanctions restricted Moscow’s access to European markets. China and India remain the two largest buyers of Russian crude.

Rising costs if imports shift

According to a State Bank of India report, New Delhi’s oil import bill could rise by USD 9 billion this financial year and USD 12 billion in the next if Russian supplies are halted. Iraq, Saudi Arabia and the UAE may serve as alternative suppliers.

Meanwhile, data firm Kpler Ltd noted that Russia is offering crude at discounted rates to Indian buyers as demand weakens under EU sanctions and US tariff threats.

Trump signals softer stance

Speaking to US media before departing for a high-stakes meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska, Trump said:

“He (Putin) lost an oil client, so to speak, which is India, which was doing about 40 per cent of the oil… And if I did what’s called a secondary sanction, or a secondary tariff, it would be very devastating. If I have to do it, I’ll do it. Maybe I won’t have to do it.”

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Mojtaba Khamenei named Iran’s new supreme leader after death of Ali Khamenei

Iran’s Assembly of Experts has selected Mojtaba Khamenei as the country’s new supreme leader following the death of Ali Khamenei amid escalating regional conflict.

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Mojtaba Khamenei has been appointed the new Supreme Leader of Iran, replacing his father Ali Khamenei, according to state media reports.

The decision was taken by the Assembly of Experts, an 88-member council responsible for selecting the country’s supreme leader. The body said it had chosen Mojtaba Khamenei through a decisive vote, naming him the third leader of the Islamic Republic.

Mojtaba Khamenei, a mid-ranking cleric with strong connections within Iran’s security establishment, had long been seen as a potential successor to his father. His influence within the powerful Revolutionary Guards and networks associated with his father’s office had made him a prominent figure in Iran’s political structure.

His appointment comes amid a sharp escalation in tensions in the region. Ali Khamenei was reportedly killed in strikes carried out during the ongoing conflict involving Iran, the United States and Israel. The situation has led to rising hostilities and military exchanges in recent days.

The role of supreme leader in Iran carries ultimate authority over key state institutions, including the military, judiciary and major political decisions.

The development may further strain relations between Tehran and Washington. Donald Trump recently said the United States should have a say in who leads Iran, a remark likely to draw criticism from Iranian authorities.

Meanwhile, fighting linked to the conflict has continued across the region. Strikes targeting infrastructure in Tehran have caused fires at fuel facilities, sending thick smoke into the sky and raising environmental concerns.

Iranian officials have condemned the attacks as dangerous escalation, while Israeli authorities have defended the strikes, saying the targeted facilities were connected to Iran’s military operations.

As the conflict continues, Iran’s new leadership now faces the challenge of navigating both internal political pressures and rising regional tensions.

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India says it never depended on permission to import Russian oil

India says it continues to import Russian oil based on competitive pricing and national interest, while energy supplies remain stable despite global tensions.

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India on Saturday reiterated that it has never relied on permission from any country to purchase Russian oil, even as the United States recently issued a temporary waiver allowing certain shipments to continue.

The Centre said India’s energy strategy remains focused on securing crude oil at the most competitive prices while maintaining stable supplies despite rising tensions in global shipping routes.

India continues Russian oil imports

According to the government, India continues to import Russian crude and has done so consistently throughout the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

Officials said Russia remains India’s largest crude oil supplier, with imports rising significantly after 2022 due to discounted prices and the demand from domestic refineries.

“India has never depended on permission from any country to buy Russian oil,” the Centre said in a statement, adding that purchases are based on affordability and national interest.

Energy supplies remain secure

The government said India’s energy supply remains stable despite disruptions along the Strait of Hormuz route amid tensions linked to the Iran-US-Israel conflict.

To strengthen energy security, India has expanded its crude oil sourcing network from 27 countries to 40 countries, creating multiple supply options.

The Centre also said the country currently holds more than 250 million barrels of crude oil and petroleum products across its reserves and supply chain. This stockpile provides a buffer equivalent to around seven to eight weeks of consumption.

India’s refining capacity stands at 258 million metric tonnes per annum, which the government said exceeds current domestic demand.

US waiver and global oil market volatility

The United States on Thursday temporarily eased sanctions on Russia to allow oil already loaded on vessels at sea to be sold to India.

Officials in New Delhi said describing the waiver as enabling such purchases overlooks the fact that the trade has continued for years.

“India is a net exporter of refined products to the world — a position that reinforces, not undermines, its energy security,” the Centre said.

Meanwhile, tensions in the Middle East have affected global oil markets. Military actions involving the United States and Israel against Iran, along with retaliatory strikes by Tehran across the Gulf region, have disrupted shipping routes and energy flows.

Global oil prices surged 8.5 per cent on Friday and had climbed nearly 30 per cent over the previous week, following remarks by US President Donald Trump that the conflict would end only with Iran’s “unconditional surrender”.

Earlier in February, Washington removed a 25 per cent tariff on Indian exports under an interim trade agreement. The US administration said the decision followed a commitment by India to halt Russian oil purchases. However, no such commitment appears in the joint statement issued at the time, and the Indian government has not confirmed or denied the claim.

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Trump’s handling of India ties a major mistake, says former Australia PM Tony Abbott

Former Australian prime minister Tony Abbott says Donald Trump’s tariffs and engagement with Pakistan leadership unnecessarily strained relations with India.

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Former Australian prime minister Tony Abbott has said that one of the biggest mistakes made by US President Donald Trump so far has been the way he handled relations with India.

Speaking in an interview with media, Abbott said he does not fully support Trump’s foreign policy approach and highlighted several steps that, in his view, unnecessarily strained ties with New Delhi.

Abbott said these included the imposition of punitive tariffs on Indian goods, claims by Trump that he had mediated tensions between India and Pakistan, and the hosting of Pakistan’s army chief Asim Munir at the White House.

According to Abbott, these actions “gratuitously alienated” India, particularly given New Delhi’s longstanding concerns about terrorism originating from Pakistan.

Tariff dispute and trade deal

Tensions between the United States and India had earlier escalated after Washington imposed 25 per cent reciprocal tariffs on several Indian products. An additional 25 per cent levy was also linked to India’s continued purchases of Russian oil.

However, a trade agreement announced by Trump in February signalled a partial easing of those tensions. Under the arrangement, the US reduced tariffs on several Indian goods.

Trump said the decision followed a commitment from Prime Minister Narendra Modi to halt purchases of oil from Russia while the war in Ukraine continued.

The agreement helped ease months of friction between the two countries over energy purchases, which Washington had argued were helping fund the ongoing conflict.

Trump has also repeatedly referred to his close personal ties with Modi, describing the Indian leader as one of his greatest friends.

Abbott comments on Middle East conflict

Abbott also spoke about the uncertainty surrounding the ongoing conflict involving Iran, Israel and the United States.

He said it was impossible to predict whether the situation would lead to a regime change in Tehran, noting that the current leadership still enjoys support among sections of the Iranian population.

At the same time, Abbott suggested that the weakening of Iran’s nuclear capabilities could significantly limit the country’s ability to project aggression in the future.

He also said the intensity of the conflict could gradually decline.

According to Abbott, Iranian attacks had already reduced compared to earlier phases of the conflict, while Israeli and American strikes had intensified and largely focused on regime facilities rather than civilian infrastructure.

Fresh attacks reported

In the hours following his remarks, Iran launched new missiles and drones targeting Israel and several Gulf countries hosting US military bases.

Explosions were reported inside Israel as air defence systems intercepted incoming projectiles.

Countries including the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain and Saudi Arabia also reported attacks.

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