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A crisis is brewing in the Middle East and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is at its centre

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[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]By Seema Guha

Is Saudi Arabia about to implode? Can ambitious Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s audacious plans that have shaken up Saudi Arabia’s staid ruling family succeed? In the last few weeks, the House of Saud, which had for decades ruled by consensus, with one old monarch succeeded by an ageing brother, now suddenly open up to a new line when the baton is being handed over from father to son? The jury is still out on that.

But in recent weeks King Salman bin Abdulaziz al Saud Salman’s favourite son has proceeded with breath-neck speed to bring in sweeping changes in the oil rich kingdom. In the name of an anti-corruption drive, he has arrested eleven princes as well as scores of senior officials.

Prince Miteb, son of the late King Abdullah, and commander of the powerful National Guards, Saudi Arabia’s most prominent and outspoken businessman Prince Alwaled bin Talal, are all in the confines of a luxury hotel on charges of corruption. The Crown Prince is   taking down all possible rivals within the family.

Around the same time as these arrests, a helicopter crash killed Prince Mansour bin Muqrin, deputy governor of Asir province and a number of his officials. Clan and tribal loyalities run deep in the country and it is not yet clear if these large scale arrests and removal of four sitting ministers on charges of corruption would be taken lightly.

The 32-year old crown Prince, who was not in the limelight till his father became King, now yields enormous power. He is the defence minister and is in charge of major economic reforms, aimed at changing the kingdom’s reliance on oil and diversifying the economy. An ambitious plan Vision 2030 was unveiled by the Crown Prince recently. He is said to have worked out the vision with the help of top Western managers hired from across the world with huge salaries. He is also keen to list the state owned oil giant Aramco in the stock exchange.

By removing the commander of the National Guards, and placing one of his loyalists as chief, the Prince has indirectly also bought the elite force to report to him. He is the chairman too of the newly formed anti-corruption committee, which has wide reaching powers to trace funds and assets and prevent their transfers or liquidation on behalf of individuals and entities. All in all, the Crown Prince is calling the shots and virtually in charge of the kingdom. But by the arrests of powerful members of the royal family, he would have also made bitter enemies, who would be biding their time to strike back.

Anti-corruption drives are always popular among ordinary citizens. Saudi Arabia is no exception. The Crown Prince has publicly said several times that no one would be spared, not even those with royal connections. He has been as good as his word and this has been welcomed by the general public. However the question remains, is the anti corruption drive aimed at cleaning up the system or to target those who may one day challenge the Prince. Saudi Arabia has never been a transparent system and most members of the extended royal family have been conducting business in this way for generations. Saudi Arabia is not prepared for the change to transparency and accountability.

Prince Salman hopes to convert Saudi Arabia to a moderate Islamic kingdom and is taking on the powerful clergy wedded to the puritanical and austere Wahhabi school. The strict norms against music and entertainment, the segregation of men and women and other orthodox practices would be out of the window if the Prince had his way. He is popular among the young Saudis for his modern views. Religious police that enforced strict dressing for women and often abused power are no longer roaming the streets of Riyadh looking to bring offenders to book. Women are in the process of being allowed to drive. Entertainment, which also brings in the big bucks, is being encouraged by him.

The clergy plays a pivotal role in Saudi Arabia. The royal house of Saud, as custodians of the mosques at Mecca and Medina are venerated across the Sunni world and the state promotes the Wahhabi school of austere Islam. The King and clergy have so long ruled by consensus. The Crown Prince’s desire to turn the kingdom into a moderate Islamic state may in time turn them against the ruling family. But so far there are no signs of that happening as the Crown Prince has not yet ridden rough shod over clergy.

But the hot blooded Prince is not merely cracking down on perceived enemies within the kingdom. Like the rest of Sunni powers, Saudi Arabia has always regarded Shia Iran with suspicion. Since state structures in Iraq collapsed following the American invasion and the sectarian war led to blood baths across the country, Iran’s clout there has increased manifold. Saudi Arabia and the smaller Gulf countries, worried about Iran’s growing influence in the region, are out to eradicate Iran’s footprints in the region. A proxy war is on between Saudi Arabia led Sunnis and Shia Iran in Syria, Yemen, Iraq and Lebanon. There Hizbollah is backed by Iran and Saudi Arabia has already triggered a crisis by forcing prime minister Hariri to resign. Hariri announced his resignation from Saudi Arabia last week.

The Saudis have cultivated excellent ties with US President Donald Trump. Unlike Obama, Trump regards Iran as a principle enemy of the US. He is already in the process of pulling out of the landmark nuclear agreement signed between Iran, the US, France, China, UK, Russia and Germany. The new line up in West Asia is Saudi Arabia, US and Israel ranged against Iran and Russia. Bashar-al Asad of Syria is also with them. The resignation of Hariri is escalating the crisis in the region. Saudis and Israel (which is against Hezbollah in Lebanon) are bent on pushing Iran to a corner. A recent missile attack by Houthi rebels of Yemen at Riyadh International airport, is being blamed on Iran. War drums are beating in West Asia. Unless the Crown Prince is restrained, the oil rich states may soon be in turmoil. War in the region will affect oil supplies and could hit the world economy. Countries like India, that gets most of its supplies from Saudi Arabia, will be hard hit. However, though Donald Trump himself is as aggressive as the Crown Prince, saner elements within the US establishment like Secretary of State Tillerson are urging restraint.

Will the Crown Prince listen? He has had little success in the war in Yemen, or in the blockade of Qatar (for allegedly playing footsie with terror groups) spearheaded by Saudi Arabia. He would be looking to Lebanon to take on Hezbollah. Neither Iran nor the Hezbollah are pushovers, and if Saudi Arabia continues to its current disastrous ways, the region may well implode.[/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row]

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Trump says Republicans would have won US midterms if he was on ballot

US President Donald Trump claimed Republicans would have won the 2026 midterm elections in a landslide if he had been on the ballot, as Democrats made significant gains in key congressional contests.

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US President Donald Trump has reacted to the Republican Party’s setbacks in the 2026 US midterm elections, claiming that the party would have secured a landslide victory if he had been on the ballot.

Trump made the remark as Democrats registered significant gains in congressional contests, putting Republican control of Congress under pressure.

The November 3 midterm elections were widely seen as an important test of Trump’s presidency, with all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 Senate seats up for election.

According to Trump’s assessment, his presence on the ballot would have changed the outcome for Republicans.

The President’s remarks came after Democrats made significant advances in several closely watched races, challenging Republican control of both chambers of Congress.

Democrats make gains in key congressional races

The election results indicated a strong performance by Democrats in several important contests.

In the Senate, Democrats flipped multiple Republican-held seats, including victories in Texas, South Carolina and Ohio. In the House of Representatives, Democratic candidates also defeated several Republican incumbents, bringing the party closer to securing a majority.

The developments raised the possibility of Democrats taking control of both chambers, although some contests were still being counted.

A change in congressional control would have significant implications for Trump’s remaining presidential term, potentially making it more difficult for his administration to advance its legislative agenda.

Why the 2026 US midterm elections matter

The US midterm elections take place halfway through a president’s four-year term. Unlike presidential elections, voters elect members of Congress, including representatives and a portion of the Senate.

The elections are particularly important because the party controlling Congress has considerable influence over legislation, government spending and oversight of the administration.

For Trump, the 2026 elections were a major political test as Republicans sought to maintain their congressional majorities.

Democratic gains could change the political balance in Washington during the final two years of his presidency.

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Trump approval rating near record low at 32% ahead of US midterms

US President Donald Trump’s approval rating remained at 32% ahead of the congressional midterm elections, just above his record-low reading of 31% recorded two weeks earlier, according to a nationwide poll.

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US President Donald Trump’s approval rating remained close to its lowest level ahead of Tuesday’s congressional midterm elections, with a nationwide poll indicating that a significant section of American voters viewed their ballots as an opportunity to express opposition to the Republican leader.

According to the latest poll completed on Monday, November 2, only 32% of respondents approved of the job Trump was doing as President. The figure was unchanged from the previous week and just one percentage point above his record-low reading of 31%, recorded two weeks earlier.

The findings come as Republicans seek to retain their majorities in Congress, with all 435 seats in the House of Representatives up for grabs and several closely contested races expected to shape the Senate.

Although Trump himself is not on the ballot, his presidency has emerged as a significant factor in the midterm elections.

Democrats lead Republicans in nationwide congressional preference

The poll found that Democrats held an eight-percentage-point advantage over Republicans when respondents were asked which party they preferred to see in charge of Congress.

Around 46% of respondents favoured Democrats, compared with 38% who preferred Republicans.

However, the Democratic lead was narrower than the 11-percentage-point advantage recorded in a similar poll conducted a week earlier.

The so-called generic ballot question provides an overall indication of voters’ preferences between the two parties for control of Congress. However, it does not account for differences between individual states and congressional districts, which ultimately determine the composition of the House and Senate.

Political strategists from both parties believe Democrats have a stronger opportunity to take control of the House of Representatives. Their prospects in the Senate are considered more difficult, with the party facing challenges in states including Alaska and Michigan.

Half of independent voters see their vote as opposition to Trump

The survey also highlighted the extent to which Trump is influencing voters’ decisions despite not contesting the election himself.

Among registered independent voters, 50% said they viewed their congressional vote as a vote against Trump.

In comparison, 13% said their vote was in support of the President, while 33% said Trump was not a factor in their voting decision.

These findings indicate that voters’ views of the President are an important consideration for a section of the electorate heading into the congressional elections.

Rising cost of living emerges as a major election issue

Economic concerns, particularly the rising cost of living, featured prominently in the poll.

Around 78% of respondents said the cost of living would be either a very important or the most important issue in determining their voting decisions.

When asked which party was better equipped to handle the issue, 43% chose Democrats, compared with 32% who favoured Republicans.

The poll also pointed to concerns over rising fuel prices following the US military campaign against Iran, which began in February.

The increase in fuel prices has added to the economic challenges facing the Trump administration ahead of the elections.

Democrats report greater enthusiasm about voting

The survey also found a difference in voting enthusiasm between supporters of the two major political parties.

Around 49% of Democratic voters said they were very enthusiastic about voting in the midterm elections.

Among Republican voters, the corresponding figure stood at 33%.

The difference in enthusiasm is an important factor for both parties as they seek to mobilise their supporters and secure votes across the country.

The latest poll surveyed 1,765 US adults online and had a margin of error of two percentage points.

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Two helicopters collide while landing in Nepal, one Indian killed

Two helicopters struck each other while approaching a heliport near Mount Everest in Nepal. One Indian national died, while another person was taken to hospital with injuries.

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An Indian national was killed and another person injured after two helicopters collided while attempting to land at a high-altitude heliport in Nepal’s Solukhumbu district, near Mount Everest.

Nepal Police confirmed the incident in a post on X. The heliport is located around 250 km from Kathmandu, the country’s capital. The deceased was identified as Vasanth Kumar Balaramaramadu, an Indian national, according to a report by Kathmandu Post.

The accident came into public attention after a video purportedly showing the collision circulated on social media. The footage appears to show the rotor blades of the two helicopters striking each other shortly before landing, following which both aircraft fall onto the icy ground.

However, the authenticity of the video has not been independently verified by report.

Nabin Raja Budhathoki, who is in charge of Solukhumbu district police, told AFP that one foreign national had died at the scene, while another injured person had been taken to hospital.

Helicopters play an important role in Nepal, transporting tourists, mountaineers and supplies across its mountainous terrain. They are also used for emergency evacuations.

Nepal has eight of the world’s 14 highest mountains and receives thousands of foreign climbers and trekkers every year. Flying in these high-altitude areas presents considerable challenges.

At higher elevations, thinner air gives helicopter rotor blades fewer air molecules to push against, reducing the lift they can generate. Engines also receive less oxygen for combustion, which can affect their power output.

A similar high-altitude helicopter accident was reported just days earlier in India’s Uttarakhand. That helicopter crashed shortly after taking off from Badrinath, killing all six people on board, including the pilot and five passengers.

An Indian national was killed and another person injured after two helicopters collided while landing at a high-altitude heliport in Nepal’s Solukhumbu district, near Mount Everest. A purported video of the collision has surfaced on social media, but its authenticity remains unverified.

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